62 Ridgedale Ave · Providence, PA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 99°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 20.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +3.8/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$59,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Priced to sell quick - half of resale value! Book value above $55k. 2005 Skyline 28x52 Greenbriar Ephrata Y4 model. 3 walk-in closets, upgraded panel doors and wood trim package, tilt insulated windows, corner shower, 8x12 shed, 16x16 deck, tile accents. Enjoy shaded lot w/ covered rear deck and 2 car driveway. 1 pet allowed, BIG DOG ok! see 23 pictures! $51/minimum for water/sewer
Key facts
- 8x12 shed
- Walk-in closets
- Corner shower
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Not in a federal flood zone; Property condition listed as below average
- Financial info: Property assessed value information available (assessor source); Annual ground rent noted as an income/expense item
- HOA & community: Monthly ground rent/HOA fee of $561 (includes snow removal)
Exterior
- Parking: Driveway parking (2 spaces); Total of 2 garage/parking spaces
- Utilities: Community water; Private sewer; Electric hot water; 200+ amp electrical service
- Home design: Manufactured double-wide home; Greenbriar model; Entry on a single story
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Shingle/composite roof; Built on a foundation consistent with manufactured homes; No basement
- Exterior features: Patio; Deck; Shed; Rented lot (ground rent applies, paid monthly)
Interior
- Bedrooms: Three bedrooms on the main level
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms (both on the main level)
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); Central air conditioning (electric)
- Interior features: Breakfast area; Dining area; Built-ins; Cathedral ceilings
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $60k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $273 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $60k).
- Recommended offer: $59k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- Solanco SD (rural): math 31% / reading 57% proficiency, ranked #272 of 539 in PA (top 50%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Solanco Hs (math 57% / reading 24%, grade F, #255 of 437 statewide, top 60%, 1,081 students, 35% FRL) — zoned schools at 35% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: 25 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,093 units permitted in Lancaster County in 2024 (201 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $414 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Lancaster County population projected at +5% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $17k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 26 days — a 2% lower offer ($59k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 17y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $30k; list at $60k implies a 103% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: HOA is 36% of rent.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.62% ✓
- Cap rate
- 11.75%
- Cash-on-cash
- 19.50%
- DSCR
- 1.87
- GRM
- 3.2
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 12.0%
- Equity multiple
- 1.48×
- Total profit
- $8,019
- Equity at exit
- $8,931
- IRR
- 21.3%
- Equity multiple
- 2.84×
- Total profit
- $30,817
- Equity at exit
- $5,179
Cash invested: $16,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 17560
- Home prices YoY
- -15.0%
- Active inventory
- 25
- Price-to-rent
- 3.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,569 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$314
- Tax from tax record
- −$67 /mo · $806/yr
- Insurance
- −$25
- HOA
- −$561
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$330
- Net cashflow
- $273
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $14,975
- Closing costs
- $1,797
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 3 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 309 Groffdale Rd Quarryville, PA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1232 | $1,600 | $1.30 | 21d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 405 Groffdale Rd Quarryville, PA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1176 | $1,700 | $1.45 | 13d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 115 E State St Apt C Quarryville, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,250 | $1.39 | 23d | 1 | 1.32mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $561 · $6,732/yr
- Likely covers
- watersewer
Listing history 21 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $59,900 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $59,900 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $59,900 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $59,900 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $59,900 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $59,900 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $59,900 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $59,900 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $59,900 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $59,900 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $59,900 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $59,900 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $59,900 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $59,900 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $59,900 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-05-23$59,900 Active
-
2016-03-30soldstatus $29,500 384-char remark
Show marketing remark (384 chars)
Priced to sell quick - half of resale value! Book value above $55k. 2005 Skyline 28x52 Greenbriar Ephrata Y4 model. 3 walk-in closets, upgraded panel doors and wood trim package, tilt insulated windows, corner shower, 8x12 shed, 16x16 deck, tile accents. Enjoy shaded lot w/ covered rear deck and 2 car driveway. 1 pet allowed, BIG DOG ok! see 23 pictures! $51/minimum for water/sewer
-
2016-03-10historical 384-char remark
Show marketing remark (384 chars)
Priced to sell quick - half of resale value! Book value above $55k. 2005 Skyline 28x52 Greenbriar Ephrata Y4 model. 3 walk-in closets, upgraded panel doors and wood trim package, tilt insulated windows, corner shower, 8x12 shed, 16x16 deck, tile accents. Enjoy shaded lot w/ covered rear deck and 2 car driveway. 1 pet allowed, BIG DOG ok! see 23 pictures! $51/minimum for water/sewer
-
2016-03-03$29,500 384-char remark
Show marketing remark (384 chars)
Priced to sell quick - half of resale value! Book value above $55k. 2005 Skyline 28x52 Greenbriar Ephrata Y4 model. 3 walk-in closets, upgraded panel doors and wood trim package, tilt insulated windows, corner shower, 8x12 shed, 16x16 deck, tile accents. Enjoy shaded lot w/ covered rear deck and 2 car driveway. 1 pet allowed, BIG DOG ok! see 23 pictures! $51/minimum for water/sewer
-
2011-10-10soldstatus $53,900 401-char remark
Show marketing remark (401 chars)
LIKE NEW! GORGEOUS SKYLINE 28X52 ON SHADED LOT W/ COVERED REAR DECK. ENJOY THE 44'' TOSHIBA TV, JVC DVD PLAYER AND 4 SURROUND SPEAKERS INCLUDED IN THE BUILT-IN ENTERTAINMENT CENTER. Upgrades: wood trim, panel doors, shelving in walk-in closets, tile accents, tilt-in insulated windows, corner shower. 8x12 Shed, 16x16 deck. Pet: 1 pet, BIG DOG ok! VANDERBILT ASSUMABLE MORTGAGE-EASY TERMS! SHORT SALE!
-
2009-08-16$53,900 401-char remark
Show marketing remark (401 chars)
LIKE NEW! GORGEOUS SKYLINE 28X52 ON SHADED LOT W/ COVERED REAR DECK. ENJOY THE 44'' TOSHIBA TV, JVC DVD PLAYER AND 4 SURROUND SPEAKERS INCLUDED IN THE BUILT-IN ENTERTAINMENT CENTER. Upgrades: wood trim, panel doors, shelving in walk-in closets, tile accents, tilt-in insulated windows, corner shower. 8x12 Shed, 16x16 deck. Pet: 1 pet, BIG DOG ok! VANDERBILT ASSUMABLE MORTGAGE-EASY TERMS! SHORT SALE!
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $806 · $67/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $876 · $73/mo
- Expected delta
- +$70/yr (+$6/mo · 8.7%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 20% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $18,833
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,355
- − Property taxes
- −$806
- − Insurance
- −$300
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,507
- − Management
- −$1,507
- − HOA
- −$6,732
- − Depreciation
- −$1,743
- Taxable income
- $2,884
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$692
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,579/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Solanco SD
- NCES district ID
- 4221810
- Math proficiency
- 31% ▼ -10.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 57% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $57,326
- Composite
- 38.41/100
- National rank
- #4205
- State rank
- #272 of 539 in PA
Livability — Providence
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 5,452
Population outlook (Lancaster County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 561,011 people
- By 2030
- 570,969 · +1.8%
- By 2040
- 585,929 · +4.4%
- By 2050
- 591,056 · +5.4%
- By 2075
- 594,747 · +6.0%
- By 2100
- 558,850 · -0.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (92%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 92% Two or more races 8% Hispanic / Latino 3%
- Common ancestry
- Polish 6% Lithuanian 4% Serbian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 86% English-only · German/W. Germanic 12% Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Lancaster
- 2024 margin
- R (+15.9) · D 41.5% · R 57.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -4.1pp toward R · 2008: -11.8pp · 2024: -15.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+15.9 2020: R+15.8 2016: R+19.7 2012: R+19.2 2008: R+11.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -47.65%
- Current HPI
- 270.262
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
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| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
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| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
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| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
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Price history
+11.1% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-23 Listed $59,900 BRIGHT MLS
- 2016-03-30 Sold (MLS) $29,500 BRIGHT MLS
- 2016-03-10 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2016-03-03 Listed $29,500 BRIGHT MLS
- 2011-10-10 Sold (MLS) $53,900 BRIGHT MLS
- 2009-08-16 Listed $53,900 BRIGHT MLS
Property tax history
-0.3%/yrLatest (2026): $806 · +5.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…