6505 Pearson Ln · North Highlands, CA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $659 – $1,223
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 102°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 10/10 · Severe
- Unhealthy air days now
- 34 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 38 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Cash flow +13.6/30.0
- DSCR +4.1/10.0
- Rent growth +3.9/5.0
- Schools +3.1/10.0
- Livability +3.1/5.0
- 1% rule +2.6/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$275,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Charming Fixer-Upper in North Highlands. This 3 bedroom 1 bath home presents an exciting opportunity of Investors or First-Time homebuyer looking to create their own space utilizing the FHA 203k program or the conventional rehab programs.
Key facts
- 6,098 sq ft lot
- Garage
- Built 1956
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $275k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $16 ($190/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $208k (24.4% below list).
- Recommended offer: $208k (24.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.4% vs local median 4.1% in North Highlands — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 61/100 on livability (#523 in CA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+; Watch: employment C-, schools D, crime F.
- Twin Rivers Unified (suburban): math 29% / reading 37% proficiency, ranked #970 of 1,400 in CA (top 69%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 76% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.7%/yr); 108 active listings in the ZIP; 31 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 3d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 6,825 units permitted in Sacramento County in 2024 (1,752 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 37% of the median local income ($68k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Sacramento County population projected at +17% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- Only 5 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1956 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1956 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.76% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.36%
- Cash-on-cash
- 0.25%
- DSCR
- 1.01
- GRM
- 11.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $377,136
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6505 Channing Dr | 0.58mi | 3/1.0 | 972 (0%) | 1mo | $350,000 | $360 | 72 |
| 6333 Whitecliff Way | 0.38mi | 3/1.0 | 1,045 (+8%) | 2mo | $330,000 | $316 | 68 |
| 3626 Milton Way | 0.69mi | 3/1.0 | 972 (0%) | 1mo | $395,000 | $406 | 67 |
| 3937 Fargo Way | 0.26mi | 3/1.5 | 1,102 (+13%) | 0mo | $317,000 | $288 | 63 |
| 4465 Hardwick Way | 0.54mi | 3/1.0 | 1,045 (+8%) | 2mo | $370,000 | $354 | 61 |
| 6717 Whitsett Dr | 0.31mi | 3/1.5 | 1,102 (+13%) | 1mo | $337,000 | $306 | 60 |
| 7006 Plumber Way | 0.61mi | 3/1.0 | 901 (-7%) | 2mo | $386,000 | $428 | 58 |
| 6015 Gay Way | 0.68mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 1,001 (+3%) | 2mo | $277,750 | $277 | 57 |
| 4013 David Dr | 0.69mi | 3/1.0 | 884 (-9%) | 1mo | $380,000 | $430 | 52 |
| 6533 Larry Way | 0.69mi | 3/1.0 | 884 (-9%) | 2mo | $359,900 | $407 | 50 |
| 5851 Larry Way | 0.52mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,113 (+14%) | 3mo | $432,000 | $388 | 40 |
| 7116 Kimmel Dr | 0.74mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 832 (-14%) | 1mo | $354,950 | $427 | 36 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 5.69% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -13.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.51×
- Total profit
- $-37,915
- Equity at exit
- $41,003
- IRR
- -1.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.91×
- Total profit
- $-7,222
- Equity at exit
- $23,777
Cash invested: $77,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State California
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 95660
- Rents YoY
- 5.7%
- Active inventory
- 108
- Price-to-rent
- 11.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,079 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,442
- Tax from tax record
- −$70 /mo · $838/yr
- Insurance
- −$115
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$437
- Net cashflow
- $16
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $171 | -5% $94 | +0% $16 | +5% $-62 | +10% $-140 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-148 | -5% $-66 | +0% $16 | +5% $98 | +10% $180 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $154 | -0.5pp $86 | base $16 | +0.5pp $-55 | +1.0pp $-128 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $68,750
- Closing costs
- $8,250
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 31 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6625 Medora Dr North Highlands, CA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 972 | $2,100 | $2.16 | 11d | 1 | 0.20mi |
| 6629 Medora Dr North Highlands, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1090 | $1,995 | $1.83 | 44d | 1 | 0.20mi |
| 3844 Milton Way North Highlands, CA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 972 | $2,250 | $2.31 | 2d | 1 | 0.44mi |
| 6830 Walerga Rd Sacramento, CA | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 836 | $1,752 | $2.09 | 2d | 6 | 0.51mi |
| 6909 Stoneman Dr North Highlands, CA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1113 | $1,995 | $1.79 | 13d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 6037 N Haven Dr North Highlands, CA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 884 | $2,150 | $2.43 | 2d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 4440 Oakhollow Dr Sacramento, CA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 842 | $1,590 | $1.89 | 2d | 8 | 0.85mi |
| 5966 Walerga Rd #4 Sacramento, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 924 | $1,550 | $1.68 | 2d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 5954 Walerga Rd #1 Sacramento, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,345 | $1.68 | 2d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 5954 Walerga Rd #3 Sacramento, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 840 | $1,395 | $1.66 | 11d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 5948 Walerga Rd #3 Sacramento, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 840 | $1,395 | $1.66 | 2d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 5733 San Vincente Way North Highlands, CA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 925 | $2,195 | $2.37 | 2d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 7200 Pepperwood Knoll Ln Sacramento, CA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 854 | $1,855 | $2.17 | 2d | 3 | 1.02mi |
| 5800 Hamilton St Sacramento, CA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 823 | $1,770 | $2.15 | 2d | 4 | 1.04mi |
| 4215 Palm Ave Sacramento, CA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 775 | $1,660 | $2.14 | 2d | 3 | 1.15mi |
| 5625 San Vincente Way North Highlands, CA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 875 | $2,150 | $2.46 | 2d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 5674 Hillsdale Blvd Sacramento, CA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 933 | $1,600 | $1.71 | 2d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 5614 Hillsdale Blvd Unit A Sacramento, CA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 933 | $1,450 | $1.55 | 22d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 4400 Antelope Rd Antelope, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 875 | $2,150 | $2.46 | 44d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 4400 Antelope Rd Antelope, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 907 | $2,150 | $2.37 | 3d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 5516 Palmdale Way Sacramento, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1115 | $2,250 | $2.02 | 21d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 5520 Harrison St North Highlands, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 735 | $1,478 | $2.01 | 8d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 4549 Greenholme Dr #2 Sacramento, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 840 | $2,000 | $2.38 | 3d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 5109 Andrea Blvd Sacramento, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 828 | $1,769 | $2.14 | 2d | 2 | 1.37mi |
| 3825 Little Rock Dr Antelope, CA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 848 | $2,500 | $2.95 | 2d | 5 | 1.42mi |
| 4758 Greenholme Dr Sacramento, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 924 | $1,595 | $1.73 | 44d | 1 | 1.42mi |
| 6841 Concert Way Sacramento, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1000 | $1,995 | $2.00 | 2d | 1 | 1.42mi |
| 5600 Walerga Rd #4 Sacramento, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 924 | $1,700 | $1.84 | 2d | 1 | 1.43mi |
| 5416 Jackson St North Highlands, CA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 720 | $1,750 | $2.43 | 2d | 30 | 1.44mi |
| 5728 Luce Ave McClellan Park, CA | 2.0–3.0 | 1.0 | 1058 | $2,190 | $2.07 | 2d | 3 | 1.46mi |
| 3652 McClellan Dr North Highlands, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $1,650 | $2.20 | 2d | 1 | 1.49mi |
Tax reassessment forecast CA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $838 · $70/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,090 · $174/mo
- Expected delta
- +$1,252/yr (+$104/mo · 149.4%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥102°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 10/10 Extreme 34 unhealthy d/yr today · 38 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $24,947
- − Mortgage interest
- −$15,404
- − Property taxes
- −$838
- − Insurance
- −$1,375
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,996
- − Management
- −$1,996
- − Depreciation
- −$8,000
- Taxable loss
- −$4,662
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,119
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,308/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Twin Rivers Unified
- NCES district ID
- 0601332
- Math proficiency
- 29% ▲ 2.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 37% ▲ 2.00%
- Median HH income
- $42,481
- Composite
- 30.67/100
- National rank
- #11437
- State rank
- #970 of 1400 in CA
Livability — North Highlands
- Score
- 61/100
- State rank
- #523
- US rank
- #17613
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- North Highlands, CA
- County
- Sacramento County · 1,539,646 people
- City population
- 56,900
- Metro
- Sacramento-Roseville-Folsom, CA
- Population (ZIP)
- 35,451
- Household income
- $68,235
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1300.0
Population outlook (Sacramento County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,660,763 people
- By 2030
- 1,732,990 · +4.3%
- By 2040
- 1,855,755 · +11.7%
- By 2050
- 1,941,335 · +16.9%
- By 2075
- 2,046,162 · +23.2%
- By 2100
- 1,961,444 · +18.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.69)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 41% Hispanic / Latino 37% Two or more races 16% Black 9% Asian 7%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 29%
- Common ancestry
- Subsaharan African 5% Scotch-Irish 2% Scandinavian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 28% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 56% English-only · Spanish 25% Russian/Polish/Slavic 9% Other Indo-European 5%
Political lean MEDSL · Sacramento
- 2024 margin
- D (+19.7) · D 58.1% · R 38.4% · Other 3.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +0.7pp no change · 2008: 19.0pp · 2024: 19.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+19.7 2020: D+25.3 2016: D+23.7 2012: D+16.3 2008: D+19.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -273.83%
- Current HPI
- 438.1022
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 5.69%
- Metro
- Sacramento-Roseville-Folsom, CA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.21%
- F500 in state
- 116
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 27 | $1,492B |
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| Financial Services | 3 | $174B |
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| Retail | 3 | $44B |
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| Insurance | 3 | $26B |
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $115B |
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| Pharmaceuticals / Biotech | 2 | $62B |
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Property tax history
+3.4%/yrLatest (2025): $838 · +5.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…