169 Pleasant St · Keeseville, NY 12944

$62,999

2 bd · 1.0 ba · 806 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 56 Days on market

Built 1950 5,662 sqft lot Est $104k · 39% under ↓ 37% since listing

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Why this score? — see what drove the A- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +30.0/30.0
• ARV discount +15.0/15.0
• 1% rule +10.0/10.0
• DSCR +10.0/10.0
• Schools +3.7/10.0
• Livability +3.2/5.0
• Appreciation +3.1/10.0
• Rent growth +2.5/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0

Listing remarks

Investor Special 2 Bed 1 Bath located near downtown Keeseville! Situated on a 5,610 sq ft lot. property includes a partial unfinished basement that is insulated. Assignment Listing.

Key facts

• Insulated
• 5,662 sq ft lot
• Parking

Tags

• PARTIAL UNFINISHED BASEMENT
• INSULATED

Property features AI

Exterior

• Parking: Carport (1 parking space)
• Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
• Home design: Single family residence; Entry level: First floor
• Construction: Vinyl siding; Concrete perimeter and stone foundation; Built living area approximately 806 (living area provided)
• Exterior features: Shingle roof; Shed(s); Other exterior features

Interior

• Kitchen: Cooktop; Gas oven
• Bedrooms: Two first-floor bedrooms
• Flooring: Vinyl flooring
• Bathrooms: One full bathroom (first floor)
• Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating; Window air conditioning unit(s)
• Interior features: Four total rooms; Gas fireplace
• Laundry & utility: Dryer

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $63k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $801 ($10k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $63k).
• Recommended offer: $61k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• Cap rate 21.5% vs local median 5.1% in Keeseville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 65/100 on livability (#673 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A-; Watch: employment D, amenities F, commute F.
• Ausable Valley Central School District (rural): math 36% / reading 51% proficiency, ranked #474 of 590 in NY (top 80%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
• Zoned schools: Keeseville Primary School (math 17% / reading 57%, grade F, #1,519 of 2,108 statewide, top 74%, 413 students, 0% FRL); Ausable Valley Middle School (math 22% / reading 47%, grade F, #483 of 729 statewide, top 68%, 193 students, 54% FRL); Ausable Valley High School (math 92% / reading 75%, grade A, #409 of 1,100 statewide, top 39%, 351 students, 50% FRL) — zoned schools at 35% FRL track the district average.
• Market conditions: 40 active listings in the ZIP; 192 units permitted in Clinton County in 2024 (64 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $435 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Clinton County population projected at -16% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
• At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $18k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 56 days — a 3% lower offer ($61k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

• Watch-outs: property tax is 2.9% of price; built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.

Recommended offer $61,109 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. It's been on market 56 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
2. Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
3. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 2.63% ✓
• Cap rate: 21.54%
• Cash-on-cash: 54.46%
• DSCR: 3.42
• GRM: 3.2

CMA / ARV

• ARV (on-the-fly): $103,974
• Comps found: 3

Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi

Address	Dist	Beds/Ba	Sqft	Sold	Price	$/sf	Match
18 Hill St	0.36mi	2/1.0	720 (-11%)	2mo	$115,500	$160	64
28 Jackson Street St	0.17mi	3/1.0 (+1)	913 (+13%)	2mo	$75,000	$82	64
155 Hill St	0.64mi	2/1.0	851 (+6%)	21mo	$110,000	$129	44

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 52.7%
• Equity multiple: 3.32×
• Total profit: $40,849
• Equity at exit: $9,393

10-year hold

• IRR: 58.0%
• Equity multiple: 6.75×
• Total profit: $101,506
• Equity at exit: $5,447

Cash invested: $17,640 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
• State New York: 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 12944

• Home prices YoY: -1.7%
• Active inventory: 40
• Price-to-rent: 3.2×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,654 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$330
• Tax from tax record: −$150 /mo · $1,798/yr
• Insurance: −$26
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$347
• Net cashflow: $801

Break-even live

Break-even rent $641

Max offer price $62,999

Occupancy floor 47%

Sensitivity live

Price	-10% $836	-5% $818	+0% $801	+5% $783	+10% $765
Rent	-10% $670	-5% $735	+0% $801	+5% $866	+10% $931
Rate	-1.0pp $832	-0.5pp $817	base $801	+0.5pp $784	+1.0pp $768

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $15,750
• Closing costs: $1,890
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Listing history 3 events

1. 2026-04-13
   price $62,999
2. 2026-04-06
   price $85,900
3. 2026-04-01
   listed $99,900 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)

• Current annual tax: $1,798 · $150/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $1,798 · $150/mo
• Expected delta: $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
• 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥94°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 1/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $19,854
• − Mortgage interest: −$3,529
• − Property taxes: −$1,798
• − Insurance: −$315
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,588
• − Management: −$1,588
• − Depreciation: −$1,833
• Taxable income: $9,202
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$2,209
• After-tax cash flow: $7,398/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Ausable Valley Central School District
• NCES district ID: 3616170
• Math proficiency: 36% ▼ -14.00%
• Reading proficiency: 51% ▲ 5.00%
• Median HH income: $50,989
• Composite: 37.43/100
• National rank: #4417
• State rank: #474 of 590 in NY

Livability — Keeseville

• Score: 65/100
• State rank: #673
• US rank: #12604

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A- Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety D- User ratings B+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Keeseville, NY
• Population (ZIP): 4,043

Population outlook (Clinton County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 78,791 people
• By 2030: 76,848 · -2.5%
• By 2040: 71,579 · -9.2%
• By 2050: 66,471 · -15.6%
• By 2075: 57,361 · -27.2%
• By 2100: 47,232 · -40.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly White (96%)
• Race & ethnicity: White 96% Hispanic / Latino 2% Two or more races 2%
• Common ancestry: Lithuanian 20% Romanian 1% Slovak 1%
• Foreign-born: 2% · Canada
• Languages at home: 97% English-only · Spanish 1% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Clinton

• 2024 margin: Toss-up / Even · D 48.9% · R 51.1%
• 2008→2024 swing: -25.1pp toward R · 2008: 22.9pp · 2024: -2.2pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+2.2 2020: D+5.2 2016: D+0.9 2012: D+25.6 2008: D+22.9

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -3.79%
• Current HPI: 220.0385
• Rent YoY: —
• Metro: —
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 2.60%
• F500 in state: 92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Financial Services	10	$950B
▸Consumer Goods	9	$162B
▸Insurance	4	$225B
▸Telecommunications	2	$144B
▸Pharmaceuticals	2	$112B
▸Media / Entertainment	2	$69B

Price history

-36.9% since first listed

3 events — show timeline

• 2026-04-13 Price Changed $62,999 Global MLS
• 2026-04-06 Price Changed $85,900 Global MLS
• 2026-04-01 Listed $99,900 Global MLS

Property tax history

+17.4%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,798 · +10.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.