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D- Composite 36.1
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +11.7/30.0
  • Appreciation +5.0/10.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • Schools +3.6/10.0
  • DSCR +3.5/10.0
  • 1% rule +3.4/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • ARV discount +0.0/15.0

$180,000

452 N Central Ave · Beach, ND 58621
5 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,714 sqft · SingleFamily · 93 Days on market
Built 1906 0.39 ac lot Est $134k · 35% over

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Key facts

  • Updated electrical
  • Enclosed porches
  • Walk-in closet

Tags

ORIGINAL WOOD FLOORINGCLASSIC BUILT-INSUPDATED ELECTRICALUPDATED PLUMBINGENCLOSED PORCHESWALK-IN CLOSET

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Listed by Infinity Real Estate Group LLC

Exterior

  • Parking: Has garage
  • Utilities: Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-family residence; Residential property type
  • Construction: Basement: Unfinished, block
  • Exterior features: Lot dimensions approximately 122 x 141; Low density residential zoning

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Microwave; Range; Refrigerator
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Other interior: 12 total rooms; Unfinished block basement
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Has heating; Has cooling
  • Interior features: Eat-in kitchen; Window coverings
  • Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 5-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $180k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-52 ($-619/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $173k (4.1% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $151k (16.1% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $151k (16.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 79/100 on livability (#4 in ND, #2,032 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
  • Beach 3 (rural): math 40% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #107 of 169 in ND (top 63%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Lincoln Elementary School (math 47% / reading 42%, grade F, #102 of 236 statewide, top 49%, 146 students, 39% FRL); Beach High School (math 34% / reading 44%, grade F, #57 of 144 statewide, top 48%, 129 students, 39% FRL).
  • Market conditions: 22 active listings in the ZIP; 5 units permitted in Golden Valley County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $7k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $5k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
  • Golden Valley County population projected at +51% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $50k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 6, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$35k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 93 days — a 9% lower offer ($164k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1906 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $150,934 (16.1% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 93 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 16% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Built in 1906 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.84%
Cap rate
5.95%
Cash-on-cash
-1.23%
DSCR
0.95
GRM
9.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$133,692
Comps found
1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
413 4th Ave SE 0.67mi 4/1.5 (-1) 1,920 (+12%) 24mo $149,900 $78 22

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
6.4%
Equity multiple
1.37×
Total profit
$18,422
Equity at exit
$80,936
10-year hold
IRR
9.2%
Equity multiple
2.39×
Total profit
$70,244
Equity at exit
$124,732

Cash invested: $50,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
82 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State North Dakota
82 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+20
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 58621

Active inventory
22
Price-to-rent
9.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,509 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$944
Tax est. 1.5%
$225 /mo · $2,700/yr
Insurance
$75
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$317
Net cashflow
$-52

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,575
Max offer price $172,539
Occupancy floor 98%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $73 -5% $11 +0% $-52 +5% $-114 +10% $-176
Rent -10% $-171 -5% $-111 +0% $-52 +5% $8 +10% $68
Rate -1.0pp $39 -0.5pp $-6 base $-52 +0.5pp $-98 +1.0pp $-146

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$45,000
Closing costs
$5,400
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 14 events

  1. 2026-06-10
    days on market $180,000 Active 93 DOM
  2. 2026-06-09
    days on market $180,000 Active 92 DOM
  3. 2026-06-08
    days on market $180,000 Active 91 DOM
  4. 2026-06-07
    days on market $180,000 Active 90 DOM
  5. 2026-06-03
    days on market $180,000 Active 86 DOM
  6. 2026-06-02
    days on market $180,000 Active 85 DOM
  7. 2026-06-01
    days on market $180,000 Active 84 DOM
  8. 2026-05-31
    days on market $180,000 Active 83 DOM
  9. 2026-05-31
    days on market $180,000 Active 82 DOM
  10. 2026-04-14
    status Active
  11. 2026-04-04
    historical Active Under Contract
  12. 2026-03-27
    status Active
  13. 2026-03-26
    historical Active Under Contract
  14. 2026-03-09
    listed $180,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$18,112
− Mortgage interest
−$10,083
− Property taxes
−$2,700
− Insurance
−$900
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,449
− Management
−$1,449
− Depreciation
−$5,236
Taxable loss
−$3,705
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$889
After-tax cash flow
$270/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Beach 3
NCES district ID
3802380
Math proficiency
40% ▬ 0.00%
Reading proficiency
40% ▬ 0.00%
Median HH income
$38,333
Composite
35.81/100
National rank
#9624
State rank
#107 of 169 in ND

Livability — Beach

Score
79/100
State rank
#4
US rank
#2032

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment B- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Beach, ND
Population (ZIP)
1,203

Population outlook (Golden Valley County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
2,209 people
By 2030
2,428 · +9.9%
By 2040
2,878 · +30.3%
By 2050
3,342 · +51.3%
By 2075
4,620 · +109.1%
By 2100
5,663 · +156.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (88%)
Race & ethnicity
White 88% Two or more races 11%
Common ancestry
Portuguese 7% Romanian 7% Lithuanian 3%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
98% English-only · Other Asian/Pacific 1% Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Golden Valley

2024 margin
Solid R (+73.7) · D 12.4% · R 86.1% · Other 1.5%
2008→2024 swing
-24.3pp toward R · 2008: -49.4pp · 2024: -73.7pp
All cycles
2024: R+73.7 2020: R+71.5 2016: R+73.7 2012: R+62.7 2008: R+49.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
Current HPI
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.09%
F500 in state
2

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in ND)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

5 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-14 Relisted Badlands BOR MLS
  • 2026-04-04 Contingent Badlands BOR MLS
  • 2026-03-27 Relisted Badlands BOR MLS
  • 2026-03-26 Contingent Badlands BOR MLS
  • 2026-03-09 Listed $180,000 Badlands BOR MLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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