1510 Maple Ln #7 · Kent, WA 98030

$249,999

3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,536 sqft · Manufactured · 86 Days on market

Built 1979 $163/sqft · 86% above area

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Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +21.9/30.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• DSCR +7.0/10.0
• 1% rule +5.7/10.0
• Schools +4.8/10.0
• Livability +4.0/5.0
• Rent growth +3.4/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks

One of the finest homes in the sought-after 55+ Walnut Grove community, this fully remodeled 3-bedroom, 2-bath residence offers exceptional style and comfort throughout. Thoughtfully updated inside and out, featuring a new roof, new windows, new furnace with heat pump, and beautiful LVP flooring. The stunning chef’s kitchen showcases new custom cabinetry, waterfall quartz countertops, full-height quartz backsplash, under-cabinet and island lighting, stainless steel appliances, and a sleek slide-in range. Vaulted ceilings elevate the expansive living room, anchored by a striking electric fireplace and seamless flow into the dining area—perfect for entertaining. Enjoy year-round r

Key facts

• Custom cabinetry
• New furnace
• Heat pump

Tags

• NEW ROOF
• NEW WINDOWS
• NEW FURNACE
• HEAT PUMP
• LVP FLOORING
• CUSTOM CABINETRY

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $250k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $393 ($5k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $250k).
• Recommended offer: $235k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• Cap rate 8.2% vs local median 2.7% in Kent — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 79/100 on livability (#109 in WA, #2,154 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+; Watch: schools C-, crime F, cost of living F.
• Kent School District (urban): math 47% / reading 57% proficiency, ranked #109 of 291 in WA (top 38%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
• Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.7%/yr); 171 active listings in the ZIP; 12 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 13d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 10,555 units permitted in King County in 2024 (7,119 in 5+ unit buildings).
• This rent runs 35% of the median local income ($92k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• King County population projected at +44% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 86 days — a 6% lower offer ($235k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

• Climate carrying-cost: moderate flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $234,999 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. It's been on market 86 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
2. Built in 1979 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 1.07% ✓
• Cap rate: 8.18%
• Cash-on-cash: 6.74%
• DSCR: 1.30
• GRM: 7.8

CMA / ARV

• ARV (median comp): $134,546
• List price: $249,999
• Delta: 85.81%
• Verdict: OVERPRICED
• Comps: 2 within 1.0 mi

Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi

Address	Dist	Beds/Ba	Sqft	Sold	Price	$/sf	Match
1540 Maple Ln #35	0.07mi	3/2.0	1,400 (-9%)	7mo	$165,000	$118	76

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.72% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: -5.1%
• Equity multiple: 0.81×
• Total profit: $-13,481
• Equity at exit: $37,276

10-year hold

• IRR: 5.4%
• Equity multiple: 1.41×
• Total profit: $28,812
• Equity at exit: $21,615

Cash invested: $70,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 28 Tenant-Leaning
• State Washington: 28 Tenant-Leaning · D+8
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

Just-cause statewide (2021); Seattle layers rent control restrictions + relocation assistance; very tenant-friendly.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 98030

• Rents YoY: 3.7%
• Active inventory: 171
• Price-to-rent: 7.8×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $2,684 high
• Mortgage (P&I): −$1,311
• Tax est. 1.5%: −$312 /mo · $3,750/yr
• Insurance: −$104
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$564
• Net cashflow: $393

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,187

Max offer price $249,999

Occupancy floor 80%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $62,500
• Closing costs: $7,500
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 12 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
1220 E Laurel St Kent, WA	3.0	2.0	1580	$2,995	$1.90	12d	1	0.71mi
713 3rd Ave S Kent, WA	3.0	2.5	1350	$2,795	$2.07	43d	1	0.78mi
702 5th Ave S Kent, WA	2.0–3.0	1.5	1150	$2,400	$2.09	4d	3	0.84mi
10031 SE 258th Pl Kent, WA	3.0	2.0–2.5	1454	$2,968	$2.04	3d	3	0.94mi
622 6th Ave S Kent, WA	3.0	2.0	1114	$2,999	$2.69	43d	1	0.94mi
401 3rd Ave S Unit Lower Kent, WA	3.0	2.0	2000	$2,780	$1.39	43d	1	0.99mi
1462 51st Pl NE Auburn, WA	3.0	2.5	1539	$2,900	$1.88	2d	1	1.12mi
4750 Auburn Way N Auburn, WA	1.0–4.0	1.0–2.0	1011	$2,417	$2.39	1d	10	1.13mi
802 45th St NE Auburn, WA	1.0–3.0	1.0–2.0	895	$1,999	$2.23	1d	11	1.31mi
10215 SE 248th St Kent, WA	3.0	2.0	1250	$2,895	$2.32	20d	1	1.37mi
10215 SE 248th St Kent, WA	2.0–3.0	2.0	1240	$2,895	$2.33	43d	3	1.37mi
10710 SE 256th St Kent, WA	2.0	2.0	1029	$2,200	$2.14	1d	5	1.41mi

Listing history 14 events

1. 2026-06-18
   days on market $249,999 Active 86 DOM
2. 2026-06-17
   days on market $249,999 Active 85 DOM
3. 2026-06-16
   days on market $249,999 Active 84 DOM
4. 2026-06-15
   days on market $249,999 Active 83 DOM
5. 2026-06-13
   days on market $249,999 Active 81 DOM
6. 2026-06-09
   days on market $249,999 Active 77 DOM
7. 2026-06-08
   days on market $249,999 Active 76 DOM
8. 2026-06-07
   days on market $249,999 Active 75 DOM
9. 2026-06-04
   days on market $249,999 Active 72 DOM
10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $249,999 Active 71 DOM
11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $249,999 Active 70 DOM
12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $249,999 Active 69 DOM
13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $249,999 Active 68 DOM
14. 2026-03-24
    listed $249,999 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 5/10 Major FEMA zone X · 27% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
• 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥88°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
• 🫁 Air quality 8/10 Severe 12 unhealthy d/yr today · 12 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $32,213
• − Mortgage interest: −$14,004
• − Property taxes: −$3,750
• − Insurance: −$1,250
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$2,577
• − Management: −$2,577
• − Depreciation: −$7,273
• Taxable income: $782
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$188
• After-tax cash flow: $4,528/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Kent School District
• NCES district ID: 5303960
• Math proficiency: 47% ▼ -1.00%
• Reading proficiency: 57% ▼ -1.00%
• Median HH income: $69,823
• Composite: 48.25/100
• National rank: #4714
• State rank: #109 of 291 in WA

Livability — Kent

• Score: 79/100
• State rank: #109
• US rank: #2154

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living F Crime F Employment A Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings D

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Kent, WA
• County: King County · 2,251,916 people
• City population: 119,479
• Metro: Seattle-Tacoma-Bellevue, WA
• Population (ZIP): 38,523
• Household income: $91,761
• Rent vs Own: 47.8% rent · 52.2% own
• Severe rent burden: 1415.0

Population outlook (King County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 2,576,485 people
• By 2030: 2,803,316 · +8.8%
• By 2040: 3,255,921 · +26.4%
• By 2050: 3,706,444 · +43.9%
• By 2075: 4,746,063 · +84.2%
• By 2100: 5,407,730 · +109.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.74)
• Race & ethnicity: White 41% Asian 24% Hispanic / Latino 15% Black 11% Two or more races 9% Pacific Islander 3%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 12%
• Common ancestry: Subsaharan African 6% Italian 4% Portuguese 2%
• Foreign-born: 36% · Canada, Vietnam, Philippines
• Languages at home: 53% English-only · Spanish 10% Other Indo-European 9% Other Asian/Pacific 8%

Political lean MEDSL · King

• 2024 margin: Solid D (+51.7) · D 74.2% · R 22.5% · Other 3.4%
• 2008→2024 swing: +9.6pp toward D · 2008: 42.1pp · 2024: 51.7pp
• All cycles: 2024: D+51.7 2020: D+52.7 2016: D+50.4 2012: D+39.9 2008: D+42.1

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -494.18%
• Current HPI: 315.2007
• Rent YoY: ▲ 3.72%
• Metro: Seattle-Tacoma-Bellevue, WA
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 4.65%
• F500 in state: 22

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in WA)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Retail	2	$269B
▸Technology / Retail	1	$638B
▸Technology	1	$245B
▸Telecommunications	1	$38B
▸Food / Beverage	1	$36B
▸Automotive / Trucks	1	$34B

Price history

1 event — show timeline

• 2026-03-24 Listed $249,999 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid