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84 Mechanic St
B+ Composite 76.45
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Appreciation +6.4/10.0
  • Schools +4.5/10.0
  • Livability +3.1/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$70,900

84 Mechanic St · Angelica, NY 14709
5 bd · 1.0 ba · 2,160 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 14 Days on market
Built 1920 0.25 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Welcome to this spacious, 2,160 sq ft two-story home nestled in the Village of Angelica NY, Allegany County. Offering plenty of room to grow, this property is perfect for a large family ready to make it their own. The home features a generously sized eat-in kitchen with endless potential for customization, complete with a charming breakfast nook and built-in cabinetry.  Just off the kitchen, sliding glass doors lead to a newer covered porch, an ideal spot to enjoy your morning coffee while overlooking the backyard.  There's also an opportunity to add a wood or pellet stove, creating a warm inviting atmosphere. Flowing from the kitchen is an expansive dining room filled with natura

Key facts

  • Breakfast nook
  • Covered porch
  • Wood or pellet stove

Tags

EAT-IN KITCHENBREAKFAST NOOKCOVERED PORCHWOOD OR PELLET STOVEEXPANSIVE DINING ROOMGAS FIREPLACE

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
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What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 5-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $71k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $478 ($6k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $71k).

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 61/100 on livability (#944 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, employment B; Watch: health & safety D, schools D-, crime F.
  • Genesee Valley Central School District (rural): math 52% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #453 of 755 in NY (top 60%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: 20 active listings in the ZIP; 87 units permitted in Allegany County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $2k of equity ($490 loan paydown + $2k appreciation (2.8% local appreciation)).
  • Allegany County population projected at -26% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (2.8% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $20k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 14 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 4.3% of price; built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: moderate flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $70,900

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.02%
Cap rate
14.39%
Cash-on-cash
28.92%
DSCR
2.29
GRM
4.1

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

2.79% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
34.5%
Equity multiple
2.93×
Total profit
$38,362
Equity at exit
$31,054
10-year hold
IRR
35.0%
Equity multiple
5.79×
Total profit
$95,007
Equity at exit
$47,225

Cash invested: $19,852 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

ZIP-level market 14709

Home prices YoY
1.0%
Active inventory
20
Price-to-rent
4.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,433 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$372
Tax from tax record
$252 /mo · $3,026/yr
Insurance
$30
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$301
Net cashflow
$478

Break-even live

Break-even rent $827
Max offer price $70,900
Occupancy floor 62%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$17,725
Closing costs
$2,127
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 2 events

  1. 2026-04-27
    status Pending
  2. 2026-04-13
    listed $70,900 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$3,026 · $252/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,026 · $252/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 5/10 Major FEMA zone X · 27% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 8 d/yr ≥89°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$17,195
− Mortgage interest
−$3,972
− Property taxes
−$3,026
− Insurance
−$354
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,376
− Management
−$1,376
− Depreciation
−$2,063
Taxable income
$5,029
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,207
After-tax cash flow
$4,535/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Genesee Valley Central School District
NCES district ID
3600017
Math proficiency
52% ▲ 5.00%
Reading proficiency
50% ▲ 1.00%
Median HH income
$43,704
Composite
45.0/100
National rank
#5858
State rank
#453 of 755 in NY

Livability — Angelica

Score
61/100
State rank
#944
US rank
#18364

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment B Housing A+ Health & safety D User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Angelica, NY
Population (ZIP)
1,190

Population outlook (Allegany County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
45,362 people
By 2030
43,078 · -5.0%
By 2040
38,031 · -16.2%
By 2050
33,634 · -25.9%
By 2075
25,285 · -44.3%
By 2100
18,902 · -58.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (94%)
Race & ethnicity
White 94% Two or more races 3% Asian 2%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 5% Romanian 4% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
1% · China, Canada
Languages at home
98% English-only · German/W. Germanic 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Allegany

2024 margin
Solid R (+43.2) · D 28.4% · R 71.6%
2008→2024 swing
-21.5pp toward R · 2008: -21.7pp · 2024: -43.2pp
All cycles
2024: R+43.2 2020: R+38.9 2016: R+42.3 2012: R+25.3 2008: R+21.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 2.79%
Current HPI
270.867
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-27 Pending CNYIS
  • 2026-04-13 Listed $70,900 CNYIS

Property tax history

+2.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $3,026 · -0.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…