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206 Mabelon Ct
C- Composite 54.81
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +18.4/30.0
  • ARV discount +11.6/15.0
  • DSCR +5.8/10.0
  • Appreciation +4.7/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.2/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.9/5.0
  • Livability +2.9/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.8/10.0

$139,000

206 Mabelon Ct · Hueytown, AL 35023
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,539 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 47 Days on market
Built 1964 0.37 ac lot $90/sqft · 9% below area Est $153k · 9% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

This 3-bedroom, 2-bath full brick home is tucked away on a quiet dead-end street in Hueytown, just minutes from shopping and local eateries. Inside, you’ll find hardwood flooring flowing through the living and dining areas, creating a warm and inviting space for everyday living and entertaining. The home sits on a spacious lot and features a fenced-in area, perfect for pets or outdoor enjoyment, along with a convenient carport located just off the kitchen for easy access. Recent updates provide added value and peace of mind, including a new heat pump (2018), HEPA air filtration system (2019), and a fully replaced drain system. This home is ready for some TLC, blends comfort, functionality, and location—ready for its next owner to move in and make it their own.

Key facts

  • 0.37 acre lot
  • Built 1964
  • Listed 47 days

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $139k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $131 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $127k (8.3% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $127k (8.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 7.4% vs local median 5.9% in Hueytown — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 57/100 on livability (#378 in AL) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D, schools F, crime F.
  • Jefferson County (suburban): math 9% / reading 32% proficiency, ranked #104 of 129 in AL (top 81%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.6%/yr); 250 active listings in the ZIP; 12 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 17d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 2,114 units permitted in Jefferson County in 2024 (556 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $127 of equity ($961 loan paydown + $-834 appreciation (-0.6% local appreciation)).
  • Jefferson County population projected to shrink 4% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 47 days — a 3% lower offer ($135k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 6y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $31k (18%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $127,479 (8.3% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 47 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 8% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1964 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.92%
Cap rate
7.42%
Cash-on-cash
4.04%
DSCR
1.18
GRM
9.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$152,939
List price
$139,000
Delta
-9.11%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
202 Mabelon Ct 0.04mi 3/1.0 1,593 (+4%) 8mo $157,000 $99 82
327 Carver Ave 0.33mi 3/2.0 1,487 (-3%) 3mo $130,000 $87 76
138 Baker Ave 0.44mi 3/2.0 1,560 (+1%) 2mo $165,000 $106 76
98 Dexter Ave 0.48mi 3/2.0 1,484 (-4%) 2mo $150,000 $101 70
120 Huey Ln 0.56mi 3/2.0 1,523 (-1%) 9mo $232,500 $153 65
2066 Townhouse Ln 0.62mi 3/2.0 1,555 (+1%) 9mo $215,900 $139 62
402 Marsh Ave 0.38mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,623 (+6%) 9mo $191,500 $118 61
141 Newport Dr 0.43mi 3/2.0 1,679 (+9%) 10mo $205,000 $122 56
117 Hardy Rd 0.23mi 3/1.0 1,350 (-12%) 12mo $102,900 $76 55
108 Branch St 0.51mi 3/2.0 1,353 (-12%) 3mo $125,000 $92 54
1056 Cardinal Cir 0.71mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,516 (-2%) 11mo $171,000 $113 50
107 Beta St 0.74mi 3/2.0 1,343 (-13%) 2mo $154,000 $115 42

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-0.6% appreciation · 1.6% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-0.8%
Equity multiple
0.96×
Total profit
$-1,400
Equity at exit
$36,241
10-year hold
IRR
4.3%
Equity multiple
1.42×
Total profit
$16,303
Equity at exit
$40,398

Cash invested: $38,920 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Alabama
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Right-to-evict in 7 days for non-payment; no rent control; preempted statewide; courts move quickly.

ZIP-level market 35023

Home prices YoY
-0.1%
Rents YoY
1.6%
Active inventory
250
Price-to-rent
9.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,275 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$729
Tax from tax record
$89 /mo · $1,071/yr
Insurance
$58
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$268
Net cashflow
$131

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,109
Max offer price $139,000
Occupancy floor 85%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $210 -5% $170 +0% $131 +5% $92 +10% $52
Rent -10% $30 -5% $81 +0% $131 +5% $181 +10% $232
Rate -1.0pp $201 -0.5pp $166 base $131 +0.5pp $95 +1.0pp $58

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$34,750
Closing costs
$4,170
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 12 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
406 Forest Rd Bessemer, AL 3.0 2.0 1200 $1,175 $0.98 15d 1 0.41mi
1983 Townhouse Ln Bessemer, AL 2.0 2.0 1465 $1,100 $0.75 16d 1 0.53mi
106 Lindberg Rd Bessemer, AL 3.0 2.0 1554 $1,385 $0.89 21d 1 0.80mi
123 Westbrook Rd Bessemer, AL 3.0 2.0 1427 $1,275 $0.89 45d 1 0.90mi
109 Oak Ave Bessemer, AL 3.0 1.0 1120 $1,200 $1.07 3d 1 0.97mi
208 Kentwood Ave Bessemer, AL 3.0 1.0 1177 $1,075 $0.91 44d 1 1.10mi
102 Wheeler Dr Bessemer, AL 3.0 1.5 1200 $1,175 $0.98 44d 1 1.19mi
119 Wheeler Dr Bessemer, AL 3.0 2.0 1215 $1,300 $1.07 11d 1 1.22mi
1565 Miles St Dolomite, AL 3.0 2.0 1120 $1,175 $1.05 16d 1 1.23mi
216 Meadowood Ave Bessemer, AL 3.0 1.0 1430 $1,250 $0.87 3d 1 1.27mi
309 Sunrise Blvd Bessemer, AL 2.0 1.0 1105 $1,160 $1.05 11d 1 1.34mi
425 Oakwood Ave Bessemer, AL 2.0–3.0 2.0 1082 $800 $0.74 2d 2 1.36mi

Listing history 23 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $139,000 Active 47 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    price $139,000 Active 46 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $159,900 Active 46 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $159,900 Active 45 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $159,900 Active 44 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $159,900 Active 42 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $159,900 Active 39 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $159,900 Active 38 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $159,900 Active 37 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $159,900 Active 36 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $159,900 Active 32 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $159,900 Active 31 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $159,900 Active 30 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $159,900 Active 29 DOM
  15. 2026-05-15
    price $159,900 782-char remark
    Show marketing remark (782 chars)

    This 3-bedroom, 2-bath full brick home is tucked away on a quiet dead-end street in Hueytown, just minutes from shopping and local eateries. Inside, you’ll find hardwood flooring flowing through the living and dining areas, creating a warm and inviting space for everyday living and entertaining. The home sits on a spacious lot and features a fenced-in area, perfect for pets or outdoor enjoyment, along with a convenient carport located just off the kitchen for easy access. Recent updates provide added value and peace of mind, including a new heat pump (2018), HEPA air filtration system (2019), and a fully replaced drain system. This home is ready for some TLC, blends comfort, functionality, and location—ready for its next owner to move in and make it their own.

  16. 2026-05-02
    listed $169,900 Active 782-char remark
    Show marketing remark (782 chars)

    This 3-bedroom, 2-bath full brick home is tucked away on a quiet dead-end street in Hueytown, just minutes from shopping and local eateries. Inside, you’ll find hardwood flooring flowing through the living and dining areas, creating a warm and inviting space for everyday living and entertaining. The home sits on a spacious lot and features a fenced-in area, perfect for pets or outdoor enjoyment, along with a convenient carport located just off the kitchen for easy access. Recent updates provide added value and peace of mind, including a new heat pump (2018), HEPA air filtration system (2019), and a fully replaced drain system. This home is ready for some TLC, blends comfort, functionality, and location—ready for its next owner to move in and make it their own.

  17. 2026-04-18
    historical $169,900 782-char remark
    Show marketing remark (782 chars)

    This 3-bedroom, 2-bath full brick home is tucked away on a quiet dead-end street in Hueytown, just minutes from shopping and local eateries. Inside, you’ll find hardwood flooring flowing through the living and dining areas, creating a warm and inviting space for everyday living and entertaining. The home sits on a spacious lot and features a fenced-in area, perfect for pets or outdoor enjoyment, along with a convenient carport located just off the kitchen for easy access. Recent updates provide added value and peace of mind, including a new heat pump (2018), HEPA air filtration system (2019), and a fully replaced drain system. This home is ready for some TLC, blends comfort, functionality, and location—ready for its next owner to move in and make it their own.

  18. 2025-08-22
    price $169,900
  19. 2020-06-25
    soldstatus $123,750
  20. 2020-06-19
    soldstatus $123,750 Sold
  21. 2020-05-16
    historical Contingent
  22. 2020-05-14
    listed $125,000 Active
  23. 1984-03-20
    soldstatus $49,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,071 · $89/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,071 · $89/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$15,297
− Mortgage interest
−$7,786
− Property taxes
−$1,071
− Insurance
−$695
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,224
− Management
−$1,224
− Depreciation
−$4,044
Taxable loss
−$746
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$179
After-tax cash flow
$1,751/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Jefferson County
NCES district ID
0101920
Math proficiency
9% ▼ -24.00%
Reading proficiency
32% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$51,712
Composite
18.4/100
National rank
#8937
State rank
#104 of 129 in AL

Livability — Hueytown

Score
57/100
State rank
#378
US rank
#21611

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Hueytown, AL
County
Jefferson County · 527,445 people
Metro
Birmingham-Hoover, AL
Population (ZIP)
25,533
Household income
$69,863
Rent vs Own
15.1% rent · 84.9% own
Severe rent burden
247.0

Population outlook (Jefferson County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
669,185 people
By 2030
669,694 · +0.1%
By 2040
661,388 · -1.2%
By 2050
643,086 · -3.9%
By 2075
577,267 · -13.7%
By 2100
474,758 · -29.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.56)
Race & ethnicity
White 58% Black 30% Hispanic / Latino 7% Two or more races 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 5%
Common ancestry
Slovak 1% Lithuanian 1% Serbian 1%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada
Languages at home
93% English-only · Spanish 7%

Political lean MEDSL · Jefferson

2024 margin
D (+10.4) · D 54.6% · R 44.2% · Other 1.2%
2008→2024 swing
+5.4pp toward D · 2008: 5.1pp · 2024: 10.4pp
All cycles
2024: D+10.4 2020: D+13.2 2016: D+7.2 2012: D+6.0 2008: D+5.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -0.60%
Current HPI
389.38
Rent YoY
▲ 1.60%
Metro
Birmingham-Hoover, AL
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.94%
F500 in state
4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+226.3% since first listed
9 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-15 Price Changed $159,900 Greater Alabama MLS
  • 2026-05-02 Listed $169,900 Greater Alabama MLS
  • 2026-04-18 Coming Soon $169,900 Greater Alabama MLS
  • 2025-08-22 Price Changed $169,900 Greater Alabama MLS
  • 2020-06-25 Sold (Public Records) $123,750 Public Records
  • 2020-06-19 Sold (MLS) $123,750 Greater Alabama MLS
  • 2020-05-16 Contingent Greater Alabama MLS
  • 2020-05-14 Listed $125,000 Greater Alabama MLS
  • 1984-03-20 Sold (Public Records) $49,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+17.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,071 · +20.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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