713 Old New Windsor Pike · Westminster, MD
Flood risk 4/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.24%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $755 – $1,403
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 102°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 9.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +25.7/30.0
- DSCR +8.6/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +6.8/10.0
- Schools +3.7/10.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.7/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$199,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Investor special - after rehab value in the $350K-375K range. Property has new electric panel, a new HVAC system, newer water heater. The property also includes an additional dwelling unit with a separate address (681 Old New Windsor). Property to be sold completely as-is. Buyer repsonsible for removal of all personal property in dwelling. Cash only
Key facts
- New electric panel
- Newer water heater
- New hvac system
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Detached front-entry garage with 2 spaces; Asphalt driveway
- Utilities: Well water; On-site septic; Electric-powered systems
- Home design: Detached property; Major rehab needed
- Construction: Frame construction with vinyl siding; Architectural shingle roof; Block foundation; Basement: full, unfinished, with waterproofing system; Building not winterized; Year built (source: assessor)
- Exterior features: Not in a federal flood zone; Guest house on the property; Above-grade and below-grade structures; Ground rent paid annually
Interior
- Kitchen: Refrigerator; Stainless steel appliances; Dishwasher
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms on the main level
- Flooring: Hardwood; Laminate plank
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms (1 on main level, 1 on lower level)
- Heating & cooling: Heat pump heating (electric); Central air conditioning; Ceiling fans; 200+ amp electric service
- Interior features: Ceiling fans; Eat-in kitchen; Drywall walls and ceilings; Stone fireplace (1)
- Laundry & utility: Electric hot water
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $200k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $480 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $200k).
- Cap rate 9.2% vs local median 2.5% in Westminster — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 70/100 on livability (#176 in MD) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools C-, amenities C-, commute F.
- Carroll County Public Schools (suburban): math 32% / reading 47% proficiency, ranked #2 of 24 in MD (top 8%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; only 16% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Market conditions: Rents flat; 210 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 156 units permitted in Carroll County in 2024 (12 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Carroll County population projected to shrink 7% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Negotiation context
- Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 2 sale attempts since 25y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $133k; list at $200k implies a 50% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1958 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1958 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.18% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.17%
- Cash-on-cash
- 10.28%
- DSCR
- 1.46
- GRM
- 7.1
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.67% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -3.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.87×
- Total profit
- $-7,197
- Equity at exit
- $29,806
- IRR
- 3.3%
- Equity multiple
- 1.22×
- Total profit
- $12,112
- Equity at exit
- $17,284
Cash invested: $55,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 27 Tenant-Leaning
- State Maryland
- 27 Tenant-Leaning · D+14
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 21157
- Rents YoY
- 0.7%
- Active inventory
- 210
- Price-to-rent
- 7.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,350 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,048
- Tax from tax record
- −$246 /mo · $2,947/yr
- Insurance
- −$83
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$494
- Net cashflow
- $480
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $49,975
- Closing costs
- $5,997
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 4 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 850 Medinah Cir Westminster, MD | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1650 | $2,400 | $1.45 | 4d | 1 | 0.09mi |
| 488 Lakes Ct Westminster, MD | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1472 | $2,900 | $1.97 | 43d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 519 Quarrier Ct Westminster, MD | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1208 | $2,100 | $1.74 | 17d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 663 Johahn Dr Westminster, MD | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1240 | $2,500 | $2.02 | 23d | 1 | 1.31mi |
Listing history 2 events
-
2026-06-19remarks 352-char remark
-
2026-06-19$199,900 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MD · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,947 · $246/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,947 · $246/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 24% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥102°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 9% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $28,205
- − Mortgage interest
- −$11,198
- − Property taxes
- −$2,947
- − Insurance
- −$1,000
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,256
- − Management
- −$2,256
- − Depreciation
- −$5,815
- Taxable income
- $2,733
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$656
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,100/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Carroll County Public Schools
- NCES district ID
- 2400210
- Math proficiency
- 32% ▼ -25.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 47% ▼ -16.00%
- Median HH income
- $84,594
- Composite
- 37.33/100
- National rank
- #4441
- State rank
- #2 of 24 in MD
Livability — Westminster
- Score
- 70/100
- State rank
- #176
- US rank
- #7864
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Carroll County · 100,325 people
- City population
- 61,067
- Metro
- Baltimore-Columbia-Towson, MD
- Population (ZIP)
- 38,984
- Household income
- $104,966
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 676.0
Population outlook (Carroll County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 169,677 people
- By 2030
- 169,605 · +-0.0%
- By 2040
- 166,205 · -2.0%
- By 2050
- 158,312 · -6.7%
- By 2075
- 143,013 · -15.7%
- By 2100
- 122,431 · -27.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (86%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 86% Hispanic / Latino 6% Two or more races 5% Black 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 3% Italian 1% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada, Dominican Republic
- Languages at home
- 93% English-only · Spanish 5% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Carroll
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+24.9) · D 36.2% · R 61.2% · Other 2.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +6.2pp toward D · 2008: -31.2pp · 2024: -24.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+24.9 2020: R+23.7 2016: R+36.9 2012: R+34.0 2008: R+31.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -317.99%
- Current HPI
- 267.996
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 0.67%
- Metro
- Baltimore-Columbia-Towson, MD
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.97%
- F500 in state
- 12
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MD)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Aerospace / Defense | 1 | $71B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $25B |
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| Hotels | 1 | $24B |
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| Consumer Goods | 1 | $7B |
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| Real Estate | 1 | $6B |
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| Chemicals | 1 | $2B |
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Price history
+185.6% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-18 Listed $199,900 BRIGHT MLS
- 2002-02-02 Delisted — MRIS
- 2001-11-12 Listed — MRIS
- 1992-05-18 Sold (Public Records) $133,000 Public Records
- 1983-09-19 Sold (Public Records) $70,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+1.1%/yrLatest (2025): $2,947 · +4.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…