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C+ Composite 61.3
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +27.4/30.0
  • DSCR +9.5/10.0
  • 1% rule +9.1/10.0
  • ARV discount +3.9/15.0
  • Rent growth +3.9/5.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.3/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$110,000

14961 Strathmoor St · Detroit, MI 48227
4 bd · 1.5 ba · 1,819 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 49 Days on market
Built 1929 4,792 sqft lot Est $102k · 8% over

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Beautiful polychrome brick tudor style duplex! Lower unit currently paying $900 but will be out prior to closing. Upper unit currently for rent and may have a screened and qualified tenant placed soon for $850. Each unit is 2 bedrooms and tenant is responsible for gas and electric. Building was previously renovated with lots of updates in the units, newer vinyl windows, newer roof, restored rear privacy fence. Buyer to pay 495 compliance to list office. Clear title with warranty deed and title insurance.

Key facts

  • 4,792 sq ft lot
  • Built 1929
  • Listed 49 days

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $110k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $320 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $110k).
  • Recommended offer: $107k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 73/100 on livability (#218 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
  • Detroit Public Schools Community District (urban): math 10% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #499 of 540 in MI (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 90% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.6%/yr); 385 active listings in the ZIP; 16 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 44% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $1,556/mo this rent would consume 51% of the median local household income ($37k/yr) (locally 2371% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $761 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 5.6% rent growth), your $31k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 49 days — a 3% lower offer ($107k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 5 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (8%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 3.1% of price; built in 1929 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $106,700 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 49 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1929 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.41%
Cap rate
9.78%
Cash-on-cash
12.47%
DSCR
1.55
GRM
5.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$101,864
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
14845 Freeland St 0.16mi 4/1.5 1,741 (-4%) 1mo $110,000 $63 85
15095 Strathmoor St 0.12mi 5/2.0 (+1) 1,922 (+6%) 2mo $176,000 $92 77
15330 Robson St 0.30mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,848 (+2%) 6mo $35,000 $19 74
15468 Robson St 0.43mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,950 (+7%) 4mo $195,000 $100 58
15766 Hartwell St 0.73mi 4/2.0 1,894 (+4%) 3mo $110,000 $58 55
14942 Robson St 0.23mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,572 (-14%) 6mo $77,000 $49 55
15110 Cruse St 0.29mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,560 (-14%) 4mo $75,000 $48 52
15501 Whitcomb St 0.59mi 4/1.5 1,609 (-12%) 1mo $90,000 $56 52
14500 Ardmore St 0.38mi 3/2.5 (-1) 1,596 (-12%) 5mo $120,000 $75 49
14689 Forrer St 0.73mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,627 (-11%) 3mo $65,000 $40 41
14124 Sussex St 0.73mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,646 (-10%) 3mo $70,000 $43 40
15530 Winthrop St 0.74mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,573 (-14%) 3mo $60,000 $38 33

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 5.59% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
5.5%
Equity multiple
1.22×
Total profit
$6,829
Equity at exit
$16,401
10-year hold
IRR
17.5%
Equity multiple
2.64×
Total profit
$50,651
Equity at exit
$9,511

Cash invested: $30,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 48227

Rents YoY
5.6%
Active inventory
385
Price-to-rent
5.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,556 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$577
Tax from tax record
$286 /mo · $3,435/yr
Insurance
$46
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$327
Net cashflow
$320

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,151
Max offer price $110,000
Occupancy floor 74%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$27,500
Closing costs
$3,300
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 16 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
14600 Strathmoor St Detroit, MI 4.0 1.0 1300 $1,450 $1.12 44d 1 0.21mi
14375 Terry St Detroit, MI 3.0 2.0 1300 $1,425 $1.10 44d 1 0.43mi
15762 Mark Twain St Detroit, MI 3.0 2.0 1430 $1,250 $0.87 17d 1 0.55mi
14104 Coyle St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1327 $1,350 $1.02 5d 1 0.70mi
16151 Robson St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1300 $1,525 $1.17 15d 1 0.79mi
14669 Rutherford St Detroit, MI 4.0 2.0 2359 $1,950 $0.83 44d 1 0.85mi
16505 Stansbury St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1700 $1,345 $0.79 44d 1 0.92mi
14504 Saint Marys St Detroit, MI 4.0 1.0 1362 $1,473 $1.08 44d 1 0.96mi
13279 Coyle St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1444 $1,373 $0.95 44d 1 1.01mi
14800 Woodmont Ave Detroit, MI 3.0 2.0 1612 $1,525 $0.95 15d 1 1.06mi
15866 Mansfield St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1324 $1,425 $1.08 24d 1 1.07mi
16230 Cheyenne St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1653 $1,450 $0.88 44d 1 1.08mi
12778 Strathmoor St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1597 $1,150 $0.72 5d 1 1.13mi
16837 Winthrop St Detroit, MI 5.0 2.0 1500 $2,000 $1.33 20d 1 1.27mi
15708 Birwood St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1255 $1,100 $0.88 5d 1 1.33mi
16210 Ferguson St Detroit, MI 4.0 2.0 1493 $1,750 $1.17 4d 1 1.34mi

Listing history 14 events

  1. 2026-04-24
    status Pending
  2. 2026-04-02
    price $110,000
  3. 2026-03-16
    status Active
  4. 2026-03-13
    historical $875
  5. 2026-03-10
    status Pending
  6. 2026-02-27
    listed $120,000 Active
  7. 2026-01-13
    price $875
  8. 2025-09-26
    listed $850
  9. 2025-08-29
    historical $850
  10. 2025-06-25
    price $850
  11. 2025-06-19
    listed $900
  12. 2025-05-24
    historical $900
  13. 2025-04-03
    listed $900
  14. 2024-07-15
    soldstatus $520,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$3,435 · $286/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,435 · $286/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$18,667
− Mortgage interest
−$6,162
− Property taxes
−$3,435
− Insurance
−$550
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,493
− Management
−$1,493
− Depreciation
−$3,200
Taxable income
$2,334
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$560
After-tax cash flow
$3,280/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Detroit Public Schools Community District
NCES district ID
2601103
Math proficiency
10% ▼ -2.00%
Reading proficiency
24% ▲ 6.00%
Median HH income
$25,815
Composite
13.06/100
National rank
#9564
State rank
#499 of 540 in MI

Livability — Detroit

Score
73/100
State rank
#218
US rank
#5427

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety B- User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Detroit, MI
County
Wayne County · 1,562,939 people
City population
572,865
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
Population (ZIP)
40,302
Household income
$36,527
Rent vs Own
40.9% rent · 59.1% own
Severe rent burden
2371.0

Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,675,273 people
By 2030
1,620,300 · -3.3%
By 2040
1,502,341 · -10.3%
By 2050
1,384,039 · -17.4%
By 2075
1,124,592 · -32.9%
By 2100
881,193 · -47.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (95%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 95% Two or more races 3% White 1%
Foreign-born
1%
Languages at home
98% English-only · Spanish 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Wayne

2024 margin
Strong D (+29.0) · D 62.7% · R 33.7% · Other 3.6%
2008→2024 swing
-20.5pp toward R · 2008: 49.5pp · 2024: 29.0pp
All cycles
2024: D+29.0 2020: D+38.1 2016: D+37.3 2012: D+46.9 2008: D+49.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -125.00%
Current HPI
186.4158
Rent YoY
▲ 5.59%
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-78.8% since first listed
14 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-24 Pending REALCOMP
  • 2026-04-02 Price Changed $110,000 REALCOMP
  • 2026-03-16 Relisted REALCOMP
  • 2026-03-13 Rental Removed $875 RENTLY
  • 2026-03-10 Pending REALCOMP
  • 2026-02-27 Listed $120,000 REALCOMP
  • 2026-01-13 Price Changed $875 RENTLY
  • 2025-09-26 Listed for Rent $850 RENTLY
  • 2025-08-29 Rental Removed $850 RENTLY
  • 2025-06-25 Price Changed $850 RENTLY
  • 2025-06-19 Listed for Rent $900 RENTLY
  • 2025-05-24 Rental Removed $900 RENTLY
  • 2025-04-03 Listed for Rent $900 RENTLY
  • 2024-07-15 Sold (Public Records) $520,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+0.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $3,435 · +33.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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