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229 Miller St Unit C9
C- Composite 53.58
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +23.9/30.0
  • 1% rule +9.8/10.0
  • DSCR +7.7/10.0
  • Condition / age +4.0/5.0
  • Schools +3.2/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • ARV discount +0.0/15.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$134,900

229 Miller St Unit C9 · Ludlow, MA 01056
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 850 sqft · Manufactured · 10 Days on market
Built 1972 Good condition 3,000 sqft lot Est $116k · 17% over $386/mo HOA · 19% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

MUST SEE: Beautiful, spacious and newly renovated 2-bedroom, 1 bathroom home. Located in sought-after Hillside Valley Mobile Home Park, an all age community. Large kitchen, tons of cabinets, butcherblock counters and brand new stainless steel appliances. Brand new furnace, freshly painted with brand new hardwood flooring throughout one-level living. Small pets welcomed. New mail center and upgraded homes throughout the park. Low Monthly (HOA) Fee only $386 / month includes: water, sewer, all taxes, plowing and trash removal. Convenient and easy access to major routes, shopping, dining and entertainment. Vacant, on lockbox, very easy to show and no appointment needed. Move in ready & s

Key facts

  • Hardwood flooring
  • Large kitchen
  • New mail center

Tags

LARGE KITCHENBUTCHERBLOCK COUNTERSBRAND NEW FURNACEHARDWOOD FLOORINGNEW MAIL CENTERUPGRADED HOMES

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Lot on a privately maintained paved road; Lot size approximately 0.07 acres; Located in Hillside Valley Mobile Home Park
  • HOA & community: Homeowners association membership required; Association fee of $386; Community features include public transportation, shopping, highway access, and public school access; Not a senior community

Exterior

  • Parking: Assigned paved parking; Exclusive open parking (2 spaces total)
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electric with circuit breakers and 100 Amp service; Gas connections available for range and oven
  • Home design: Mobile home; Entry level: First floor; Gray exterior color
  • Construction: Block foundation; Rubber roof; Year built: Unknown/Mixed (year source: owner)
  • Exterior features: Covered patio/deck; Covered porch; Garden; Screens

Interior

  • Kitchen: Range; Refrigerator; Freezer
  • Bedrooms: Primary bedroom on the first floor; Second bedroom on the first floor
  • Flooring: Vinyl flooring; Laminate flooring
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom on the first floor
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating; Forced air; Oil-fired heating
  • Interior features: Sun room; Insulated windows; Window screens; Total of 5 rooms
  • Laundry & utility: Washer hookup

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $135k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $262 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $135k).

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade C — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • Ludlow (suburban): math 30% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #228 of 302 in MA (top 76%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 38 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 453 units permitted in Hampden County in 2024 (116 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $933 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Hampden County population projected at +5% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.

Negotiation context

  • Only 10 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: moderate wind risk, 26% chance of damaging wind over 30y — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $134,900

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1972 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.48%
Cap rate
8.62%
Cash-on-cash
8.32%
DSCR
1.37
GRM
5.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$115,600
Comps found
11
Show comp detail 11 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
229 Miller St Unit 3 G 0.06mi 2/1.0 850 (0%) 3mo $116,000 $136 95
229 Miller St Unit B-2 0.06mi 2/1.0 850 (0%) 5mo $109,900 $129 93
229 Miller St Unit D-13 0.03mi 3/1.0 (+1) 868 (+2%) 9mo $115,000 $132 82
229 Miller Unit B-13 0.03mi 2/1.0 900 (+6%) 9mo $70,000 $78 81
229 Miller St Unit E-6 0.06mi 2/1.0 768 (-10%) 2mo $107,000 $139 79
229 Miller St Unit G1 0.05mi 2/1.5 800 (-6%) 9mo $120,000 $150 78
229 Miller St Unit C6 0.03mi 3/1.0 (+1) 800 (-6%) 10mo $117,500 $147 75
229 Miller St Unit F13 0.05mi 2/1.5 740 (-13%) 2mo $92,000 $124 72
229 Miller St Unit G-7 0.05mi 2/1.5 900 (+6%) 18mo $129,900 $144 70
229 Miller St Unit E4 0.06mi 3/1.0 (+1) 949 (+12%) 7mo $130,000 $137 67
229 Miller St Unit D-8 0.03mi 3/1.0 (+1) 930 (+9%) 15mo $115,000 $124 66

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-3.5%
Equity multiple
0.87×
Total profit
$-4,922
Equity at exit
$20,114
10-year hold
IRR
6.4%
Equity multiple
1.48×
Total profit
$18,266
Equity at exit
$11,664

Cash invested: $37,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
20 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State Massachusetts
20 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+15
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Cambridge / Boston historically rent-controlled (preempted 1994 but consideration ongoing); strong tenant protections; court backlogs.

ZIP-level market 01056

Home prices YoY
-31.1%
Active inventory
38
Price-to-rent
5.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,000 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$707
Tax est. 1.5%
$169 /mo · $2,024/yr
Insurance
$56
HOA
$386
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$420
Net cashflow
$262

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,669
Max offer price $134,900
Occupancy floor 82%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $355 -5% $308 +0% $262 +5% $215 +10% $169
Rent -10% $104 -5% $183 +0% $262 +5% $341 +10% $420
Rate -1.0pp $330 -0.5pp $296 base $262 +0.5pp $227 +1.0pp $191

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$33,725
Closing costs
$4,047
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
2597 Boston Rd Unit 1 Wilbraham, MA 1.0 1.0 720 $2,000 $2.78 20d 1 1.35mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$386 · $4,632/yr
Likely covers
watersewertrash

Listing history 9 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $134,900 Active 10 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $134,900 Active 9 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $134,900 Active 8 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    statusdays on market $134,900 Active 7 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $134,900 Price Changed 5 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    pricestatusdays on market $134,900 Price Changed 4 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $124,900 New 2 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    remarks 695-char remark
  9. 2026-06-09
    listed $124,900 New 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 5/10 Major 26% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$24,000
− Mortgage interest
−$7,556
− Property taxes
−$2,024
− Insurance
−$674
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,920
− Management
−$1,920
− HOA
−$4,632
− Depreciation
−$3,924
Taxable income
$1,349
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$324
After-tax cash flow
$2,817/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos

Good 80/100 Cosmetic rehab

This move-in ready manufactured home in Hillside Valley Mobile Home Park is in excellent condition with new appliances, flooring, and a fresh paint job. It's a great investment opportunity with high rental potential.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Painting exterior — Enhances curb appeal and value
  • Both Landscaping — Improves curb appeal and rental value
  • Both Add a small front porch — Enhances curb appeal and rental value

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both Painting exterior — Enhances curb appeal and value
  • Both Landscaping — Improves curb appeal and rental value
  • Both Add a small front porch — Enhances curb appeal and rental value

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Ludlow
NCES district ID
2507050
Math proficiency
30% ▼ -16.00%
Reading proficiency
40% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$62,637
Composite
31.52/100
National rank
#5965
State rank
#228 of 302 in MA

Livability — Ludlow

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
20,846

Population outlook (Hampden County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
485,646 people
By 2030
491,517 · +1.2%
By 2040
500,539 · +3.1%
By 2050
508,827 · +4.8%
By 2075
539,167 · +11.0%
By 2100
545,698 · +12.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (85%)
Race & ethnicity
White 85% Hispanic / Latino 10% Two or more races 7% Black 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Puerto Rican 7%
Common ancestry
Russian 23% Romanian 14% Lithuanian 12%
Foreign-born
16% · Canada
Languages at home
73% English-only · Other Indo-European 15% Spanish 6% Other Asian/Pacific 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Hampden

2024 margin
Lean D (+8.9) · D 53.4% · R 44.5% · Other 2.1%
2008→2024 swing
-16.4pp toward R · 2008: 25.3pp · 2024: 8.9pp
All cycles
2024: D+8.9 2020: D+17.7 2016: D+16.0 2012: D+25.4 2008: D+25.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -121.64%
Current HPI
269.7061
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.28%
F500 in state
38

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-06-08 Listed $124,900 MLS PIN

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…