Duplex
829 W Princess St · York, PA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 103°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 10.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +8.3/10.0
- ARV discount +7.4/15.0
- Rent growth +4.1/5.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +0.8/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$179,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed
Listing remarks MLS
Nice 2 unit. . Great for Investor or live in one unit and rent the other. .. Both units are rented. Separate electric and heat. New main roof July of 2012. Come take a look. .
Key facts
- 2,178 sq ft lot
- Built 1900
- Listed 43 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2 × 2-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $180k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $686 ($8k/yr) — positive. Per door: $343/mo.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $180k).
- Recommended offer: $175k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 10.9% vs local median 5.0% in York — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 75/100 on livability (#427 in PA, #3,987 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, housing A; Watch: amenities D+, crime F, employment F.
- York City SD (urban): math 4% / reading 16% proficiency, ranked #534 of 539 in PA (top 99%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 72% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.4%/yr); 63 active listings in the ZIP; 16 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 50% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 1,328 units permitted in York County in 2024 (338 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $2,398/mo this rent would consume 67% of the median local household income ($43k/yr) (locally 1360% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 6.4% rent growth), your $50k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 43 days — a 3% lower offer ($175k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 13y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $115k; list at $180k implies a 56% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 43 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.33% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.87%
- Cash-on-cash
- 16.33%
- DSCR
- 1.73
- GRM
- 6.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $179,376
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 829 W Princess St | 0.00mi | 3/— (-1) | 1,776 (0%) | 1mo | $165,000 | $93 | 94 |
| 1010 W Princess St | 0.14mi | 4/2.0 | 1,840 (+4%) | 3mo | $185,000 | $101 | 84 |
| 830 W Locust St | 0.08mi | 4/— | 1,784 (+0%) | 14mo | $150,000 | $84 | 84 |
| 828 W Locust St | 0.08mi | 4/— | 1,784 (+0%) | 14mo | $166,000 | $93 | 84 |
| 948 W Princess St | 0.10mi | 4/— | 2,004 (+13%) | 4mo | $160,000 | $80 | 70 |
| 766 W Philadelphia St | 0.29mi | 4/2.0 | 1,908 (+7%) | 5mo | $246,000 | $129 | 70 |
| 828 W Princess St | 0.02mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 2,013 (+13%) | 4mo | $175,000 | $87 | 68 |
| 831 Linden Ave | 0.38mi | 4/— | 1,908 (+7%) | 4mo | $170,000 | $89 | 67 |
| 1294 W Princess St | 0.49mi | 4/2.0 | 1,728 (-3%) | 12mo | $185,000 | $107 | 63 |
| 550 W Philadelphia St | 0.45mi | 3/— (-1) | 1,568 (-12%) | 4mo | $170,000 | $108 | 51 |
| 729 W Philadelphia St | 0.33mi | 3/3.0 (-1) | 1,992 (+12%) | 9mo | $220,000 | $110 | 48 |
| 563 Pennsylvania Ave | 0.69mi | 4/— | 1,960 (+10%) | 9mo | $210,000 | $107 | 43 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 6.37% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 11.1%
- Equity multiple
- 1.46×
- Total profit
- $22,933
- Equity at exit
- $26,824
- IRR
- 22.6%
- Equity multiple
- 3.25×
- Total profit
- $113,224
- Equity at exit
- $15,554
Cash invested: $50,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 17401
- Home prices YoY
- -16.5%
- Rents YoY
- 6.4%
- Active inventory
- 63
- Price-to-rent
- 12.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,398 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$943
- Tax from tax record
- −$190 /mo · $2,286/yr
- Insurance
- −$75
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$504
- Net cashflow
- $686
Break-even live
2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2× units | 2 | 1 | $2,398 |
| #1 | 2 | 1 | $1,199 |
| #2 | 2 | 1 | $1,199 |
| Total (2 units) | $2,398 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $44,975
- Closing costs
- $5,397
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 16 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 709 W Princess St York, PA | 5.0 | 1.0 | 1829 | $1,425 | $0.78 | 43d | 1 | 0.10mi |
| 121 S Belvidere Ave Unit 121 York, PA | 5.0 | 1.5 | 1846 | $1,450 | $0.79 | 43d | 1 | 0.13mi |
| 925 W College Ave York, PA | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1660 | $1,425 | $0.86 | 13d | 1 | 0.15mi |
| 702 W Philadelphia St Unit 2 York, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 2154 | $1,375 | $0.64 | 43d | 1 | 0.29mi |
| 645 W Philadelphia St Unit 2ND FLOOR York, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 2124 | $1,100 | $0.52 | 43d | 1 | 0.33mi |
| 132 N West St York, PA | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1560 | $1,600 | $1.03 | 13d | 1 | 0.41mi |
| 588 Company St York, PA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1416 | $1,475 | $1.04 | 43d | 1 | 0.44mi |
| 231 Roosevelt Ave York, PA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1584 | $1,750 | $1.10 | 13d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 537 W Jackson St York, PA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1795 | $1,795 | $1.00 | 13d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 330 Smyser St York, PA | 5.0 | 1.0 | 1634 | $1,425 | $0.87 | 43d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 289 Union St York, PA | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1450 | $1,600 | $1.10 | 43d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 213 Kurtz Ave York, PA | 5.0 | 1.0 | 1921 | $1,850 | $0.96 | 13d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 428 Smith St York, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1522 | $1,350 | $0.89 | 13d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 119 W Jackson St York, PA | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1800 | $1,395 | $0.78 | 43d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 514 S Duke St York, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1289 | $1,625 | $1.26 | 21d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 626 S Queen St York, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1526 | $1,225 | $0.80 | 21d | 1 | 1.43mi |
Listing history 13 events
-
2026-04-26status Pending
-
2026-03-13$179,900 Active
-
2024-01-25historical $845
-
2023-12-21price $845
-
2023-12-14$895
-
2023-06-01soldstatus $115,000
-
2022-09-15soldstatus $86,500
-
2017-01-18historical
-
2016-01-18$64,900
-
2014-03-14soldstatus $41,000 175-char remark
Show marketing remark (175 chars)
Nice 2 unit. . Great for Investor or live in one unit and rent the other. .. Both units are rented. Separate electric and heat. New main roof July of 2012. Come take a look. .
-
2013-10-11$43,900 175-char remark
Show marketing remark (175 chars)
Nice 2 unit. . Great for Investor or live in one unit and rent the other. .. Both units are rented. Separate electric and heat. New main roof July of 2012. Come take a look. .
-
2006-11-06soldstatus $92,000
-
1999-08-04soldstatus $78,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,286 · $190/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,564 · $214/mo
- Expected delta
- +$278/yr (+$23/mo · 12.2%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 10% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $28,776
- − Mortgage interest
- −$10,077
- − Property taxes
- −$2,286
- − Insurance
- −$900
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,302
- − Management
- −$2,302
- − Depreciation
- −$5,233
- Taxable income
- $5,676
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,362
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,865/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- York City SD
- NCES district ID
- 4226820
- Math proficiency
- 4% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 16% ▼ -9.00%
- Median HH income
- $29,470
- Composite
- 7.61/100
- National rank
- #9943
- State rank
- #534 of 539 in PA
Livability — York
- Score
- 75/100
- State rank
- #427
- US rank
- #3987
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- York, PA
- County
- York County · 278,806 people
- City population
- 184,764
- Metro
- York-Hanover, PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 18,570
- Household income
- $42,826
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1360.0
Population outlook (York County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 454,205 people
- By 2030
- 457,407 · +0.7%
- By 2040
- 457,529 · +0.7%
- By 2050
- 448,261 · -1.3%
- By 2075
- 427,388 · -5.9%
- By 2100
- 384,218 · -15.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.69)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 39% White 31% Black 24% Two or more races 15%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 5% Puerto Rican 22% Dominican 10%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 2% Hispanic 1% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 14% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 72% English-only · Spanish 25% French/Haitian/Cajun 2%
Political lean MEDSL · York
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+25.3) · D 36.9% · R 62.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -11.7pp toward R · 2008: -13.6pp · 2024: -25.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+25.3 2020: R+24.6 2016: R+29.3 2012: R+21.2 2008: R+13.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -63.82%
- Current HPI
- 323.5537
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 6.37%
- Metro
- York-Hanover, PA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
|
||
| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
|
||
| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
|
||
| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
|
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Price history
+130.6% since first listed13 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-26 Pending — BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-03-13 Listed $179,900 BRIGHT MLS
- 2024-01-25 Rental Removed $845 BRIGHTMLS
- 2023-12-21 Price Changed $845 BRIGHTMLS
- 2023-12-14 Listed for Rent $895 BRIGHTMLS
- 2023-06-01 Sold (Public Records) $115,000 Public Records
- 2022-09-15 Sold (Public Records) $86,500 Public Records
- 2017-01-18 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2016-01-18 Listed $64,900 BRIGHT MLS
- 2014-03-14 Sold (MLS) $41,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2013-10-11 Listed $43,900 BRIGHT MLS
- 2006-11-06 Sold (Public Records) $92,000 Public Records
- 1999-08-04 Sold (Public Records) $78,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+0.7%/yrLatest (2025): $2,286 · +0.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…