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14961 Perry Ave
B Composite 74.54
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.9/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +0.7/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$75,000

14961 Perry Ave · South Holland, IL 60473
4 bd · 1.0 ba · 780 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 37 Days on market
Built 1926 6,650 sqft lot Est $96k · 22% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Investor special or perfect opportunity to make it your own! This 4-bedroom, 1-bath home offers great potential for a buyer with vision. Whether you are looking to renovate and customize your next home or add another property to your investment portfolio, this fixer-upper gives you the chance to create value your way. Property needs work and is being sold as-is. Bring your ideas and make this one yours!

Key facts

  • 6,650 sq ft lot
  • 2 garage spots
  • Built 1926

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: No master association fee required

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached garage with 2 garage spaces (2 total parking spaces)
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Detached single-family home; 2-story layout; Fee simple ownership; Built over 90 years ago; Frame construction
  • Construction: Frame construction; Built before 1978
  • Exterior features: Lot dimensions approximately 50 x 133; Less than 0.25 acre lot

Interior

  • Kitchen: Kitchen on the main level
  • Bedrooms: 4 bedrooms (all on the main level); Master bedroom on the main level
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Interior features: 7 total rooms; Full, unfinished basement; Enclosed porch
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry room

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $75k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $769 ($9k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $75k).
  • Recommended offer: $73k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 18.6% vs local median 8.4% in South Holland — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 77/100 on livability (#167 in IL, #3,071 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, cost of living A; Watch: crime C-, amenities C-, schools D+.
  • Thornton Twp Hsd 205 (suburban): math 7% / reading 8% proficiency, ranked #594 of 620 in IL (top 96%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Market conditions: 135 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 6,272 units permitted in Cook County in 2024 (4,658 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $519 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $21k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 37 days — a 3% lower offer ($73k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • Current owner paid $60k; 25% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1926 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $72,750 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 37 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1926 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.20%
Cap rate
18.60%
Cash-on-cash
43.94%
DSCR
2.96
GRM
3.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$95,940
Comps found
5
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
296 E 149th St 0.51mi 3/1.0 (-1) 772 (-1%) 4mo $93,000 $120 66
14924 Oakdale Ave 0.30mi 3/1.0 (-1) 768 (-2%) 17mo $143,000 $186 64
282 E 149th St 0.55mi 3/1.0 (-1) 813 (+4%) 13mo $100,000 $123 51
805 E 153 St 0.44mi 3/2.0 (-1) 823 (+6%) 20mo $229,900 $279 45
15526 Vincennes Rd 0.73mi 3/1.0 (-1) 720 (-8%) 21mo $43,000 $60 30

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
40.9%
Equity multiple
2.75×
Total profit
$36,855
Equity at exit
$11,183
10-year hold
IRR
47.2%
Equity multiple
5.54×
Total profit
$95,295
Equity at exit
$6,485

Cash invested: $21,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
State Illinois
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Chicago RTLO is among the strongest tenant ordinances in the Midwest; downstate is more landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 60473

Active inventory
135
Price-to-rent
3.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,650 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$393
Tax from tax record
$110 /mo · $1,320/yr
Insurance
$31
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$346
Net cashflow
$769

Break-even live

Break-even rent $677
Max offer price $75,000
Occupancy floor 48%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$18,750
Closing costs
$2,250
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
16048 Halsted St Unit 2 Harvey, IL 3.0 1.0 1091 $1,650 $1.51 24d 1 1.41mi

Listing history 15 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $75,000 Active 37 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $75,000 Active 36 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $75,000 Active 35 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $75,000 Active 34 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $75,000 Active 32 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $75,000 Active 31 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $75,000 Active 28 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $75,000 Active 27 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $75,000 Active 26 DOM
  10. 2026-06-04
    days on market $75,000 Active 23 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $75,000 Active 22 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $75,000 Active 21 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $75,000 Active 20 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $75,000 Active 19 DOM
  15. 1993-03-19
    soldstatus $60,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,320 · $110/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,511 · $126/mo
Expected delta
+$191/yr (+$16/mo · 14.5%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$19,800
− Mortgage interest
−$4,201
− Property taxes
−$1,320
− Insurance
−$375
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,584
− Management
−$1,584
− Depreciation
−$2,182
Taxable income
$8,554
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,053
After-tax cash flow
$7,174/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Thornton Twp Hsd 205
NCES district ID
1738970
Math proficiency
7% ▬ 0.00%
Reading proficiency
8% ▼ -2.00%
Median HH income
$43,392
Composite
6.92/100
National rank
#9976
State rank
#594 of 620 in IL

Livability — South Holland

Score
77/100
State rank
#167
US rank
#3071

Category grades

Amenities C- Commute A+ Cost of living A Crime C- Employment B+ Housing A+ Health & safety C+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
South Holland, IL
City population
21,407
Population (ZIP)
21,407

Population outlook (Cook County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
5,347,519 people
By 2030
5,357,703 · +0.2%
By 2040
5,324,924 · -0.4%
By 2050
5,230,762 · -2.2%
By 2075
4,785,735 · -10.5%
By 2100
4,188,836 · -21.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (75%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 75% White 10% Hispanic / Latino 10% Two or more races 3% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 9% Puerto Rican 1%
Common ancestry
Iranian 3% Romanian 2%
Foreign-born
6% · Canada, China
Languages at home
87% English-only · Spanish 8% Other Asian/Pacific 1% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Cook

2024 margin
Solid D (+42.0) · D 70.4% · R 28.4% · Other 1.2%
2008→2024 swing
-11.4pp toward R · 2008: 53.4pp · 2024: 42.0pp
All cycles
2024: D+42.0 2020: D+50.3 2016: D+53.0 2012: D+49.4 2008: D+53.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -114.36%
Current HPI
201.2479
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.59%
F500 in state
60

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 1993-03-19 Sold (Public Records) $60,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+1.1%/yr

Latest (2023): $1,320 · +274.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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