994 Sunbury Rd · Columbus, OH
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $713 – $1,323
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 99°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +13.0/30.0
- ARV discount +9.5/15.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- DSCR +3.9/10.0
- 1% rule +3.6/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.3/5.0
- Schools +1.7/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$174,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
3 bd, 1 bath ranch style home off of Sunbury Road in St. Mary's Park. This home offers a spacious backyard, 1 carport and extended driveway.
Key facts
- Access to parks
- Nice-sized lot
- Single-level living
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Carport with one space
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-family residence; One story; Built in 1955; No shared/common walls
- Construction: Built in 1955; Poured foundation
- Exterior features: Poured foundation; Lot about 0.35 acre
Interior
- Bedrooms: Three main-level bedrooms
- Flooring: Wood flooring; Ceramic/porcelain flooring
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central air conditioning; Forced air heating
- Interior features: Fireplace (one); Living area approximately 1,170
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $175k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-11 ($-130/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $173k (1.1% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $150k (14.5% below list).
- Recommended offer: $150k (14.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.2% vs local median 3.8% in Columbus — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 81/100 on livability (#97 in OH, #1,491 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, crime F.
- Columbus City School District (urban): math 15% / reading 26% proficiency, ranked #626 of 656 in OH (top 95%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 72% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.8%/yr); 103 active listings in the ZIP; 27 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 8,139 units permitted in Franklin County in 2024 (5,940 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 34% of the median local income ($52k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Franklin County population projected at +34% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 54 days — a 3% lower offer ($170k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 6 sale attempts since 28y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1955 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 54 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 14% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1955 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.86% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.22%
- Cash-on-cash
- -0.27%
- DSCR
- 0.99
- GRM
- 9.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $183,097
- List price
- $174,900
- Delta
- -4.48%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 984 Sunbury Rd | 0.02mi | 3/1.0 | 1,170 (0%) | 2mo | $230,000 | $197 | 98 |
| 2324 Ridgeway Ave | 0.14mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,092 (-7%) | 3mo | $100,000 | $92 | 75 |
| 2599 E 5th Ave | 0.54mi | 3/1.0 | 1,192 (+2%) | 4mo | $85,100 | $71 | 68 |
| 545 N Columbia Ave | 0.61mi | 3/1.0 | 1,122 (-4%) | 1mo | $385,000 | $343 | 64 |
| 2122 Margaret Ave | 0.32mi | 3/1.5 | 1,006 (-14%) | 7mo | $165,000 | $164 | 54 |
| 1331 Woodnell Ave | 0.61mi | 3/1.0 | 1,293 (+10%) | 2mo | $196,000 | $152 | 53 |
| 2363 Holt Ave | 0.75mi | 3/2.0 | 1,137 (-3%) | 6mo | $179,900 | $158 | 52 |
| 782 Northview Ave | 0.55mi | 3/1.0 | 1,303 (+11%) | 5mo | $170,000 | $130 | 51 |
| 696 Northview Ave | 0.60mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,076 (-8%) | 3mo | $83,000 | $77 | 51 |
| 538 Stanbery Ave | 0.75mi | 3/1.0 | 1,088 (-7%) | 5mo | $287,900 | $265 | 49 |
| 1961 Dartmouth Ave | 0.55mi | 3/1.5 | 1,312 (+12%) | 4mo | $199,000 | $152 | 49 |
| 1367 Brookcliff Ave | 0.66mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,275 (+9%) | 6mo | $199,000 | $156 | 40 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -20.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.32×
- Total profit
- $-33,401
- Equity at exit
- $26,078
- IRR
- -21.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.04×
- Total profit
- $-46,860
- Equity at exit
- $15,122
Cash invested: $48,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 73 Landlord-Friendly
- State Ohio
- 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 43219
- Rents YoY
- -0.8%
- Active inventory
- 103
- Price-to-rent
- 9.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,496 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$917
- Tax from tax record
- −$202 /mo · $2,427/yr
- Insurance
- −$73
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$314
- Net cashflow
- $-11
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $43,725
- Closing costs
- $5,247
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 27 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1310 Woodnell Ave Columbus, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 925 | $1,300 | $1.41 | 44d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 693 N Dawson Ave Columbus, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1233 | $1,295 | $1.05 | 23d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 2841 E 10th Ave Columbus, OH | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1200 | $1,650 | $1.38 | 44d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 2864 E 10th Ave Columbus, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,649 | $1.37 | 2d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 509 N Cassady Ave Columbus, OH | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1000 | $1,499 | $1.50 | 44d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 1590 Vendome Dr S Columbus, OH | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1303 | $1,600 | $1.23 | 21d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 1590 Vendome Dr S Columbus, OH | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1303 | $1,600 | $1.23 | 23d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 2688 Bellwood Ave Columbus, OH | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1495 | $2,295 | $1.54 | 23d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 2504 Vendome Dr Columbus, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1072 | $1,600 | $1.49 | 14d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 2999 E 11th Ave Columbus, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 980 | $945 | $0.96 | 14d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 2999 E 11th Ave Columbus, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 980 | $925 | $0.94 | 7d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 918 Rarig Ave Unit A Columbus, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 826 | $1,000 | $1.21 | 7d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 3017 E 6th Ave Columbus, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 984 | $1,300 | $1.32 | 44d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 439 Eldridge Ave Unit 439 Columbus, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 946 | $1,200 | $1.27 | 23d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 2845 Austin Manor Blvd Columbus, OH | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 819 | $1,420 | $1.73 | 23d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 476 Taylor Ave Columbus, OH | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 699 | $1,695 | $2.42 | 3d | 8 | 1.20mi |
| 378 N Roosevelt Ave Apt 2 Columbus, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1008 | $995 | $0.99 | 44d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 1867 Alvason Ave Columbus, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 999 | $1,400 | $1.40 | 44d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 1608 Greenway Ave Columbus, OH | 2.0 | 2.0 | 900 | $1,299 | $1.44 | 16d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 1608 Greenway Ave Columbus, OH | 2.0 | 2.0 | 900 | $1,899 | $2.11 | 17d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 1879 Jermain Dr Columbus, OH | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1077 | $1,800 | $1.67 | 44d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 3210 E 12th Ave Columbus, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,300 | $1.44 | 44d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 2623 Bloom Dr Columbus, OH | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1356 | $1,950 | $1.44 | 21d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 3058 Allegheny Ave Columbus, OH | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 781 | $1,350 | $1.73 | 3d | 7 | 1.34mi |
| 1803 Canopy Ln Columbus, OH | 2.0 | 2.0 | 980 | $1,650 | $1.68 | 21d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 1614 Clifton Ave Unit 1620 Columbus, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 875 | $1,349 | $1.54 | 23d | 1 | 1.44mi |
| 2990 Maryland Ave Columbus, OH | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0 | 714 | $1,365 | $1.91 | 2d | 29 | 1.46mi |
Listing history 34 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $174,900 Active 54 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $174,900 Active 53 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $174,900 Active 52 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $174,900 Active 51 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $174,900 Active 49 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $174,900 Active 48 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $174,900 Active 45 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $174,900 Active 44 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $174,900 Active 43 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $174,900 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $174,900 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $174,900 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $174,900 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $174,900 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-05-18status Active 354-char remark
-
2026-05-17status Pending 354-char remark
-
2026-04-24$174,900 Active 354-char remark
-
2024-09-10soldstatus $12,041,000
-
2021-04-05soldstatus $92,100
-
2021-02-22soldstatus $92,050 Closed 140-char remark
Show marketing remark (140 chars)
3 bd, 1 bath ranch style home off of Sunbury Road in St. Mary's Park. This home offers a spacious backyard, 1 carport and extended driveway.
-
2021-02-11status Pending 140-char remark
Show marketing remark (140 chars)
3 bd, 1 bath ranch style home off of Sunbury Road in St. Mary's Park. This home offers a spacious backyard, 1 carport and extended driveway.
-
2021-02-03status Active 140-char remark
Show marketing remark (140 chars)
3 bd, 1 bath ranch style home off of Sunbury Road in St. Mary's Park. This home offers a spacious backyard, 1 carport and extended driveway.
-
2021-01-08historical Contingent Finance and Inspection 140-char remark
Show marketing remark (140 chars)
3 bd, 1 bath ranch style home off of Sunbury Road in St. Mary's Park. This home offers a spacious backyard, 1 carport and extended driveway.
-
2020-12-30price $115,000 140-char remark
Show marketing remark (140 chars)
3 bd, 1 bath ranch style home off of Sunbury Road in St. Mary's Park. This home offers a spacious backyard, 1 carport and extended driveway.
-
2020-12-30status Active 140-char remark
Show marketing remark (140 chars)
3 bd, 1 bath ranch style home off of Sunbury Road in St. Mary's Park. This home offers a spacious backyard, 1 carport and extended driveway.
-
2020-10-28historical Contingent Finance and Inspection 140-char remark
Show marketing remark (140 chars)
3 bd, 1 bath ranch style home off of Sunbury Road in St. Mary's Park. This home offers a spacious backyard, 1 carport and extended driveway.
-
2020-10-24price $125,000 140-char remark
Show marketing remark (140 chars)
3 bd, 1 bath ranch style home off of Sunbury Road in St. Mary's Park. This home offers a spacious backyard, 1 carport and extended driveway.
-
2020-10-21price $135,000 140-char remark
Show marketing remark (140 chars)
3 bd, 1 bath ranch style home off of Sunbury Road in St. Mary's Park. This home offers a spacious backyard, 1 carport and extended driveway.
-
2020-10-19price $139,900 140-char remark
Show marketing remark (140 chars)
3 bd, 1 bath ranch style home off of Sunbury Road in St. Mary's Park. This home offers a spacious backyard, 1 carport and extended driveway.
-
2020-10-15$145,000 Active 140-char remark
Show marketing remark (140 chars)
3 bd, 1 bath ranch style home off of Sunbury Road in St. Mary's Park. This home offers a spacious backyard, 1 carport and extended driveway.
-
1998-12-29historical
-
1998-07-03$111,111
-
1987-08-05soldstatus $47,900
-
1986-06-27soldstatus $25,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,427 · $202/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,578 · $215/mo
- Expected delta
- +$151/yr (+$13/mo · 6.2%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $17,947
- − Mortgage interest
- −$9,797
- − Property taxes
- −$2,427
- − Insurance
- −$874
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,436
- − Management
- −$1,436
- − Depreciation
- −$5,088
- Taxable loss
- −$3,111
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$747
- After-tax cash flow
- $617/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Columbus City School District
- NCES district ID
- 3904380
- Math proficiency
- 15% ▼ -17.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 26% ▼ -12.00%
- Median HH income
- $38,483
- Composite
- 17.19/100
- National rank
- #9105
- State rank
- #626 of 656 in OH
Livability — Columbus
- Score
- 81/100
- State rank
- #97
- US rank
- #1491
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Columbus, OH
- County
- Franklin County · 1,351,780 people
- City population
- 612,189
- Metro
- Columbus, OH
- Population (ZIP)
- 32,338
- Household income
- $52,094
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2016.0
Population outlook (Franklin County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,456,139 people
- By 2030
- 1,556,890 · +6.9%
- By 2040
- 1,757,349 · +20.7%
- By 2050
- 1,950,539 · +34.0%
- By 2075
- 2,376,171 · +63.2%
- By 2100
- 2,636,796 · +81.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority Black (65%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 65% White 17% Hispanic / Latino 10% Two or more races 7% Asian 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 6%
- Common ancestry
- Swedish 1% Lithuanian 1% Swiss 1%
- Foreign-born
- 20% · Canada, India, China
- Languages at home
- 76% English-only · Spanish 7% Other Indo-European 3% Chinese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Franklin
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+28.4) · D 63.7% · R 35.3% · Other 1.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +7.7pp toward D · 2008: 20.7pp · 2024: 28.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+28.4 2020: D+31.4 2016: D+25.9 2012: D+21.7 2008: D+20.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -137.02%
- Current HPI
- 172.3872
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -0.84%
- Metro
- Columbus, OH
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.98%
- F500 in state
- 48
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 3 | $145B |
|
||
| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $49B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 3 | $24B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 2 | $93B |
|
||
| Aerospace / Defense | 2 | $47B |
|
||
| Utilities | 2 | $33B |
|
||
Price history
+585.9% since first listed20 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-18 Relisted — CBRMLS
- 2026-05-17 Pending — CBRMLS
- 2026-04-24 Listed $174,900 CBRMLS
- 2024-09-10 Sold (Public Records) $12,041,000 Public Records
- 2021-04-05 Sold (Public Records) $92,100 Public Records
- 2021-02-22 Sold (MLS) $92,050 CBRMLS
- 2021-02-11 Pending — CBRMLS
- 2021-02-03 Relisted — CBRMLS
- 2021-01-08 Contingent — CBRMLS
- 2020-12-30 Price Changed $115,000 CBRMLS
- 2020-12-30 Relisted — CBRMLS
- 2020-10-28 Contingent — CBRMLS
- 2020-10-24 Price Changed $125,000 CBRMLS
- 2020-10-21 Price Changed $135,000 CBRMLS
- 2020-10-19 Price Changed $139,900 CBRMLS
- 2020-10-15 Listed $145,000 CBRMLS
- 1998-12-29 Listing Removed — CBRMLS
- 1998-07-03 Listed $111,111 CBRMLS
- 1987-08-05 Sold (Public Records) $47,900 Public Records
- 1986-06-27 Sold (Public Records) $25,500 Public Records
Property tax history
+12.6%/yrLatest (2024): $2,427 · +1.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…