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14143 Delta Dr
C+ Composite 63.2
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +23.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +7.4/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.7/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.9/5.0
  • Livability +3.9/5.0
  • Schools +2.9/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$165,000

14143 Delta Dr · Tuscaloosa, AL 35405
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,708 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 101 Days on market
Built 1986 0.41 ac lot $97/sqft · 41% below area Est $279k · 41% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Welcome to 14143 Delta Drive, a one level 3 bedroom, 2 bath home situated on a flat lot just off McPherson Landing Road! This property features an open kitchen with stainless steel appliances, tile backsplash, and warm wood cabinetry, flowing seamlessly into the open living areas. Two living spaces, including a spacious open den with a fireplace and elevated dining area, provide flexibility for everyday living and entertaining. Outside, enjoy a large yard with plenty of room for entertainment or activities! Call today to schedule your showing!

Key facts

  • Two living spaces
  • Spacious open den
  • Warm wood cabinetry

Tags

OPEN KITCHENSTAINLESS STEEL APPLIANCESTILE BACKSPLASHWARM WOOD CABINETRYTWO LIVING SPACESSPACIOUS OPEN DEN

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $165k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $294 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $160k (3.3% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $150k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 8.4% vs local median 3.4% in Tuscaloosa — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 77/100 on livability (#9 in AL, #2,909 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, health & safety A+, cost of living A; Watch: crime F, employment D-.
  • Tuscaloosa County (suburban): math 21% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #47 of 129 in AL (top 36%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.4%/yr); 457 active listings in the ZIP; 7 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 43% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 622 units permitted in Tuscaloosa County in 2024 (69 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 31% of the median local income ($62k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Tuscaloosa County population projected at +26% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 5.4% rent growth), your $46k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 101 days — a 9% lower offer ($150k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 8y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 59% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $150,150 (9.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 101 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.97%
Cap rate
8.43%
Cash-on-cash
7.64%
DSCR
1.34
GRM
8.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$279,422
List price
$165,000
Delta
-40.95%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
14148 River Point Cir Cir 0.32mi 3/2.0 1,771 (+4%) 1mo $289,900 $164 74
14675 Griffin St 0.27mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,685 (-1%) 3mo $251,500 $149 74
14149 Delta Dr 0.02mi 3/2.0 1,932 (+13%) 9mo $147,000 $76 66
11679 River Point Way 0.33mi 3/2.0 1,826 (+7%) 9mo $335,000 $183 62
14439 Griffin St 0.27mi 4/3.0 (+1) 1,847 (+8%) 7mo $280,000 $152 55
14390 Gentry Drive Dr 0.69mi 3/2.0 1,623 (-5%) 5mo $248,000 $153 51
11518 Andrew Way 0.31mi 4/3.0 (+1) 1,751 (+2%) 23mo $255,000 $146 49
11689 River Point Ln 0.34mi 3/2.0 1,554 (-9%) 21mo $265,000 $171 47
14203 Phares Hinton Rd 0.70mi 3/2.0 1,508 (-12%) 1mo $209,000 $139 44
14380 Chase Dr 0.47mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,846 (+8%) 15mo $228,000 $124 43
11616 River Point Ln 0.58mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,879 (+10%) 5mo $340,000 $181 43
14364 Chase Dr 0.47mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,846 (+8%) 22mo $230,000 $125 37

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 5.42% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-2.3%
Equity multiple
0.91×
Total profit
$-4,106
Equity at exit
$24,602
10-year hold
IRR
9.6%
Equity multiple
1.81×
Total profit
$37,371
Equity at exit
$14,266

Cash invested: $46,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Alabama
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Right-to-evict in 7 days for non-payment; no rent control; preempted statewide; courts move quickly.

ZIP-level market 35405

Home prices YoY
-26.9%
Rents YoY
5.4%
Active inventory
457
Price-to-rent
8.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,596 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$865
Tax from tax record
$32 /mo · $389/yr
Insurance
$69
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$335
Net cashflow
$294

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,223
Max offer price $165,000
Occupancy floor 77%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$41,250
Closing costs
$4,950
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 7 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
11605 McCord Ln Tuscaloosa, AL 4.0 2.0 1497 $1,575 $1.05 21d 1 1.09mi
14349 Buttercup Way , AL 3.0 2.0 1187 $1,495 $1.26 43d 1 1.14mi
14391 Buttercup Way , AL 4.0 2.0 1444 $1,665 $1.15 11d 1 1.16mi
11343 Snapdragon Cv , AL 3.0 2.0 1187 $1,495 $1.26 43d 1 1.17mi
14320 Firefly LN Tuscaloosa, AL 4.0 2.0 1417 $1,595 $1.13 11d 1 1.25mi
14338 Firefly Ln Tuscaloosa, AL 3.0 2.0 1187 $1,600 $1.35 43d 1 1.26mi
11146 Longbow Dr Tuscaloosa, AL 3.0 1.0 1120 $1,500 $1.34 11d 1 1.42mi

Listing history 25 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $165,000 Active 101 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $165,000 Active 100 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $165,000 Active 99 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $165,000 Active 98 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $165,000 Active 96 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $165,000 Active 95 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $165,000 Active 93 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $165,000 Active 92 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $165,000 Active 91 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $165,000 Active 90 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $165,000 Active 87 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $165,000 Active 86 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $165,000 Active 85 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $165,000 Active 84 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $165,000 Active 83 DOM
  16. 2026-05-30
    days on market $165,000 Active 82 DOM
  17. 2026-05-19
    price $165,000 549-char remark
    Show marketing remark (549 chars)

    Welcome to 14143 Delta Drive, a one level 3 bedroom, 2 bath home situated on a flat lot just off McPherson Landing Road! This property features an open kitchen with stainless steel appliances, tile backsplash, and warm wood cabinetry, flowing seamlessly into the open living areas. Two living spaces, including a spacious open den with a fireplace and elevated dining area, provide flexibility for everyday living and entertaining. Outside, enjoy a large yard with plenty of room for entertainment or activities! Call today to schedule your showing!

  18. 2026-03-09
    listed $172,000 Active 549-char remark
    Show marketing remark (549 chars)

    Welcome to 14143 Delta Drive, a one level 3 bedroom, 2 bath home situated on a flat lot just off McPherson Landing Road! This property features an open kitchen with stainless steel appliances, tile backsplash, and warm wood cabinetry, flowing seamlessly into the open living areas. Two living spaces, including a spacious open den with a fireplace and elevated dining area, provide flexibility for everyday living and entertaining. Outside, enjoy a large yard with plenty of room for entertainment or activities! Call today to schedule your showing!

  19. 2026-01-22
    price $176,000
  20. 2025-12-18
    listed $179,900 Active
  21. 2024-02-27
    price $159,000
  22. 2024-02-21
    price $165,000
  23. 2019-07-23
    soldstatus $145,000
  24. 2019-07-22
    soldstatus $145,000
  25. 2018-02-15
    listed $149,900

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$389 · $32/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$677 · $56/mo
Expected delta
+$287/yr (+$24/mo · 73.8%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 59% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$19,149
− Mortgage interest
−$9,243
− Property taxes
−$389
− Insurance
−$825
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,532
− Management
−$1,532
− Depreciation
−$4,800
Taxable income
$828
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$199
After-tax cash flow
$3,331/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Tuscaloosa County
NCES district ID
0103390
Math proficiency
21% ▼ -24.00%
Reading proficiency
45% ▲ 2.00%
Median HH income
$53,000
Composite
28.88/100
National rank
#6641
State rank
#47 of 129 in AL

Livability — Tuscaloosa

Score
77/100
State rank
#9
US rank
#2909

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute C Cost of living A Crime F Employment D- Housing A- Health & safety A+ User ratings D+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Tuscaloosa County · 206,491 people
City population
134,228
Metro
Tuscaloosa, AL
Population (ZIP)
49,420
Household income
$62,301
Rent vs Own
45.6% rent · 54.4% own
Severe rent burden
1963.0

Population outlook (Tuscaloosa County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
228,293 people
By 2030
240,551 · +5.4%
By 2040
263,856 · +15.6%
By 2050
286,491 · +25.5%
By 2075
335,783 · +47.1%
By 2100
370,520 · +62.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.56)
Race & ethnicity
Black 56% White 35% Hispanic / Latino 5% Two or more races 3% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 2%
Common ancestry
Italian 1% Lithuanian 1% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
5% · Canada, China
Languages at home
94% English-only · Spanish 4% Other Indo-European 1% Chinese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Tuscaloosa

2024 margin
Strong R (+20.4) · D 39.4% · R 59.8%
2008→2024 swing
-4.4pp toward R · 2008: -16.0pp · 2024: -20.4pp
All cycles
2024: R+20.4 2020: R+14.8 2016: R+19.5 2012: R+17.4 2008: R+16.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -71.25%
Current HPI
193.1929
Rent YoY
▲ 5.42%
Metro
Tuscaloosa, AL
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.94%
F500 in state
4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+10.1% since first listed
9 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-19 Price Changed $165,000 WAMLS
  • 2026-03-09 Listed $172,000 WAMLS
  • 2026-01-22 Price Changed $176,000 WAMLS
  • 2025-12-18 Listed $179,900 WAMLS
  • 2024-02-27 Price Changed $159,000 Greater Alabama MLS
  • 2024-02-21 Price Changed $165,000 Greater Alabama MLS
  • 2019-07-23 Sold (Public Records) $145,000 Public Records
  • 2019-07-22 Sold (MLS) $145,000 WAMLS
  • 2018-02-15 Listed $149,900 WAMLS

Property tax history

+5.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $389 · +7.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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