4400 Highway 431 · Hollis Crossroads, AL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $916 – $1,700
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.1/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Appreciation +5.1/10.0
- DSCR +4.6/10.0
- 1% rule +4.2/10.0
- Schools +3.0/10.0
- Livability +2.8/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$132,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Come bring your vision to this property in Heflin on 3 beautiful acres! New siding has been installed and some new windows. It is situated in Heflin Alabama 5 minutes to I-20 and 5 minutes to the heart of Heflin. There is a mobile home on the property that could be renovated and used for rental income or just storage. It has a separate graveled driveway. This is a fixer upper and sold AS-IS.
Key facts
- New siding
- 3 beautiful acres
- New windows
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $133k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $43 ($511/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $122k (8.5% below list).
- Recommended offer: $121k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 56/100 on livability (#406 in AL) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+; Watch: employment C-, schools F, crime D-.
- Cleburne County (rural): math 20% / reading 52% proficiency, ranked #42 of 129 in AL (top 33%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 66 active listings in the ZIP; 5 units permitted in Cleburne County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $1k of equity ($919 loan paydown + $189 appreciation (0.1% local appreciation)).
- Cleburne County population projected at -10% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 109 days — a 9% lower offer ($121k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 109 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.92% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.68%
- Cash-on-cash
- 1.37%
- DSCR
- 1.06
- GRM
- 9.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $194,405
- List price
- $132,900
- Delta
- -31.64%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 4 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
0.14% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -0.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.99×
- Total profit
- $-266
- Equity at exit
- $39,536
- IRR
- 5.3%
- Equity multiple
- 1.59×
- Total profit
- $21,784
- Equity at exit
- $48,285
Cash invested: $37,212 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Alabama
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 36264
- Home prices YoY
- 0.1%
- Active inventory
- 66
- Price-to-rent
- 9.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,217 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$697
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$166 /mo · $1,994/yr
- Insurance
- −$55
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$255
- Net cashflow
- $43
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $134 | -5% $89 | +0% $43 | +5% $-3 | +10% $-49 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-53 | -5% $-5 | +0% $43 | +5% $91 | +10% $139 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $110 | -0.5pp $76 | base $43 | +0.5pp $8 | +1.0pp $-27 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $33,225
- Closing costs
- $3,987
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 19 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $132,900 Active 109 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $132,900 Active 108 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $132,900 Active 107 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $132,900 Active 106 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $132,900 Active 105 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $132,900 Active 103 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $132,900 Active 102 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $132,900 Active 100 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $132,900 Active 99 DOM
-
2026-06-09remarks 451-char remark
-
2026-06-08days on market $132,900 Active 98 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $132,900 Active 97 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $132,900 Active 94 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $132,900 Active 93 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $132,900 Active 92 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $132,900 Active 91 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $132,900 Active 90 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $132,900 Active 89 DOM
-
2026-02-23$132,900 Active 394-char remark
Show marketing remark (394 chars)
Come bring your vision to this property in Heflin on 3 beautiful acres! New siding has been installed and some new windows. It is situated in Heflin Alabama 5 minutes to I-20 and 5 minutes to the heart of Heflin. There is a mobile home on the property that could be renovated and used for rental income or just storage. It has a separate graveled driveway. This is a fixer upper and sold AS-IS.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,598
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,444
- − Property taxes
- −$1,994
- − Insurance
- −$664
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,168
- − Management
- −$1,168
- − Depreciation
- −$3,866
- Taxable loss
- −$1,706
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$409
- After-tax cash flow
- $921/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Cleburne County
- NCES district ID
- 0100780
- Math proficiency
- 20% ▼ -29.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 52% ▲ 4.00%
- Median HH income
- $37,491
- Composite
- 29.85/100
- National rank
- #6411
- State rank
- #42 of 129 in AL
Livability — Hollis Crossroads
- Score
- 56/100
- State rank
- #406
- US rank
- #22535
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 8,408
Population outlook (Cleburne County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 14,835 people
- By 2030
- 14,605 · -1.6%
- By 2040
- 14,023 · -5.5%
- By 2050
- 13,301 · -10.3%
- By 2075
- 11,624 · -21.6%
- By 2100
- 9,912 · -33.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (87%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 87% Black 7% Hispanic / Latino 4% Two or more races 2%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 6% Slovak 3% Serbian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Cleburne
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+83.6) · D 7.9% · R 91.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -21.2pp toward R · 2008: -62.4pp · 2024: -83.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+83.6 2020: R+80.4 2016: R+77.4 2012: R+68.2 2008: R+62.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 0.14%
- Current HPI
- 257.2736
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.94%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $8B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 1 | $5B |
|
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-02-23 Listed $132,900 Greater Alabama MLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…