1002 Orange St · La Marque, TX 77568

$159,000

4 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,770 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 248 Days on market

Built 1975 6,124 sqft lot $90/sqft · 18% below area Est $195k · 18% under

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Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +30.0/30.0
• ARV discount +15.0/15.0
• DSCR +10.0/10.0
• 1% rule +9.0/10.0
• Rent growth +3.5/5.0
• Livability +3.0/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Schools +2.4/10.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks MLS

Come see this cute house! Fresh paint and new carpet. Ready to move in! This would also make an great rental.

Key facts

• 6,124 sq ft lot
• Built 1975
• Listed 247 days

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $159k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $597 ($7k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $159k).
• Recommended offer: $140k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• Cap rate 11.3% vs local median 5.6% in La Marque — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 59/100 on livability (#1,136 in TX) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D, schools F, crime F.
• Texas City ISD (suburban): math 28% / reading 29% proficiency, ranked #655 of 826 in TX (top 79%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 66% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
• Market conditions: Rents rising (+4.0%/yr); 654 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 16d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 3,258 units permitted in Galveston County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
• This rent runs 36% of the median local income ($75k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Galveston County population projected at +43% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
• At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.0% rent growth), your $45k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 248 days — a 12% lower offer ($140k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• 13 sale attempts since 23y ago; this cycle's ask is 9281% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.

Risks & watch-outs

• Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo.
• Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→26/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $139,920 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. It's been on market 248 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
2. Built in 1975 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
3. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
6. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
7. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 1.40% ✓
• Cap rate: 11.30%
• Cash-on-cash: 17.89%
• DSCR: 1.80
• GRM: 6.0

CMA / ARV

• ARV (median comp): $194,643
• List price: $159,000
• Delta: -18.31%
• Verdict: UNDERPRICED
• Comps: 20 within 1.0 mi

Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi

Address	Dist	Beds/Ba	Sqft	Sold	Price	$/sf	Match
1131 Prune St	0.14mi	4/2.0	1,623 (-8%)	8mo	$215,000	$132	69
1518 Oleander Dr	0.44mi	4/2.0	1,940 (+10%)	2mo	$299,000	$154	58
1303 Red Bud Ln Ln	0.75mi	3/2.0 (-1)	1,796 (+2%)	4mo	$170,000	$95	50
1510 Dalian St	0.46mi	4/2.0	1,900 (+7%)	16mo	$319,900	$168	49
1628 Highway 3	0.36mi	3/2.0 (-1)	1,991 (+12%)	13mo	$230,000	$116	42
310 Plum St	0.55mi	3/3.0 (-1)	1,956 (+10%)	5mo	$260,000	$133	40
725 Avenue A	0.39mi	3/2.0 (-1)	1,520 (-14%)	12mo	$244,777	$161	40
408 Cherry St	0.54mi	5/3.0 (+1)	2,014 (+14%)	3mo	$259,995	$129	36
1010 Ross St	0.57mi	3/2.5 (-1)	1,520 (-14%)	3mo	$269,000	$177	36
1827 Oleander Dr	0.67mi	4/2.0	1,569 (-11%)	14mo	$196,900	$125	34
1906 Little St	0.75mi	4/2.0	1,520 (-14%)	9mo	$90,000	$59	30
1309 Red Bud Ln	0.75mi	3/2.0 (-1)	2,027 (+14%)	22mo	$159,000	$78	14

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.95% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 8.2%
• Equity multiple: 1.33×
• Total profit: $14,490
• Equity at exit: $23,707

10-year hold

• IRR: 18.3%
• Equity multiple: 2.59×
• Total profit: $70,867
• Equity at exit: $13,747

Cash invested: $44,520 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Texas: 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 77568

• Home prices YoY: -22.7%
• Rents YoY: 4.0%
• Active inventory: 654
• Price-to-rent: 6.0×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $2,225 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$834
• Tax from tax record: −$194 /mo · $2,327/yr
• Insurance: −$66
• Flood insurance flood zone: −$66 /mo · $798/yr
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$467
• Net cashflow: $597

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,469

Max offer price $159,000

Occupancy floor 68%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $39,750
• Closing costs: $4,770
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 4 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
1029 Sycamore St La Marque, TX	3.0	2.0	1928	$1,695	$0.88	15d	1	0.58mi
105 Plum St La Marque, TX	4.0	1.5	1329	$2,100	$1.58	3d	1	0.71mi
1230 Kirsten St La Marque, TX	3.0	2.0	1704	$1,660	$0.97	3d	1	1.01mi
1401 Austin St La Marque, TX	4.0	3.0	1542	$2,400	$1.56	44d	1	1.34mi

Listing history 50 events

1. 2026-06-18
   days on market $159,000 Active 248 DOM
2. 2026-06-17
   days on market $159,000 Active 247 DOM
3. 2026-06-16
   days on market $159,000 Active 246 DOM
4. 2026-06-15
   days on market $159,000 Active 245 DOM
5. 2026-06-13
   days on market $159,000 Active 243 DOM
6. 2026-06-09
   days on market $159,000 Active 239 DOM
7. 2026-06-03
   days on market $159,000 Active 238 DOM
8. 2026-06-02
   days on market $159,000 Active 237 DOM
9. 2026-06-01
   days on market $159,000 Active 236 DOM
10. 2026-05-31
    days on market $159,000 Active 235 DOM
11. 2026-05-03
    listed $1,695
12. 2026-05-02
    status Active 112-char remark

    Show marketing remark (112 chars)

    Come see this cute house! Fresh paint and new carpet. Ready to move in! This would also make an great rental.

13. 2026-05-02
    price $159,000 112-char remark

    Show marketing remark (112 chars)

    Come see this cute house! Fresh paint and new carpet. Ready to move in! This would also make an great rental.

14. 2026-04-10
    status Pending 112-char remark

    Show marketing remark (112 chars)

    Come see this cute house! Fresh paint and new carpet. Ready to move in! This would also make an great rental.

15. 2026-04-05
    status Pending 112-char remark

    Show marketing remark (112 chars)

    Come see this cute house! Fresh paint and new carpet. Ready to move in! This would also make an great rental.

16. 2026-04-05
    status Pending 112-char remark

    Show marketing remark (112 chars)

    Come see this cute house! Fresh paint and new carpet. Ready to move in! This would also make an great rental.

17. 2026-03-27
    status Pending 112-char remark

    Show marketing remark (112 chars)

    Come see this cute house! Fresh paint and new carpet. Ready to move in! This would also make an great rental.

18. 2026-03-25
    historical $1,595
19. 2026-03-12
    listed $1,595
20. 2026-03-11
    price $149,000 112-char remark

    Show marketing remark (112 chars)

    Come see this cute house! Fresh paint and new carpet. Ready to move in! This would also make an great rental.

21. 2026-02-01
    status Active 112-char remark

    Show marketing remark (112 chars)

    Come see this cute house! Fresh paint and new carpet. Ready to move in! This would also make an great rental.

22. 2026-01-31
    historical 112-char remark

    Show marketing remark (112 chars)

    Come see this cute house! Fresh paint and new carpet. Ready to move in! This would also make an great rental.

23. 2025-12-02
    price $159,000 112-char remark

    Show marketing remark (112 chars)

    Come see this cute house! Fresh paint and new carpet. Ready to move in! This would also make an great rental.

24. 2025-11-15
    price $165,000 112-char remark

    Show marketing remark (112 chars)

    Come see this cute house! Fresh paint and new carpet. Ready to move in! This would also make an great rental.

25. 2025-09-24
    price $174,000 112-char remark

    Show marketing remark (112 chars)

    Come see this cute house! Fresh paint and new carpet. Ready to move in! This would also make an great rental.

26. 2025-09-14
    listed $184,000 Active 112-char remark

    Show marketing remark (112 chars)

    Come see this cute house! Fresh paint and new carpet. Ready to move in! This would also make an great rental.

27. 2019-03-04
    soldstatus
28. 2019-01-29
    historical
29. 2018-12-28
    price $114,500
30. 2018-11-29
    status Active
31. 2018-11-19
    status Pending, Continue to Show
32. 2018-11-17
    status Option Pending
33. 2018-10-24
    status Active
34. 2018-10-17
    status Option Pending
35. 2018-10-02
    price $119,500
36. 2018-09-21
    price $124,900
37. 2018-09-01
    price $129,900
38. 2018-08-27
    listed $134,500 Active
39. 2012-07-16
    soldstatus
40. 2012-06-18
    soldstatus
41. 2012-05-29
    historical
42. 2012-05-09
    listed $21,500
43. 2012-03-23
    historical
44. 2012-01-20
    listed $27,900
45. 2008-03-12
    historical
46. 2008-02-25
    listed $89,900
47. 2008-02-18
    historical
48. 2007-12-01
    listed $89,900
49. 2006-09-15
    soldstatus
50. 2003-12-04
    historical

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

• Current annual tax: $2,327 · $194/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $2,910 · $242/mo
• Expected delta: +$583/yr (+$49/mo · 25.1%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 7/10 Severe FEMA zone X · 60% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
• 🌡 Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 26 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $26,698
• − Mortgage interest: −$8,906
• − Property taxes: −$2,327
• − Insurance: −$1,592
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$2,136
• − Management: −$2,136
• − Depreciation: −$4,625
• Taxable income: $4,975
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$1,194
• After-tax cash flow: $5,972/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Texas City ISD
• NCES district ID: 4842510
• Math proficiency: 28% ▼ -10.00%
• Reading proficiency: 29% ▼ -4.00%
• Median HH income: $44,875
• Composite: 24.47/100
• National rank: #7664
• State rank: #655 of 826 in TX

Livability — La Marque

• Score: 59/100
• State rank: #1136
• US rank: #20037

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings C

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: La Marque, TX
• County: Galveston County · 357,330 people
• City population: 23,083
• Metro: Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
• Population (ZIP): 23,083
• Household income: $74,694
• Rent vs Own: 28.0% rent · 72.0% own
• Severe rent burden: 700.0

Population outlook (Galveston County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 390,640 people
• By 2030: 425,226 · +8.9%
• By 2040: 493,765 · +26.4%
• By 2050: 559,698 · +43.3%
• By 2075: 719,260 · +84.1%
• By 2100: 819,628 · +109.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.71)
• Race & ethnicity: White 37% Hispanic / Latino 29% Black 26% Two or more races 17% Asian 3%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 22% Puerto Rican 1%
• Common ancestry: Lithuanian 1% Italian 1% Serbian 1%
• Foreign-born: 8% · Canada
• Languages at home: 77% English-only · Spanish 21% Tagalog/Filipino 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Galveston

• 2024 margin: Strong R (+27.4) · D 35.7% · R 63.1% · Other 1.2%
• 2008→2024 swing: -7.9pp toward R · 2008: -19.5pp · 2024: -27.4pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+27.4 2020: R+22.6 2016: R+22.6 2012: R+26.9 2008: R+19.5

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -69.39%
• Current HPI: 236.0239
• Rent YoY: ▲ 3.95%
• Metro: Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 3.95%
• F500 in state: 110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Energy	16	$1,198B
▸Technology	5	$198B
▸Engineering / Construction	4	$72B
▸Energy Services	3	$60B
▸Utilities	3	$41B
▸Healthcare	2	$330B

Price history

-96.6% since first listed

42 events — show timeline

• 2026-05-03 Listed for Rent $1,695 HARMLS
• 2026-05-02 Relisted — HARMLS
• 2026-05-02 Price Changed $159,000 HARMLS
• 2026-04-10 Pending — HARMLS
• 2026-04-05 Pending — HARMLS
• 2026-04-05 Pending — HARMLS
• 2026-03-27 Pending — HARMLS
• 2026-03-25 Rental Removed $1,595 HARMLS
• 2026-03-12 Listed for Rent $1,595 HARMLS
• 2026-03-11 Price Changed $149,000 HARMLS
• 2026-02-01 Relisted — HARMLS
• 2026-01-31 Listing Removed — HARMLS
• 2025-12-02 Price Changed $159,000 HARMLS
• 2025-11-15 Price Changed $165,000 HARMLS
• 2025-09-24 Price Changed $174,000 HARMLS
• 2025-09-14 Listed $184,000 HARMLS
• 2019-03-04 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
• 2019-01-29 Listing Removed — HARMLS
• 2018-12-28 Price Changed $114,500 HARMLS
• 2018-11-29 Relisted — HARMLS
• 2018-11-19 Pending — HARMLS
• 2018-11-17 Pending — HARMLS
• 2018-10-24 Relisted — HARMLS
• 2018-10-17 Pending — HARMLS
• 2018-10-02 Price Changed $119,500 HARMLS
• 2018-09-21 Price Changed $124,900 HARMLS
• 2018-09-01 Price Changed $129,900 HARMLS
• 2018-08-27 Listed $134,500 HARMLS
• 2012-07-16 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
• 2012-06-18 Sold (MLS) — HARMLS
• 2012-05-29 Listing Removed — HARMLS
• 2012-05-09 Listed $21,500 HARMLS
• 2012-03-23 Listing Removed — HARMLS
• 2012-01-20 Listed $27,900 HARMLS
• 2008-03-12 Listing Removed — HARMLS
• 2008-02-25 Listed $89,900 HARMLS
• 2008-02-18 Listing Removed — HARMLS
• 2007-12-01 Listed $89,900 HARMLS
• 2006-09-15 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
• 2003-12-04 Listing Removed — HARMLS
• 2003-07-20 Listed $49,400 HARMLS
• 1999-05-13 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records

Property tax history

+15.3%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,327 · +13.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.