4911 Sheridan Rd · Kenosha, WI
Flood risk 4/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.22%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $636 – $1,182
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 96°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 14 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +8.4/10.0
- Livability +4.2/5.0
- Rent growth +4.0/5.0
- Schools +2.5/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$149,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Welcome to this four-bedroom home offering a functional layout and plenty of potential. The property features a cozy living room, a spacious dining area, and a kitchen conveniently separated from the dining space. Four bedrooms provide privacy throughout the home, and a deep one-car garage offers ample storage or workspace. The home is in need of TLC and is being sold as-is, presenting an opportunity for buyers to update and customize.
Key facts
- 4,356 sq ft lot
- Garage
- Built 1873
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $150k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $604 ($7k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $150k).
- Recommended offer: $148k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 11.1% vs local median 4.0% in Kenosha — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 84/100 on livability (#31 in WI, #680 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, schools D+.
- Kenosha School District (suburban): math 26% / reading 31% proficiency, ranked #287 of 342 in WI (top 84%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.0%/yr); 43 active listings in the ZIP; 9 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 259 units permitted in Kenosha County in 2024 (8 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 42% of the median local income ($58k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 6.0% rent growth), your $42k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 26 days — a 2% lower offer ($148k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 8 sale attempts since 13y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $68k; list at $150k implies a 120% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1873 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1873 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.34% ✓
- Cap rate
- 11.13%
- Cash-on-cash
- 17.27%
- DSCR
- 1.77
- GRM
- 6.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $226,821
- List price
- $149,900
- Delta
- -33.91%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4911 Sheridan Rd | 0.00mi | 4/1.0 | 1,135 (0%) | 0mo | $120,000 | $106 | 100 |
| 4810 16th Ave | 0.34mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,144 (+1%) | 2mo | $285,000 | $249 | 72 |
| 923 47th St | 0.15mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,231 (+8%) | 10mo | $160,000 | $130 | 64 |
| 4048 10th Ave | 0.56mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,183 (+4%) | 8mo | $215,000 | $182 | 55 |
| 1005 44th St | 0.33mi | 4/2.0 | 1,272 (+12%) | 12mo | $220,000 | $173 | 50 |
| 2000 42nd St | 0.73mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,100 (-3%) | 9mo | $215,000 | $195 | 48 |
| 4517 18th Ave | 0.47mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,243 (+10%) | 9mo | $197,500 | $159 | 48 |
| 711 40th St | 0.64mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,243 (+10%) | 6mo | $245,000 | $197 | 44 |
| 4005 14th Ave | 0.67mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,254 (+10%) | 3mo | $200,000 | $159 | 44 |
| 4813 23rd Ave | 0.72mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,078 (-5%) | 10mo | $239,000 | $222 | 43 |
| 1922 45th St | 0.59mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,001 (-12%) | 11mo | $135,000 | $135 | 38 |
| 3834 Sheridan Rd | 0.70mi | 4/1.0 | 1,303 (+15%) | 10mo | $240,000 | $184 | 34 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 5.98% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 11.8%
- Equity multiple
- 1.49×
- Total profit
- $20,395
- Equity at exit
- $22,351
- IRR
- 23.0%
- Equity multiple
- 3.25×
- Total profit
- $94,391
- Equity at exit
- $12,961
Cash invested: $41,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 73 Landlord-Friendly
- State Wisconsin
- 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+2
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 53140
- Rents YoY
- 6.0%
- Active inventory
- 43
- Price-to-rent
- 6.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,011 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$786
- Tax from tax record
- −$136 /mo · $1,634/yr
- Insurance
- −$62
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$422
- Net cashflow
- $604
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $37,475
- Closing costs
- $4,497
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 9 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1108 61st St Unit 1110 Upper Kenosha, WI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 869 | $1,345 | $1.55 | 7d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 5807 20th Ave Unit 2 Kenosha, WI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1064 | $2,400 | $2.26 | 18d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 5432 23rd Ave Kenosha, WI | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1400 | $1,695 | $1.21 | 3d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 1809 60th St Kenosha, WI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,500 | $1.36 | 43d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 2708 48th St Kenosha, WI | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $2,500 | $2.08 | 22d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 3323 14th Ave Kenosha, WI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1008 | $1,395 | $1.38 | 24d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 4048 29th Ave Kenosha, WI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 980 | $2,375 | $2.42 | 43d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 6703 16th Ave Kenosha, WI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 864 | $1,675 | $1.94 | 18d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 4802 34th Ave Kenosha, WI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 905 | $1,750 | $1.93 | 43d | 1 | 1.41mi |
Listing history 26 events
-
2026-05-05status Pending 439-char remark
Show marketing remark (439 chars)
Welcome to this four-bedroom home offering a functional layout and plenty of potential. The property features a cozy living room, a spacious dining area, and a kitchen conveniently separated from the dining space. Four bedrooms provide privacy throughout the home, and a deep one-car garage offers ample storage or workspace. The home is in need of TLC and is being sold as-is, presenting an opportunity for buyers to update and customize.
-
2026-04-08$149,900 Active 439-char remark
Show marketing remark (439 chars)
Welcome to this four-bedroom home offering a functional layout and plenty of potential. The property features a cozy living room, a spacious dining area, and a kitchen conveniently separated from the dining space. Four bedrooms provide privacy throughout the home, and a deep one-car garage offers ample storage or workspace. The home is in need of TLC and is being sold as-is, presenting an opportunity for buyers to update and customize.
-
2026-04-03historical 439-char remark
Show marketing remark (439 chars)
Welcome to this four-bedroom home offering a functional layout and plenty of potential. The property features a cozy living room, a spacious dining area, and a kitchen conveniently separated from the dining space. Four bedrooms provide privacy throughout the home, and a deep one-car garage offers ample storage or workspace. The home is in need of TLC and is being sold as-is, presenting an opportunity for buyers to update and customize.
-
2026-03-30historical Contingent 439-char remark
Show marketing remark (439 chars)
Welcome to this four-bedroom home offering a functional layout and plenty of potential. The property features a cozy living room, a spacious dining area, and a kitchen conveniently separated from the dining space. Four bedrooms provide privacy throughout the home, and a deep one-car garage offers ample storage or workspace. The home is in need of TLC and is being sold as-is, presenting an opportunity for buyers to update and customize.
-
2026-03-25price $149,900 439-char remark
Show marketing remark (439 chars)
Welcome to this four-bedroom home offering a functional layout and plenty of potential. The property features a cozy living room, a spacious dining area, and a kitchen conveniently separated from the dining space. Four bedrooms provide privacy throughout the home, and a deep one-car garage offers ample storage or workspace. The home is in need of TLC and is being sold as-is, presenting an opportunity for buyers to update and customize.
-
2026-02-21status Active 439-char remark
Show marketing remark (439 chars)
Welcome to this four-bedroom home offering a functional layout and plenty of potential. The property features a cozy living room, a spacious dining area, and a kitchen conveniently separated from the dining space. Four bedrooms provide privacy throughout the home, and a deep one-car garage offers ample storage or workspace. The home is in need of TLC and is being sold as-is, presenting an opportunity for buyers to update and customize.
-
2026-02-11status Pending 439-char remark
Show marketing remark (439 chars)
Welcome to this four-bedroom home offering a functional layout and plenty of potential. The property features a cozy living room, a spacious dining area, and a kitchen conveniently separated from the dining space. Four bedrooms provide privacy throughout the home, and a deep one-car garage offers ample storage or workspace. The home is in need of TLC and is being sold as-is, presenting an opportunity for buyers to update and customize.
-
2026-01-31price $159,900 439-char remark
Show marketing remark (439 chars)
Welcome to this four-bedroom home offering a functional layout and plenty of potential. The property features a cozy living room, a spacious dining area, and a kitchen conveniently separated from the dining space. Four bedrooms provide privacy throughout the home, and a deep one-car garage offers ample storage or workspace. The home is in need of TLC and is being sold as-is, presenting an opportunity for buyers to update and customize.
-
2026-01-02$169,900 Active 439-char remark
Show marketing remark (439 chars)
Welcome to this four-bedroom home offering a functional layout and plenty of potential. The property features a cozy living room, a spacious dining area, and a kitchen conveniently separated from the dining space. Four bedrooms provide privacy throughout the home, and a deep one-car garage offers ample storage or workspace. The home is in need of TLC and is being sold as-is, presenting an opportunity for buyers to update and customize.
-
2021-09-13soldstatus $68,000
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2021-09-10soldstatus $68,000 Sold
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2021-08-12status Pending
-
2021-07-30price $74,000
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2021-07-16$79,000 Active
-
2013-09-20$24,900
-
2013-09-20historical
-
2013-06-25soldstatus $22,000
-
2013-02-15$85,900
-
2013-02-15historical
-
2013-02-09$39,900
-
2013-02-09historical
-
2013-01-13historical
-
2013-01-13$99,900
-
2008-05-22soldstatus $85,000
-
2008-05-19soldstatus $85,000
-
2008-01-29soldstatus $55,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast WI · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,634 · $136/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,204 · $184/mo
- Expected delta
- +$569/yr (+$47/mo · 34.8%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 22% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $24,134
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,397
- − Property taxes
- −$1,634
- − Insurance
- −$750
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,931
- − Management
- −$1,931
- − Depreciation
- −$4,361
- Taxable income
- $5,132
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,232
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,018/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Kenosha School District
- NCES district ID
- 5507320
- Math proficiency
- 26% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 31% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $52,407
- Composite
- 25.17/100
- National rank
- #7516
- State rank
- #287 of 342 in WI
Livability — Kenosha
- Score
- 84/100
- State rank
- #31
- US rank
- #680
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Kenosha, WI
- County
- Kenosha County · 130,343 people
- City population
- 85,271
- Metro
- Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI
- Population (ZIP)
- 30,238
- Household income
- $58,006
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1576.0
Population outlook (Kenosha County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 174,032 people
- By 2030
- 174,923 · +0.5%
- By 2040
- 173,895 · -0.1%
- By 2050
- 170,102 · -2.3%
- By 2075
- 162,952 · -6.4%
- By 2100
- 154,781 · -11.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (66%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 66% Hispanic / Latino 19% Two or more races 14% Black 9% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 14% Puerto Rican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 7% Lithuanian 3% Portuguese 3%
- Foreign-born
- 10% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 83% English-only · Spanish 12% Other Indo-European 3% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Kenosha
- 2024 margin
- Lean R (+6.2) · D 46.2% · R 52.5% · Other 1.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -24.3pp toward R · 2008: 18.1pp · 2024: -6.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+6.2 2020: R+3.1 2016: R+0.3 2012: D+12.3 2008: D+18.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -187.92%
- Current HPI
- 235.0929
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 5.98%
- Metro
- Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.10%
- F500 in state
- 20
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in WI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Machinery | 4 | $23B |
|
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| Industrial Technology | 2 | $36B |
|
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| Insurance | 1 | $36B |
|
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| Professional Services | 1 | $19B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $9B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 1 | $3B |
|
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Price history
+172.5% since first listed26 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-05 Pending — METROMLS
- 2026-04-08 Listed $149,900 METROMLS
- 2026-04-03 Listing Removed — METROMLS
- 2026-03-30 Contingent — METROMLS
- 2026-03-25 Price Changed $149,900 METROMLS
- 2026-02-21 Relisted — METROMLS
- 2026-02-11 Pending — METROMLS
- 2026-01-31 Price Changed $159,900 METROMLS
- 2026-01-02 Listed $169,900 METROMLS
- 2021-09-13 Sold (Public Records) $68,000 Public Records
- 2021-09-10 Sold (MLS) $68,000 METROMLS
- 2021-08-12 Pending — METROMLS
- 2021-07-30 Price Changed $74,000 METROMLS
- 2021-07-16 Listed $79,000 METROMLS
- 2013-09-20 Listing Removed — METROMLS
- 2013-09-20 Listed $24,900 METROMLS
- 2013-06-25 Sold (MLS) $22,000 METROMLS
- 2013-02-15 Listing Removed — METROMLS
- 2013-02-15 Listed $85,900 METROMLS
- 2013-02-09 Listing Removed — METROMLS
- 2013-02-09 Listed $39,900 METROMLS
- 2013-01-13 Listed $99,900 METROMLS
- 2013-01-13 Listing Removed — METROMLS
- 2008-05-22 Sold (Public Records) $85,000 Public Records
- 2008-05-19 Sold (MLS) $85,000 METROMLS
- 2008-01-29 Sold (MLS) $55,000 METROMLS
Property tax history
-1.9%/yrLatest (2025): $1,634 · +5.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…