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88 N Astor St 🏷️ Likely Rental
B Composite 73.68
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +9.5/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$119,000

88 N Astor St · Pontiac, MI 48342
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,859 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 12 Days on market
Built 1956 9,583 sqft lot Est $160k · 26% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

ATTENTION INVESTORS! Great opportunity to add to your portfolio. Long term tenant (13 years) on a month to month lease and current on rent. No showings without accepted offer. Please don't disturb tenants. Any questions please contact listing agent.

Key facts

  • 9,583 sq ft lot
  • 2 garage spots
  • Built 1956

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…
🏷️ Possibly a rental listed for sale. The $119,000 price doesn't fit this home's estimated sale value (~$159,874) and the remarks read like a rental — treat the cards below with caution.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $119k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $566 ($7k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $119k).
  • Cap rate 12.0% vs local median 6.7% in Pontiac — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 64/100 on livability (#499 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety D, schools F, crime F.
  • Pontiac City School District (urban): math 8% / reading 17% proficiency, ranked #514 of 540 in MI (top 95%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 81% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 87 active listings in the ZIP; 7 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 17d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 43% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 2,614 units permitted in Oakland County in 2024 (721 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $823 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Oakland County population projected at +10% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $33k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 12 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 6 sale attempts since 22y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $65k; list at $119k implies a 83% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1956 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $119,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1956 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.45%
Cap rate
12.00%
Cash-on-cash
20.39%
DSCR
1.91
GRM
5.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$159,874
Comps found
6
Show comp detail 6 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
61 N Tasmania St 0.56mi 3/1.5 1,800 (-3%) 7mo $122,000 $68 61
231 Going St 0.73mi 3/2.0 1,950 (+5%) 4mo $147,500 $76 51
15 N Edith St NE 0.36mi 2/2.5 (-1) 1,755 (-6%) 24mo $165,000 $94 43
61 N Francis Ave 0.39mi 3/2.0 2,066 (+11%) 20mo $178,000 $86 42
451 Martin Luther King Jr Blvd N 0.73mi 3/1.5 1,677 (-10%) 10mo $170,000 $101 40
228 S Marshall St 0.66mi 3/1.0 1,606 (-14%) 16mo $135,500 $84 33

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
12.7%
Equity multiple
1.50×
Total profit
$16,791
Equity at exit
$17,743
10-year hold
IRR
21.6%
Equity multiple
2.83×
Total profit
$61,097
Equity at exit
$10,289

Cash invested: $33,320 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 48342

Home prices YoY
-33.8%
Active inventory
87
Price-to-rent
5.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,722 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$624
Tax from tax record
$121 /mo · $1,448/yr
Insurance
$50
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$362
Net cashflow
$566

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,005
Max offer price $119,000
Occupancy floor 62%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$29,750
Closing costs
$3,570
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 7 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
107 N Sanford St Pontiac, MI 4.0 1.5 1467 $1,750 $1.19 43d 1 0.49mi
128 S Edith St Pontiac, MI 2.0–3.0 2.0 1155 $1,700 $1.47 17d 1 0.56mi
264 Nelson St Pontiac, MI 3.0 1.0 1478 $1,590 $1.08 43d 1 1.24mi
442 Central Ave Pontiac, MI 2.0 1.0 1500 $1,250 $0.83 16d 1 1.38mi
442 Central Ave Unit 1 Pontiac, MI 2.0 1.0 1500 $1,500 $1.00 5d 1 1.38mi
90 Marquette St Pontiac, MI 3.0 1.0 1886 $1,800 $0.95 43d 1 1.38mi
21 N Saginaw St Pontiac, MI 2.0 2.5 2500 $2,500 $1.00 1d 1 1.39mi

Listing history 21 events

  1. 2026-03-27
    status Pending
  2. 2026-03-27
    historical
  3. 2025-08-23
    status Pending 249-char remark
    Show marketing remark (249 chars)

    ATTENTION INVESTORS! Great opportunity to add to your portfolio. Long term tenant (13 years) on a month to month lease and current on rent. No showings without accepted offer. Please don't disturb tenants. Any questions please contact listing agent.

  4. 2025-08-23
    status Pending
    Show marketing remark (249 chars)

    ATTENTION INVESTORS! Great opportunity to add to your portfolio. Long term tenant (13 years) on a month to month lease and current on rent. No showings without accepted offer. Please don't disturb tenants. Any questions please contact listing agent.

  5. 2025-06-25
    status Pending 249-char remark
    Show marketing remark (249 chars)

    ATTENTION INVESTORS! Great opportunity to add to your portfolio. Long term tenant (13 years) on a month to month lease and current on rent. No showings without accepted offer. Please don't disturb tenants. Any questions please contact listing agent.

  6. 2025-06-25
    status Pending
    Show marketing remark (249 chars)

    ATTENTION INVESTORS! Great opportunity to add to your portfolio. Long term tenant (13 years) on a month to month lease and current on rent. No showings without accepted offer. Please don't disturb tenants. Any questions please contact listing agent.

  7. 2025-06-24
    historical 249-char remark
    Show marketing remark (249 chars)

    ATTENTION INVESTORS! Great opportunity to add to your portfolio. Long term tenant (13 years) on a month to month lease and current on rent. No showings without accepted offer. Please don't disturb tenants. Any questions please contact listing agent.

  8. 2025-06-13
    listed $119,000 Active
    Show marketing remark (249 chars)

    ATTENTION INVESTORS! Great opportunity to add to your portfolio. Long term tenant (13 years) on a month to month lease and current on rent. No showings without accepted offer. Please don't disturb tenants. Any questions please contact listing agent.

  9. 2025-06-13
    listed $119,000 Active 249-char remark
    Show marketing remark (249 chars)

    ATTENTION INVESTORS! Great opportunity to add to your portfolio. Long term tenant (13 years) on a month to month lease and current on rent. No showings without accepted offer. Please don't disturb tenants. Any questions please contact listing agent.

  10. 2014-06-02
    soldstatus $65,200
  11. 2014-03-17
    soldstatus $54,418
  12. 2014-03-12
    historical
  13. 2014-01-12
    listed $800
  14. 2013-12-12
    soldstatus $19,000
  15. 2013-12-12
    soldstatus $19,000
  16. 2013-11-12
    historical
  17. 2013-08-09
    listed $19,900
  18. 2013-08-09
    listed $19,900
  19. 2004-08-05
    historical
  20. 2004-03-08
    listed $140,000
  21. 1998-01-29
    soldstatus $43,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,448 · $121/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,640 · $137/mo
Expected delta
+$192/yr (+$16/mo · 13.3%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$20,667
− Mortgage interest
−$6,666
− Property taxes
−$1,448
− Insurance
−$595
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,653
− Management
−$1,653
− Depreciation
−$3,462
Taxable income
$5,189
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,245
After-tax cash flow
$5,550/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Pontiac City School District
NCES district ID
2628740
Math proficiency
8% ▼ -5.00%
Reading proficiency
17% ▼ -3.00%
Median HH income
$33,888
Composite
10.12/100
National rank
#9802
State rank
#514 of 540 in MI

Livability — Pontiac

Score
64/100
State rank
#499
US rank
#14703

Category grades

Amenities F Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety D User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Pontiac, MI
City population
44,593
Population (ZIP)
17,227

Population outlook (Oakland County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,335,747 people
By 2030
1,375,100 · +2.9%
By 2040
1,435,385 · +7.5%
By 2050
1,469,250 · +10.0%
By 2075
1,531,946 · +14.7%
By 2100
1,450,485 · +8.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.62)
Race & ethnicity
Black 57% Hispanic / Latino 19% White 13% Two or more races 13% Asian 4%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 11% Puerto Rican 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 1% Lithuanian 1% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
10% · Canada, Vietnam
Languages at home
79% English-only · Spanish 15% Other Asian/Pacific 4% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Oakland

2024 margin
D (+10.6) · D 54.4% · R 43.8% · Other 1.9%
2008→2024 swing
-3.9pp toward R · 2008: 14.5pp · 2024: 10.6pp
All cycles
2024: D+10.6 2020: D+14.1 2016: D+8.1 2012: D+8.1 2008: D+14.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -109.18%
Current HPI
214.3258
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+176.7% since first listed
21 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-27 Pending REALCOMP
  • 2026-03-27 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2025-08-23 Pending MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2025-08-23 Pending REALCOMP
  • 2025-06-25 Pending MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2025-06-25 Pending REALCOMP
  • 2025-06-24 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2025-06-13 Listed $119,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2025-06-13 Listed $119,000 REALCOMP
  • 2014-06-02 Sold (Public Records) $65,200 Public Records
  • 2014-03-17 Sold (Public Records) $54,418 Public Records
  • 2014-03-12 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2014-01-12 Listed $800 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2013-12-12 Sold (MLS) $19,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2013-12-12 Sold (MLS) $19,000 REALCOMP
  • 2013-11-12 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2013-08-09 Listed $19,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2013-08-09 Listed $19,900 REALCOMP
  • 2004-08-05 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2004-03-08 Listed $140,000 REALCOMP
  • 1998-01-29 Sold (Public Records) $43,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+3.2%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,448 · +2.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…