42458 W Desert Fairways Dr · Maricopa, AZ 85138

$289,750

3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,400 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 185 Days on market

Built 2003 5,759 sqft lot $207/sqft · 16% below area Est $344k · 16% under $55/mo HOA · 3% of rent

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Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• ARV discount +14.6/15.0
• Cash flow +8.1/30.0
• Appreciation +4.6/10.0
• Livability +3.6/5.0
• Rent growth +2.9/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Schools +2.3/10.0
• DSCR +2.1/10.0
• 1% rule +1.7/10.0

Listing remarks MLS

Welcome to Rancho El Dorado, where this charming single-level home awaits you! Offering 3 beds, 2 baths, & a 2-car garage n. A well-manicured front yard w/artificial turf is just the beginning. Be greeted by a large living room paired with sliding doors to the back! Vaulted ceilings add to the airy feel, complemented by tons of natural light, neutral paint, and tile. The eat-in kitchen boasts built-in appliances, ample white cabinetry, track lighting, a hanging pot, and a peninsula w/breakfast bar. The double-door main bedroom has a private bathroom with a separate tub/shower, dual sinks, & a walk-in closet. Tranquility awaits in the backyard! Featuring mature trees for refreshing shade and an extended covered patio to relax or enjoy BBQ. Make it yours

Key facts

• Built-in appliances
• Large living room
• Eat-in kitchen

Tags

• WELL-MANICURED FRONT YARD
• LARGE LIVING ROOM
• SLIDING DOORS
• EAT-IN KITCHEN
• BUILT-IN APPLIANCES
• AMPLE WHITE CABINETRY

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $290k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $-289 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
• To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $239k (17.6% below list).
• To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $194k (32.9% below list).
• Recommended offer: $194k (32.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
• Cap rate 5.1% vs local median 3.7% in Maricopa — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 72/100 on livability (#28 in AZ) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, employment A-, crime B+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
• Maricopa Unified School District (4441) (town): math 20% / reading 29% proficiency, ranked #128 of 249 in AZ (top 51%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
• Zoned schools: Pima Butte Elementary School (math 42% / reading 49%, grade D-, #333 of 1,109 statewide, top 30%, 428 students, 40% FRL); Desert Wind Middle School (math 14% / reading 26%, grade F, #127 of 218 statewide, top 60%, 817 students, 52% FRL) — zoned schools at 46% FRL track the district average.
• Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.8%/yr); 862 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 26d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 9,504 units permitted in Pinal County in 2024 (776 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-0.9%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 185 days — a 12% lower offer ($255k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• 4 sale attempts since 8y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $20k (7%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
• Current owner paid $175k; list at $290k implies a 66% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

• Climate carrying-cost: severe wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $194,287 (32.9% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
2. It's been on market 185 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 33% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
3. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
6. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 0.67% ✗
• Cap rate: 5.10%
• Cash-on-cash: -4.27%
• DSCR: 0.81
• GRM: 12.4

CMA / ARV

• ARV (median comp): $344,266
• List price: $289,750
• Delta: -15.84%
• Verdict: UNDERPRICED
• Comps: 20 within 1.0 mi

Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi

Address	Dist	Beds/Ba	Sqft	Sold	Price	$/sf	Match
42354 W Desert Fairways Dr	0.06mi	2/2.0 (-1)	1,399 (-0%)	1mo	$275,000	$197	91
42311 W Bunker Dr	0.09mi	3/2.0	1,399 (-0%)	6mo	$270,000	$193	91
42455 W Hillman Dr	0.25mi	3/2.0	1,481 (+6%)	2mo	$282,000	$190	77
42587 W Hillman Dr	0.26mi	4/2.0 (+1)	1,435 (+2%)	7mo	$300,000	$209	73
41793 W Sunland Dr	0.46mi	3/2.0	1,481 (+6%)	3mo	$270,000	$182	66
42683 W Anne Ln	0.60mi	3/2.0	1,309 (-6%)	1mo	$271,000	$207	60
42634 W Colby Dr	0.62mi	3/2.0	1,309 (-6%)	3mo	$270,000	$206	58
22694 N Kennedy Dr	0.32mi	4/2.5 (+1)	1,547 (+10%)	3mo	$315,000	$204	58
42671 W Anne Ln	0.60mi	3/2.0	1,527 (+9%)	2mo	$305,000	$200	55
42367 W Colby Dr	0.63mi	3/2.0	1,527 (+9%)	1mo	$295,000	$193	54
21424 N Howell Dr	0.58mi	3/2.0	1,527 (+9%)	5mo	$274,000	$179	54
41376 W Bravo Dr	0.71mi	3/2.0	1,212 (-13%)	1mo	$275,000	$227	44

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-0.89% appreciation · 1.78% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: -11.8%
• Equity multiple: 0.49×
• Total profit: $-41,182
• Equity at exit: $71,507

10-year hold

• IRR: -6.1%
• Equity multiple: 0.46×
• Total profit: $-44,189
• Equity at exit: $76,429

Cash invested: $81,130 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Arizona: 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

5-day pay-or-quit; AZ courts known for speed; no state rent control; cities preempted by state law.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 85138

• Home prices YoY: -0.3%
• Rents YoY: 1.8%
• Active inventory: 862
• Price-to-rent: 12.4×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,943 high
• Mortgage (P&I): −$1,519
• Tax from tax record: −$129 /mo · $1,543/yr
• Insurance: −$121
• HOA: −$55
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$408
• Net cashflow: $-289

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,309

Max offer price $238,715

Occupancy floor —

Sensitivity live

Price	-10% $-125	-5% $-207	+0% $-289	+5% $-371	+10% $-453
Rent	-10% $-442	-5% $-366	+0% $-289	+5% $-212	+10% $-135
Rate	-1.0pp $-143	-0.5pp $-215	base $-289	+0.5pp $-364	+1.0pp $-440

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $72,438
• Closing costs: $8,692
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 40 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
22303 Bishop Dr Unit 1545930P Maricopa, AZ	3.0	2.0	1496	$3,871	$2.59	14d	1	0.15mi
42622 W Hillman Dr Maricopa, AZ	3.0	2.5	1819	$2,099	$1.15	18d	1	0.28mi
42780 W Sunland Dr Maricopa, AZ	3.0	2.0	1489	$1,700	$1.14	25d	1	0.28mi
41889 W Sunland Dr Maricopa, AZ	3.0	3.0	1857	$1,845	$0.99	7d	1	0.44mi
41793 W Sunland Dr Maricopa, AZ	3.0	2.0	1480	$1,695	$1.15	0d	1	0.49mi
41793 W Sunland Dr Maricopa, AZ	3.0	2.0	1480	$1,695	$1.15	14d	1	0.49mi
22463 N Dietz Dr Maricopa, AZ	3.0	2.0	1824	$2,000	$1.10	26d	1	0.53mi
22693 N Davis Way Maricopa, AZ	3.0	2.0	1281	$1,399	$1.09	45d	1	0.66mi
21563 N Greenway Rd Maricopa, AZ	3.0	2.0	1625	$3,200	$1.97	0d	1	0.66mi
21552 N Liles Ln Maricopa, AZ	3.0	2.0	1470	$1,850	$1.26	45d	1	0.83mi
41201 W Bravo Dr Maricopa, AZ	3.0	2.0	1554	$1,799	$1.16	3d	1	0.83mi
41284 W Cahill Dr Maricopa, AZ	3.0	2.0	1356	$1,750	$1.29	12d	1	0.83mi
21338 N Keystone Dr Maricopa, AZ	3.0	2.0	1276	$1,475	$1.16	45d	1	0.85mi
41192 W Rio Bravo Dr Maricopa, AZ	3.0	2.5	1774	$1,789	$1.01	22d	1	0.91mi
22257 N Gibson Dr Maricopa, AZ	3.0	2.5	1806	$1,795	$0.99	26d	1	0.92mi
22257 N Gibson Dr Maricopa, AZ	3.0	2.5	1806	$1,795	$0.99	22d	1	0.92mi
22257 N Gibson Dr Maricopa, AZ	3.0	2.5	1806	$1,795	$0.99	45d	1	0.92mi
43683 W Elm Dr Maricopa, AZ	3.0	2.0	1124	$1,665	$1.48	7d	1	0.93mi
41570 W Dusty Creek Dr Maricopa, AZ	3.0	2.0	1568	$1,750	$1.12	45d	1	0.93mi
21110 N Blue Agave Dr Maricopa, AZ	3.0	2.0	1569	$1,895	$1.21	45d	1	0.94mi
43854 W Cahill Dr Unit 1545679P Maricopa, AZ	3.0	2.0	1689	$2,258	$1.34	16d	1	0.94mi
43878 W Wade Dr Maricopa, AZ	3.0	2.0	1685	$1,750	$1.04	4d	1	0.97mi
21742 N Bradford Dr Maricopa, AZ	3.0	2.0	1651	$1,850	$1.12	45d	1	0.99mi
21742 N Bradford Dr Maricopa, AZ	3.0	2.0	1651	$1,775	$1.08	26d	1	0.99mi
43839 W Rio Grande Dr Maricopa, AZ	2.0	2.0	1462	$1,650	$1.13	7d	1	0.99mi
40871 W Sunland Dr Maricopa, AZ	3.0	2.0	1800	$3,000	$1.67	0d	1	1.02mi
21552 N Duncan Dr Maricopa, AZ	3.0	2.0	1701	$1,825	$1.07	0d	1	1.02mi
21426 N Duncan Dr Maricopa, AZ	3.0	2.0	1241	$1,599	$1.29	45d	1	1.08mi
40643 W Shaver Dr Maricopa, AZ	3.0	2.0	1447	$1,595	$1.10	26d	1	1.17mi
20520 N Candlelight Rd Maricopa, AZ	2.0	2.0	1613	$1,795	$1.11	18d	1	1.22mi
42181 W Basie Ln Maricopa, AZ	2.0	2.0	1491	$1,674	$1.12	22d	1	1.24mi
42181 W Basie Ln Maricopa, AZ	2.0	2.0	1491	$1,674	$1.12	26d	1	1.24mi
40499 W Sunland Dr Maricopa, AZ	3.0	2.0	1448	$1,695	$1.17	45d	1	1.25mi
42416 W Heavenly Pl Maricopa, AZ	2.0	2.0	1542	$1,850	$1.20	45d	1	1.25mi
40499 W Shaver Dr Maricopa, AZ	3.0	2.0	1317	$1,599	$1.21	45d	1	1.26mi
40451 W Shaver Dr Maricopa, AZ	4.0	2.0	1578	$2,150	$1.36	0d	1	1.29mi
42348 W Fountainhead St Maricopa, AZ	2.0	2.0	1700	$2,600	$1.53	45d	1	1.31mi
40356 W Shaver Dr Maricopa, AZ	4.0	2.0	1572	$1,695	$1.08	0d	1	1.36mi
21047 N Alma Dr Maricopa, AZ	3.0	2.0	1628	$1,995	$1.23	45d	1	1.38mi
20793 N Marquez Dr Maricopa, AZ	3.0	2.0	1441	$1,550	$1.08	45d	1	1.39mi

HOA detail

• Monthly dues: $55 · $660/yr

Listing history 23 events

1. 2026-06-09
   days on market $289,750 Active 185 DOM
2. 2026-06-08
   days on market $289,750 Active 184 DOM
3. 2026-06-07
   days on market $289,750 Active 183 DOM
4. 2026-06-04
   days on market $289,750 Active 180 DOM
5. 2026-06-03
   days on market $289,750 Active 179 DOM
6. 2026-06-02
   days on market $289,750 Active 178 DOM
7. 2026-06-01
   days on market $289,750 Active 177 DOM
8. 2026-05-31
   days on market $289,750 Active 176 DOM
9. 2026-03-11
   status Active 770-char remark

   Show marketing remark (770 chars)

   Welcome to Rancho El Dorado, where this charming single-level home awaits you! Offering 3 beds, 2 baths, & a 2-car garage n. A well-manicured front yard w/artificial turf is just the beginning. Be greeted by a large living room paired with sliding doors to the back! Vaulted ceilings add to the airy feel, complemented by tons of natural light, neutral paint, and tile. The eat-in kitchen boasts built-in appliances, ample white cabinetry, track lighting, a hanging pot, and a peninsula w/breakfast bar. The double-door main bedroom has a private bathroom with a separate tub/shower, dual sinks, & a walk-in closet. Tranquility awaits in the backyard! Featuring mature trees for refreshing shade and an extended covered patio to relax or enjoy BBQ. Make it yours

10. 2025-09-09
    historical 770-char remark

    Show marketing remark (770 chars)

    Welcome to Rancho El Dorado, where this charming single-level home awaits you! Offering 3 beds, 2 baths, & a 2-car garage n. A well-manicured front yard w/artificial turf is just the beginning. Be greeted by a large living room paired with sliding doors to the back! Vaulted ceilings add to the airy feel, complemented by tons of natural light, neutral paint, and tile. The eat-in kitchen boasts built-in appliances, ample white cabinetry, track lighting, a hanging pot, and a peninsula w/breakfast bar. The double-door main bedroom has a private bathroom with a separate tub/shower, dual sinks, & a walk-in closet. Tranquility awaits in the backyard! Featuring mature trees for refreshing shade and an extended covered patio to relax or enjoy BBQ. Make it yours

11. 2025-08-05
    price $289,750 770-char remark

    Show marketing remark (770 chars)

    Welcome to Rancho El Dorado, where this charming single-level home awaits you! Offering 3 beds, 2 baths, & a 2-car garage n. A well-manicured front yard w/artificial turf is just the beginning. Be greeted by a large living room paired with sliding doors to the back! Vaulted ceilings add to the airy feel, complemented by tons of natural light, neutral paint, and tile. The eat-in kitchen boasts built-in appliances, ample white cabinetry, track lighting, a hanging pot, and a peninsula w/breakfast bar. The double-door main bedroom has a private bathroom with a separate tub/shower, dual sinks, & a walk-in closet. Tranquility awaits in the backyard! Featuring mature trees for refreshing shade and an extended covered patio to relax or enjoy BBQ. Make it yours

12. 2025-06-26
    price $289,999 770-char remark

    Show marketing remark (770 chars)

    Welcome to Rancho El Dorado, where this charming single-level home awaits you! Offering 3 beds, 2 baths, & a 2-car garage n. A well-manicured front yard w/artificial turf is just the beginning. Be greeted by a large living room paired with sliding doors to the back! Vaulted ceilings add to the airy feel, complemented by tons of natural light, neutral paint, and tile. The eat-in kitchen boasts built-in appliances, ample white cabinetry, track lighting, a hanging pot, and a peninsula w/breakfast bar. The double-door main bedroom has a private bathroom with a separate tub/shower, dual sinks, & a walk-in closet. Tranquility awaits in the backyard! Featuring mature trees for refreshing shade and an extended covered patio to relax or enjoy BBQ. Make it yours

13. 2025-06-17
    price $299,999 770-char remark

    Show marketing remark (770 chars)

    Welcome to Rancho El Dorado, where this charming single-level home awaits you! Offering 3 beds, 2 baths, & a 2-car garage n. A well-manicured front yard w/artificial turf is just the beginning. Be greeted by a large living room paired with sliding doors to the back! Vaulted ceilings add to the airy feel, complemented by tons of natural light, neutral paint, and tile. The eat-in kitchen boasts built-in appliances, ample white cabinetry, track lighting, a hanging pot, and a peninsula w/breakfast bar. The double-door main bedroom has a private bathroom with a separate tub/shower, dual sinks, & a walk-in closet. Tranquility awaits in the backyard! Featuring mature trees for refreshing shade and an extended covered patio to relax or enjoy BBQ. Make it yours

14. 2025-06-06
    listed $310,000 Active 770-char remark

    Show marketing remark (770 chars)

    Welcome to Rancho El Dorado, where this charming single-level home awaits you! Offering 3 beds, 2 baths, & a 2-car garage n. A well-manicured front yard w/artificial turf is just the beginning. Be greeted by a large living room paired with sliding doors to the back! Vaulted ceilings add to the airy feel, complemented by tons of natural light, neutral paint, and tile. The eat-in kitchen boasts built-in appliances, ample white cabinetry, track lighting, a hanging pot, and a peninsula w/breakfast bar. The double-door main bedroom has a private bathroom with a separate tub/shower, dual sinks, & a walk-in closet. Tranquility awaits in the backyard! Featuring mature trees for refreshing shade and an extended covered patio to relax or enjoy BBQ. Make it yours

15. 2019-01-22
    soldstatus $175,000
16. 2019-01-21
    soldstatus $175,000 Closed 499-char remark

    Show marketing remark (499 chars)

    WOW! Come check out this move in ready home located in Rancho El Dorado. Located minutes from shopping, The Duke Golf Course, and 35 minutes from Sky Harbor. You cant beat the value and location of this home. Features include, 3 bedrooms, 2 bathrooms, 2 car garage, new carpet, new interior paint, new kitchen and bathroom faucets, refrigerator, dryer, and washer included. Easy maintenance landscaping in front an the backyard can have grass or room for a pool! Set up your showing today!

17. 2018-12-28
    status Pending 499-char remark

    Show marketing remark (499 chars)

    WOW! Come check out this move in ready home located in Rancho El Dorado. Located minutes from shopping, The Duke Golf Course, and 35 minutes from Sky Harbor. You cant beat the value and location of this home. Features include, 3 bedrooms, 2 bathrooms, 2 car garage, new carpet, new interior paint, new kitchen and bathroom faucets, refrigerator, dryer, and washer included. Easy maintenance landscaping in front an the backyard can have grass or room for a pool! Set up your showing today!

18. 2018-12-21
    price $172,000 499-char remark

    Show marketing remark (499 chars)

    WOW! Come check out this move in ready home located in Rancho El Dorado. Located minutes from shopping, The Duke Golf Course, and 35 minutes from Sky Harbor. You cant beat the value and location of this home. Features include, 3 bedrooms, 2 bathrooms, 2 car garage, new carpet, new interior paint, new kitchen and bathroom faucets, refrigerator, dryer, and washer included. Easy maintenance landscaping in front an the backyard can have grass or room for a pool! Set up your showing today!

19. 2018-12-21
    status Active 499-char remark

    Show marketing remark (499 chars)

    WOW! Come check out this move in ready home located in Rancho El Dorado. Located minutes from shopping, The Duke Golf Course, and 35 minutes from Sky Harbor. You cant beat the value and location of this home. Features include, 3 bedrooms, 2 bathrooms, 2 car garage, new carpet, new interior paint, new kitchen and bathroom faucets, refrigerator, dryer, and washer included. Easy maintenance landscaping in front an the backyard can have grass or room for a pool! Set up your showing today!

20. 2018-12-11
    status Pending 499-char remark

    Show marketing remark (499 chars)

    WOW! Come check out this move in ready home located in Rancho El Dorado. Located minutes from shopping, The Duke Golf Course, and 35 minutes from Sky Harbor. You cant beat the value and location of this home. Features include, 3 bedrooms, 2 bathrooms, 2 car garage, new carpet, new interior paint, new kitchen and bathroom faucets, refrigerator, dryer, and washer included. Easy maintenance landscaping in front an the backyard can have grass or room for a pool! Set up your showing today!

21. 2018-12-07
    price $174,800 499-char remark

    Show marketing remark (499 chars)

    WOW! Come check out this move in ready home located in Rancho El Dorado. Located minutes from shopping, The Duke Golf Course, and 35 minutes from Sky Harbor. You cant beat the value and location of this home. Features include, 3 bedrooms, 2 bathrooms, 2 car garage, new carpet, new interior paint, new kitchen and bathroom faucets, refrigerator, dryer, and washer included. Easy maintenance landscaping in front an the backyard can have grass or room for a pool! Set up your showing today!

22. 2018-11-30
    price $174,999 499-char remark

    Show marketing remark (499 chars)

    WOW! Come check out this move in ready home located in Rancho El Dorado. Located minutes from shopping, The Duke Golf Course, and 35 minutes from Sky Harbor. You cant beat the value and location of this home. Features include, 3 bedrooms, 2 bathrooms, 2 car garage, new carpet, new interior paint, new kitchen and bathroom faucets, refrigerator, dryer, and washer included. Easy maintenance landscaping in front an the backyard can have grass or room for a pool! Set up your showing today!

23. 2018-11-15
    listed $179,000 Active 499-char remark

    Show marketing remark (499 chars)

    WOW! Come check out this move in ready home located in Rancho El Dorado. Located minutes from shopping, The Duke Golf Course, and 35 minutes from Sky Harbor. You cant beat the value and location of this home. Features include, 3 bedrooms, 2 bathrooms, 2 car garage, new carpet, new interior paint, new kitchen and bathroom faucets, refrigerator, dryer, and washer included. Easy maintenance landscaping in front an the backyard can have grass or room for a pool! Set up your showing today!

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast AZ · Resets to sale price

• Current annual tax: $1,543 · $129/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $1,912 · $159/mo
• Expected delta: +$370/yr (+$31/mo · 24.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 8/10 Severe
• 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥114°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
• 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $23,314
• − Mortgage interest: −$16,231
• − Property taxes: −$1,543
• − Insurance: −$1,449
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,865
• − Management: −$1,865
• − HOA: −$660
• − Depreciation: −$8,429
• Taxable loss: −$8,727
• Est. tax savings @ 24.0%: +$2,094
• After-tax cash flow: $-1,372/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Maricopa Unified School District (4441)
• NCES district ID: 0404720
• Math proficiency: 20% ▼ -18.00%
• Reading proficiency: 29% ▼ -9.00%
• Median HH income: $63,725
• Composite: 22.92/100
• National rank: #7993
• State rank: #128 of 249 in AZ

Livability — Maricopa

• Score: 72/100
• State rank: #28
• US rank: #5943

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living B- Crime B+ Employment A- Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings B+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Maricopa, AZ
• County: Pinal County · 399,947 people
• City population: 76,044
• Metro: Phoenix-Mesa-Chandler, AZ
• Population (ZIP): 55,260
• Household income: $95,867
• Rent vs Own: 17.7% rent · 82.3% own
• Severe rent burden: 432.0

Population outlook (Pinal County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 437,574 people
• By 2030: 446,903 · +2.1%
• By 2040: 452,589 · +3.4%
• By 2050: 444,126 · +1.5%
• By 2075: 430,300 · -1.7%
• By 2100: 393,536 · -10.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.69)
• Race & ethnicity: White 45% Hispanic / Latino 30% Two or more races 17% Black 13% Native American 3% Asian 3% Pacific Islander 1%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 26% Puerto Rican 1%
• Common ancestry: Lithuanian 2% Romanian 2% Italian 2%
• Foreign-born: 10% · Canada
• Languages at home: 79% English-only · Spanish 16% Other Asian/Pacific 1% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Pinal

• 2024 margin: Strong R (+22.1) · D 38.5% · R 60.6%
• 2008→2024 swing: -7.6pp toward R · 2008: -14.5pp · 2024: -22.1pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+22.1 2020: R+17.3 2016: R+19.3 2012: R+17.1 2008: R+14.5

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -0.89%
• Current HPI: 258.1461
• Rent YoY: ▲ 1.78%
• Metro: Phoenix-Mesa-Chandler, AZ
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 4.54%
• F500 in state: 20

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AZ)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Technology	2	$13B
▸Mining / Metals	1	$23B
▸Environmental Services	1	$16B
▸Metals / Steel	1	$14B
▸Technology Distribution	1	$9B
▸Homebuilding	1	$8B

Price history

+61.9% since first listed

15 events — show timeline

• 2026-03-11 Relisted — ARMLS
• 2025-09-09 Listing Removed — ARMLS
• 2025-08-05 Price Changed $289,750 ARMLS
• 2025-06-26 Price Changed $289,999 ARMLS
• 2025-06-17 Price Changed $299,999 ARMLS
• 2025-06-06 Listed $310,000 ARMLS
• 2019-01-22 Sold (Public Records) $175,000 Public Records
• 2019-01-21 Sold (MLS) $175,000 ARMLS
• 2018-12-28 Pending — ARMLS
• 2018-12-21 Price Changed $172,000 ARMLS
• 2018-12-21 Relisted — ARMLS
• 2018-12-11 Pending — ARMLS
• 2018-12-07 Price Changed $174,800 ARMLS
• 2018-11-30 Price Changed $174,999 ARMLS
• 2018-11-15 Listed $179,000 ARMLS

Property tax history

-1.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,543 · +3.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.