121 SE 1st St · Krebs, OK
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 7/10 · Major
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $2,463 – $4,575
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 111°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 10.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +3.1/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.2/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$50,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Situated on nearly half an acre, this 3-bedroom, 2-bath home offers 1,296 square feet of living space along with a detached garage/workshop and a covered front porch that adds to the property's character and curb appeal. Large corner lot with approximately 313 feet of frontage. 3 bed, 2 bath home featuring detached garage/workshop and covered front porch. Nearly 0.44 acres (19,200 SF) in Krebs. Sold as-is. Buyer to verify all information.
Key facts
- Covered front porch
- Large corner lot
- Nearly half an acre
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Detached garage; 2 garage spaces
- Security: Storm shelter; Smoke detector(s)
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electricity available; Natural gas available; Cable available; Phone available
- Home design: Single-story; Basement foundation
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Asphalt/fiberglass roof; Built (year per public records)
- Exterior features: Barn(s); Property faces east
Interior
- Flooring: Carpet; Tile; Wood
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 half bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Space heater; Window unit cooling
- Interior features: Laminate counters; Wood counters; Basement (partial)
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $50k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $570 ($7k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $50k).
Location & tenants
- Location reads 61/100 on livability (#294 in OK) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A-; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
- Krebs (town): math 25% / reading 26% proficiency, ranked #99 of 270 in OK (top 37%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: 133 active listings in the ZIP; 46 units permitted in Pittsburg County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $346 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Pittsburg County population projected to shrink 7% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $14k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 9 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 2 sale attempts since 4y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $30k; list at $50k implies a 67% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1930 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1930 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.21% ✓
- Cap rate
- 19.98%
- Cash-on-cash
- 48.89%
- DSCR
- 3.18
- GRM
- 3.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $146,448
- Comps found
- 5
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 460 SE Monroe Ave | 0.26mi | 3/2.0 | 1,288 (-1%) | 19mo | $162,500 | $126 | 71 |
| 180 SW 2nd | 0.26mi | 3/2.0 | 1,287 (-1%) | 21mo | $145,000 | $113 | 69 |
| 630 Lakefront Dr | 0.38mi | 3/2.0 | 1,414 (+9%) | 4mo | $180,000 | $127 | 64 |
| 173 NW 3rd St | 0.51mi | 3/2.0 | 1,425 (+10%) | 20mo | $160,000 | $112 | 43 |
| 410 SE 4th | 0.33mi | 3/1.5 | 1,473 (+14%) | 21mo | $120,000 | $81 | 42 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 46.4%
- Equity multiple
- 3.02×
- Total profit
- $28,215
- Equity at exit
- $7,455
- IRR
- 52.2%
- Equity multiple
- 6.09×
- Total profit
- $71,305
- Equity at exit
- $4,323
Cash invested: $14,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Oklahoma
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+20
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 74501
- Home prices YoY
- -25.8%
- Active inventory
- 133
- Price-to-rent
- 3.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,104 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$262
- Tax from tax record
- −$19 /mo · $228/yr
- Insurance
- −$21
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$232
- Net cashflow
- $570
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $599 | -5% $585 | +0% $570 | +5% $556 | +10% $542 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $483 | -5% $527 | +0% $570 | +5% $614 | +10% $658 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $596 | -0.5pp $583 | base $570 | +0.5pp $557 | +1.0pp $544 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $12,500
- Closing costs
- $1,500
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 9 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $50,000 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $50,000 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-17remarks 442-char remark
-
2026-06-17days on market $50,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $50,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $50,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $50,000 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-06-12remarks 441-char remark
-
2026-06-12$50,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OK · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $228 · $19/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $450 · $37/mo
- Expected delta
- +$222/yr (+$18/mo · 97.4%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 7/10 Severe
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥111°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 10% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,252
- − Mortgage interest
- −$2,801
- − Property taxes
- −$228
- − Insurance
- −$250
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,060
- − Management
- −$1,060
- − Depreciation
- −$1,455
- Taxable income
- $6,398
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,536
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,309/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Krebs
- NCES district ID
- 4016720
- Math proficiency
- 25% ▼ -6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 26% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $46,002
- Composite
- 22.09/100
- National rank
- #8185
- State rank
- #99 of 270 in OK
Livability — Krebs
- Score
- 61/100
- State rank
- #294
- US rank
- #17457
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Krebs, OK
- City population
- 1,822
- Population (ZIP)
- 28,687
Population outlook (Pittsburg County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 42,795 people
- By 2030
- 41,901 · -2.1%
- By 2040
- 40,680 · -4.9%
- By 2050
- 39,952 · -6.6%
- By 2075
- 38,858 · -9.2%
- By 2100
- 36,031 · -15.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.55)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 67% Two or more races 17% Native American 9% Hispanic / Latino 6% Black 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 5%
- Common ancestry
- Iranian 2% Slovak 2% Romanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Pittsburg
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+59.0) · D 19.8% · R 78.8% · Other 1.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -22.4pp toward R · 2008: -36.6pp · 2024: -59.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+59.0 2020: R+56.3 2016: R+52.4 2012: R+38.3 2008: R+36.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -74.14%
- Current HPI
- 212.9867
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.55%
- F500 in state
- 6
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OK)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 3 | $48B |
|
||
Price history
+100.0% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-11 Listed $50,000 MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2022-11-19 Listing Removed — MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2022-11-16 Listed $78,999 MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2004-09-24 Sold (Public Records) $30,000 Public Records
- 1996-08-21 Sold (Public Records) $25,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+13.6%/yrLatest (2025): $228 · -22.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…