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420 Ivanhoe Dr
D- Composite 39.89
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • Cash flow +10.8/30.0
  • DSCR +3.1/10.0
  • Livability +2.8/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • 1% rule +2.2/10.0
  • Schools +0.9/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$149,900

420 Ivanhoe Dr · Selma, AL 36701
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 2,168 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 45 Days on market
Built 1980 0.32 ac lot $69/sqft · 19% below area Est $185k · 19% under ↓ 9% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

This 3 bedrooms 2 baths home is a great investment. Need some repairs and some TLC with great possibilities . The property has a very large lot with a 2 car attacked carport, a great room with wood burning fireplace, formal Living and dining combo. The kitchen has a breakfast nearby nook area. Use your creativity to make this house a HOME

Key facts

  • Breakfast nook
  • Large lot
  • 0.32 acre lot

Tags

LARGE LOTWOOD BURNING FIREPLACEBREAKFAST NOOK

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached carport; 2 carport spaces
  • Utilities: Electricity available; Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-story; Brick construction; Slab foundation
  • Construction: Brick exterior
  • Exterior features: City lot; Paved road; Outdoor storage

Interior

  • Kitchen: Gas range; Electric water heater
  • Flooring: Carpet; Plank; Tile; Vinyl
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating (gas); Central electric cooling
  • Interior features: Fireplace (1); Storage
  • Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Dryer hookup

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $150k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-68 ($-816/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $138k (8.0% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $108k (27.7% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $108k (27.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 5.7% vs local median 7.5% in Selma — below-typical yield; the buyer is paying a premium for something (appreciation thesis, condition, location) that the cap rate doesn't capture.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 56/100 on livability (#407 in AL) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing B; Watch: schools F, crime F, amenities F.
  • Selma City (town): math 2% / reading 23% proficiency, ranked #118 of 129 in AL (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 84% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 104 active listings in the ZIP; 7 units permitted in Dallas County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Dallas County population projected at -36% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 45 days — a 3% lower offer ($145k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 9y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $108,308 (27.7% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 45 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 28% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.72%
Cap rate
5.75%
Cash-on-cash
-1.94%
DSCR
0.91
GRM
11.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$185,293
List price
$149,900
Delta
-19.10%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 7 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
311 Wright Dr 0.05mi 3/2.0 2,171 (+0%) 1mo $96,000 $44 92
215 W Castlewood Dr 0.20mi 4/2.0 (+1) 2,084 (-4%) 5mo $198,000 $95 72
109 Lashley Dr 0.30mi 3/2.0 2,082 (-4%) 12mo $190,000 $91 65
225 W Castlewood Dr 0.20mi 4/2.0 (+1) 2,348 (+8%) 14mo $210,000 $89 56
311 Old Marion Junction Rd 0.24mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,908 (-12%) 10mo $229,500 $120 51
107 Moores Ferry Rd 0.22mi 3/2.0 1,864 (-14%) 22mo $240,000 $129 44
328 Moores Ferry Rd 0.46mi 3/2.0 2,468 (+14%) 10mo $239,900 $97 43

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-19.6%
Equity multiple
0.32×
Total profit
$-28,674
Equity at exit
$22,351
10-year hold
IRR
-12.4%
Equity multiple
0.27×
Total profit
$-30,761
Equity at exit
$12,961

Cash invested: $41,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Alabama
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Right-to-evict in 7 days for non-payment; no rent control; preempted statewide; courts move quickly.

ZIP-level market 36701

Home prices YoY
-6.3%
Active inventory
104
Price-to-rent
11.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,083 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$786
Tax from tax record
$75 /mo · $901/yr
Insurance
$62
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$227
Net cashflow
$-68

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,169
Max offer price $137,886
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $17 -5% $-26 +0% $-68 +5% $-110 +10% $-153
Rent -10% $-154 -5% $-111 +0% $-68 +5% $-25 +10% $18
Rate -1.0pp $7 -0.5pp $-30 base $-68 +0.5pp $-107 +1.0pp $-146

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$37,475
Closing costs
$4,497
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 21 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $149,900 Active 45 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $149,900 Active 44 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $149,900 Active 43 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $149,900 Active 42 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $149,900 Active 41 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $149,900 Active 39 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    pricedays on market $149,900 Active 38 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $153,000 Active 35 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $153,000 Active 34 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $153,000 Active 33 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $153,000 Active 32 DOM
  12. 2026-06-04
    days on market $153,000 Active 29 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $153,000 Active 28 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $153,000 Active 27 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $153,000 Active 26 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $153,000 Active 25 DOM
  17. 2026-05-05
    listed $153,000 Active 341-char remark
  18. 2018-05-27
    listed $170,000
  19. 2017-11-12
    listed $180,000
  20. 2015-07-20
    soldstatus $153,000
  21. 2007-06-15
    soldstatus $165,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$901 · $75/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$901 · $75/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$12,997
− Mortgage interest
−$8,397
− Property taxes
−$901
− Insurance
−$750
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,040
− Management
−$1,040
− Depreciation
−$4,361
Taxable loss
−$3,491
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$838
After-tax cash flow
$22/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Selma City
NCES district ID
0102970
Math proficiency
2% ▼ -24.00%
Reading proficiency
23% ▼ -2.00%
Median HH income
$23,380
Composite
9.07/100
National rank
#9870
State rank
#118 of 129 in AL

Livability — Selma

Score
56/100
State rank
#407
US rank
#22550

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing B Health & safety F User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Selma, AL
Population (ZIP)
22,358

Population outlook (Dallas County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
35,464 people
By 2030
32,631 · -8.0%
By 2040
27,246 · -23.2%
By 2050
22,691 · -36.0%
By 2075
14,867 · -58.1%
By 2100
10,285 · -71.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (69%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 69% White 28% Hispanic / Latino 2%
Common ancestry
Serbian 1% Lithuanian 1% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
98% English-only · Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Dallas

2024 margin
Solid D (+32.5) · D 65.9% · R 33.4%
2008→2024 swing
-2.0pp toward R · 2008: 34.5pp · 2024: 32.5pp
All cycles
2024: D+32.5 2020: D+37.5 2016: D+37.6 2012: D+39.7 2008: D+34.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -11.98%
Current HPI
176.6034
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.94%
F500 in state
4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-9.2% since first listed
6 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-11 Price Changed $149,900 MAAR
  • 2026-05-05 Listed $153,000 MAAR
  • 2018-05-27 Listed $170,000 MAAR
  • 2017-11-12 Listed $180,000 MAAR
  • 2015-07-20 Sold (Public Records) $153,000 Public Records
  • 2007-06-15 Sold (Public Records) $165,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+9.3%/yr

Latest (2023): $901 · +4.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…