2436 E Preston St · Baltimore, MD
Flood risk 7/10 · Major
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.97%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $755 – $1,403
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 103°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 6 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 7 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +26.8/30.0
- DSCR +9.2/10.0
- 1% rule +6.3/10.0
- ARV discount +4.7/15.0
- Appreciation +4.7/10.0
- Rent growth +3.8/5.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.0/10.0
$165,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
* * * INVESTMENT OPPORTUNITY * * * Current Rental Income Included!!!
Key facts
- Built 1890
- Listed 153 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath townhouse listed at $165k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $386 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $165k).
- Recommended offer: $145k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 9.6% vs local median 6.0% in Baltimore — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 76/100 on livability (#90 in MD, #3,396 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D, crime F.
- Baltimore City Public Schools (urban): math 7% / reading 16% proficiency, ranked #24 of 24 in MD (top 100%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 79% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.2%/yr); 319 active listings in the ZIP; 9 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 44% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 1,273 units permitted in Baltimore city in 2024 (1,104 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 43% of the median local income ($51k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $204 of equity ($1k loan paydown + $-937 appreciation (-0.6% local appreciation)).
- Baltimore County population projected to shrink 4% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-0.6% appreciation + 5.2% rent growth), your $46k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 153 days — a 12% lower offer ($145k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 9 sale attempts since 24y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $80k; list at $165k implies a 106% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo; built in 1890 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 153 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1890 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.13% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.58%
- Cash-on-cash
- 11.74%
- DSCR
- 1.52
- GRM
- 7.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $155,318
- List price
- $165,000
- Delta
- 6.23%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2305 Ashland Ave | 0.37mi | 3/1.0 | 616 (-12%) | 4mo | $78,000 | $127 | 59 |
| 1614 N Port St | 0.25mi | 3/1.0 | 800 (+14%) | 20mo | $25,000 | $31 | 49 |
| 506 N Patterson Park Ave | 0.64mi | 3/1.5 | 640 (-9%) | 8mo | $78,000 | $122 | 47 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-0.57% appreciation · 5.25% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 9.1%
- Equity multiple
- 1.43×
- Total profit
- $19,677
- Equity at exit
- $43,278
- IRR
- 16.3%
- Equity multiple
- 2.82×
- Total profit
- $84,071
- Equity at exit
- $48,455
Cash invested: $46,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (CITY)
- 12 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State Maryland
- 27 Tenant-Leaning · D+14
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City Baltimore
- 12 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+58
ZIP-level market 21213
- Home prices YoY
- -0.1%
- Rents YoY
- 5.2%
- Active inventory
- 319
- Price-to-rent
- 7.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,859 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$865
- Tax from tax record
- −$82 /mo · $986/yr
- Insurance
- −$69
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$66 /mo · $798/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$390
- Net cashflow
- $386
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $41,250
- Closing costs
- $4,950
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 9 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2221 E Preston St Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 1.0 | 658 | $1,200 | $1.82 | 23d | 1 | 0.19mi |
| 2410 E Federal St Baltimore, MD | 4.0 | 2.0 | 720 | $2,200 | $3.06 | 23d | 1 | 0.22mi |
| 500 N Rose St Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 2.0 | 520 | $1,200 | $2.31 | 4d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 1607 Hakesley Pl Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 1.0 | 720 | $1,400 | $1.94 | 43d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 520 Somerset St Baltimore, MD | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 634 | $1,578 | $2.49 | 43d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 305 S Collington Ave Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 2.5 | 722 | $2,895 | $4.01 | 17d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 4300 Orchard Ridge Blvd Baltimore, MD | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1021 | $1,809 | $1.77 | 43d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 1100 Greenmount Ave Baltimore, MD | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 839 | $2,584 | $3.08 | 2d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 210 S Caroline St Baltimore, MD | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 808 | $1,965 | $2.43 | 43d | 23 | 1.45mi |
Listing history 44 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $165,000 Active 153 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $165,000 Active 152 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $165,000 Active 151 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $165,000 Active 150 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $165,000 Active 148 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $165,000 Active 144 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $165,000 Active 143 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $165,000 Active 142 DOM
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2026-06-04days on market $165,000 Active 139 DOM
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2026-06-03days on market $165,000 Active 138 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $165,000 Active 137 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $165,000 Active 136 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $165,000 Active 135 DOM
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2026-01-16$165,000 Active 73-char remark
Show marketing remark (73 chars)
* * * INVESTMENT OPPORTUNITY * * * Current Rental Income Included!!!
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2025-09-13historical $1,700
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2025-08-28$1,700
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2025-04-17soldstatus $80,000 Closed 153-char remark
Show marketing remark (153 chars)
This 3-bedroom investment home offers great potential for rental income or future resale. This property is an ideal addition to any investment portfolio.
-
2025-03-19status Pending 153-char remark
Show marketing remark (153 chars)
This 3-bedroom investment home offers great potential for rental income or future resale. This property is an ideal addition to any investment portfolio.
-
2025-03-09price $93,900 153-char remark
Show marketing remark (153 chars)
This 3-bedroom investment home offers great potential for rental income or future resale. This property is an ideal addition to any investment portfolio.
-
2025-02-08price $94,000 153-char remark
Show marketing remark (153 chars)
This 3-bedroom investment home offers great potential for rental income or future resale. This property is an ideal addition to any investment portfolio.
-
2025-01-14$95,000 Active 153-char remark
Show marketing remark (153 chars)
This 3-bedroom investment home offers great potential for rental income or future resale. This property is an ideal addition to any investment portfolio.
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2022-10-20soldstatus $69,000 Closed
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2022-09-25status Pending
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2022-09-16$74,900 Active
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2010-07-14soldstatus $7,500
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2010-07-14soldstatus $7,500 Sold
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2010-06-11status Contingent (No Kick Out)
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2010-06-11historical
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2010-06-03price $9,900
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2010-05-14price $14,900
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2010-05-03price $19,000
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2010-04-12price $24,500
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2010-03-10$29,900 Active
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2010-03-10$9,900
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2009-11-03historical Withdrawn
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2009-11-02historical
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2009-06-07price
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2008-10-25
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2008-10-25$35,000
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2006-04-03soldstatus $63,000
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2005-03-28soldstatus $12,500
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2003-07-10historical
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2002-07-08
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2000-07-05soldstatus $55,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MD · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $986 · $82/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,392 · $116/mo
- Expected delta
- +$406/yr (+$34/mo · 41.2%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 7/10 Severe FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 97% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 6 unhealthy d/yr today · 7 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $22,304
- − Mortgage interest
- −$9,243
- − Property taxes
- −$986
- − Insurance
- −$1,622
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,784
- − Management
- −$1,784
- − Depreciation
- −$4,800
- Taxable income
- $2,084
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$500
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,128/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Baltimore City Public Schools
- NCES district ID
- 2400090
- Math proficiency
- 7% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 16% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $42,108
- Composite
- 10.08/100
- National rank
- #9805
- State rank
- #24 of 24 in MD
Livability — Baltimore
- Score
- 76/100
- State rank
- #90
- US rank
- #3396
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Baltimore, MD
- County
- Baltimore City · 558,601 people
- City population
- 588,727
- Metro
- Baltimore-Columbia-Towson, MD
- Population (ZIP)
- 28,058
- Household income
- $51,344
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1868.0
Population outlook (Baltimore County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 624,249 people
- By 2030
- 621,541 · -0.4%
- By 2040
- 609,756 · -2.3%
- By 2050
- 597,249 · -4.3%
- By 2075
- 552,236 · -11.5%
- By 2100
- 513,934 · -17.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (86%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 86% White 6% Hispanic / Latino 4% Two or more races 3%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Baltimore
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+73.0) · D 85.2% · R 12.2% · Other 2.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -2.5pp toward R · 2008: 75.5pp · 2024: 73.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+73.0 2020: D+76.6 2016: D+74.6 2012: D+76.4 2008: D+75.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -0.57%
- Current HPI
- 427.4453
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 5.25%
- Metro
- Baltimore-Columbia-Towson, MD
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.97%
- F500 in state
- 12
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MD)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Aerospace / Defense | 1 | $71B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $25B |
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| Hotels | 1 | $24B |
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| Consumer Goods | 1 | $7B |
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| Real Estate | 1 | $6B |
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| Chemicals | 1 | $2B |
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Price history
+200.0% since first listed31 events — show timeline
- 2026-01-16 Listed $165,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2025-09-13 Rental Removed $1,700 SHOWMOJO
- 2025-08-28 Listed for Rent $1,700 SHOWMOJO
- 2025-04-17 Sold (MLS) $80,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2025-03-19 Pending — BRIGHT MLS
- 2025-03-09 Price Changed $93,900 BRIGHT MLS
- 2025-02-08 Price Changed $94,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2025-01-14 Listed $95,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2022-10-20 Sold (MLS) $69,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2022-09-25 Pending — BRIGHT MLS
- 2022-09-16 Listed $74,900 BRIGHT MLS
- 2010-07-14 Sold (MLS) $7,500 MRIS
- 2010-07-14 Sold (MLS) $7,500 BRIGHT MLS
- 2010-06-11 Pending — MRIS
- 2010-06-11 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2010-06-03 Price Changed $9,900 MRIS
- 2010-05-14 Price Changed $14,900 MRIS
- 2010-05-03 Price Changed $19,000 MRIS
- 2010-04-12 Price Changed $24,500 MRIS
- 2010-03-10 Listed $29,900 MRIS
- 2010-03-10 Listed $9,900 BRIGHT MLS
- 2009-11-03 Delisted — MRIS
- 2009-11-02 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2009-06-07 Price Changed — MRIS
- 2008-10-25 Listed — MRIS
- 2008-10-25 Listed $35,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2006-04-03 Sold (Public Records) $63,000 Public Records
- 2005-03-28 Sold (Public Records) $12,500 Public Records
- 2003-07-10 Delisted — MRIS
- 2002-07-08 Listed — MRIS
- 2000-07-05 Sold (Public Records) $55,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+7.0%/yrLatest (2025): $986 · +9.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…