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8467 P.5 #10 Rd
B- Composite 69.58
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Schools +3.3/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$49,000

8467 P.5 #10 Rd · Escanaba, MI 49837
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,120 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 7 Days on market
Built 1998 $44/sqft · 71% below area

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Move in ready 2020 Midcountry for sale located in Briar Park! Briar Park is conveniently located near M35, Cameron Elementary School, and Gladstone High School. The 2020 Midcountry features 3 bedrooms, 2 full bath, a 10x14 composite deck, and 2 storage sheds. Located at the end of the park, this lot has an expansive back yard ideal for hanging out with friends and family. All appliances will be staying with the home including a washer/dryer, dishwasher, refrigerator, oven and microwave. Serial Number WS11405A

Key facts

  • Master suite
  • Refrigerator
  • Jack-and-jill style

Tags

MOVE IN READYOPEN CONCEPT FLOOR PLANMASTER SUITEJACK-AND-JILL STYLEGAS RANGEREFRIGERATOR

Property features AI

Finance

  • Financial info: Monthly rent amount listed as $400

Exterior

  • Parking: 3 or more parking spaces (unassigned/general)
  • Utilities: 100 amp electric service with circuit breaker; Electric water heater; Propane fuel (tank leased); Septic system; Community well water; Electricity, sewer and water connected
  • Home design: Manufactured single-wide home (manufactured after 1976); 1 story; Located in a manufactured home park (Briar Park)
  • Construction: Vinyl siding; Piers foundation; Built in 1998
  • Exterior features: Deck; No water features noted

Interior

  • Kitchen: Range/Oven; Refrigerator; Eat-in layout
  • Bedrooms: Main level bedrooms (3): 11 x 14; 11 x 12; 8 x 7
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; No central cooling
  • Interior features: Eat-in kitchen; Basement (other type)
  • Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $49k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $482 ($6k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $49k).
  • Cap rate 18.1% vs local median 4.9% in Escanaba — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 75/100 on livability (#161 in MI, #4,089 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime D+, commute F, employment F.
  • Gladstone Area Schools (town): math 32% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #226 of 540 in MI (top 42%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 49 active listings in the ZIP; 38 units permitted in Delta County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $339 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Delta County population projected at -22% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $14k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 7 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 13 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $49,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  2. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  3. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.06%
Cap rate
18.09%
Cash-on-cash
42.15%
DSCR
2.88
GRM
4.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$173,501
List price
$49,000
Delta
-68.30%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 4 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
533 25th St 0.29mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,096 (-2%) 10mo $362,000 $330 65
155 29th Lot St #89 0.10mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,050 (-6%) 22mo $89,900 $86 58
6 Pinewood Dr 0.30mi 3/2.0 (+1) 980 (-12%) 19mo $150,000 $153 40
6060 21.9 Ln 0.59mi 2/2.0 1,280 (+14%) 18mo $132,000 $103 30

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
38.8%
Equity multiple
2.66×
Total profit
$22,751
Equity at exit
$7,306
10-year hold
IRR
45.3%
Equity multiple
5.32×
Total profit
$59,333
Equity at exit
$4,237

Cash invested: $13,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 49837

Active inventory
49
Price-to-rent
4.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,008 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$257
Tax from tax record
$37 /mo · $448/yr
Insurance
$20
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$212
Net cashflow
$482

Break-even live

Break-even rent $398
Max offer price $49,000
Occupancy floor 47%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $510 -5% $496 +0% $482 +5% $468 +10% $454
Rent -10% $402 -5% $442 +0% $482 +5% $522 +10% $562
Rate -1.0pp $507 -0.5pp $494 base $482 +0.5pp $469 +1.0pp $456

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$12,250
Closing costs
$1,470
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 37 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    status $49,000 Pending 7 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $49,000 Active 7 DOM
    Show marketing remark (514 chars)

    Move in ready 2020 Midcountry for sale located in Briar Park! Briar Park is conveniently located near M35, Cameron Elementary School, and Gladstone High School. The 2020 Midcountry features 3 bedrooms, 2 full bath, a 10x14 composite deck, and 2 storage sheds. Located at the end of the park, this lot has an expansive back yard ideal for hanging out with friends and family. All appliances will be staying with the home including a washer/dryer, dishwasher, refrigerator, oven and microwave. Serial Number WS11405A

  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $49,000 Active 6 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $49,000 Active 5 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $49,000 Active 3 DOM
  6. 2026-06-12
    pricedays on marketlisting id $49,000 Active 2 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    pricestatusdays on marketlisting id $89,000 Active 1 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $55,000 Accepting Backup Offers 28 DOM
    Show marketing remark (514 chars)

    Move in ready 2020 Midcountry for sale located in Briar Park! Briar Park is conveniently located near M35, Cameron Elementary School, and Gladstone High School. The 2020 Midcountry features 3 bedrooms, 2 full bath, a 10x14 composite deck, and 2 storage sheds. Located at the end of the park, this lot has an expansive back yard ideal for hanging out with friends and family. All appliances will be staying with the home including a washer/dryer, dishwasher, refrigerator, oven and microwave. Serial Number WS11405A

  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $55,000 Accepting Backup Offers 27 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $55,000 Accepting Backup Offers 26 DOM
  11. 2026-06-04
    days on market $55,000 Accepting Backup Offers 23 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $55,000 Accepting Backup Offers 22 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $55,000 Accepting Backup Offers 21 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $55,000 Accepting Backup Offers 20 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $55,000 Accepting Backup Offers 19 DOM
  16. 2026-05-11
    listed $55,000 Active 728-char remark
  17. 2026-05-11
    listed $55,000 Active 728-char remark
  18. 2026-03-10
    soldstatus $10,000 207-char remark
  19. 2026-03-10
    soldstatus $10,000 207-char remark
  20. 2026-03-10
    listed $10,000 207-char remark
  21. 2026-03-10
    listed $10,000 207-char remark
  22. 2026-02-18
    status Pending
  23. 2026-02-13
    soldstatus $40,000 Closed
  24. 2026-02-13
    soldstatus $40,000 Closed
  25. 2026-01-30
    historical Keep Showing-Contgcy Appl
  26. 2026-01-12
    listed $45,000 Active
  27. 2026-01-12
    listed $45,000 Active
  28. 2025-12-26
    soldstatus $45,000 Closed
  29. 2025-12-26
    soldstatus $45,000 Closed
  30. 2025-12-22
    status Pending
  31. 2025-12-22
    status Pending
  32. 2025-12-20
    price $49,950
  33. 2025-12-19
    price $49,950
  34. 2025-11-13
    listed $55,000 Active
  35. 2025-11-13
    listed $55,000 Active
  36. 2025-11-12
    listed $535,000
  37. 2025-11-07
    soldstatus $535,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$448 · $37/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$601 · $50/mo
Expected delta
+$153/yr (+$13/mo · 34.2%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 1/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥89°F today · 13 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$12,100
− Mortgage interest
−$2,745
− Property taxes
−$448
− Insurance
−$245
− Repairs & maintenance
−$968
− Management
−$968
− Depreciation
−$1,425
Taxable income
$5,301
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,272
After-tax cash flow
$4,510/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Gladstone Area Schools
NCES district ID
2615970
Math proficiency
32% ▼ -2.00%
Reading proficiency
45% ▲ 1.00%
Median HH income
$50,821
Composite
33.28/100
National rank
#5510
State rank
#226 of 540 in MI

Livability — Escanaba

Score
75/100
State rank
#161
US rank
#4089

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime D+ Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
10,007

Population outlook (Delta County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
34,431 people
By 2030
33,003 · -4.1%
By 2040
29,748 · -13.6%
By 2050
26,753 · -22.3%
By 2075
20,962 · -39.1%
By 2100
15,616 · -54.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (94%)
Race & ethnicity
White 94% Two or more races 4%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 9% Iranian 5% English 4%
Foreign-born
0%
Languages at home
99% English-only · Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Delta

2024 margin
Solid R (+30.4) · D 34.1% · R 64.5% · Other 1.4%
2008→2024 swing
-36.7pp toward R · 2008: 6.3pp · 2024: -30.4pp
All cycles
2024: R+30.4 2020: R+26.5 2016: R+25.4 2012: R+6.7 2008: D+6.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -108.63%
Current HPI
157.4775
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-89.7% since first listed
36 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-17 Pending UPAR
  • 2026-06-17 Pending UPAR
  • 2026-06-17 Pending MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-06-17 Pending MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-06-12 Pending UPAR
  • 2026-06-12 Pending MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-06-12 Sold (MLS) $55,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-06-12 Sold (MLS) $55,000 UPAR
  • 2026-06-10 Listed $49,000 UPAR
  • 2026-06-10 Listed $49,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-06-08 Listed $89,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-06-08 Listed $89,000 UPAR
  • 2026-05-27 Contingent MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-05-11 Listed $55,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-05-11 Listed $55,000 UPAR
  • 2026-03-10 Listed $10,000 UPAR
  • 2026-03-10 Listed $10,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-03-10 Sold (MLS) $10,000 UPAR
  • 2026-03-10 Sold (MLS) $10,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-02-18 Pending MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-02-13 Sold (MLS) $40,000 UPAR
  • 2026-02-13 Sold (MLS) $40,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-01-30 Contingent MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-01-12 Listed $45,000 UPAR
  • 2026-01-12 Listed $45,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2025-12-26 Sold (MLS) $45,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2025-12-26 Sold (MLS) $45,000 UPAR
  • 2025-12-22 Pending UPAR
  • 2025-12-22 Pending MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2025-12-20 Price Changed $49,950 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2025-12-19 Price Changed $49,950 UPAR
  • 2025-11-13 Listed $55,000 UPAR
  • 2025-11-13 Listed $55,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2025-11-12 Listed $535,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2025-11-07 Sold (Public Records) $275,000 Public Records
  • 2025-11-07 Sold (MLS) $535,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS

Property tax history

-6.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $448 · -75.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…