🏷️ Likely Rental
306 Hasbrouck St · Ogdensburg, NY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 94°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the A- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Appreciation +5.5/10.0
- Schools +3.3/10.0
- Livability +3.3/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$44,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Don’t miss this excellent investment opportunity! This 4-bedroom, 2-bath home already has a reliable long-term tenant, so you can begin earning rental income right away. On the main floor, you’ll find a living room, dining area, kitchen, laundry hookups, and a full bathroom featuring a stand-up shower. Upstairs, there’s another full bath with a tub-shower combination, along with solid wood doors leading to each bedroom and the bathroom. Additional features include a paved driveway and a carport. Some upgrades within the last few years include metal roofing and a natural gas boiler furnace. Contact a realtor to arrange your showing.
Key facts
- Stand-up shower
- Kitchen
- Full bathroom
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $45k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $497 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $45k).
- Recommended offer: $42k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 19.6% vs local median 5.3% in Ogdensburg — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 66/100 on livability (#624 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment D+, schools D-, crime F.
- Ogdensburg City School District (town): math 34% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #531 of 590 in NY (top 90%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 134 active listings in the ZIP; 215 units permitted in St. Lawrence County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $789 of equity ($310 loan paydown + $479 appreciation (1.1% local appreciation)).
- St. Lawrence County population projected at -14% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (1.1% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $13k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 62 days — a 6% lower offer ($42k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 2y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (18%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $32k; 40% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 62 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.28% ✓
- Cap rate
- 19.59%
- Cash-on-cash
- 47.48%
- DSCR
- 3.11
- GRM
- 3.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $76,375
- List price
- $44,900
- Delta
- -41.21%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 517 Hamilton St | 0.29mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 837 (-5%) | 10mo | $73,140 | $87 | 61 |
| 426 Clark St | 0.14mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 966 (+10%) | 18mo | $32,000 | $33 | 53 |
| 409 & 407 Pleasant Ave | 0.13mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,008 (+14%) | 12mo | $47,000 | $47 | 51 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
1.07% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 50.2%
- Equity multiple
- 3.60×
- Total profit
- $32,683
- Equity at exit
- $15,485
- IRR
- 51.8%
- Equity multiple
- 7.20×
- Total profit
- $77,929
- Equity at exit
- $20,701
Cash invested: $12,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 13669
- Home prices YoY
- 0.4%
- Active inventory
- 134
- Price-to-rent
- 3.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,022 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$235
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$56 /mo · $674/yr
- Insurance
- −$19
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$215
- Net cashflow
- $497
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $528 | -5% $513 | +0% $497 | +5% $482 | +10% $466 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $417 | -5% $457 | +0% $497 | +5% $538 | +10% $578 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $520 | -0.5pp $509 | base $497 | +0.5pp $486 | +1.0pp $474 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $11,225
- Closing costs
- $1,347
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 25 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $44,900 Active 62 DOM
-
2026-06-21days on market $44,900 Active 61 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $44,900 Active 59 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $44,900 Active 58 DOM
-
2026-06-16remarks 677-char remark
-
2026-06-16days on market $44,900 Active 57 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $44,900 Active 56 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $44,900 Active 54 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $44,900 Active 53 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $44,900 Active 50 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $44,900 Active 49 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $44,900 Active 48 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $44,900 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-06-04remarks 653-char remark
-
2026-06-04pricedays on market $44,900 Active 44 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $49,500 Active 43 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $49,500 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $49,500 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-05-06price $49,500 657-char remark
Show marketing remark (657 chars)
Don’t miss this excellent investment opportunity! This 4-bedroom, 2-bath home already has a reliable long-term tenant, so you can begin earning rental income right away. On the main floor, you’ll find a living room, dining area, kitchen, laundry hookups, and a full bathroom featuring a stand-up shower. Upstairs, there’s another full bath with a tub-shower combination, along with solid wood doors leading to each bedroom and the bathroom. Additional features include a paved driveway and a carport. Some upgrades within the last few years include metal roofing and a natural gas boiler furnace. Contact a realtor to arrange your showing.
-
2026-04-21$54,900 Active 657-char remark
Show marketing remark (657 chars)
Don’t miss this excellent investment opportunity! This 4-bedroom, 2-bath home already has a reliable long-term tenant, so you can begin earning rental income right away. On the main floor, you’ll find a living room, dining area, kitchen, laundry hookups, and a full bathroom featuring a stand-up shower. Upstairs, there’s another full bath with a tub-shower combination, along with solid wood doors leading to each bedroom and the bathroom. Additional features include a paved driveway and a carport. Some upgrades within the last few years include metal roofing and a natural gas boiler furnace. Contact a realtor to arrange your showing.
-
2024-10-15soldstatus $32,000 Closed 672-char remark
Show marketing remark (672 chars)
Opportunity awaits! Own this income producing 4-Bed, 2-Bath home, which the current Owner has rented for the past 17 years, and the current tenant has occupied for nearly 2 years. Some recent improvements include a new metal roof and a 1-year-old natural gas boiler furnace. The main floor has a living room, dining room, kitchen, laundry hookups and a full bathroom w/ stand-up shower unit. The second floor also has a full bathroom w/ tub-shower combo, and there’s solid wood entrance doors for each of the four bedrooms & bath. There’s also paved driveway and carport. A new Owner can just start collecting the rents! Call today to schedule a showing.
-
2024-08-16status Pending 672-char remark
Show marketing remark (672 chars)
Opportunity awaits! Own this income producing 4-Bed, 2-Bath home, which the current Owner has rented for the past 17 years, and the current tenant has occupied for nearly 2 years. Some recent improvements include a new metal roof and a 1-year-old natural gas boiler furnace. The main floor has a living room, dining room, kitchen, laundry hookups and a full bathroom w/ stand-up shower unit. The second floor also has a full bathroom w/ tub-shower combo, and there’s solid wood entrance doors for each of the four bedrooms & bath. There’s also paved driveway and carport. A new Owner can just start collecting the rents! Call today to schedule a showing.
-
2024-08-12$34,900 Active 672-char remark
Show marketing remark (672 chars)
Opportunity awaits! Own this income producing 4-Bed, 2-Bath home, which the current Owner has rented for the past 17 years, and the current tenant has occupied for nearly 2 years. Some recent improvements include a new metal roof and a 1-year-old natural gas boiler furnace. The main floor has a living room, dining room, kitchen, laundry hookups and a full bathroom w/ stand-up shower unit. The second floor also has a full bathroom w/ tub-shower combo, and there’s solid wood entrance doors for each of the four bedrooms & bath. There’s also paved driveway and carport. A new Owner can just start collecting the rents! Call today to schedule a showing.
-
2007-01-08soldstatus $19,500
-
2001-06-28soldstatus $10,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥94°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $12,269
- − Mortgage interest
- −$2,515
- − Property taxes
- −$674
- − Insurance
- −$224
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$982
- − Management
- −$982
- − Depreciation
- −$1,306
- Taxable income
- $5,587
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,341
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,628/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Ogdensburg City School District
- NCES district ID
- 3621660
- Math proficiency
- 34% ▼ -15.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 46% ▲ 6.00%
- Median HH income
- $38,253
- Composite
- 33.33/100
- National rank
- #5497
- State rank
- #531 of 590 in NY
Livability — Ogdensburg
- Score
- 66/100
- State rank
- #624
- US rank
- #11365
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Ogdensburg, NY
- Population (ZIP)
- 15,615
Population outlook (St. Lawrence County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 110,027 people
- By 2030
- 107,455 · -2.3%
- By 2040
- 100,492 · -8.7%
- By 2050
- 94,254 · -14.3%
- By 2075
- 80,175 · -27.1%
- By 2100
- 63,140 · -42.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (91%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 91% Black 4% Two or more races 3% Hispanic / Latino 2%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 10% Polish 6% Slovak 3%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada, China, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 89% English-only · German/W. Germanic 9% Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · St. Lawrence
- 2024 margin
- R (+18.0) · D 41.0% · R 59.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -34.3pp toward R · 2008: 16.3pp · 2024: -18.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+18.0 2020: R+11.7 2016: R+10.8 2012: D+16.6 2008: D+16.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 1.07%
- Current HPI
- 264.0261
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
||
| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
||
| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
||
| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
|
||
Price history
+395.0% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-06 Price Changed $49,500 SLCMLS
- 2026-04-21 Listed $54,900 SLCMLS
- 2024-10-15 Sold (MLS) $32,000 SLCMLS
- 2024-08-16 Pending — SLCMLS
- 2024-08-12 Listed $34,900 SLCMLS
- 2007-01-08 Sold (Public Records) $19,500 Public Records
- 2001-06-28 Sold (Public Records) $10,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+14.7%/yrLatest (2025): $2,551 · +0.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…