751 Avenue C #19 · Fox Farm-College, WY
Flood risk 6/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- AE
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.74%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $1,737 – $8,500
Fire risk 7/10 · Major
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $564 – $1,046
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 89°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +5.0/10.0
- DSCR +5.0/10.0
- Schools +3.9/10.0
- Rent growth +3.8/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$29,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Key facts
- Covered front porch
- Open concept living
- Fenced yard
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: Annual taxes approximately $86.81
Exterior
- Home design: Mobile Home (residential property type)
- Exterior features: Mobile home on a residential property
Interior
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 half bathroom
- Interior features: Subdivision: PROSSER TRACTS
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath manufactured listed at $30k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $846 ($10k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $30k).
- Recommended offer: $28k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade C — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- Laramie County School District #1 (urban): math 41% / reading 48% proficiency, ranked #33 of 41 in WY (top 80%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.1%/yr); 166 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 485 units permitted in Laramie County in 2024 (104 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 38% of the median local income ($59k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $207 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $897 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Laramie County population projected at +26% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 5.1% rent growth), your $8k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 81 days — a 6% lower offer ($28k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); major wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 81 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1973 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 6.26% ✓
- Cap rate
- 57.36%
- Cash-on-cash
- 182.39%
- DSCR
- 9.12
- GRM
- 1.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $53,466
- Comps found
- 9
Show comp detail 9 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 300 E Prosser Rd #91 | 0.38mi | 3/1.0 | 960 (+2%) | 11mo | $69,900 | $73 | 67 |
| 300 E Prosser Rd #77 | 0.38mi | 3/2.0 | 960 (+2%) | 11mo | $55,000 | $57 | 67 |
| 609 E Prosser Rd #24 | 0.44mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 924 (-2%) | 9mo | $35,000 | $38 | 62 |
| 609 E Prosser Rd #45 | 0.42mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 864 (-8%) | 3mo | $31,000 | $36 | 58 |
| 1500 Avenue C #25 | 0.42mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 975 (+4%) | 12mo | $67,000 | $69 | 57 |
| 609 E Prosser Rd #4 | 0.42mi | 3/2.0 | 1,064 (+13%) | 4mo | $45,000 | $42 | 52 |
| 1500 Avenue C #3 | 0.42mi | 3/2.0 | 1,064 (+13%) | 5mo | $89,500 | $84 | 52 |
| 1500 Avenue C #15 | 0.42mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 812 (-13%) | 6mo | $64,000 | $79 | 46 |
| 300 E Prosser Rd #41 | 0.38mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 840 (-10%) | 18mo | $47,600 | $57 | 43 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 5.08% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 7.37×
- Total profit
- $53,322
- Equity at exit
- $4,458
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 17.02×
- Total profit
- $134,112
- Equity at exit
- $2,585
Cash invested: $8,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Wyoming
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+25
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 82007
- Home prices YoY
- -25.9%
- Rents YoY
- 5.1%
- Active inventory
- 166
- Price-to-rent
- 1.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,872 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$157
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$37 /mo · $448/yr
- Insurance
- −$12
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$427 /mo · $5,118/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$393
- Net cashflow
- $846
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $867 | -5% $856 | +0% $846 | +5% $836 | +10% $825 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $698 | -5% $772 | +0% $846 | +5% $920 | +10% $994 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $861 | -0.5pp $854 | base $846 | +0.5pp $838 | +1.0pp $830 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $7,475
- Closing costs
- $897
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 215 Walterscheid Blvd Cheyenne, WY | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 818 | $1,625 | $1.99 | 15d | 4 | 1.00mi |
| 505 Williams St Cheyenne, WY | 2.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1028 | $1,899 | $1.85 | 15d | 1 | 1.40mi |
Listing history 17 events
-
2026-06-14statusdays on market $29,900 Pending 81 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $29,900 Active 80 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $29,900 Active 78 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $29,900 Active 77 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $29,900 Active 76 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $29,900 Active 75 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $29,900 Active 72 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $29,900 Active 71 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $29,900 Active 70 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $29,900 Active 69 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $29,900 Active 68 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $29,900 Active 67 DOM
-
2026-05-09status Active
-
2026-05-05status Pending
-
2026-03-19$29,900 Active
-
2025-10-12price $40,000
-
2025-09-12price $44,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone AE · 74% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 7/10 Severe
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥89°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $22,467
- − Mortgage interest
- −$1,675
- − Property taxes
- −$448
- − Insurance
- −$5,268
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,797
- − Management
- −$1,797
- − Depreciation
- −$870
- Taxable income
- $10,611
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,547
- After-tax cash flow
- $7,604/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Laramie County School District #1
- NCES district ID
- 5601980
- Math proficiency
- 41% ▼ -2.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 48% ▼ -2.00%
- Median HH income
- $56,842
- Composite
- 38.86/100
- National rank
- #4103
- State rank
- #33 of 41 in WY
Livability — Fox Farm-College
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Fox Farm-College, WY
- County
- Laramie County · 94,953 people
- Metro
- Cheyenne, WY
- Population (ZIP)
- 21,704
- Household income
- $58,745
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 854.0
Population outlook (Laramie County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 109,698 people
- By 2030
- 115,710 · +5.5%
- By 2040
- 127,191 · +15.9%
- By 2050
- 138,476 · +26.2%
- By 2075
- 168,653 · +53.7%
- By 2100
- 188,739 · +72.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (66%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 66% Hispanic / Latino 27% Two or more races 12% Native American 4% Black 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 21%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 2% Slovak 2% Portuguese 2%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 88% English-only · Spanish 10%
Political lean MEDSL · Laramie
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+32.4) · D 33.0% · R 65.4% · Other 1.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -12.1pp toward R · 2008: -20.4pp · 2024: -32.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+32.4 2020: R+28.2 2016: R+33.2 2012: R+24.8 2008: R+20.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -90.05%
- Current HPI
- 257.0616
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 5.08%
- Metro
- Cheyenne, WY
- State GDP YoY
- —
- F500 in state
- 0
Price history
-32.0% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-09 Relisted — CBR
- 2026-05-05 Pending — CBR
- 2026-03-19 Listed $29,900 CBR
- 2025-10-12 Price Changed $40,000 CBR
- 2025-09-12 Price Changed $44,000 CBR
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…