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121 Miller Woods Trl
C- Composite 54.62
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +13.7/15.0
  • Cash flow +12.2/30.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • Schools +4.2/10.0
  • DSCR +3.6/10.0
  • Livability +3.6/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • 1% rule +2.4/10.0

$245,000

121 Miller Woods Trl · Gilbert, SC 29070
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,334 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 72 Days on market
Built 2008 0.51 ac lot Est $284k · 14% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Welcome home to this move-in ready, fully renovated gem! This beautifully updated 3-bedroom, 2-bath home features durable LVP flooring and a full suite of brand-new appliances—offering modern comfort and peace of mind from day one. Major system updates include a roof and HVAC system that are only three years old, giving added value and long-term reliability. Step outside and enjoy the spacious . 51-acre lot, perfect for entertaining, relaxing, or giving pets and family plenty of room to roam. Located in the award-winning Lexington 1 School District, this home combines quality, convenience, and location. Disclaimer: CMLS has not reviewed and, therefore, does not endorse vendors who ma

Key facts

  • Fully renovated
  • Roof and hvac system
  • Durable lvp flooring

Tags

FULLY RENOVATEDDURABLE LVP FLOORINGBRAND-NEW APPLIANCESROOF AND HVAC SYSTEMSPACIOUS .51-ACRE LOT

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-family property
  • Construction: Crawlspace foundation
  • Exterior features: Vinyl exterior finish; Paved road access

Interior

  • Bedrooms: Master bedroom on the main level
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Interior features: Central cooling; Central and split system heating

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $245k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-51 ($-613/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $236k (3.7% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $182k (25.7% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $182k (25.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 71/100 on livability (#52 in SC) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime B; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
  • Lexington 01 (suburban): math 42% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #11 of 80 in SC (top 14%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Gilbert Elementary (math 33% / reading 26%, grade F, #399 of 597 statewide, top 69%, 768 students, 45% FRL); Gilbert High (math 37% / reading 83%, grade C+, #109 of 196 statewide, top 55%, 1,118 students, 38% FRL).
  • Market conditions: 167 active listings in the ZIP; 1,712 units permitted in Lexington County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $26k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $24k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Lexington County population projected at +26% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $69k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$42k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 72 days — a 6% lower offer ($230k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 4y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $207k; 18% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 73% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $182,127 (25.7% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 72 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 26% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.74%
Cap rate
6.04%
Cash-on-cash
-0.89%
DSCR
0.96
GRM
11.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$284,142
Comps found
1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
517 Elzie Hallman Rd 0.75mi 3/2.0 1,247 (-6%) 22mo $266,170 $213 36

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
23.6%
Equity multiple
2.90×
Total profit
$130,080
Equity at exit
$220,715
10-year hold
IRR
21.0%
Equity multiple
6.62×
Total profit
$385,432
Equity at exit
$475,981

Cash invested: $68,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State South Carolina
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
5-day notice; preempted; landlord-favorable.

ZIP-level market 29070

Home prices YoY
3.2%
Active inventory
167
Price-to-rent
11.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,821 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,285
Tax from tax record
$103 /mo · $1,236/yr
Insurance
$102
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$382
Net cashflow
$-51

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,886
Max offer price $235,970
Occupancy floor 98%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$61,250
Closing costs
$7,350
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 19 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $245,000 Active 72 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $245,000 Active 71 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $245,000 Active 70 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $245,000 Active 69 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $245,000 Active 67 DOM
  6. 2026-06-10
    days on market $245,000 Active 64 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $245,000 Active 63 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $245,000 Active 62 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $245,000 Active 61 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $245,000 Active 57 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $245,000 Active 56 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $245,000 Active 55 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $245,000 Active 54 DOM
  14. 2026-05-10
    price $245,000
  15. 2026-04-07
    listed $250,000 Active
  16. 2022-12-02
    soldstatus $207,000
  17. 2022-10-01
    historical
  18. 2022-10-01
    price $207,000
  19. 2022-09-17
    listed $225,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast SC · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,236 · $103/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,396 · $116/mo
Expected delta
+$160/yr (+$13/mo · 13.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 73% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$21,855
− Mortgage interest
−$13,724
− Property taxes
−$1,236
− Insurance
−$1,225
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,748
− Management
−$1,748
− Depreciation
−$7,127
Taxable loss
−$4,954
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,189
After-tax cash flow
$576/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Lexington 01
NCES district ID
4502700
Math proficiency
42% ▼ -12.00%
Reading proficiency
53% ▼ -2.00%
Median HH income
$61,298
Composite
41.75/100
National rank
#3399
State rank
#11 of 80 in SC

Livability — Gilbert

Score
71/100
State rank
#52
US rank
#7008

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B Employment B- Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
15,528

Population outlook (Lexington County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
322,999 people
By 2030
342,356 · +6.0%
By 2040
377,715 · +16.9%
By 2050
406,984 · +26.0%
By 2075
465,447 · +44.1%
By 2100
485,674 · +50.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (76%)
Race & ethnicity
White 76% Black 12% Hispanic / Latino 7% Two or more races 6%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 5%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 1% Slovak 1% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada
Languages at home
92% English-only · Spanish 6% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Lexington

2024 margin
Solid R (+33.5) · D 32.5% · R 66.0% · Other 1.4%
2008→2024 swing
+4.6pp toward D · 2008: -38.0pp · 2024: -33.5pp
All cycles
2024: R+33.5 2020: R+30.1 2016: R+36.7 2012: R+37.8 2008: R+38.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 13.72%
Current HPI
439.77
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 4.51%
F500 in state
2

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in SC)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+8.9% since first listed
6 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-10 Price Changed $245,000 Consolidated MLS
  • 2026-04-07 Listed $250,000 Consolidated MLS
  • 2022-12-02 Sold (Public Records) $207,000 Public Records
  • 2022-10-01 Delisted Consolidated MLS
  • 2022-10-01 Price Changed $207,000 Consolidated MLS
  • 2022-09-17 Listed $225,000 Consolidated MLS

Property tax history

-5.6%/yr

Latest (2024): $1,236 · +4.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…