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4020 S Denley Dr
B Composite 70.44
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.6/5.0
  • Schools +2.8/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$69,000

4020 S Denley Dr · Dallas, TX 75216
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,076 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 13 Days on market
Built 1945 0.28 ac lot ↓ 58% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

If you want a fixer-upper, then look no further! This property is being sold for lot value only. Home is uninhabitable. Seller to do no repairs, demolition, or haul-off. Property is sold as-is, where-is. No seller's disclosure or survey available. Interior access is not allowed. Photos will be coming soon.

Key facts

  • 0.28 acre lot
  • Built 1945
  • Listed 13 days

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: County: Dallas; Country: United States
  • Financial info: Treat as clear loan type; No second mortgage; Property listed as Real Estate Owned (REO)
  • HOA & community: No homeowners association

Exterior

  • Parking: Driveway; No garage or carport spaces
  • Security: No specific security features provided
  • Utilities: City water; City sewer; Not in a municipal utility district
  • Home design: Single-family residence; Residential property; One story; Built in 1945; Property is not attached
  • Construction: Year built 1945
  • Exterior features: Lot is less than 0.5 acre (approximately 0.276 acre); Subdivision: Bellevue; GPS/directions available

Interior

  • Kitchen: Other appliances
  • Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms (primary bedroom on level 1)
  • Flooring: No flooring details provided
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Other heating; Other cooling
  • Interior features: One-level layout; Living area approximately 1,076; Other interior features
  • Laundry & utility: No specific laundry details provided

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $69k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $937 ($11k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $69k).
  • Cap rate 22.6% vs local median 2.3% in Dallas — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 81/100 on livability (#24 in TX, #1,380 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F.
  • Dallas ISD (urban): math 31% / reading 36% proficiency, ranked #559 of 826 in TX (top 68%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 83% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: H I Holland El At Lisbon (math 22% / reading 22%, grade F, #3,333 of 4,322 statewide, top 80%, 394 students, 98% FRL).
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.2%/yr); 253 active listings in the ZIP; 24 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 9d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 12,577 units permitted in Dallas County in 2024 (6,829 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $1,790/mo this rent would consume 52% of the median local household income ($41k/yr) (locally 2465% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $477 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Dallas County population projected at +35% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.2% rent growth), your $19k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 13 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 3 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1945 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $69,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1945 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.59%
Cap rate
22.59%
Cash-on-cash
58.21%
DSCR
3.59
GRM
3.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$166,780
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
2218 Kathleen Ave 0.52mi 2/1.0 1,128 (+5%) 2mo $155,900 $138 66
1543 Garza Ave 0.32mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,024 (-5%) 9mo $190,000 $186 65
1727 Mentor Ave 0.44mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,138 (+6%) 5mo $119,900 $105 61
2239 Exeter Ave 0.62mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,028 (-4%) 7mo $125,000 $122 53
2111 Village Way 0.75mi 2/2.0 1,100 (+2%) 11mo $250,000 $227 48
4726 Bartlett Ave 0.64mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,131 (+5%) 9mo $230,000 $203 45
3119 S Denley Dr 0.74mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,136 (+6%) 4mo $260,000 $229 44
1446 Oakley Ave 0.59mi 2/1.0 951 (-12%) 11mo $90,000 $95 44
2427 Hudspeth Ave 0.74mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,192 (+11%) 1mo $179,000 $150 41
1606 Mentor Ave 0.58mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,226 (+14%) 1mo $190,000 $155 40
2145 E Overton Rd 0.56mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,224 (+14%) 8mo $200,000 $163 36
2128 Lea Crest Dr 0.56mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,224 (+14%) 10mo $189,900 $155 34

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 4.2% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
58.1%
Equity multiple
3.63×
Total profit
$50,726
Equity at exit
$10,288
10-year hold
IRR
63.4%
Equity multiple
7.75×
Total profit
$130,341
Equity at exit
$5,966

Cash invested: $19,320 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 75216

Home prices YoY
-29.7%
Rents YoY
4.2%
Active inventory
253
Price-to-rent
3.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,790 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$362
Tax est. 1.5%
$86 /mo · $1,035/yr
Insurance
$29
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$376
Net cashflow
$937

Break-even live

Break-even rent $604
Max offer price $69,000
Occupancy floor 43%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $985 -5% $961 +0% $937 +5% $913 +10% $890
Rent -10% $796 -5% $867 +0% $937 +5% $1,008 +10% $1,079
Rate -1.0pp $972 -0.5pp $955 base $937 +0.5pp $919 +1.0pp $901

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$17,250
Closing costs
$2,070
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 24 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
3930 S Denley Dr Dallas, TX 3.0 2.0 1135 $1,900 $1.67 8d 1 0.08mi
1618 Marfa Ave Dallas, TX 3.0 2.0 1100 $1,900 $1.73 44d 1 0.30mi
4417 S Lancaster Rd Dallas, TX 2.0 1.0–2.0 874 $1,595 $1.82 3d 1 0.35mi
1334 Marfa Ave Dallas, TX 3.0 2.0 1100 $1,475 $1.34 44d 1 0.45mi
4934 Kildare Ave Dallas, TX 3.0 2.0 1118 $1,595 $1.43 25d 1 0.88mi
3608 S Marsalis Ave Dallas, TX 2.0 1.0 907 $1,400 $1.54 44d 1 0.96mi
2503 Stovall Dr Dallas, TX 2.0 2.0 768 $2,300 $2.99 44d 1 0.97mi
1214 Adelaide Dr Dallas, TX 3.0 1.0 1040 $2,350 $2.26 8d 1 1.01mi
1214 Adelaide Dr Dallas, TX 3.0 1.0 1200 $1,875 $1.56 3d 1 1.01mi
4117 S Marsalis Ave Dallas, TX 3.0 2.0 1296 $2,200 $1.70 8d 1 1.04mi
2538 Stovall Dr Dallas, TX 3.0 1.0 986 $1,625 $1.65 6d 1 1.05mi
2303 Deer Path Dr Dallas, TX 2.0 1.0 790 $1,650 $2.09 8d 1 1.05mi
1717 Hemphill Dr Dallas, TX 3.0 1.0 1222 $1,695 $1.39 25d 1 1.07mi
4306 Landrum Ave Dallas, TX 3.0 2.0 1226 $1,695 $1.38 3d 1 1.09mi
4306 Landrum Ave Dallas, TX 3.0 2.0 1226 $1,695 $1.38 7d 1 1.09mi
3206 Kellogg Ave Dallas, TX 3.0 1.5 1076 $1,800 $1.67 44d 1 1.11mi
2669 Marfa Ave Unit 3 Dallas, TX 1.0 1.0 1248 $750 $0.60 25d 1 1.14mi
2723 Kellogg Ave Dallas, TX 3.0 2.0 1255 $1,700 $1.35 8d 1 1.18mi
3320 Mundy Dr Dallas, TX 3.0 2.0 1010 $1,695 $1.68 44d 1 1.20mi
2751 E Ledbetter Dr Dallas, TX 1.0–3.0 1.0–1.5 794 $1,186 $1.49 44d 3 1.33mi
2826 Alaska Ave Dallas, TX 3.0 2.0 1190 $1,790 $1.50 0d 1 1.37mi
5722 Old Ox Rd Dallas, TX 3.0 2.0 1464 $2,200 $1.50 8d 1 1.45mi
1435 Whispering Trl Dallas, TX 3.0 1.0 1047 $1,660 $1.59 8d 1 1.47mi
2023 E Illinois Ave Dallas, TX 2.0 1.5 1304 $1,695 $1.30 23d 1 1.48mi

Listing history 13 events

  1. 2026-06-07
    status $69,000 Pending 13 DOM
  2. 2026-06-04
    days on market $69,000 Active 13 DOM
  3. 2026-06-03
    days on market $69,000 Active 12 DOM
  4. 2026-06-02
    days on market $69,000 Active 11 DOM
  5. 2026-06-01
    days on market $69,000 Active 10 DOM
  6. 2026-05-31
    days on market $69,000 Active 9 DOM
  7. 2026-05-22
    listed $69,000 Active
  8. 2026-03-31
    status Active
  9. 2026-03-30
    historical
  10. 2025-12-29
    status Pending
  11. 2025-12-08
    price $135,000
  12. 2025-10-28
    listed $165,000 Active
  13. 1970-12-15
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$21,480
− Mortgage interest
−$3,865
− Property taxes
−$1,035
− Insurance
−$345
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,718
− Management
−$1,718
− Depreciation
−$2,007
Taxable income
$10,791
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,590
After-tax cash flow
$8,657/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Dallas ISD
NCES district ID
4816230
Math proficiency
31% ▼ -16.00%
Reading proficiency
36% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$42,881
Composite
28.41/100
National rank
#6763
State rank
#559 of 826 in TX

Livability — Dallas

Score
81/100
State rank
#24
US rank
#1380

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A- Crime F Employment C+ Housing A+ Health & safety A User ratings B

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Dallas, TX
County
Dallas County · 2,612,404 people
City population
1,168,437
Metro
Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX
Population (ZIP)
55,894
Household income
$41,386
Rent vs Own
44.2% rent · 55.8% own
Severe rent burden
2465.0

Population outlook (Dallas County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
2,979,839 people
By 2030
3,191,823 · +7.1%
By 2040
3,619,611 · +21.5%
By 2050
4,026,915 · +35.1%
By 2075
4,957,073 · +66.4%
By 2100
5,508,725 · +84.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Majority Black (51%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 51% Hispanic / Latino 44% Two or more races 14% White 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 40%
Common ancestry
Hispanic 1%
Foreign-born
17% · Canada
Languages at home
62% English-only · Spanish 37%

Political lean MEDSL · Dallas

2024 margin
Strong D (+22.2) · D 60.2% · R 38.0% · Other 1.8%
2008→2024 swing
+6.9pp toward D · 2008: 15.3pp · 2024: 22.2pp
All cycles
2024: D+22.2 2020: D+31.6 2016: D+26.2 2012: D+15.4 2008: D+15.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -126.35%
Current HPI
299.1825
Rent YoY
▲ 4.20%
Metro
Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-58.2% since first listed
7 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-22 Listed $69,000 NTREIS
  • 2026-03-31 Relisted NTREIS
  • 2026-03-30 Listing Removed NTREIS
  • 2025-12-29 Pending NTREIS
  • 2025-12-08 Price Changed $135,000 NTREIS
  • 2025-10-28 Listed $165,000 NTREIS
  • 1970-12-15 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

+8.2%/yr

Latest (2025): $3,940 · +1.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…