11640 Windbrooke Way · Johns Creek, GA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $963 – $1,789
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 103°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 17.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 5 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 8 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Cash flow +12.8/30.0
- Schools +4.5/10.0
- DSCR +3.8/10.0
- Livability +3.3/5.0
- 1% rule +2.5/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.1/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$391,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Spacious and well-appointed, this 5-bedroom, 2.5-bath brick-front home offers nearly 2,500 sq ft of comfortable living space in a desirable swim and tennis community. This two-story home features thoughtful details throughout, including vaulted ceilings, floor-to-ceiling windows, and a cozy fireplace that fills the living area with natural light and warmth. The functional layout includes a formal dining room, a versatile formal living room or office space, and an inviting kitchen complete with an island, pantry, and breakfast area-ideal for everyday living and entertaining. The oversized primary suite provides a relaxing retreat with vaulted ceilings, a separate soaking tub and shower, and plenty of space to unwind. Community amenities include a playground, swimming pool, and tennis courts, all conveniently located near shopping, dining, schools, and healthcare facilities. With generous space, great bones, and endless potential, this home is an excellent opportunity in a sought-after community. HUD homes are SOLD AS IS
Key facts
- Inviting kitchen
- Formal dining room
- Cozy fireplace
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Directions available; Located in Fulton County, GA
- HOA & community: Homeowners association; Annual association fee of $700; Association includes access to pool and tennis facilities; Community playground
Exterior
- Parking: Detached/attached garage facing front; Two garage spaces (two total parking spaces)
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electricity available; Natural gas available
- Home design: Two levels; Brick exterior with brick front; Resale property; Fee simple ownership; Slab foundation
- Construction: Composition roof; Brick and other construction materials
- Exterior features: Back yard fencing; Deck/patio
Interior
- Kitchen: Kitchen island; Stained cabinets; Dishwasher; Gas range
- Bedrooms: Five upstairs bedrooms; Oversized master bedroom
- Flooring: Carpet; Tile; Vinyl
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms (upper level); One half bathroom on the main level; Master bath with double shower and separate tub
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning; Ceiling fans
- Interior features: Vaulted ceilings; Double vanity in bathrooms; Walk-in closets; One fireplace in the family room; No shared/common walls
- Laundry & utility: Main level laundry room; Gas water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $391k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-38 ($-457/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $384k (1.7% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $295k (24.6% below list).
- Recommended offer: $295k (24.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.2% vs local median 2.4% in Johns Creek — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 66/100 on livability (#187 in GA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, cost of living F.
- Fulton County (suburban): math 49% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #12 of 174 in GA (top 7%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Abbotts Hill Elementary School (math 78% / reading 71%, grade A, #32 of 1,228 statewide, top 3%, 572 students, 12% FRL); Taylor Road Middle School (math 70% / reading 71%, grade A, #15 of 470 statewide, top 3%, 1,250 students, 9% FRL); Chattahoochee High School (math 67% / reading 24%, grade D-, #43 of 424 statewide, top 10%, 1,852 students, 8% FRL) — zoned schools average 10% FRL vs 41% district-wide (32 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 64% at this address vs 51% district-wide (+13 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Fulton County average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-1.5%/yr); 216 active listings in the ZIP; 20 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 11,565 units permitted in Fulton County in 2024 (8,159 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $12k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Fulton County population projected at +38% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- Only 7 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $178k; list at $391k implies a 120% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.75% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.18%
- Cash-on-cash
- -0.42%
- DSCR
- 0.98
- GRM
- 11.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $632,808
- List price
- $391,000
- Delta
- -38.21%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11750 Ashwick Pl | 0.24mi | 5/2.5 (+1) | 2,706 (+2%) | 9mo | $630,000 | $233 | 73 |
| 5470 N Hillbrooke Trce | 0.30mi | 4/2.5 | 2,798 (+5%) | 6mo | $725,000 | $259 | 72 |
| 11840 Windbrooke Way | 0.21mi | 4/3.5 | 2,870 (+8%) | 2mo | $725,000 | $253 | 71 |
| 11660 Windbrooke Way | 0.03mi | 4/2.5 | 2,340 (-12%) | 10mo | $565,000 | $241 | 70 |
| 5785 Oxborough Way | 0.43mi | 4/2.5 | 2,816 (+6%) | 1mo | $625,000 | $222 | 69 |
| 135 Pinion Ln | 0.44mi | 4/2.5 | 2,478 (-7%) | 2mo | $640,000 | $258 | 67 |
| 230 Bristol Stone Ct | 0.21mi | 4/2.5 | 2,400 (-10%) | 12mo | $670,000 | $279 | 65 |
| 545 Ashvale Overlook | 0.34mi | 5/2.5 (+1) | 2,536 (-4%) | 11mo | $740,000 | $292 | 63 |
| 405 Millhaven Way | 0.65mi | 4/2.5 | 3,048 (+15%) | 1mo | $755,000 | $248 | 44 |
| 150 Fallen Leaf Ct | 0.58mi | 4/3.0 | 3,003 (+13%) | 11mo | $825,000 | $275 | 40 |
| 325 Abbotts Close | 0.57mi | 5/3.5 (+1) | 2,280 (-14%) | 6mo | $720,000 | $316 | 36 |
| 655 Wellingborough Ct | 0.75mi | 4/2.5 | 2,264 (-15%) | 12mo | $630,000 | $278 | 30 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -20.0%
- Equity multiple
- 0.32×
- Total profit
- $-74,583
- Equity at exit
- $58,299
- IRR
- -20.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.07×
- Total profit
- $-102,102
- Equity at exit
- $33,807
Cash invested: $109,480 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Georgia
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 30005
- Home prices YoY
- -17.8%
- Rents YoY
- -1.5%
- Active inventory
- 216
- Price-to-rent
- 11.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,947 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$2,050
- Tax from tax record
- −$95 /mo · $1,137/yr
- Insurance
- −$163
- HOA
- −$58
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$619
- Net cashflow
- $-38
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $183 | -5% $73 | +0% $-38 | +5% $-149 | +10% $-259 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-271 | -5% $-154 | +0% $-38 | +5% $78 | +10% $195 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $159 | -0.5pp $61 | base $-38 | +0.5pp $-139 | +1.0pp $-242 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $97,750
- Closing costs
- $11,730
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 20 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 705 Redrift Ct Johns Creek, GA | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2668 | $3,100 | $1.16 | 18d | 1 | 0.41mi |
| 705 Redrift Ct Johns Creek, GA | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2668 | $3,100 | $1.16 | 19d | 1 | 0.41mi |
| 2100 Addison Ln Johns Creek, GA | 1.0–4.0 | 1.0–3.0 | 1422 | $3,804 | $2.68 | 12d | 17 | 0.53mi |
| 5871 Haterleigh Dr Johns Creek, GA | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2160 | $2,700 | $1.25 | 12d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 11655 Crossington Rd Johns Creek, GA | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2528 | $2,700 | $1.07 | 26d | 1 | 0.55mi |
| 11620 Bentham Ct Johns Creek, GA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1924 | $2,700 | $1.40 | 22d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 400 Stambridge Ct Johns Creek, GA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1828 | $2,600 | $1.42 | 26d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 415 Cadeleigh Ct Johns Creek, GA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 2087 | $2,900 | $1.39 | 45d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 11774 Wellsley Way Johns Creek, GA | 3.0 | 3.5 | 1820 | $2,900 | $1.59 | 45d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 665 Arncliffe Ct Johns Creek, GA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1988 | $2,675 | $1.35 | 26d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 6215 Bannerhorn Run Alpharetta, GA | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2610 | $3,900 | $1.49 | 45d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 11545 Carriage Park Ln Johns Creek, GA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 2008 | $2,800 | $1.39 | 26d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 715 Ullswater Cv Johns Creek, GA | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2266 | $3,200 | $1.41 | 45d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 4925 Byers Rd Johns Creek, GA | 5.0 | 2.5 | 2241 | $2,945 | $1.31 | 18d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 5365 Derby Chase Ct Alpharetta, GA | 5.0 | 3.0 | 2635 | $2,989 | $1.13 | 7d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 11175 Abbotts Station Dr Johns Creek, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1910 | $2,249 | $1.18 | 14d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 170 Pine Bridge Trl Johns Creek, GA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 2531 | $2,699 | $1.07 | 0d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 515 Weathervane Ct Johns Creek, GA | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2296 | $2,950 | $1.28 | 0d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 4740 Minden Chase Johns Creek, GA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 2316 | $2,715 | $1.17 | 22d | 1 | 1.46mi |
| 6115 Abbotts Bridge Rd Johns Creek, GA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–3.5 | 1402 | $2,759 | $1.97 | 7d | 1 | 1.48mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $58 · $696/yr
- Likely covers
- pool
Listing history 4 events
-
2026-05-13$391,000 Active 1034-char remark
Show marketing remark (1034 chars)
Spacious and well-appointed, this 5-bedroom, 2.5-bath brick-front home offers nearly 2,500 sq ft of comfortable living space in a desirable swim and tennis community. This two-story home features thoughtful details throughout, including vaulted ceilings, floor-to-ceiling windows, and a cozy fireplace that fills the living area with natural light and warmth. The functional layout includes a formal dining room, a versatile formal living room or office space, and an inviting kitchen complete with an island, pantry, and breakfast area-ideal for everyday living and entertaining. The oversized primary suite provides a relaxing retreat with vaulted ceilings, a separate soaking tub and shower, and plenty of space to unwind. Community amenities include a playground, swimming pool, and tennis courts, all conveniently located near shopping, dining, schools, and healthcare facilities. With generous space, great bones, and endless potential, this home is an excellent opportunity in a sought-after community. HUD homes are SOLD AS IS
-
2026-05-13$391,000 New 1034-char remark
Show marketing remark (1034 chars)
Spacious and well-appointed, this 5-bedroom, 2.5-bath brick-front home offers nearly 2,500 sq ft of comfortable living space in a desirable swim and tennis community. This two-story home features thoughtful details throughout, including vaulted ceilings, floor-to-ceiling windows, and a cozy fireplace that fills the living area with natural light and warmth. The functional layout includes a formal dining room, a versatile formal living room or office space, and an inviting kitchen complete with an island, pantry, and breakfast area-ideal for everyday living and entertaining. The oversized primary suite provides a relaxing retreat with vaulted ceilings, a separate soaking tub and shower, and plenty of space to unwind. Community amenities include a playground, swimming pool, and tennis courts, all conveniently located near shopping, dining, schools, and healthcare facilities. With generous space, great bones, and endless potential, this home is an excellent opportunity in a sought-after community. HUD homes are SOLD AS IS
-
1998-05-26soldstatus $177,900
-
1989-06-22soldstatus $153,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,137 · $95/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,597 · $300/mo
- Expected delta
- +$2,461/yr (+$205/mo · 216.5%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 17% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 8 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $35,362
- − Mortgage interest
- −$21,902
- − Property taxes
- −$1,137
- − Insurance
- −$1,955
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,829
- − Management
- −$2,829
- − HOA
- −$696
- − Depreciation
- −$11,375
- Taxable loss
- −$7,360
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,766
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,309/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Fulton County
- NCES district ID
- 1302280
- Math proficiency
- 49% ▼ -2.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 53% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $68,035
- Composite
- 45.33/100
- National rank
- #2640
- State rank
- #12 of 174 in GA
Livability — Johns Creek
- Score
- 66/100
- State rank
- #187
- US rank
- #11679
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Johns Creek, GA
- County
- Fulton County · 1,094,430 people
- City population
- 64,546
- Metro
- Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Alpharetta, GA
- Population (ZIP)
- 41,836
- Household income
- $176,957
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 916.0
Population outlook (Fulton County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,203,707 people
- By 2030
- 1,299,706 · +8.0%
- By 2040
- 1,488,256 · +23.6%
- By 2050
- 1,664,580 · +38.3%
- By 2075
- 2,036,072 · +69.2%
- By 2100
- 2,222,402 · +84.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.66)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 50% Asian 26% Black 12% Hispanic / Latino 9% Two or more races 7%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Scotch-Irish 5% Romanian 2% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 33% · Canada, China, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 62% English-only · Other Indo-European 11% Other Asian/Pacific 7% Spanish 7%
Political lean MEDSL · Fulton
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+44.9) · D 71.9% · R 27.0% · Other 1.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +9.8pp toward D · 2008: 35.0pp · 2024: 44.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+44.9 2020: D+46.4 2016: D+42.1 2012: D+29.6 2008: D+35.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -59.88%
- Current HPI
- 277.1489
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -1.54%
- Metro
- Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Alpharetta, GA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.66%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Paper / Packaging | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $160B |
|
||
| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $91B |
|
||
| Airlines | 1 | $62B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 1 | $47B |
|
||
| Utilities | 1 | $25B |
|
||
Price history
+154.7% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-20 Pending — GAMLS
- 2026-05-20 Pending — FMLS
- 2026-05-13 Listed $391,000 FMLS
- 2026-05-13 Listed $391,000 GAMLS
- 1998-05-26 Sold (Public Records) $177,900 Public Records
- 1989-06-22 Sold (Public Records) $153,500 Public Records
Property tax history
+2.8%/yrLatest (2025): $1,137 · +0.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…