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68 James Pl
D Composite 40.59
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +12.2/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Appreciation +5.0/10.0
  • DSCR +3.6/10.0
  • Schools +2.6/10.0
  • 1% rule +2.5/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Livability +2.2/5.0

$160,000

68 James Pl · Highland Meadows, NM 87026
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 891 sqft · SingleFamily · 8 Days on market
Built 2007 2.00 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Escape to the quiet beauty of Laguna, New Mexico with this fully fenced 2-acre property offering privacy, functionality, and room to make it your own. This property is equipped with a private well, owned propane tank, and a septic system that was serviced within the last two years. With plenty of open space for animals, hobbies, storage, or future improvements, this home delivers the freedom and flexibility of rural living while still remaining accessible. Enjoy peaceful surroundings, wide-open views, and the opportunity to create your ideal lifestyle in the heart of New Mexico. Whether you're searching for a full-time residence, weekend retreat, or investment opportunity, this property is

Key facts

  • 2 acre lot
  • Garage
  • Built 2007

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Lot size: 2 acres; Lot dimensions and size from survey; Zoning: RR (rural residential); Rain water collection for water conservation; Has a view

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached finished garage (1 car); RV access/parking
  • Utilities: Electricity connected (Net Meter); Propane; Water connected via private well; Septic tank
  • Home design: Single-story home; Faces north; Permanent foundation; Resale property
  • Construction: Stucco construction; Tar/gravel roof; Year built (owner-provided)
  • Exterior features: Owned propane tank; Landscaped lot with few trees and views; Private road frontage; Road surface: gravel and paved; Full yard fencing

Interior

  • Kitchen: Free-standing gas range; Microwave
  • Bedrooms: Bedroom 2 on the main level
  • Flooring: Tile
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Radiant floor heating
  • Interior features: Double-pane insulated windows; Wheelchair access; Ceiling fans; Main-level primary bedroom
  • Laundry & utility: Washer included; Electric dryer hookup

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $160k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-33 ($-395/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $154k (3.6% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $120k (25.0% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $120k (25.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 44/100 on livability (#354 in NM) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, crime A; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
  • Los Lunas Public Schools (suburban): math 20% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #34 of 95 in NM (top 36%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 63% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 12 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 303 units permitted in Valencia County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $6k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $5k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
  • Valencia County population projected at -14% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $45k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 6, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$31k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • Only 8 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $120,000 (25.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.75%
Cap rate
6.05%
Cash-on-cash
-0.88%
DSCR
0.96
GRM
11.1

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
6.7%
Equity multiple
1.38×
Total profit
$17,117
Equity at exit
$71,943
10-year hold
IRR
9.5%
Equity multiple
2.42×
Total profit
$63,820
Equity at exit
$110,873

Cash invested: $44,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning
State New Mexico
55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning · D+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice but with cure rights; relocation assistance in some cities.

ZIP-level market 87026

Active inventory
12
Price-to-rent
11.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,200 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$839
Tax from tax record
$75 /mo · $903/yr
Insurance
$67
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$252
Net cashflow
$-33

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,242
Max offer price $154,178
Occupancy floor 98%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $58 -5% $12 +0% $-33 +5% $-78 +10% $-124
Rent -10% $-128 -5% $-80 +0% $-33 +5% $14 +10% $62
Rate -1.0pp $48 -0.5pp $8 base $-33 +0.5pp $-74 +1.0pp $-117

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$40,000
Closing costs
$4,800
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
45 Baca Laguna, NM 2.0 2.0 940 $1,200 $1.28 4d 1 0.84mi

Listing history 8 events

  1. 2026-06-05
    status $160,000 Pending 8 DOM
  2. 2026-06-03
    days on market $160,000 Active 8 DOM
  3. 2026-06-02
    days on market $160,000 Active 7 DOM
  4. 2026-06-01
    days on market $160,000 Active 6 DOM
  5. 2026-05-31
    days on market $160,000 Active 5 DOM
  6. 2026-05-18
    status Pending 748-char remark
  7. 2026-05-15
    listed $160,000 Active 748-char remark
  8. 2006-03-30
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NM · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$903 · $75/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,280 · $107/mo
Expected delta
+$377/yr (+$31/mo · 41.8%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥94°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$14,400
− Mortgage interest
−$8,962
− Property taxes
−$903
− Insurance
−$800
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,152
− Management
−$1,152
− Depreciation
−$4,655
Taxable loss
−$3,224
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$774
After-tax cash flow
$378/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Los Lunas Public Schools
NCES district ID
3501680
Math proficiency
20%
Reading proficiency
34%
Median HH income
$44,438
Composite
26.11/100
National rank
#12724
State rank
#34 of 95 in NM

Livability — Highland Meadows

Score
44/100
State rank
#354
US rank
#26726

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A Employment F Housing B- Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Highland Meadows, NM
Population (ZIP)
3,465

Population outlook (Valencia County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
73,788 people
By 2030
72,101 · -2.3%
By 2040
67,930 · -7.9%
By 2050
63,191 · -14.4%
By 2075
53,644 · -27.3%
By 2100
40,882 · -44.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.99)
Race & ethnicity
Native American 84% White 8% Hispanic / Latino 5% Two or more races 5%
Common ancestry
Italian 1%
Languages at home
56% English-only · Spanish 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Valencia

2024 margin
R (+16.4) · D 40.9% · R 57.3% · Other 1.8%
2008→2024 swing
-24.1pp toward R · 2008: 7.7pp · 2024: -16.4pp
All cycles
2024: R+16.4 2020: R+9.6 2016: R+8.7 2012: D+2.5 2008: D+7.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
Current HPI
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
F500 in state
0

Price history

5 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-03 Pending Southwest MLS
  • 2026-05-29 Relisted Southwest MLS
  • 2026-05-18 Pending Southwest MLS
  • 2026-05-15 Listed $160,000 Southwest MLS
  • 2006-03-30 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

+0.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $903 · +27.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…