12538 SW Kingsway Cir #301 · North Port, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 28 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +25.0/30.0
- 1% rule +9.5/10.0
- DSCR +8.2/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Schools +2.6/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.6/10.0
$120,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Under contract-accepting backup offers. Lake Suzy living made simple. Bring your ideas and make this move-in ready 2 bedroom, 2 bath condo your own. This single story home offers a bright, neutral feel that creates the perfect blank slate for seasonal living, full-time use, or investment. Features include low $250/mo HOA fees that include water, a 2025 HVAC unit, and an X flood zone location. Located steps from the sparkling refurbished community pool and clubhouse, with bocce ball and shuffleboard nearby. Flexible 30-day minimum rentals permitted, offering excellent potential for snowbirds or investors. Conveniently located near shopping, restaurants, and I-75.
Key facts
- Move-in ready
- Clubhouse
- Community pool
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Lease restrictions apply
- Financial info: Total annual fees $3,000; Condo fees paid monthly
- HOA & community: Quarterly association fees (includes water, pool, pest control, grounds and structure maintenance, management, private road maintenance, escrow reserves); Monthly condo fee: $250 (land included); Association approval required; buyer approval required; Clubhouse and community pool; Deed restrictions; Pets allowed (cats and dogs), max pet weight ~20 lbs
Exterior
- Parking: Parking available (community directions reference spots 301 or guest)
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Broadband/high-speed internet available; Water connected; Sewer connected
- Home design: Residential condominium; One story; Faces south; Entry on ground level
- Construction: Block construction; Shingle roof; Slab foundation; Built as part of a multi-unit building (building 3)
- Exterior features: Rain gutters; Paved road access; Private maintained road
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Disposal; Range; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms
- Flooring: Laminate; Tile
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Ceiling fans; Dining area (labeled L Dining); Walk-in closet(s)
- Laundry & utility: Laundry closet; Dryer
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $120k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $262 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $120k).
- Cap rate 8.9% vs local median 3.6% in North Port — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 75/100 on livability (#252 in FL, #3,975 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
- Desoto (town): math 31% / reading 32% proficiency, ranked #69 of 73 in FL (top 94%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 71% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Nocatee Elementary School (math 28% / reading 24%, grade F, #2,015 of 2,144 statewide, top 94%, 446 students, 84% FRL); Desoto Middle School (math 28% / reading 33%, grade F, #465 of 571 statewide, top 82%, 1,169 students, 74% FRL); Desoto County High School (math 26% / reading 33%, grade F, #447 of 667 statewide, top 68%, 1,244 students, 67% FRL) — zoned schools at 75% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: 150 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 15d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 71 units permitted in DeSoto County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $830 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- DeSoto County population projected at -10% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 4 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $40k; list at $120k implies a 201% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→28/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.45% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.91%
- Cash-on-cash
- 9.34%
- DSCR
- 1.42
- GRM
- 5.8
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -2.0%
- Equity multiple
- 0.92×
- Total profit
- $-2,589
- Equity at exit
- $17,892
- IRR
- 7.8%
- Equity multiple
- 1.60×
- Total profit
- $20,005
- Equity at exit
- $10,375
Cash invested: $33,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 34269
- Home prices YoY
- -2.9%
- Active inventory
- 150
- Price-to-rent
- 5.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,738 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$629
- Tax from tax record
- −$183 /mo · $2,190/yr
- Insurance
- −$50
- HOA
- −$250
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$365
- Net cashflow
- $262
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $329 | -5% $295 | +0% $262 | +5% $228 | +10% $194 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $124 | -5% $193 | +0% $262 | +5% $330 | +10% $399 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $322 | -0.5pp $292 | base $262 | +0.5pp $230 | +1.0pp $199 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $30,000
- Closing costs
- $3,600
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 4 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12538 SW Kingsway Cir Lake Suzy, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 871 | $1,725 | $1.98 | 22d | 2 | 0.12mi |
| 24150 Beatrix Blvd Port Charlotte, FL | 3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 866 | $1,735 | $2.00 | 15d | 42 | 1.09mi |
| 24001 Madaca Ln Port Charlotte, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1179 | $1,720 | $1.46 | 15d | 26 | 1.15mi |
| 24151 Beatrix Blvd Port Charlotte, FL | 3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 990 | $1,955 | $1.97 | 15d | 28 | 1.49mi |
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $250 · $3,000/yr
- Likely covers
- waterpool
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 9 events
-
2026-05-28status Pending
-
2026-05-27$120,000 Active
-
2024-09-17historical $1,200
-
2024-09-12$1,200
-
2024-06-08historical $1,450
-
2024-05-21$1,450
-
2024-05-21historical $1,450
-
2024-05-01$1,450
-
1987-03-20soldstatus $39,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,190 · $183/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,190 · $183/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 28 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $20,861
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,722
- − Property taxes
- −$2,190
- − Insurance
- −$600
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,669
- − Management
- −$1,669
- − HOA
- −$3,000
- − Depreciation
- −$3,491
- Taxable income
- $1,520
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$365
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,773/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Desoto
- NCES district ID
- 1200420
- Math proficiency
- 31% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 32% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $35,136
- Composite
- 26.03/100
- National rank
- #7305
- State rank
- #69 of 73 in FL
Livability — North Port
- Score
- 75/100
- State rank
- #252
- US rank
- #3975
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- City population
- 75,324
- Population (ZIP)
- 5,111
Population outlook (DeSoto County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 34,958 people
- By 2030
- 34,465 · -1.4%
- By 2040
- 33,137 · -5.2%
- By 2050
- 31,273 · -10.5%
- By 2075
- 23,898 · -31.6%
- By 2100
- 15,517 · -55.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (83%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 83% Hispanic / Latino 10% Two or more races 7% Black 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 8% Puerto Rican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 4% Romanian 3% Lithuanian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 94% English-only · Spanish 4% Other Indo-European 1% German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · DeSoto
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+42.9) · D 28.2% · R 71.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -30.6pp toward R · 2008: -12.3pp · 2024: -42.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+42.9 2020: R+32.0 2016: R+27.7 2012: R+14.3 2008: R+12.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -8.77%
- Current HPI
- 297.0303
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
|
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Price history
+200.8% since first listed9 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-28 Pending — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-05-27 Listed $120,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-09-17 Rental Removed $1,200 STELLARMLS
- 2024-09-12 Listed for Rent $1,200 STELLARMLS
- 2024-06-08 Rental Removed $1,450 APPFOLIO
- 2024-05-21 Listed for Rent $1,450 APPFOLIO
- 2024-05-21 Rental Removed $1,450 APPFOLIO
- 2024-05-01 Listed for Rent $1,450 APPFOLIO
- 1987-03-20 Sold (Public Records) $39,900 Public Records
Property tax history
+6.3%/yrLatest (2025): $2,190 · +6.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…