654 Lancelot Dr · Richburg, SC
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- —
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- —
Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- —
Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
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- Hot days in 30 yrs
- —
Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
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Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
- —
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- —
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +17.7/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Appreciation +6.5/10.0
- DSCR +5.5/10.0
- 1% rule +4.0/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.3/10.0
$305,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Relax in the spacious living room, great for friends and family to welcome in the new year in your new home! This brand new home features an open floor plan. Kitchen and dining room are open to the living room for easy entertaining. Your new home is complete with granite counter tops throughout, Whirlpool stainless steel appliances which includes refrigerator, dishwasher, oven and microwave. Upstairs are spacious bedrooms with a private owners suite with a huge walk-in closet. Extra loft space for all sorts of flexible space. Attached 2-car garage with finished walls and garage door opener. Enjoy our neighborhood park and let your furry friends play at the dog park. Just minutes from Rock Hill and easy access to Charlotte.
Key facts
- Open floor plan
- Tree views
- Stunning kitchen
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: No representation restrictions noted
- HOA & community: Homeowners association present; membership is mandatory
Exterior
- Parking: Driveway; 2-car garage (main level)
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-family residence; Residential, site-built property; Two levels; Completed development
- Construction: Vinyl exterior; Slab foundation; Site-built construction
- Exterior features: Concrete and paved roads; Publicly maintained road; Lot approximately 0.126 acres
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Microwave; Oven; Kitchen island
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms (all on the upper level)
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms (upper level); 1 half bathroom (main level)
- Heating & cooling: Heat pump for heating and cooling
- Interior features: 8 total rooms; Walk-in closet(s); Kitchen island
- Laundry & utility: Laundry inside on upper level
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath other listed at $305k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $246 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $275k (10.0% below list).
- Recommended offer: $268k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 7.3% vs local median 5.3% in Richburg — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 63/100 on livability (#182 in SC) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime D+, health & safety D+, amenities F.
- Chester 01 (rural): math 23% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #59 of 80 in SC (top 74%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 64% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Lewisville Elementary (math 47% / reading 42%, grade F, #226 of 597 statewide, top 40%, 510 students, 100% FRL); Lewisville High (math 44% / reading 87%, grade B, #83 of 196 statewide, top 43%, 416 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 100% FRL vs 64% district-wide (36 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 55% at this address vs 28% district-wide (+27 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Chester 01 average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
- Market conditions: 83 active listings in the ZIP; 269 units permitted in Chester County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $11k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $9k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
- Chester County population projected at -24% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $85k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$38k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 139 days — a 12% lower offer ($268k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 3y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 139 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.90% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.26%
- Cash-on-cash
- 3.46%
- DSCR
- 1.15
- GRM
- 9.3
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
2.99% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 10.7%
- Equity multiple
- 1.61×
- Total profit
- $52,240
- Equity at exit
- $137,028
- IRR
- 12.9%
- Equity multiple
- 2.92×
- Total profit
- $164,081
- Equity at exit
- $211,088
Cash invested: $85,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State South Carolina
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 29729
- Home prices YoY
- 1.4%
- Active inventory
- 83
- Price-to-rent
- 9.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,746 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,599
- Tax from tax record
- −$197 /mo · $2,359/yr
- Insurance
- −$127
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$577
- Net cashflow
- $246
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $419 | -5% $332 | +0% $246 | +5% $160 | +10% $73 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $29 | -5% $138 | +0% $246 | +5% $355 | +10% $463 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $400 | -0.5pp $324 | base $246 | +0.5pp $167 | +1.0pp $87 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $76,250
- Closing costs
- $9,150
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 26 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $305,000 Active 139 DOM
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2026-06-18days on market $305,000 Active 136 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $305,000 Active 135 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $305,000 Active 134 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $305,000 Active 133 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $305,000 Active 131 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $305,000 Active 127 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $305,000 Active 126 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $305,000 Active 125 DOM
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2026-06-04days on market $305,000 Active 122 DOM
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2026-06-03days on market $305,000 Active 121 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $305,000 Active 120 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $305,000 Active 119 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $305,000 Active 118 DOM
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2026-03-09price $330,000
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2026-02-14price $285,000
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2026-02-02$320,000 Active
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2025-07-25price $320,000
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2025-05-28price $330,000
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2025-05-02status Active
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2025-02-09price $338,000
-
2024-12-07$345,000 Active
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2024-12-06historical
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2023-06-08soldstatus $307,900 Closed 739-char remark
Show marketing remark (739 chars)
Relax in the spacious living room, great for friends and family to welcome in the new year in your new home! This brand new home features an open floor plan. Kitchen and dining room are open to the living room for easy entertaining. Your new home is complete with granite counter tops throughout, Whirlpool stainless steel appliances which includes refrigerator, dishwasher, oven and microwave. Upstairs are spacious bedrooms with a private owners suite with a huge walk-in closet. Extra loft space for all sorts of flexible space. Attached 2-car garage with finished walls and garage door opener. Enjoy our neighborhood park and let your furry friends play at the dog park. Just minutes from Rock Hill and easy access to Charlotte.
-
2023-02-14historical Active Under Contract 739-char remark
Show marketing remark (739 chars)
Relax in the spacious living room, great for friends and family to welcome in the new year in your new home! This brand new home features an open floor plan. Kitchen and dining room are open to the living room for easy entertaining. Your new home is complete with granite counter tops throughout, Whirlpool stainless steel appliances which includes refrigerator, dishwasher, oven and microwave. Upstairs are spacious bedrooms with a private owners suite with a huge walk-in closet. Extra loft space for all sorts of flexible space. Attached 2-car garage with finished walls and garage door opener. Enjoy our neighborhood park and let your furry friends play at the dog park. Just minutes from Rock Hill and easy access to Charlotte.
-
2023-02-09$307,900 Active 739-char remark
Show marketing remark (739 chars)
Relax in the spacious living room, great for friends and family to welcome in the new year in your new home! This brand new home features an open floor plan. Kitchen and dining room are open to the living room for easy entertaining. Your new home is complete with granite counter tops throughout, Whirlpool stainless steel appliances which includes refrigerator, dishwasher, oven and microwave. Upstairs are spacious bedrooms with a private owners suite with a huge walk-in closet. Extra loft space for all sorts of flexible space. Attached 2-car garage with finished walls and garage door opener. Enjoy our neighborhood park and let your furry friends play at the dog park. Just minutes from Rock Hill and easy access to Charlotte.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast SC · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,359 · $197/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,359 · $197/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $32,951
- − Mortgage interest
- −$17,085
- − Property taxes
- −$2,359
- − Insurance
- −$1,525
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,636
- − Management
- −$2,636
- − Depreciation
- −$8,873
- Taxable loss
- −$2,163
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$519
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,473/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Chester 01
- NCES district ID
- 4501530
- Math proficiency
- 23% ▼ -6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 34% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $34,041
- Composite
- 23.39/100
- National rank
- #7902
- State rank
- #59 of 80 in SC
Livability — Richburg
- Score
- 63/100
- State rank
- #182
- US rank
- #15927
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 2,313
Population outlook (Chester County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 30,121 people
- By 2030
- 28,700 · -4.7%
- By 2040
- 25,784 · -14.4%
- By 2050
- 23,001 · -23.6%
- By 2075
- 17,770 · -41.0%
- By 2100
- 13,584 · -54.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.57)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 60% Black 26% Two or more races 12% Hispanic / Latino 7%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 5%
- Common ancestry
- Danish 2% Serbian 2% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada, Guatemala
- Languages at home
- 99% English-only · Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Chester
- 2024 margin
- R (+17.2) · D 40.8% · R 58.0% · Other 1.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -25.5pp toward R · 2008: 8.3pp · 2024: -17.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+17.2 2020: R+10.9 2016: R+4.8 2012: D+10.5 2008: D+8.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 2.99%
- Current HPI
- 210.6518
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 4.51%
- F500 in state
- 2
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in SC)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Packaging | 1 | $7B |
|
||
Price history
+7.2% since first listed12 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-09 Price Changed $330,000 CANOPYMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-02-14 Price Changed $285,000 CANOPYMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-02-02 Listed $320,000 CANOPYMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-07-25 Price Changed $320,000 CANOPYMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-05-28 Price Changed $330,000 CANOPYMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-05-02 Relisted — CANOPYMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-02-09 Price Changed $338,000 CANOPYMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-12-07 Listed $345,000 CANOPYMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-12-06 Coming Soon — CANOPYMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-06-08 Sold (MLS) $307,900 CANOPYMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-02-14 Contingent — CANOPYMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-02-09 Listed $307,900 CANOPYMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+25.7%/yrLatest (2025): $2,359 · -5.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…