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654 Lancelot Dr
C- Composite 51.74
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +17.7/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Appreciation +6.5/10.0
  • DSCR +5.5/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.3/10.0

$305,000

654 Lancelot Dr · Richburg, SC 29729
3 bd · 1.5 ba · 2,084 sqft · Other public records · 139 Days on market
Built 2023 5,488 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Relax in the spacious living room, great for friends and family to welcome in the new year in your new home! This brand new home features an open floor plan. Kitchen and dining room are open to the living room for easy entertaining. Your new home is complete with granite counter tops throughout, Whirlpool stainless steel appliances which includes refrigerator, dishwasher, oven and microwave. Upstairs are spacious bedrooms with a private owners suite with a huge walk-in closet. Extra loft space for all sorts of flexible space. Attached 2-car garage with finished walls and garage door opener. Enjoy our neighborhood park and let your furry friends play at the dog park. Just minutes from Rock Hill and easy access to Charlotte.

Key facts

  • Open floor plan
  • Tree views
  • Stunning kitchen

Tags

OPEN FLOOR PLANSTUNNING KITCHENSTAINLESS STEEL APPLIANCESTREE VIEWS

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: No representation restrictions noted
  • HOA & community: Homeowners association present; membership is mandatory

Exterior

  • Parking: Driveway; 2-car garage (main level)
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-family residence; Residential, site-built property; Two levels; Completed development
  • Construction: Vinyl exterior; Slab foundation; Site-built construction
  • Exterior features: Concrete and paved roads; Publicly maintained road; Lot approximately 0.126 acres

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Microwave; Oven; Kitchen island
  • Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms (all on the upper level)
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms (upper level); 1 half bathroom (main level)
  • Heating & cooling: Heat pump for heating and cooling
  • Interior features: 8 total rooms; Walk-in closet(s); Kitchen island
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry inside on upper level

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath other listed at $305k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $246 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $275k (10.0% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $268k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 7.3% vs local median 5.3% in Richburg — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 63/100 on livability (#182 in SC) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime D+, health & safety D+, amenities F.
  • Chester 01 (rural): math 23% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #59 of 80 in SC (top 74%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 64% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Lewisville Elementary (math 47% / reading 42%, grade F, #226 of 597 statewide, top 40%, 510 students, 100% FRL); Lewisville High (math 44% / reading 87%, grade B, #83 of 196 statewide, top 43%, 416 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 100% FRL vs 64% district-wide (36 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Zoned-school proficiency averages 55% at this address vs 28% district-wide (+27 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Chester 01 average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
  • Market conditions: 83 active listings in the ZIP; 269 units permitted in Chester County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $11k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $9k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
  • Chester County population projected at -24% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $85k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$38k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 139 days — a 12% lower offer ($268k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts since 3y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Recommended offer $268,400 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 139 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.90%
Cap rate
7.26%
Cash-on-cash
3.46%
DSCR
1.15
GRM
9.3

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

2.99% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
10.7%
Equity multiple
1.61×
Total profit
$52,240
Equity at exit
$137,028
10-year hold
IRR
12.9%
Equity multiple
2.92×
Total profit
$164,081
Equity at exit
$211,088

Cash invested: $85,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State South Carolina
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
5-day notice; preempted; landlord-favorable.

ZIP-level market 29729

Home prices YoY
1.4%
Active inventory
83
Price-to-rent
9.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,746 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,599
Tax from tax record
$197 /mo · $2,359/yr
Insurance
$127
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$577
Net cashflow
$246

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,434
Max offer price $305,000
Occupancy floor 86%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $419 -5% $332 +0% $246 +5% $160 +10% $73
Rent -10% $29 -5% $138 +0% $246 +5% $355 +10% $463
Rate -1.0pp $400 -0.5pp $324 base $246 +0.5pp $167 +1.0pp $87

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$76,250
Closing costs
$9,150
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 26 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $305,000 Active 139 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $305,000 Active 136 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $305,000 Active 135 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $305,000 Active 134 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $305,000 Active 133 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $305,000 Active 131 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $305,000 Active 127 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $305,000 Active 126 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $305,000 Active 125 DOM
  10. 2026-06-04
    days on market $305,000 Active 122 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $305,000 Active 121 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $305,000 Active 120 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $305,000 Active 119 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $305,000 Active 118 DOM
  15. 2026-03-09
    price $330,000
  16. 2026-02-14
    price $285,000
  17. 2026-02-02
    listed $320,000 Active
  18. 2025-07-25
    price $320,000
  19. 2025-05-28
    price $330,000
  20. 2025-05-02
    status Active
  21. 2025-02-09
    price $338,000
  22. 2024-12-07
    listed $345,000 Active
  23. 2024-12-06
    historical
  24. 2023-06-08
    soldstatus $307,900 Closed 739-char remark
    Show marketing remark (739 chars)

    Relax in the spacious living room, great for friends and family to welcome in the new year in your new home! This brand new home features an open floor plan. Kitchen and dining room are open to the living room for easy entertaining. Your new home is complete with granite counter tops throughout, Whirlpool stainless steel appliances which includes refrigerator, dishwasher, oven and microwave. Upstairs are spacious bedrooms with a private owners suite with a huge walk-in closet. Extra loft space for all sorts of flexible space. Attached 2-car garage with finished walls and garage door opener. Enjoy our neighborhood park and let your furry friends play at the dog park. Just minutes from Rock Hill and easy access to Charlotte.

  25. 2023-02-14
    historical Active Under Contract 739-char remark
    Show marketing remark (739 chars)

    Relax in the spacious living room, great for friends and family to welcome in the new year in your new home! This brand new home features an open floor plan. Kitchen and dining room are open to the living room for easy entertaining. Your new home is complete with granite counter tops throughout, Whirlpool stainless steel appliances which includes refrigerator, dishwasher, oven and microwave. Upstairs are spacious bedrooms with a private owners suite with a huge walk-in closet. Extra loft space for all sorts of flexible space. Attached 2-car garage with finished walls and garage door opener. Enjoy our neighborhood park and let your furry friends play at the dog park. Just minutes from Rock Hill and easy access to Charlotte.

  26. 2023-02-09
    listed $307,900 Active 739-char remark
    Show marketing remark (739 chars)

    Relax in the spacious living room, great for friends and family to welcome in the new year in your new home! This brand new home features an open floor plan. Kitchen and dining room are open to the living room for easy entertaining. Your new home is complete with granite counter tops throughout, Whirlpool stainless steel appliances which includes refrigerator, dishwasher, oven and microwave. Upstairs are spacious bedrooms with a private owners suite with a huge walk-in closet. Extra loft space for all sorts of flexible space. Attached 2-car garage with finished walls and garage door opener. Enjoy our neighborhood park and let your furry friends play at the dog park. Just minutes from Rock Hill and easy access to Charlotte.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast SC · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$2,359 · $197/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,359 · $197/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$32,951
− Mortgage interest
−$17,085
− Property taxes
−$2,359
− Insurance
−$1,525
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,636
− Management
−$2,636
− Depreciation
−$8,873
Taxable loss
−$2,163
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$519
After-tax cash flow
$3,473/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Chester 01
NCES district ID
4501530
Math proficiency
23% ▼ -6.00%
Reading proficiency
34% ▬ 0.00%
Median HH income
$34,041
Composite
23.39/100
National rank
#7902
State rank
#59 of 80 in SC

Livability — Richburg

Score
63/100
State rank
#182
US rank
#15927

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime D+ Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety D+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
2,313

Population outlook (Chester County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
30,121 people
By 2030
28,700 · -4.7%
By 2040
25,784 · -14.4%
By 2050
23,001 · -23.6%
By 2075
17,770 · -41.0%
By 2100
13,584 · -54.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.57)
Race & ethnicity
White 60% Black 26% Two or more races 12% Hispanic / Latino 7%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 5%
Common ancestry
Danish 2% Serbian 2% Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada, Guatemala
Languages at home
99% English-only · Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Chester

2024 margin
R (+17.2) · D 40.8% · R 58.0% · Other 1.1%
2008→2024 swing
-25.5pp toward R · 2008: 8.3pp · 2024: -17.2pp
All cycles
2024: R+17.2 2020: R+10.9 2016: R+4.8 2012: D+10.5 2008: D+8.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 2.99%
Current HPI
210.6518
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 4.51%
F500 in state
2

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in SC)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+7.2% since first listed
12 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-09 Price Changed $330,000 CANOPYMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-02-14 Price Changed $285,000 CANOPYMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-02-02 Listed $320,000 CANOPYMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-07-25 Price Changed $320,000 CANOPYMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-05-28 Price Changed $330,000 CANOPYMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-05-02 Relisted CANOPYMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-02-09 Price Changed $338,000 CANOPYMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2024-12-07 Listed $345,000 CANOPYMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2024-12-06 Coming Soon CANOPYMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2023-06-08 Sold (MLS) $307,900 CANOPYMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2023-02-14 Contingent CANOPYMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2023-02-09 Listed $307,900 CANOPYMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

+25.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,359 · -5.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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