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1417 Mosher St 🏷️ Likely Rental
D Composite 43.97
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +5.0/10.0
  • DSCR +5.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +4.2/5.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$30,000

1417 Mosher St · Baltimore, MD 21217
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,968 sqft · Townhouse public records · 49 Days on market
Built 1910 1,307 sqft lot $15/sqft · 80% below area ↓ 54% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

TENANT OCCUPIED at $575 per month. ADVANCE NOTICE REQUIRED FOR SHOWING. SOLD AS IS. DELETE PARA 11 AND 12. LB HOLDS EARNEST MONEY. Evenings after 6 or during the weekend for showings. Thanks.

Key facts

  • Built 1910
  • Listed 49 days

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Total below-grade area approximately 704 (unfinished); Above-grade finished area approximately 1,968 (estimated)
  • Financial info: Ownership is subject to ground rent; Annual ground rent listed in income/expense information

Exterior

  • Parking: On-street parking
  • Utilities: Public water; Public septic
  • Home design: End of row townhouse; Year built estimated
  • Construction: Brick construction; Other foundation
  • Exterior features: Not in a federal flood zone; Ground rent exists (approximately $70 annually); Above-grade and below-grade structures noted

Interior

  • Bedrooms: Three bedrooms on the first upper level
  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom (on first upper level and total)
  • Heating & cooling: Other heating; Other cooling; Other cooling fuel; Other heating fuel; Other hot water
  • Interior features: Estimated living area; Basement present (other type)

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…
🏷️ Possibly a rental listed for sale. The $30,000 price doesn't fit this home's estimated sale value (~$150,511) and the remarks read like a rental — treat the cards below with caution.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath townhouse listed at $30k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($16k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $30k).
  • Recommended offer: $29k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 59.8% vs local median 6.0% in Baltimore — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 76/100 on livability (#90 in MD, #3,396 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D, crime F.
  • Baltimore City Public Schools (urban): math 7% / reading 16% proficiency, ranked #24 of 24 in MD (top 100%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 79% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.6%/yr); 331 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 1,273 units permitted in Baltimore city in 2024 (1,104 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $1,923/mo this rent would consume 60% of the median local household income ($38k/yr) (locally 2921% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $207 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $900 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Baltimore County population projected to shrink 4% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 6.6% rent growth), your $8k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 49 days — a 3% lower offer ($29k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 8 sale attempts since 27y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1910 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $29,100 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 49 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1910 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
6.41%
Cap rate
59.80%
Cash-on-cash
191.08%
DSCR
9.50
GRM
1.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$150,511
List price
$30,000
Delta
-80.07%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1336 Division St 0.56mi 3/3.0 2,002 (+2%) 3mo $342,800 $171 60
1501 N Payson St N 0.60mi 4/2.0 (+1) 2,000 (+2%) 4mo $162,000 $81 57
1520 Appleton St 0.60mi 3/3.5 1,920 (-2%) 4mo $215,000 $112 54
1340 Division St 0.56mi 3/3.0 2,098 (+7%) 2mo $290,520 $138 53
1342 Division St 0.56mi 3/3.0 2,098 (+7%) 3mo $315,000 $150 52
329 N Gilmor St 0.49mi 4/2.5 (+1) 2,066 (+5%) 6mo $315,000 $152 52
536 Laurens St 0.51mi 3/3.0 1,768 (-10%) 0mo $250,000 $141 51
105 N Fulton Ave 0.73mi 4/2.0 (+1) 2,000 (+2%) 6mo $50,000 $25 50
2318 W Lanvale St 0.75mi 4/2.5 (+1) 1,884 (-4%) 2mo $180,000 $96 45
900 Argyle Ave 0.75mi 4/3.5 (+1) 2,000 (+2%) 6mo $240,000 $120 43
608 Cumberland St 0.63mi 3/2.0 1,700 (-14%) 2mo $90,000 $53 42
703 George St 0.67mi 4/3.5 (+1) 2,160 (+10%) 5mo $285,000 $132 34

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 6.63% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
11.43×
Total profit
$87,621
Equity at exit
$4,473
10-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
26.98×
Total profit
$218,237
Equity at exit
$2,594

Cash invested: $8,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (CITY)
12 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State Maryland
27 Tenant-Leaning · D+14
County
— inherits STATE
City Baltimore
12 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+58
Just-cause for tenancies > 1 yr.

ZIP-level market 21217

Rents YoY
6.6%
Active inventory
331
Price-to-rent
1.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,923 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$157
Tax from tax record
$12 /mo · $141/yr
Insurance
$12
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$404
Net cashflow
$1,338

Break-even live

Break-even rent $230
Max offer price $30,000
Occupancy floor 25%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $1,355 -5% $1,346 +0% $1,338 +5% $1,329 +10% $1,321
Rent -10% $1,186 -5% $1,262 +0% $1,338 +5% $1,414 +10% $1,489
Rate -1.0pp $1,353 -0.5pp $1,345 base $1,338 +0.5pp $1,330 +1.0pp $1,322

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$7,500
Closing costs
$900
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 40 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1613 Riggs Ave Baltimore, MD 3.0 2.5 1800 $1,800 $1.00 24d 1 0.16mi
1509 Edmondson Ave #1 Baltimore, MD 3.0 2.0 1600 $2,275 $1.42 24d 1 0.33mi
1625 Edmondson Ave Unit 2 Baltimore, MD 4.0 3.0 1500 $1,895 $1.26 13d 1 0.36mi
1625 Edmondson Ave Unit 1 Baltimore, MD 4.0 3.0 1500 $2,175 $1.45 5d 1 0.36mi
1012 W Lanvale St Baltimore, MD 2.0 2.0 2008 $1,925 $0.96 24d 1 0.37mi
1315 Presstman St Baltimore, MD 4.0 2.0 1700 $2,000 $1.18 44d 1 0.37mi
1516 N Mount St Baltimore, MD 3.0 1.5 1830 $1,750 $0.96 15d 1 0.46mi
1032 W Franklin St Baltimore, MD 4.0 4.5 1913 $2,650 $1.39 24d 1 0.50mi
549 Mosher St Baltimore, MD 3.0 1.0 2200 $1,350 $0.61 44d 1 0.51mi
1616 N Fulton Ave Baltimore, MD 3.0 2.0 1620 $1,795 $1.11 5d 1 0.57mi
1501 N Payson St Baltimore, MD 3.0 1.0 1400 $1,550 $1.11 44d 1 0.58mi
1725 Druid Hill Ave Baltimore, MD 4.0 3.0 2195 $2,100 $0.96 24d 1 0.59mi
2028 Druid Hill Ave Baltimore, MD 3.0 2.5 1437 $1,799 $1.25 11d 1 0.60mi
2028 Druid Hill Ave Unit 1 Baltimore, MD 3.0 2.5 1437 $1,750 $1.22 3d 1 0.60mi
1628 McCulloh St Unit 2 Baltimore, MD 4.0 2.5 2000 $2,000 $1.00 5d 1 0.62mi
1846 W Saratoga St Unit 1 Baltimore, MD 2.0 1.0 1250 $1,300 $1.04 44d 1 0.63mi
1518 1/2 W Lexington St Baltimore, MD 2.0 2.0 1650 $1,200 $0.73 5d 1 0.63mi
519 Sanford Pl Baltimore, MD 3.0 1.0 1300 $1,650 $1.27 17d 1 0.64mi
1814 Penrose Ave Baltimore, MD 3.0 1.0 1624 $1,700 $1.05 18d 1 0.65mi
2020 McCulloh St Unit 1 Baltimore, MD 2.0 2.0 2440 $1,650 $0.68 44d 1 0.65mi
2020 McCulloh St Unit 2 Baltimore, MD 2.0 2.0 2440 $1,950 $0.80 44d 1 0.65mi
918 N Bentalou St Baltimore, MD 3.0 1.5 1485 $1,750 $1.18 44d 1 0.69mi
2012 W Saratoga St Baltimore, MD 3.0 1.0 1300 $1,700 $1.31 24d 1 0.71mi
2303 Calverton Heights Ave Baltimore, MD 4.0 2.0 1314 $2,250 $1.71 24d 1 0.71mi
1702 Eutaw Pl Baltimore, MD 2.0 2.0 2000 $1,550 $0.78 18d 1 0.74mi
1205 Clendenin St Baltimore, MD 3.0 1.5 1560 $800 $0.51 24d 1 0.76mi
101 N Schroeder St Baltimore, MD 3.0 1.0–2.0 1037 $3,185 $3.07 3d 12 0.78mi
1829 Eutaw Pl Unit B Baltimore, MD 2.0 2.0 1278 $2,100 $1.64 5d 1 0.79mi
1839 W Fayette St Baltimore, MD 3.0 1.5 1426 $1,675 $1.17 24d 1 0.79mi
2409 Francis St Baltimore, MD 3.0 1.0 1298 $1,500 $1.16 44d 1 0.80mi
2614 Pennsylvania Ave Baltimore, MD 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 982 $1,141 $1.16 5d 4 0.81mi
2505 Woodbrook Ave Baltimore, MD 4.0 2.0 1256 $1,745 $1.39 2d 1 0.87mi
1000 Hollins St Unit 1000 Hollins Baltimore, MD 3.0 2.5 1472 $2,600 $1.77 45d 1 0.92mi
1328 W Lombard St Baltimore, MD 3.0 3.5 2312 $3,600 $1.56 13d 1 0.92mi
2339 Eutaw Pl Ste 1 Baltimore, MD 2.0 1.0 1300 $1,275 $0.98 44d 1 0.92mi
1816 N Bentalou St Baltimore, MD 3.0 2.0 1350 $1,700 $1.26 24d 1 0.95mi
1816 N Bentalou St Baltimore, MD 3.0 2.0 1350 $1,700 $1.26 11d 1 0.95mi
1138 W Lombard St Baltimore, MD 3.0 3.5 2400 $1,795 $0.75 24d 1 0.95mi
1617-A Moreland Ave Unit 2nd Flr Baltimore, MD 2.0 1.0 1500 $1,400 $0.93 44d 1 0.95mi
1427 Bolton St Unit 2 Baltimore, MD 2.0 2.0 1802 $3,600 $2.00 5d 1 0.95mi

Listing history 32 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $30,000 Active 49 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $30,000 Active 48 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $30,000 Active 47 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $30,000 Active 46 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $30,000 Active 44 DOM
  6. 2026-06-09
    days on market $30,000 Active 40 DOM
  7. 2026-06-08
    days on market $30,000 Active 39 DOM
  8. 2026-06-07
    days on market $30,000 Active 38 DOM
  9. 2026-06-04
    days on market $30,000 Active 35 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $30,000 Active 34 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $30,000 Active 33 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $30,000 Active 32 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $30,000 Active 31 DOM
  14. 2026-04-30
    listed $30,000 Active 110-char remark
  15. 2024-10-23
    historical
  16. 2024-04-22
    listed $60,000 Active
  17. 2024-04-12
    historical
  18. 2005-11-22
    soldstatus $38,000
    Show marketing remark (191 chars)

    TENANT OCCUPIED at $575 per month. ADVANCE NOTICE REQUIRED FOR SHOWING. SOLD AS IS. DELETE PARA 11 AND 12. LB HOLDS EARNEST MONEY. Evenings after 6 or during the weekend for showings. Thanks.

  19. 2005-11-08
    historical
    Show marketing remark (191 chars)

    TENANT OCCUPIED at $575 per month. ADVANCE NOTICE REQUIRED FOR SHOWING. SOLD AS IS. DELETE PARA 11 AND 12. LB HOLDS EARNEST MONEY. Evenings after 6 or during the weekend for showings. Thanks.

  20. 2005-07-11
    listed $45,000
    Show marketing remark (191 chars)

    TENANT OCCUPIED at $575 per month. ADVANCE NOTICE REQUIRED FOR SHOWING. SOLD AS IS. DELETE PARA 11 AND 12. LB HOLDS EARNEST MONEY. Evenings after 6 or during the weekend for showings. Thanks.

  21. 2002-04-25
    soldstatus $1,200
  22. 2002-04-10
    historical
  23. 2002-02-05
    listed $1,900
  24. 2001-07-23
    historical
  25. 2001-01-28
    listed
  26. 2001-01-03
    historical
  27. 2000-10-05
    listed
  28. 2000-09-19
    historical
  29. 2000-07-14
    listed
  30. 2000-05-31
    historical
  31. 1999-10-04
    listed
  32. 1991-03-22
    soldstatus $65,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MD · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$141 · $12/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$234 · $19/mo
Expected delta
+$93/yr (+$8/mo · 66.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 6 unhealthy d/yr today · 7 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$23,075
− Mortgage interest
−$1,680
− Property taxes
−$141
− Insurance
−$150
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,846
− Management
−$1,846
− Depreciation
−$873
Taxable income
$16,539
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$3,969
After-tax cash flow
$12,081/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Baltimore City Public Schools
NCES district ID
2400090
Math proficiency
7% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
16% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$42,108
Composite
10.08/100
National rank
#9805
State rank
#24 of 24 in MD

Livability — Baltimore

Score
76/100
State rank
#90
US rank
#3396

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A- Crime F Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings D-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Baltimore, MD
County
Baltimore City · 558,601 people
City population
588,727
Metro
Baltimore-Columbia-Towson, MD
Population (ZIP)
30,792
Household income
$38,409
Rent vs Own
70.0% rent · 30.0% own
Severe rent burden
2921.0

Population outlook (Baltimore County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
624,249 people
By 2030
621,541 · -0.4%
By 2040
609,756 · -2.3%
By 2050
597,249 · -4.3%
By 2075
552,236 · -11.5%
By 2100
513,934 · -17.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (81%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 81% White 12% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 2% Asian 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 1% Hispanic 1% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
5% · Canada, China, South Korea
Languages at home
94% English-only · Spanish 2% French/Haitian/Cajun 1% Chinese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Baltimore

2024 margin
Solid D (+73.0) · D 85.2% · R 12.2% · Other 2.6%
2008→2024 swing
-2.5pp toward R · 2008: 75.5pp · 2024: 73.0pp
All cycles
2024: D+73.0 2020: D+76.6 2016: D+74.6 2012: D+76.4 2008: D+75.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -187.20%
Current HPI
104.2102
Rent YoY
▲ 6.63%
Metro
Baltimore-Columbia-Towson, MD
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.97%
F500 in state
12

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MD)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-53.8% since first listed
19 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-30 Listed $30,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2024-10-23 Listing Removed BRIGHT MLS
  • 2024-04-22 Listed $60,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2024-04-12 Coming Soon BRIGHT MLS
  • 2005-11-22 Sold (MLS) $38,000 MRIS
  • 2005-11-08 Delisted MRIS
  • 2005-07-11 Listed $45,000 MRIS
  • 2002-04-25 Sold (MLS) $1,200 MRIS
  • 2002-04-10 Delisted MRIS
  • 2002-02-05 Listed $1,900 MRIS
  • 2001-07-23 Delisted MRIS
  • 2001-01-28 Listed MRIS
  • 2001-01-03 Delisted MRIS
  • 2000-10-05 Listed MRIS
  • 2000-09-19 Delisted MRIS
  • 2000-07-14 Listed MRIS
  • 2000-05-31 Delisted MRIS
  • 1999-10-04 Listed MRIS
  • 1991-03-22 Sold (Public Records) $65,000 Public Records

Property tax history

-0.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $141 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…