308 Bethel St · Hartselle, AL
Flood risk 7/10 · Major
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.99%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $916 – $1,700
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 22.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +4.5/10.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$49,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
SOLD AS IS WHERE IS. 3 BEDROOM 1 BATH HOME ON . 39 ACRES
Key facts
- 0.39 acre lot
- Built 1960
- Listed 10 days
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Residential property (Single Family Residence); Living area approximately 992 square feet
- HOA & community: No homeowners association; Subdivision: Metes And Bounds
Exterior
- Parking: Gravel driveway
- Utilities: Public water; Septic tank sewer
- Home design: Single-family residence; Built in 1960; Vinyl siding; Slab foundation
- Construction: One story; Vinyl siding construction; Slab foundation; Built in 1960
- Exterior features: Approximately 0.39-acre lot; Public water
Interior
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: No heating system specified; No cooling system specified
- Interior features: One-level living
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $50k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $525 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $50k).
- Cap rate 20.5% vs local median 4.0% in Hartselle — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 72/100 on livability (#32 in AL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
- Hartselle City (other): math 41% / reading 64% proficiency, ranked #10 of 129 in AL (top 8%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Fe Burleson Elementary School (math 38% / reading 65%, grade C-, #110 of 627 statewide, top 18%, 511 students, 45% FRL); Hartselle Junior High School (math 33% / reading 63%, grade C-, #29 of 257 statewide, top 12%, 527 students, 38% FRL); Hartselle High School (math 44% / reading 48%, grade D-, #18 of 305 statewide, top 6%, 1,031 students, 34% FRL).
- Market conditions: 193 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 231 units permitted in Morgan County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $345 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Morgan County population projected at -11% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $14k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 11 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1960 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.29% ✓
- Cap rate
- 20.51%
- Cash-on-cash
- 50.77%
- DSCR
- 3.26
- GRM
- 3.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $164,672
- Comps found
- 11
Show comp detail 11 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 306 Bethel St NE | 0.01mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 980 (-1%) | 10mo | $162,500 | $166 | 80 |
| 606 Morrow St NE | 0.21mi | 3/1.0 | 1,050 (+6%) | 4mo | $155,000 | $148 | 77 |
| 505 Georgia St NE | 0.13mi | 3/1.0 | 1,080 (+9%) | 8mo | $185,000 | $171 | 72 |
| 324 Simpson St SE | 0.43mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,036 (+4%) | 6mo | $160,500 | $155 | 58 |
| 504 Pine St NW | 0.71mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 980 (-1%) | 2mo | $181,000 | $185 | 58 |
| 306 Rock St SE | 0.43mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 883 (-11%) | 4mo | $123,000 | $139 | 49 |
| 600 SE Pennylane St | 0.63mi | 3/1.0 | 1,057 (+7%) | 15mo | $163,000 | $154 | 47 |
| 502 Hickory St SE | 0.24mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 864 (-13%) | 23mo | $149,900 | $173 | 43 |
| 601 Homeplace Ave | 0.54mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 880 (-11%) | 12mo | $138,000 | $157 | 41 |
| 308 Stewart St NW | 0.74mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 949 (-4%) | 16mo | $192,000 | $202 | 40 |
| 407 Speegle St | 0.70mi | 3/1.0 | 1,112 (+12%) | 14mo | $202,900 | $182 | 35 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 42.2%
- Equity multiple
- 2.82×
- Total profit
- $25,370
- Equity at exit
- $7,440
- IRR
- 48.3%
- Equity multiple
- 5.67×
- Total profit
- $65,279
- Equity at exit
- $4,314
Cash invested: $13,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Alabama
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 35640
- Home prices YoY
- -13.6%
- Active inventory
- 193
- Price-to-rent
- 3.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,145 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$262
- Tax from tax record
- −$31 /mo · $372/yr
- Insurance
- −$21
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$66 /mo · $798/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$240
- Net cashflow
- $525
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $553 | -5% $539 | +0% $525 | +5% $511 | +10% $496 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $434 | -5% $479 | +0% $525 | +5% $570 | +10% $615 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $550 | -0.5pp $537 | base $525 | +0.5pp $512 | +1.0pp $499 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $12,475
- Closing costs
- $1,497
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 506 Hickory St SE Unit A Hartselle, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,150 | $1.44 | 25d | 1 | 0.24mi |
| 710 Midway St NW Hartselle, AL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 943 | $1,124 | $1.19 | 46d | 1 | 1.20mi |
Listing history 10 events
-
2026-06-22days on market $49,900 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-21days on market $49,900 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-19days on market $49,900 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $49,900 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $49,900 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $49,900 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $49,900 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $49,900 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-06-12remarks 56-char remark
-
2026-06-12$49,900 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $372 · $31/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $372 · $31/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 7/10 Severe FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 22% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,741
- − Mortgage interest
- −$2,795
- − Property taxes
- −$372
- − Insurance
- −$1,047
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,099
- − Management
- −$1,099
- − Depreciation
- −$1,452
- Taxable income
- $5,877
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,410
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,886/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Hartselle City
- NCES district ID
- 0101730
- Math proficiency
- 41% ▼ -25.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 64% ▼ -1.00%
- Median HH income
- $51,169
- Composite
- 44.88/100
- National rank
- #2717
- State rank
- #10 of 129 in AL
Livability — Hartselle
- Score
- 72/100
- State rank
- #32
- US rank
- #6515
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Hartselle, AL
- City population
- 26,976
- Population (ZIP)
- 26,976
Population outlook (Morgan County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 118,775 people
- By 2030
- 116,979 · -1.5%
- By 2040
- 111,800 · -5.9%
- By 2050
- 105,181 · -11.4%
- By 2075
- 87,736 · -26.1%
- By 2100
- 67,624 · -43.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (89%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 89% Black 5% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 2%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 3% Italian 2% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Morgan
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+52.6) · D 23.2% · R 75.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -8.8pp toward R · 2008: -43.8pp · 2024: -52.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+52.6 2020: R+49.2 2016: R+52.4 2012: R+44.5 2008: R+43.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -38.12%
- Current HPI
- 242.5778
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.94%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $8B |
|
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| Healthcare | 1 | $5B |
|
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-06-11 Listed $49,900 VMLS
Property tax history
+3.3%/yrLatest (2025): $372 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…