3814 N 11th St Unit 14A · Milwaukee, WI
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $636 – $1,182
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 98°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 13 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Rent growth +4.6/5.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Schools +1.2/10.0
- Condition / age +1.0/5.0
$37,500
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Nice reduction on this 2/2 Duplex. Now is the time to place an offer! City owned. Open to owner and investors offers. District 6. $70,350 in essential repairs. Performance deposit required - buyer must complete essential repairs within 180 days and have City provide proof of completion for performance deposit return. This property is open to owner occupant and investor offers. Bring flashlights & use caution when entering. Note: City of Milwaukee Tax Foreclosure Property. Listing info not verified. This property is being sold in AS-IS condition
Key facts
- 5,227 sq ft lot
- 2 garage spots
- Built 1921
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $38k. Condition is rated poor.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $895 ($11k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $38k).
- Recommended offer: $35k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 34.9% vs local median 5.1% in Milwaukee — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 81/100 on livability (#55 in WI, #1,534 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: employment D+, schools F, crime F.
- Milwaukee School District (urban): math 10% / reading 18% proficiency, ranked #337 of 342 in WI (top 98%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 77% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+8.3%/yr); 150 active listings in the ZIP; 10 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 1,017 units permitted in Milwaukee County in 2024 (803 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $1,461/mo this rent would consume 60% of the median local household income ($29k/yr) (locally 2061% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $4k of equity ($259 loan paydown + $4k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Milwaukee County population projected at +4% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $10k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 8, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$35k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 63 days — a 6% lower offer ($35k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1921 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 63 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
- Built in 1921 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 3.90% ✓
- Cap rate
- 34.94%
- Cash-on-cash
- 102.32%
- DSCR
- 5.55
- GRM
- 2.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $166,208
- Comps found
- 1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3920 N 20th St Unit A | 0.63mi | 4/2.0 | 1,777 (+5%) | 9mo | $174,900 | $98 | 55 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 9.11×
- Total profit
- $85,187
- Equity at exit
- $33,783
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 22.45×
- Total profit
- $225,199
- Equity at exit
- $72,854
Cash invested: $10,500 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 73 Landlord-Friendly
- State Wisconsin
- 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+2
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 53206
- Rents YoY
- 8.3%
- Active inventory
- 150
- Price-to-rent
- 2.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,461 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$197
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$47 /mo · $562/yr
- Insurance
- −$16
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$307
- Net cashflow
- $895
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $921 | -5% $908 | +0% $895 | +5% $882 | +10% $869 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $780 | -5% $838 | +0% $895 | +5% $953 | +10% $1,011 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $914 | -0.5pp $905 | base $895 | +0.5pp $886 | +1.0pp $876 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $9,375
- Closing costs
- $1,125
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 10 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3416 N 17th St Unit 1 Milwaukee, WI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,100 | $0.92 | 44d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 2106A W Keefe Ave Unit 2106 Lower Milwaukee, WI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1300 | $1,100 | $0.85 | 17d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 2116 W Atkinson Ave Unit A Milwaukee, WI | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1707 | $2,000 | $1.17 | 2d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 3045 N 11th St #3047 Milwaukee, WI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1065 | $1,175 | $1.10 | 5d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 312 E Townsend St Unit 312 Milwaukee, WI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1400 | $1,250 | $0.89 | 24d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 223 E Burleigh St Unit 223 Milwaukee, WI | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1153 | $1,395 | $1.21 | 44d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 3042 N Palmer St #5 Milwaukee, WI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1718 | $1,050 | $0.61 | 24d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 3388 N 27th St Unit 3388 Front House Milwaukee, WI | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1212 | $1,550 | $1.28 | 5d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 2704 W Concordia Ave Unit Na Milwaukee, WI | 5.0 | 2.0 | 1856 | $2,500 | $1.35 | 24d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 2821 W Concordia Ave Milwaukee, WI | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1098 | $1,595 | $1.45 | 2d | 1 | 1.39mi |
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $0 · $0/yr
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 17 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $37,500 Active 63 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $37,500 Active 62 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $37,500 Active 61 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $37,500 Active 60 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $37,500 Active 58 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $37,500 Active 57 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $37,500 Active 54 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $37,500 Active 53 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $37,500 Active 52 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $37,500 Active 49 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $37,500 Active 48 DOM
-
2026-06-02remarks 553-char remark
-
2026-06-02pricedays on market $37,500 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $50,000 Active 46 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $50,000 Active 45 DOM
-
2026-04-16status Pending
-
2026-03-04$50,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 13 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $17,535
- − Mortgage interest
- −$2,101
- − Property taxes
- −$562
- − Insurance
- −$188
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,403
- − Management
- −$1,403
- − Depreciation
- −$1,091
- Taxable income
- $10,788
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,589
- After-tax cash flow
- $8,154/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 13 photos
This property requires extensive gut renovation, including structural repairs, electrical and plumbing updates, and exterior improvements. The potential resale and rental value is high once completed.
Repairs flagged
- Major Exposed wiring in kitchen — Safety hazard
- Major Exposed plumbing in bath — Safety hazard
- Major Peeling paint throughout — Safety hazard
- Major Debris in kitchen and bath — Safety hazard
- Major Exposed frames in windows — Safety hazard
Value-add opportunities
- Both Painting and updating the exterior — Enhances curb appeal and resale value
- Both Rebuilding the kitchen and bath — Creates move-in-ready spaces
- Both Reframing and updating the windows — Improves energy efficiency and aesthetics
Renovation cost estimate screening
| Repair item | Severity | Est. cost |
|---|---|---|
| Exposed wiring in kitchen · Safety hazard | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| Exposed plumbing in bath · Safety hazard | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| Peeling paint throughout · Safety hazard | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| Debris in kitchen and bath · Safety hazard | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| Exposed frames in windows · Safety hazard | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| Total estimated repair cost · 5 items | $75,000–250,000 |
Value-add ROI direction
- Both Painting and updating the exterior — Enhances curb appeal and resale value ↑
- Both Rebuilding the kitchen and bath — Creates move-in-ready spaces ↑
- Both Reframing and updating the windows — Improves energy efficiency and aesthetics ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Milwaukee School District
- NCES district ID
- 5509600
- Math proficiency
- 10% ▼ -5.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 18% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $36,339
- Composite
- 11.61/100
- National rank
- #9696
- State rank
- #337 of 342 in WI
Livability — Milwaukee
- Score
- 81/100
- State rank
- #55
- US rank
- #1534
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Milwaukee, WI
- County
- Milwaukee County · 926,379 people
- City population
- 573,768
- Metro
- Milwaukee-Waukesha, WI
- Population (ZIP)
- 19,887
- Household income
- $29,336
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2061.0
Population outlook (Milwaukee County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 995,758 people
- By 2030
- 1,009,124 · +1.3%
- By 2040
- 1,028,128 · +3.3%
- By 2050
- 1,040,066 · +4.4%
- By 2075
- 1,057,849 · +6.2%
- By 2100
- 1,039,774 · +4.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (91%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 91% Two or more races 3% White 3% Hispanic / Latino 3%
- Common ancestry
- Norwegian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Milwaukee
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+38.5) · D 68.3% · R 29.8% · Other 1.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +2.7pp toward D · 2008: 35.9pp · 2024: 38.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+38.5 2020: D+39.9 2016: D+37.5 2012: D+34.6 2008: D+35.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 133.03%
- Current HPI
- 397.7151
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 8.28%
- Metro
- Milwaukee-Waukesha, WI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.10%
- F500 in state
- 20
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in WI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Machinery | 4 | $23B |
|
||
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $36B |
|
||
| Insurance | 1 | $36B |
|
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| Professional Services | 1 | $19B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $9B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 1 | $3B |
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Price history
2 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-16 Pending — METROMLS
- 2026-03-04 Listed $50,000 METROMLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…