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872 Chester Hwy
C Composite 56.05
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +17.6/30.0
  • Appreciation +9.4/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • DSCR +5.5/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.7/10.0
  • Condition / age +4.0/5.0
  • Livability +3.1/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.8/10.0

$159,000

872 Chester Hwy · Eastman, GA 31023
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,152 sqft · SingleFamily · 29 Days on market
Built 1995 Good condition 1.72 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Welcome to this beautifully updated 3-bedroom, 2-bath home situated on 1.72 acres with the space and freedom that country living provides. This move-in ready property has been almost completely updated, offering buyers the opportunity to enjoy modern improvements without the stress and expense of major renovations. Inside, you'll find refreshed living spaces with an inviting, updated feel throughout. Outside, the home features both a covered front porch and a back deck, creating the perfect spots to enjoy morning coffee, entertain guests, or simply relax and take in the peaceful surroundings. The spacious 1.72-acre lot provides room for outdoor activities, all while being conveniently locat

Key facts

  • Covered front porch
  • Updated improvements
  • 1.72 acres

Tags

COVERED FRONT PORCHBACK DECK1.72 ACRESUPDATED IMPROVEMENTSREFRESHED LIVING SPACESPEACEFUL SURROUNDINGS

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: No HOA

Exterior

  • Parking: Side/rear entrance
  • Utilities: Well water; Septic tank; Electricity available; High-speed internet available; Water available
  • Home design: Single-family residence; One story; Updated/remodeled
  • Construction: Built in 1995; Vinyl siding; Composition roof; 1152 square feet of finished above-grade living area
  • Exterior features: Front porch; Corner, level lot

Interior

  • Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms (all on the main level)
  • Flooring: Other
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms (both on the main level)
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air conditioning (electric); Ceiling fans
  • Interior features: Rear stairs; Separate shower; Soaking tub; Split-bedroom floor plan; Crawl space basement; Dining room and living room combined
  • Laundry & utility: Mud room; Electric water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $159k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $124 ($1k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $155k (2.6% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $155k (2.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 61/100 on livability (#333 in GA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, amenities F.
  • Dodge County (rural): math 18% / reading 26% proficiency, ranked #139 of 174 in GA (top 80%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 62% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 73 active listings in the ZIP; 13 units permitted in Dodge County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $15k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $14k appreciation (8.8% local appreciation)).
  • Dodge County population projected at -25% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (8.8% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $45k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$38k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 29 days — a 2% lower offer ($157k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $154,823 (2.6% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  2. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  3. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.97%
Cap rate
7.23%
Cash-on-cash
3.35%
DSCR
1.15
GRM
8.6

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

8.79% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
24.2%
Equity multiple
2.83×
Total profit
$81,605
Equity at exit
$129,485
10-year hold
IRR
21.7%
Equity multiple
6.20×
Total profit
$231,682
Equity at exit
$265,786

Cash invested: $44,520 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Georgia
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Magistrate court evictions in 10-30 days; no rent control; preempted; few tenant protections.

ZIP-level market 31023

Home prices YoY
4.2%
Active inventory
73
Price-to-rent
8.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,548 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$834
Tax est. 1.5%
$199 /mo · $2,385/yr
Insurance
$66
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$325
Net cashflow
$124

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,391
Max offer price $159,000
Occupancy floor 87%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $234 -5% $179 +0% $124 +5% $69 +10% $14
Rent -10% $2 -5% $63 +0% $124 +5% $185 +10% $247
Rate -1.0pp $204 -0.5pp $165 base $124 +0.5pp $83 +1.0pp $41

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$39,750
Closing costs
$4,770
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 17 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $159,000 Active 29 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $159,000 Active 27 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $159,000 Active 26 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $159,000 Active 25 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $159,000 Active 24 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $159,000 Active 22 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    days on market $159,000 Active 21 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $159,000 Active 18 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $159,000 Active 17 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $159,000 Active 16 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    statusdays on market $159,000 Active 15 DOM
  12. 2026-06-04
    days on market $159,000 New 12 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $159,000 New 11 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $159,000 New 10 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $159,000 New 9 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $159,000 New 8 DOM
  17. 2026-05-20
    listed $159,000 New

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 7/10 Severe
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$18,579
− Mortgage interest
−$8,906
− Property taxes
−$2,385
− Insurance
−$795
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,486
− Management
−$1,486
− Depreciation
−$4,625
Taxable loss
−$1,106
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$265
After-tax cash flow
$1,757/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 30 photos

Good 80/100 Cosmetic rehab

This move-in ready home has been almost completely updated, offering a modern and inviting interior with fresh paint and updated fixtures. The spacious 1.72-acre lot provides ample outdoor space for relaxation and activities.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Painting exterior and interior — Fresh paint enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics
  • Both Landscaping and curb appeal — Well-maintained lawn and landscaping improve curb appeal
  • Both Add a small garden or flower bed — Enhances curb appeal and adds aesthetic value

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both Painting exterior and interior — Fresh paint enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics
  • Both Landscaping and curb appeal — Well-maintained lawn and landscaping improve curb appeal
  • Both Add a small garden or flower bed — Enhances curb appeal and adds aesthetic value

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Dodge County
NCES district ID
1301770
Math proficiency
18% ▼ -21.00%
Reading proficiency
26% ▼ -7.00%
Median HH income
$34,856
Composite
18.1/100
National rank
#8971
State rank
#139 of 174 in GA

Livability — Eastman

Score
61/100
State rank
#333
US rank
#17509

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
14,257

Population outlook (Dodge County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
19,669 people
By 2030
18,784 · -4.5%
By 2040
16,878 · -14.2%
By 2050
14,837 · -24.6%
By 2075
9,804 · -50.2%
By 2100
5,885 · -70.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (69%)
Race & ethnicity
White 69% Black 25% Hispanic / Latino 4% Two or more races 2%
Common ancestry
Slovak 1% Lithuanian 1% Serbian 1%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
98% English-only · Spanish 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Dodge

2024 margin
Solid R (+49.9) · D 24.9% · R 74.8%
2008→2024 swing
-14.0pp toward R · 2008: -35.9pp · 2024: -49.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+49.9 2020: R+45.5 2016: R+45.5 2012: R+35.9 2008: R+35.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 8.79%
Current HPI
216.6501
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.66%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-05-20 Listed $159,000 GAMLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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