🏗️ New Construction
207 Grand St · Mamaroneck, NY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 98°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 5 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 7 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +18.7/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +7.1/10.0
- DSCR +5.9/10.0
- 1% rule +5.5/10.0
- Rent growth +4.2/5.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$959,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed
Listing remarks
Discover an exceptional opportunity with this newly built 2-family home perfectly positioned in the heart of Mamaroneck. Thoughtfully designed with quality craftsmanship throughout, each side-by-side unit features beautiful oak hardwood floors, recessed lighting, central air, double-pane windows, and refined modern finishes. Both units mirror one another and offer a spacious first floor with an open-concept layout—featuring sun-filled living and dining areas, a stylish powder room, first-floor laundry, and convenient access to an attached garage and a generous private storage room. Kitchens are outfitted with stainless steel appliances, quartz countertops, and doors that open to a dec
Key facts
- Recessed lighting
- Oak hardwood floors
- Central air
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2 × 3-bed/2.5-bath units multifamily listed at $959k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $856 ($10k/yr) — positive. Per door: $428/mo.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $915k (4.6% below list).
- Recommended offer: $915k (4.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 7.5% vs local median 3.1% in Mamaroneck — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 69/100 on livability (#491 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+; Watch: amenities C-, commute F, cost of living F.
- Mamaroneck Union Free School District (suburban): math 74% / reading 81% proficiency, ranked #47 of 590 in NY (top 8%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical; only 12% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Zoned schools: Mamaroneck Avenue School (math 43% / reading 60%, grade C-, #1,041 of 2,108 statewide, top 50%, 684 students, 49% FRL); Hommocks School (math 65% / reading 79%, grade A, #76 of 729 statewide, top 11%, 1,258 students, 20% FRL); Mamaroneck High School (math 95% / reading 91%, grade A+, #147 of 1,100 statewide, top 14%, 1,660 students, 23% FRL) — zoned schools average 31% FRL vs 12% district-wide (19 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.7%/yr); 124 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; high-income renter base; 954 units permitted in Westchester County in 2024 (649 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $9,151/mo this rent would consume 87% of the median local household income ($126k/yr) (locally 1152% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $6k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $26k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Westchester County population projected at +10% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 6.7% rent growth), your $245k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 9 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.05% ✓
- Cap rate
- 7.47%
- Cash-on-cash
- 4.20%
- DSCR
- 1.19
- GRM
- 8.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $874,200
- Comps found
- 2
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 256 Madison St | 0.11mi | 6/5.0 | 3,226 (+14%) | 2mo | $999,999 | $310 | 61 |
| 243 Center Ave | 0.13mi | 6/3.0 | 3,240 (+15%) | 16mo | $925,000 | $285 | 55 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 6.7% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -5.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.79×
- Total profit
- $-51,458
- Equity at exit
- $130,346
- IRR
- 8.4%
- Equity multiple
- 1.75×
- Total profit
- $183,264
- Equity at exit
- $75,585
Cash invested: $244,776 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 10543
- Rents YoY
- 6.7%
- Active inventory
- 124
- Price-to-rent
- 17.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $9,151 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$4,584
- Tax from tax record
- −$1,425 /mo · $17,094/yr
- Insurance
- −$364
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$1,922
- Net cashflow
- $856
Break-even live
2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2× units | 3 | 2.5 | $9,152 |
| #1 | 3 | 2.5 | $4,576 |
| #2 | 3 | 2.5 | $4,576 |
| Total (2 units) | $9,151 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $218,550
- Closing costs
- $26,226
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 625 Lorraine St Mamaroneck, NY | 5.0 | 2.0 | 1926 | $6,300 | $3.27 | 1d | 1 | 0.80mi |
Listing history 2 events
-
2025-11-27status Pending
-
2025-11-13$959,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $17,094 · $1,425/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $17,094 · $1,425/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 7 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $109,812
- − Mortgage interest
- −$48,969
- − Property taxes
- −$17,094
- − Insurance
- −$4,371
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$8,785
- − Management
- −$8,785
- − Depreciation
- −$25,431
- Taxable loss
- −$3,623
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$870
- After-tax cash flow
- $11,143/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Mamaroneck Union Free School District
- NCES district ID
- 3618240
- Math proficiency
- 74% ▼ -4.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 81% ▲ 9.00%
- Median HH income
- $111,011
- Composite
- 71.4/100
- National rank
- #228
- State rank
- #47 of 590 in NY
Livability — Mamaroneck
- Score
- 69/100
- State rank
- #491
- US rank
- #8656
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Mamaroneck, NY
- County
- Westchester County · 709,332 people
- City population
- 20,989
- Metro
- New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 20,989
- Household income
- $126,417
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1152.0
Population outlook (Westchester County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,028,035 people
- By 2030
- 1,051,636 · +2.3%
- By 2040
- 1,098,520 · +6.9%
- By 2050
- 1,136,044 · +10.5%
- By 2075
- 1,196,925 · +16.4%
- By 2100
- 1,175,147 · +14.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.57)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 59% Hispanic / Latino 27% Two or more races 11% Asian 5% Black 4% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 5% Puerto Rican 4% Dominican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Russian 3% Romanian 2% Scotch-Irish 2%
- Foreign-born
- 28% · Canada, Jamaica, China
- Languages at home
- 60% English-only · Spanish 23% Other Indo-European 8% Other Asian/Pacific 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Westchester
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+26.3) · D 63.1% · R 36.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -1.3pp toward R · 2008: 27.6pp · 2024: 26.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+26.3 2020: D+36.3 2016: D+32.8 2012: D+22.2 2008: D+27.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -220.53%
- Current HPI
- 268.4687
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 6.70%
- Metro
- New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
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| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
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| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
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Price history
2 events — show timeline
- 2025-11-27 Pending — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-11-13 Listed $959,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+77.1%/yrLatest (2025): $17,094 · +37.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…