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8750 154th St
D Composite 43.3
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +16.7/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.8/15.0
  • DSCR +5.2/10.0
  • 1% rule +3.3/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.1/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$192,900

8750 154th St · Slaughterville, OK 73068
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,206 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 17 Days on market
Built 1983 1.80 ac lot Est $194k · at est.

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Escape to your own private retreat with this stunning modern home perfectly situated on an expansive lot. Offering the ultimate blend of peaceful country living and contemporary design, this property features exceptional curb appeal, a sleek exterior design, and sprawling acreage that provides endless possibilities for outdoor enjoyment. Bright, Open, and Beautifully Appointed Step inside to an inviting interior that maximizes space and natural light, creating a warm and sophisticated atmosphere from the moment you walk through the door. The spacious main living area serves as the perfect central hub, featuring clean modern lines, durable neutral flooring, and large windows that frame pictu

Key facts

  • Expansive lot
  • Large windows
  • Sprawling acreage

Tags

EXPANSIVE LOTSPRAWLING ACREAGENATURAL LIGHTLARGE WINDOWSPICTURESQUE VIEWSSLEEK CONTEMPORARY CABINETRY

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Located in Shady Creek Estates; Homestead not indicated; Directions: From E Cementary Rd turn south onto 154th St. Home is on the west side of the street.
  • Financial info: Loan qualifications possible; Property is not assumable
  • HOA & community: No mandatory association dues

Exterior

  • Home design: Single family residence; One story; Existing property
  • Construction: Frame construction; Composition roof; Conventional foundation; Built on previously existing structure
  • Exterior features: No additional exterior features listed; Interior lot

Interior

  • Bedrooms: 4 bedrooms
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bath; 1 half bath
  • Heating & cooling: Electric heating
  • Interior features: One living area; No fireplace

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $193k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $120 ($1k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $161k (16.7% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $161k (16.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 7.0% vs local median 4.4% in Slaughterville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 63/100 on livability (#228 in OK) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, employment A; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
  • Noble (suburban): math 23% / reading 25% proficiency, ranked #108 of 270 in OK (top 40%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Zoned schools: Katherine I Daily Es (379 students, 0% FRL); Curtis Inge Ms (math 18% / reading 20%, grade F, #178 of 345 statewide, top 52%, 712 students, 0% FRL); Noble Hs (math 17% / reading 27%, grade F, #222 of 447 statewide, top 52%, 883 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 53% district-wide (53 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
  • Market conditions: 215 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 592 units permitted in Cleveland County in 2024 (12 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Cleveland County population projected at +40% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 17 days — a 2% lower offer ($190k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • Current owner paid $125k; list at $193k implies a 54% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $160,747 (16.7% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  2. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  3. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.83%
Cap rate
7.04%
Cash-on-cash
2.67%
DSCR
1.12
GRM
10.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$194,166
Comps found
5
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
8500 152nd Ave 0.26mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,273 (+6%) 1mo $215,000 $169 71
8600 SE 152nd St 0.23mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,056 (-12%) 3mo $169,900 $161 61
8801 152nd St 0.08mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,056 (-12%) 15mo $198,500 $188 58
8550 149th St 0.20mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,368 (+13%) 19mo $125,000 $91 47
9530 154th St 0.68mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,185 (-2%) 19mo $150,000 $127 44

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-12.1%
Equity multiple
0.56×
Total profit
$-23,686
Equity at exit
$28,762
10-year hold
IRR
-3.1%
Equity multiple
0.79×
Total profit
$-11,122
Equity at exit
$16,678

Cash invested: $54,012 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Oklahoma
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+20
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
5-day notice; strongly landlord-favorable.

ZIP-level market 73068

Home prices YoY
-4.8%
Active inventory
215
Price-to-rent
10.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,607 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,012
Tax from tax record
$58 /mo · $692/yr
Insurance
$80
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$338
Net cashflow
$120

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,455
Max offer price $192,900
Occupancy floor 88%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $229 -5% $175 +0% $120 +5% $66 +10% $11
Rent -10% $-7 -5% $57 +0% $120 +5% $184 +10% $247
Rate -1.0pp $217 -0.5pp $169 base $120 +0.5pp $70 +1.0pp $19

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$48,225
Closing costs
$5,787
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 2 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
7500 144th St Unit 17 Noble, OK 3.0 2.0 1216 $1,350 $1.11 3d 1 1.26mi
7351 142nd St Unit 37 Noble, OK 3.0 2.0 1216 $1,350 $1.11 3d 1 1.38mi

Listing history 11 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $192,900 Active 17 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $192,900 Active 14 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $192,900 Active 13 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $192,900 Active 12 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $192,900 Active 11 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $192,900 Active 9 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $192,900 Active 8 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $192,900 Active 5 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $192,900 Active 4 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    remarks 699-char remark
  11. 2026-06-07
    listed $192,900 Active 3 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast OK · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$692 · $58/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,736 · $145/mo
Expected delta
+$1,044/yr (+$87/mo · 150.9%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 3/10 Moderate 6% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$19,290
− Mortgage interest
−$10,805
− Property taxes
−$692
− Insurance
−$964
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,543
− Management
−$1,543
− Depreciation
−$5,612
Taxable loss
−$1,870
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$449
After-tax cash flow
$1,892/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Noble
NCES district ID
4021630
Math proficiency
23% ▼ -8.00%
Reading proficiency
25% ▼ -7.00%
Median HH income
$50,812
Composite
21.31/100
National rank
#8384
State rank
#108 of 270 in OK

Livability — Slaughterville

Score
63/100
State rank
#228
US rank
#15883

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A- Employment A Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Cleveland County · 239,547 people
City population
12,003
Metro
Oklahoma City, OK
Population (ZIP)
12,258
Household income
$73,821
Rent vs Own
24.8% rent · 75.2% own
Severe rent burden
301.0

Population outlook (Cleveland County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
323,621 people
By 2030
349,070 · +7.9%
By 2040
400,168 · +23.7%
By 2050
454,101 · +40.3%
By 2075
602,926 · +86.3%
By 2100
734,485 · +127.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (82%)
Race & ethnicity
White 82% Two or more races 8% Hispanic / Latino 5% Native American 5% Black 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 4% Puerto Rican 1%
Common ancestry
Slovak 3% Lithuanian 2% Italian 2%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
98% English-only · Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Cleveland

2024 margin
R (+14.9) · D 41.4% · R 56.4% · Other 2.2%
2008→2024 swing
+9.1pp toward D · 2008: -24.0pp · 2024: -14.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+14.9 2020: R+14.1 2016: R+21.7 2012: R+25.9 2008: R+24.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -13.99%
Current HPI
278.428
Rent YoY
Metro
Oklahoma City, OK
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.55%
F500 in state
6

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OK)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+1069.1% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-04 Listed $192,900 MLSOK
  • 2003-01-16 Sold (Public Records) $25,000 Public Records
  • 2003-01-16 Sold (Public Records) $125,000 Public Records
  • 1994-04-15 Sold (Public Records) $16,500 Public Records

Property tax history

+3.7%/yr

Latest (2024): $692 · +4.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…