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5512 Avenue G
C- Composite 52.35
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +13.7/15.0
  • Cash flow +12.6/30.0
  • Appreciation +6.6/10.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • DSCR +3.7/10.0
  • 1% rule +3.6/10.0
  • Schools +3.1/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$110,000

5512 Avenue G · Lubbock, TX 79404
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,117 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 44 Days on market
Built 1955 6,688 sqft lot $98/sqft · 14% below area Est $128k · 14% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Check out this great opportunity — perfect for first-time buyers or investors looking to expand their rental portfolio! 3 Bedrooms | 1 Bathroom 1,117 Sq Ft of Living Space This home has been slightly remodeled, offering a fresh feel while still leaving room to add your personal touch. Whether you're looking for an affordable starter home or a solid rental property, this one checks the boxes. Affordable, functional, and full of potential Great investment opportunity Ideal for first-time buyers Don't miss your chance to own a property with value and upside in Lubbock! Scheduleyour showings today!

Key facts

  • Recent updates
  • Central heat and air
  • Freshly painted

Tags

REMODELED HOMERECENT UPDATESCENTRAL HEAT AND AIRFRESHLY PAINTEDCLOSE TO LOCAL AMENITIESSCHOOLS

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Other parking
  • Home design: Single-family residence; Residential property
  • Construction: Masonite siding; Composition roof; Pillar/post/pier foundation; Built as a single-story (above-grade finished area 1,117)
  • Exterior features: Fenced yard; Other exterior features

Interior

  • Flooring: Vinyl flooring
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating (natural gas); Central air conditioning; Electric cooling; Ceiling fans
  • Interior features: Ceiling fans

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $110k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-15 ($-178/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $107k (2.4% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $94k (14.3% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $94k (14.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 80/100 on livability (#37 in TX, #1,749 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, crime F.
  • Lubbock ISD (urban): math 36% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #481 of 826 in TX (top 58%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 60% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Hodges El (math 27% / reading 27%, grade F, #2,791 of 4,322 statewide, top 68%, 255 students, 98% FRL, charter); Dunbar College Preparatory Academy (math 16% / reading 20%, grade F, #1,491 of 1,662 statewide, top 91%, 430 students, 97% FRL, charter); Estacado H S (math 26% / reading 29%, grade F, #1,183 of 1,632 statewide, top 73%, 897 students, 90% FRL) — zoned schools average 95% FRL vs 60% district-wide (35 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Zoned-school proficiency averages 24% at this address vs 38% district-wide (-13 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Lubbock ISD average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
  • Market conditions: 91 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 2,219 units permitted in Lubbock County in 2024 (252 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $4k of equity ($761 loan paydown + $4k appreciation (3.2% local appreciation)).
  • Lubbock County population projected at +39% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (3.2% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $31k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 8, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 44 days — a 3% lower offer ($107k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1955 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $94,311 (14.3% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 44 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 14% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Built in 1955 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.86%
Cap rate
6.13%
Cash-on-cash
-0.58%
DSCR
0.97
GRM
9.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$127,633
List price
$110,000
Delta
-13.82%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
5 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 4 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
507 49th St 0.45mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,114 (-0%) 2mo $99,900 $90 68
302 52nd St 0.40mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,102 (-1%) 9mo $76,999 $70 63
402 51st St 0.41mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,036 (-7%) 11mo $129,999 $125 51
1218 48th St 0.58mi 2/1.0 1,040 (-7%) 13mo $139,000 $134 50

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

3.22% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
7.6%
Equity multiple
1.44×
Total profit
$13,628
Equity at exit
$50,850
10-year hold
IRR
10.2%
Equity multiple
2.57×
Total profit
$48,268
Equity at exit
$79,464

Cash invested: $30,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 79404

Home prices YoY
2.0%
Active inventory
91
Price-to-rent
9.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$943 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$577
Tax from tax record
$137 /mo · $1,646/yr
Insurance
$46
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$198
Net cashflow
$-15

Break-even live

Break-even rent $962
Max offer price $107,384
Occupancy floor 97%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$27,500
Closing costs
$3,300
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 40 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
5512 Avenue G Unit G Lubbock, TX 3.0 1.0 1117 $1,000 $0.90 43d 1 0.04mi
5614 Avenue A Unit A Lubbock, TX 3.0 1.0 1129 $695 $0.62 21d 1 0.21mi
1101 52nd St Apt C Lubbock, TX 2.0 1.0 721 $850 $1.18 21d 1 0.30mi
1307 53rd St Unit 1307 C Lubbock, TX 2.0 1.0 755 $695 $0.92 43d 1 0.37mi
1316 53rd St Apt D Lubbock, TX 2.0 1.0 755 $695 $0.92 43d 1 0.43mi
1317 52nd St Unit C Lubbock, TX 2.0 1.0 755 $650 $0.86 21d 1 0.45mi
1307 61st St Lubbock, TX 3.0 1.0 1073 $1,150 $1.07 13d 1 0.48mi
812 48th St Lubbock, TX 3.0 1.0 1282 $1,250 $0.98 21d 1 0.54mi
713 47th St Unit B Lubbock, TX 2.0 1.0 800 $750 $0.94 21d 1 0.57mi
705 47th St Unit A Lubbock, TX 2.0 1.0 821 $750 $0.91 21d 1 0.58mi
703 47th St Unit B Lubbock, TX 2.0 1.0 821 $750 $0.91 21d 1 0.58mi
1610 58th St Unit B Lubbock, TX 2.0 1.0 952 $950 $1.00 43d 1 0.59mi
1608 59th St Unit 3 Lubbock, TX 1.0 1.0 800 $575 $0.72 43d 1 0.59mi
1612 58th St Unit B Lubbock, TX 2.0 1.0 952 $950 $1.00 43d 1 0.60mi
1614 58th St Unit A Lubbock, TX 2.0 1.0 952 $950 $1.00 43d 1 0.61mi
1303 65th St Lubbock, TX 2.0 1.0 850 $595 $0.70 21d 1 0.63mi
1618 58th St Unit B Lubbock, TX 2.0 1.0 952 $950 $1.00 43d 1 0.63mi
4606 Avenue C Unit C Lubbock, TX 3.0 2.0 1142 $999 $0.87 13d 1 0.68mi
1341 65th Dr Unit C Lubbock, TX 2.0 1.5 1000 $695 $0.69 21d 1 0.68mi
520 46th St Unit A Lubbock, TX 3.0 1.0 1200 $850 $0.71 13d 1 0.69mi
529 45th St Unit A Lubbock, TX 3.0 1.0 1100 $875 $0.80 13d 1 0.71mi
519 45th St Unit A Lubbock, TX 3.0 1.0 1100 $850 $0.77 13d 1 0.71mi
1119 46th St Unit A Lubbock, TX 2.0 1.0 704 $595 $0.85 21d 1 0.72mi
1107 45th St Unit B Lubbock, TX 2.0 1.0 728 $850 $1.17 43d 1 0.76mi
531 44th St Lubbock, TX 3.0 2.0 1300 $1,090 $0.84 13d 1 0.76mi
220 44th St Unit A Lubbock, TX 3.0 2.0 980 $910 $0.93 13d 1 0.87mi
519 42nd St Apt A Lubbock, TX 3.0 1.0 1092 $895 $0.82 13d 1 0.90mi
1604 45th St Lubbock, TX 1.0 1.0 700 $650 $0.93 43d 1 0.92mi
6518 Avenue S Lubbock, TX 2.0 1.0 990 $700 $0.71 21d 1 0.94mi
1717 47th St Unit B Lubbock, TX 3.0 1.0 830 $775 $0.93 21d 1 0.95mi
1710 45th St Unit A Lubbock, TX 2.0 1.0 714 $595 $0.83 13d 1 1.02mi
2035 63rd St Lubbock, TX 2.0 1.0 810 $695 $0.86 21d 1 1.07mi
2035 63rd St Lubbock, TX 2.0 1.0 810 $795 $0.98 43d 1 1.07mi
2101 51st St Lubbock, TX 2.0 1.5 1100 $900 $0.82 21d 1 1.09mi
1312 40th St Lubbock, TX 3.0 1.0 940 $795 $0.85 21d 1 1.10mi
512 39th St Lubbock, TX 2.0 1.0 876 $849 $0.97 13d 1 1.11mi
1920 45th St Lubbock, TX 3.0 1.0 1200 $1,200 $1.00 21d 1 1.15mi
419 38th St Lubbock, TX 3.0 1.0 1206 $950 $0.79 43d 1 1.16mi
1712 42nd St Unit B Lubbock, TX 3.0 1.0 899 $695 $0.77 21d 1 1.19mi
332 37th St Unit 2 Lubbock, TX 3.0 1.0 725 $700 $0.97 21d 1 1.28mi

Listing history 22 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $110,000 Active 44 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $110,000 Active 43 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $110,000 Active 42 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $110,000 Active 41 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $110,000 Active 39 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $110,000 Active 38 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $110,000 Active 36 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $110,000 Active 35 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $110,000 Active 34 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $110,000 Active 33 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $110,000 Active 30 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $110,000 Active 29 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $110,000 Active 28 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $110,000 Active 27 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $110,000 Active 26 DOM
  16. 2026-05-30
    days on market $110,000 Active 25 DOM
  17. 2026-05-05
    listed $110,000 Active 619-char remark
  18. 2025-07-09
    price $105,000
  19. 2024-07-30
    soldstatus
  20. 2022-06-06
    soldstatus
  21. 2019-11-13
    soldstatus
  22. 1986-03-01
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,646 · $137/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,013 · $168/mo
Expected delta
+$367/yr (+$31/mo · 22.3%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$11,317
− Mortgage interest
−$6,162
− Property taxes
−$1,646
− Insurance
−$550
− Repairs & maintenance
−$905
− Management
−$905
− Depreciation
−$3,200
Taxable loss
−$2,051
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$492
After-tax cash flow
$315/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Lubbock ISD
NCES district ID
4828500
Math proficiency
36% ▼ -8.00%
Reading proficiency
39% ▼ -1.00%
Median HH income
$39,820
Composite
31.44/100
National rank
#5984
State rank
#481 of 826 in TX

Livability — Lubbock

Score
80/100
State rank
#37
US rank
#1749

Category grades

Amenities A Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment C- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings D+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Lubbock, TX
County
Lubbock County · 293,542 people
City population
283,030
Metro
Lubbock, TX
Population (ZIP)
8,529
Household income
$51,630
Rent vs Own
31.0% rent · 69.0% own
Severe rent burden
366.0

Population outlook (Lubbock County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
345,960 people
By 2030
371,449 · +7.4%
By 2040
424,539 · +22.7%
By 2050
481,150 · +39.1%
By 2075
633,467 · +83.1%
By 2100
746,853 · +115.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.60)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 55% Black 22% White 20% Two or more races 17% Native American 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 46%
Common ancestry
Romanian 1% Lithuanian 0%
Foreign-born
5% · Canada
Languages at home
64% English-only · Spanish 36%

Political lean MEDSL · Lubbock

2024 margin
Solid R (+39.5) · D 29.7% · R 69.2% · Other 1.0%
2008→2024 swing
-2.8pp toward R · 2008: -36.7pp · 2024: -39.5pp
All cycles
2024: R+39.5 2020: R+32.2 2016: R+38.4 2012: R+40.9 2008: R+36.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 3.22%
Current HPI
163.854
Rent YoY
Metro
Lubbock, TX
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+4.8% since first listed
6 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-05 Listed $110,000 LARMLS
  • 2025-07-09 Price Changed $105,000 LARMLS
  • 2024-07-30 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2022-06-06 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2019-11-13 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 1986-03-01 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

+7.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,646 · +24.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…