5512 Avenue G · Lubbock, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 100°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +13.7/15.0
- Cash flow +12.6/30.0
- Appreciation +6.6/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- DSCR +3.7/10.0
- 1% rule +3.6/10.0
- Schools +3.1/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$110,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Check out this great opportunity — perfect for first-time buyers or investors looking to expand their rental portfolio! 3 Bedrooms | 1 Bathroom 1,117 Sq Ft of Living Space This home has been slightly remodeled, offering a fresh feel while still leaving room to add your personal touch. Whether you're looking for an affordable starter home or a solid rental property, this one checks the boxes. Affordable, functional, and full of potential Great investment opportunity Ideal for first-time buyers Don't miss your chance to own a property with value and upside in Lubbock! Scheduleyour showings today!
Key facts
- Recent updates
- Central heat and air
- Freshly painted
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Other parking
- Home design: Single-family residence; Residential property
- Construction: Masonite siding; Composition roof; Pillar/post/pier foundation; Built as a single-story (above-grade finished area 1,117)
- Exterior features: Fenced yard; Other exterior features
Interior
- Flooring: Vinyl flooring
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central heating (natural gas); Central air conditioning; Electric cooling; Ceiling fans
- Interior features: Ceiling fans
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $110k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-15 ($-178/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $107k (2.4% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $94k (14.3% below list).
- Recommended offer: $94k (14.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 80/100 on livability (#37 in TX, #1,749 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, crime F.
- Lubbock ISD (urban): math 36% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #481 of 826 in TX (top 58%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 60% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Hodges El (math 27% / reading 27%, grade F, #2,791 of 4,322 statewide, top 68%, 255 students, 98% FRL, charter); Dunbar College Preparatory Academy (math 16% / reading 20%, grade F, #1,491 of 1,662 statewide, top 91%, 430 students, 97% FRL, charter); Estacado H S (math 26% / reading 29%, grade F, #1,183 of 1,632 statewide, top 73%, 897 students, 90% FRL) — zoned schools average 95% FRL vs 60% district-wide (35 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 24% at this address vs 38% district-wide (-13 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Lubbock ISD average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
- Market conditions: 91 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 2,219 units permitted in Lubbock County in 2024 (252 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $4k of equity ($761 loan paydown + $4k appreciation (3.2% local appreciation)).
- Lubbock County population projected at +39% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (3.2% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $31k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 8, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 44 days — a 3% lower offer ($107k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1955 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 44 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 14% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1955 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.86% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.13%
- Cash-on-cash
- -0.58%
- DSCR
- 0.97
- GRM
- 9.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $127,633
- List price
- $110,000
- Delta
- -13.82%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 5 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 4 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 507 49th St | 0.45mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,114 (-0%) | 2mo | $99,900 | $90 | 68 |
| 302 52nd St | 0.40mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,102 (-1%) | 9mo | $76,999 | $70 | 63 |
| 402 51st St | 0.41mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,036 (-7%) | 11mo | $129,999 | $125 | 51 |
| 1218 48th St | 0.58mi | 2/1.0 | 1,040 (-7%) | 13mo | $139,000 | $134 | 50 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
3.22% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 7.6%
- Equity multiple
- 1.44×
- Total profit
- $13,628
- Equity at exit
- $50,850
- IRR
- 10.2%
- Equity multiple
- 2.57×
- Total profit
- $48,268
- Equity at exit
- $79,464
Cash invested: $30,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 79404
- Home prices YoY
- 2.0%
- Active inventory
- 91
- Price-to-rent
- 9.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $943 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$577
- Tax from tax record
- −$137 /mo · $1,646/yr
- Insurance
- −$46
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$198
- Net cashflow
- $-15
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $27,500
- Closing costs
- $3,300
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5512 Avenue G Unit G Lubbock, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1117 | $1,000 | $0.90 | 43d | 1 | 0.04mi |
| 5614 Avenue A Unit A Lubbock, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1129 | $695 | $0.62 | 21d | 1 | 0.21mi |
| 1101 52nd St Apt C Lubbock, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 721 | $850 | $1.18 | 21d | 1 | 0.30mi |
| 1307 53rd St Unit 1307 C Lubbock, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 755 | $695 | $0.92 | 43d | 1 | 0.37mi |
| 1316 53rd St Apt D Lubbock, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 755 | $695 | $0.92 | 43d | 1 | 0.43mi |
| 1317 52nd St Unit C Lubbock, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 755 | $650 | $0.86 | 21d | 1 | 0.45mi |
| 1307 61st St Lubbock, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1073 | $1,150 | $1.07 | 13d | 1 | 0.48mi |
| 812 48th St Lubbock, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1282 | $1,250 | $0.98 | 21d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 713 47th St Unit B Lubbock, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $750 | $0.94 | 21d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 705 47th St Unit A Lubbock, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 821 | $750 | $0.91 | 21d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 703 47th St Unit B Lubbock, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 821 | $750 | $0.91 | 21d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 1610 58th St Unit B Lubbock, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 952 | $950 | $1.00 | 43d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 1608 59th St Unit 3 Lubbock, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $575 | $0.72 | 43d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 1612 58th St Unit B Lubbock, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 952 | $950 | $1.00 | 43d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 1614 58th St Unit A Lubbock, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 952 | $950 | $1.00 | 43d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 1303 65th St Lubbock, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $595 | $0.70 | 21d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 1618 58th St Unit B Lubbock, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 952 | $950 | $1.00 | 43d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 4606 Avenue C Unit C Lubbock, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1142 | $999 | $0.87 | 13d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 1341 65th Dr Unit C Lubbock, TX | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1000 | $695 | $0.69 | 21d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 520 46th St Unit A Lubbock, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $850 | $0.71 | 13d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 529 45th St Unit A Lubbock, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $875 | $0.80 | 13d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 519 45th St Unit A Lubbock, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $850 | $0.77 | 13d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 1119 46th St Unit A Lubbock, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 704 | $595 | $0.85 | 21d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 1107 45th St Unit B Lubbock, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 728 | $850 | $1.17 | 43d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 531 44th St Lubbock, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1300 | $1,090 | $0.84 | 13d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 220 44th St Unit A Lubbock, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 980 | $910 | $0.93 | 13d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 519 42nd St Apt A Lubbock, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1092 | $895 | $0.82 | 13d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 1604 45th St Lubbock, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $650 | $0.93 | 43d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 6518 Avenue S Lubbock, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 990 | $700 | $0.71 | 21d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 1717 47th St Unit B Lubbock, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 830 | $775 | $0.93 | 21d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 1710 45th St Unit A Lubbock, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 714 | $595 | $0.83 | 13d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 2035 63rd St Lubbock, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 810 | $695 | $0.86 | 21d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 2035 63rd St Lubbock, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 810 | $795 | $0.98 | 43d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 2101 51st St Lubbock, TX | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1100 | $900 | $0.82 | 21d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 1312 40th St Lubbock, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 940 | $795 | $0.85 | 21d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 512 39th St Lubbock, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 876 | $849 | $0.97 | 13d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 1920 45th St Lubbock, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,200 | $1.00 | 21d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 419 38th St Lubbock, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1206 | $950 | $0.79 | 43d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 1712 42nd St Unit B Lubbock, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 899 | $695 | $0.77 | 21d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 332 37th St Unit 2 Lubbock, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 725 | $700 | $0.97 | 21d | 1 | 1.28mi |
Listing history 22 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $110,000 Active 44 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $110,000 Active 43 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $110,000 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $110,000 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $110,000 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $110,000 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $110,000 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $110,000 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $110,000 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $110,000 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $110,000 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $110,000 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $110,000 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $110,000 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $110,000 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $110,000 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-05-05$110,000 Active 619-char remark
-
2025-07-09price $105,000
-
2024-07-30soldstatus
-
2022-06-06soldstatus
-
2019-11-13soldstatus
-
1986-03-01soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,646 · $137/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,013 · $168/mo
- Expected delta
- +$367/yr (+$31/mo · 22.3%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $11,317
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,162
- − Property taxes
- −$1,646
- − Insurance
- −$550
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$905
- − Management
- −$905
- − Depreciation
- −$3,200
- Taxable loss
- −$2,051
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$492
- After-tax cash flow
- $315/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Lubbock ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4828500
- Math proficiency
- 36% ▼ -8.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 39% ▼ -1.00%
- Median HH income
- $39,820
- Composite
- 31.44/100
- National rank
- #5984
- State rank
- #481 of 826 in TX
Livability — Lubbock
- Score
- 80/100
- State rank
- #37
- US rank
- #1749
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Lubbock, TX
- County
- Lubbock County · 293,542 people
- City population
- 283,030
- Metro
- Lubbock, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 8,529
- Household income
- $51,630
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 366.0
Population outlook (Lubbock County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 345,960 people
- By 2030
- 371,449 · +7.4%
- By 2040
- 424,539 · +22.7%
- By 2050
- 481,150 · +39.1%
- By 2075
- 633,467 · +83.1%
- By 2100
- 746,853 · +115.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.60)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 55% Black 22% White 20% Two or more races 17% Native American 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 46%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 1% Lithuanian 0%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 64% English-only · Spanish 36%
Political lean MEDSL · Lubbock
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+39.5) · D 29.7% · R 69.2% · Other 1.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -2.8pp toward R · 2008: -36.7pp · 2024: -39.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+39.5 2020: R+32.2 2016: R+38.4 2012: R+40.9 2008: R+36.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 3.22%
- Current HPI
- 163.854
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Lubbock, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
||
| Technology | 5 | $198B |
|
||
| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
|
||
| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
|
||
| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
|
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
|
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Price history
+4.8% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-05 Listed $110,000 LARMLS
- 2025-07-09 Price Changed $105,000 LARMLS
- 2024-07-30 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2022-06-06 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2019-11-13 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 1986-03-01 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+7.8%/yrLatest (2025): $1,646 · +24.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…