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1114 Maritime Forest Ave 🏗️ New Construction
D- Composite 36.97
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +10.4/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +4.2/10.0
  • Livability +3.6/5.0
  • 1% rule +3.1/10.0
  • DSCR +3.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.7/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$342,990

1114 Maritime Forest Ave · Ruskin, FL 33570
5 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,708 sqft · Land · 60 Days on market
Built 2026 6,600 sqft lot $8/mo HOA

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

One or more photo(s) has been virtually staged. Under Construction. The builder is offering buyers up to $25,000 towards closing costs with the use of a preferred lender and title company. Nicely tucked away in the quaint town of Ruskin, you will find Brookside. Ruskin is home to the Tomato festival and is also known for its rich agriculture. This location will give you the small-town feel, while being centrally located between Tampa and Sarasota and minutes to I-75, allows you easy access to many local attractions and gulf coast beaches. The community, consisting of 243 homesites, includes one and two-story, single-family, all concrete-constructed homes. Each home comes equipped with Home

Key facts

  • Dog park
  • Tot lot
  • Clubhouse

Tags

COMMUNITY POOLCLUBHOUSEHALF BASKETBALL COURTTOT LOTDOG PARKENERGY-EFFICIENT APPLIANCES

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Home warranty included; Association amenities include a basketball court
  • Financial info: CDD present; Lease restrictions apply
  • HOA & community: HOA managed by Inframark; Monthly HOA fee of $8; Association approval required; Community clubhouse and pool; Pets allowed

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached garage with 2 spaces
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Underground utilities
  • Home design: Single-family residence; One story; Under construction (projected completion July 30, 2026); Faces south
  • Construction: Block and stucco construction; Shingle roof; Slab foundation; New construction; Built by D.R. Horton (model: Dundee)
  • Exterior features: Sliding doors; Paved road access

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Microwave; Range; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: 5 bedrooms
  • Flooring: Carpet
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating; Heat pump; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Open floorplan; Blinds; Double-pane windows
  • Laundry & utility: Dedicated laundry room; Washer; Dryer

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…
🏗️ New construction. Builder plan / spec listing (the home may be to-be-built); metrics use comparable previous sales.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 5-bed/2.0-bath land listed at $343k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-180 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $317k (7.6% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $278k (18.9% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $278k (18.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 5.7% vs local median 4.7% in Ruskin — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 71/100 on livability (#392 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, commute B+; Watch: amenities F, health & safety F.
  • Hillsborough (suburban): math 47% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #41 of 73 in FL (top 56%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Lennard High School (math 30% / reading 46%, grade F, #328 of 667 statewide, top 50%, 2,404 students, 47% FRL).
  • Market conditions: Rents flat; 497 active listings in the ZIP; 15 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 16d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 9,053 units permitted in Hillsborough County in 2024 (4,555 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $2,782/mo this rent would consume 46% of the median local household income ($72k/yr) (locally 611% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $10k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Hillsborough County population projected at +37% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 60 days — a 3% lower offer ($333k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer $278,227 (18.9% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 60 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 19% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.81%
Cap rate
5.66%
Cash-on-cash
-2.25%
DSCR
0.90
GRM
10.3

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.9% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-22.4%
Equity multiple
0.24×
Total profit
$-72,776
Equity at exit
$51,141
10-year hold
IRR
-22.9%
Equity multiple
-0.05×
Total profit
$-100,625
Equity at exit
$29,656

Cash invested: $96,037 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 33570

Home prices YoY
-28.8%
Rents YoY
0.9%
Active inventory
497
Price-to-rent
10.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,782 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,799
Tax est. 1.5%
$429 /mo · $5,145/yr
Insurance
$143
HOA
$8
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$584
Net cashflow
$-180

Break-even live

Break-even rent $3,011
Max offer price $316,895
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $57 -5% $-62 +0% $-180 +5% $-299 +10% $-417
Rent -10% $-400 -5% $-290 +0% $-180 +5% $-70 +10% $39
Rate -1.0pp $-8 -0.5pp $-93 base $-180 +0.5pp $-269 +1.0pp $-360

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$85,748
Closing costs
$10,290
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 15 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1105 Windton Oak Dr Ruskin, FL 4.0 2.5 2073 $2,399 $1.16 25d 1 0.19mi
1251 9th St SE Ruskin, FL 3.0–4.0 2.0–2.5 1650 $3,500 $2.12 6d 1 0.20mi
1119 Windton Oak Dr Ruskin, FL 4.0 2.5 2041 $2,325 $1.14 3d 1 0.20mi
2025 Peaceful Palm St Ruskin, FL 4.0 2.0 1606 $2,600 $1.62 15d 1 0.82mi
1501 21st St SE Ruskin, FL 4.0 2.0 1618 $2,155 $1.33 4d 1 0.85mi
2306 Lawrence Hall St Ruskin, FL 4.0 2.0 1731 $2,100 $1.21 12d 1 1.12mi
2205 Roanoke Springs Dr Ruskin, FL 4.0 3.0 1790 $2,000 $1.12 25d 1 1.16mi
2222 Roanoke Springs Dr Ruskin, FL 4.0 3.0 1790 $2,250 $1.26 25d 1 1.17mi
320 Blue Point Dr Ruskin, FL 4.0 2.0 1767 $2,145 $1.21 4d 1 1.22mi
2235 Colville Chase Dr Ruskin, FL 4.0 3.0 1936 $2,400 $1.24 25d 1 1.25mi
1609 Carson White Ln Ruskin, FL 4.0 3.0 1808 $2,215 $1.23 3d 1 1.34mi
903 Zone Tailed Hawk Pl Ruskin, FL 4.0 2.0 1935 $2,200 $1.14 25d 1 1.39mi
1762 Broad Winged Hawk Dr Ruskin, FL 4.0 2.0 1899 $2,400 $1.26 19d 1 1.44mi
2345 Roanoke Springs Dr Ruskin, FL 4.0 3.0 1801 $2,250 $1.25 6d 1 1.45mi
1606 Delano Trent St Ruskin, FL 4.0 2.5 2102 $2,100 $1.00 25d 1 1.47mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$8 · $96/yr

Listing history 3 events

  1. 2026-05-02
    status Pending
  2. 2026-04-01
    price $342,990
  3. 2026-03-03
    listed $341,990 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$33,387
− Mortgage interest
−$19,213
− Property taxes
−$5,145
− Insurance
−$1,715
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,671
− Management
−$2,671
− HOA
−$96
− Depreciation
−$9,978
Taxable loss
−$8,101
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,944
After-tax cash flow
$-220/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Hillsborough
NCES district ID
1200870
Math proficiency
47% ▼ -8.00%
Reading proficiency
50% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$50,622
Composite
41.6/100
National rank
#3435
State rank
#41 of 73 in FL

Livability — Ruskin

Score
71/100
State rank
#392
US rank
#6879

Category grades

Amenities F Commute B+ Cost of living A+ Crime B- Employment B- Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Ruskin, FL
County
Hillsborough County · 1,540,968 people
City population
33,319
Metro
Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL
Population (ZIP)
33,319
Household income
$72,172
Rent vs Own
23.0% rent · 77.0% own
Severe rent burden
611.0

Population outlook (Hillsborough County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,607,022 people
By 2030
1,733,968 · +7.9%
By 2040
1,979,565 · +23.2%
By 2050
2,203,427 · +37.1%
By 2075
2,667,893 · +66.0%
By 2100
2,891,558 · +79.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.69)
Race & ethnicity
White 40% Hispanic / Latino 32% Black 23% Two or more races 13% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 16% Puerto Rican 6% Cuban 1% Dominican 4%
Common ancestry
Italian 2% Romanian 2% Hispanic 2%
Foreign-born
13% · Canada, Jamaica
Languages at home
72% English-only · Spanish 23% French/Haitian/Cajun 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Hillsborough

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 47.8% · R 50.9% · Other 1.3%
2008→2024 swing
-10.2pp toward R · 2008: 7.1pp · 2024: -3.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+3.1 2020: D+6.9 2016: D+6.8 2012: D+6.7 2008: D+7.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -112.10%
Current HPI
277.8257
Rent YoY
▲ 0.90%
Metro
Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+0.3% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-02 Pending Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-04-01 Price Changed $342,990 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-03-03 Listed $341,990 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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