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622 E Bourne Ave
B- Composite 69.09
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • Schools +3.2/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$59,900

622 E Bourne Ave · Somerset, KY 42501
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,344 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 249 Days on market
Built 1970 8,276 sqft lot $45/sqft · 66% below area

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Great Fixer upper in Downtown Somerset. This home is currently used for a rental and features a Lg Kitchen, Dining rm and Living Rm. Main Bedroom is on the first floor. 2BR's and 1 Bath are located on the second floor. Back yard is nice and flat with plenty of parking. Great location, walking distance to everything downtown.

Key facts

  • Dining rm
  • Back yard
  • Main bedroom

Tags

LG KITCHENDINING RMLIVING RMMAIN BEDROOMBACK YARDPLENTY OF PARKING

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $60k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $474 ($6k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $60k).
  • Recommended offer: $53k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 15.8% vs local median 3.1% in Somerset — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 67/100 on livability (#208 in KY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety B+, crime B; Watch: schools D+, amenities F, commute F.
  • Somerset Independent (town): math 36% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #42 of 165 in KY (top 26%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 192 active listings in the ZIP; 9 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 117 units permitted in Pulaski County in 2024 (50 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $414 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $17k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 249 days — a 12% lower offer ($53k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 7 sale attempts since 15y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $30k (33%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $36k; list at $60k implies a 65% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $52,712 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 249 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1970 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.74%
Cap rate
15.79%
Cash-on-cash
33.93%
DSCR
2.51
GRM
4.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$175,852
List price
$59,900
Delta
-65.94%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
408 Clements Ave 0.29mi 3/2.0 1,386 (+3%) 4mo $218,000 $157 74
200 Summitt Ave 0.04mi 3/1.0 1,203 (-10%) 11mo $170,000 $141 72
152 Crawford Ave 0.28mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,400 (+4%) 10mo $185,000 $132 67
1 Robinson Dr 0.22mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,240 (-8%) 9mo $199,900 $161 64
145 Cotter Ave 0.52mi 3/1.0 1,245 (-7%) 0mo $164,600 $132 63
402 Clements Ave 0.28mi 3/2.0 1,500 (+12%) 1mo $266,000 $177 63
170 Cotter Ave 0.44mi 3/1.0 1,244 (-7%) 6mo $155,000 $125 62
203 Mound St 0.46mi 3/2.0 1,200 (-11%) 1mo $217,500 $181 56
114 Grande Ave 0.44mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,400 (+4%) 20mo $168,000 $120 50
212 Conley Dr 0.39mi 3/1.0 1,165 (-13%) 13mo $137,500 $118 49
526 S Main St 0.71mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,266 (-6%) 9mo $43,000 $34 45
504 Frederick St 0.67mi 3/1.0 1,176 (-12%) 17mo $125,000 $106 34

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
29.2%
Equity multiple
2.22×
Total profit
$20,473
Equity at exit
$8,931
10-year hold
IRR
36.6%
Equity multiple
4.38×
Total profit
$56,621
Equity at exit
$5,179

Cash invested: $16,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Kentucky
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+16
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit (URLTA cities); generally landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 42501

Home prices YoY
-19.8%
Active inventory
192
Price-to-rent
4.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,042 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$314
Tax from tax record
$10 /mo · $122/yr
Insurance
$25
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$219
Net cashflow
$474

Break-even live

Break-even rent $442
Max offer price $59,900
Occupancy floor 50%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $508 -5% $491 +0% $474 +5% $389 +10% $368
Rent -10% $392 -5% $433 +0% $474 +5% $515 +10% $557
Rate -1.0pp $504 -0.5pp $489 base $474 +0.5pp $459 +1.0pp $443

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$14,975
Closing costs
$1,797
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 9 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
108 Hines Addition Somerset, KY 3.0 1.0 1300 $1,100 $0.85 44d 1 0.39mi
50 Driftwood Cir Apt 2 Somerset, KY 2.0 1.0 921 $900 $0.98 44d 1 0.62mi
33 Driftwood Cir Apt 1 Somerset, KY 2.0 1.0 986 $900 $0.91 44d 1 0.66mi
19 Driftwood Cir Unit 2 Somerset, KY 2.0 1.0 986 $900 $0.91 44d 1 0.66mi
71 Driftwood Cir Apt 2 Somerset, KY 2.0 1.0 921 $900 $0.98 44d 1 0.66mi
115 Beecher St Unit A Somerset, KY 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,200 $1.20 44d 1 0.91mi
207 Beecher St Unit 1 Somerset, KY 3.0 1.0 1500 $1,300 $0.87 44d 1 0.96mi
709 W Columbia St Somerset, KY 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,000 $1.00 44d 1 1.07mi
706 W Columbia St Somerset, KY 3.0 2.0 1400 $1,200 $0.86 44d 1 1.10mi

Listing history 33 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $59,900 Active 249 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $59,900 Active 247 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    pricedays on market $59,900 Active 246 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $69,900 Active 245 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $69,900 Active 244 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $69,900 Active 242 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    days on market $69,900 Active 241 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $69,900 Active 238 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $69,900 Active 237 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $69,900 Active 236 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $69,900 Active 235 DOM
  12. 2026-06-04
    days on market $69,900 Active 232 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $69,900 Active 231 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $69,900 Active 230 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $69,900 Active 229 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $69,900 Active 228 DOM
  17. 2026-05-04
    price $69,900 326-char remark
    Show marketing remark (326 chars)

    Great Fixer upper in Downtown Somerset. This home is currently used for a rental and features a Lg Kitchen, Dining rm and Living Rm. Main Bedroom is on the first floor. 2BR's and 1 Bath are located on the second floor. Back yard is nice and flat with plenty of parking. Great location, walking distance to everything downtown.

  18. 2026-02-14
    price $79,900 326-char remark
    Show marketing remark (326 chars)

    Great Fixer upper in Downtown Somerset. This home is currently used for a rental and features a Lg Kitchen, Dining rm and Living Rm. Main Bedroom is on the first floor. 2BR's and 1 Bath are located on the second floor. Back yard is nice and flat with plenty of parking. Great location, walking distance to everything downtown.

  19. 2026-01-22
    status Active 326-char remark
    Show marketing remark (326 chars)

    Great Fixer upper in Downtown Somerset. This home is currently used for a rental and features a Lg Kitchen, Dining rm and Living Rm. Main Bedroom is on the first floor. 2BR's and 1 Bath are located on the second floor. Back yard is nice and flat with plenty of parking. Great location, walking distance to everything downtown.

  20. 2025-12-12
    status Pending 326-char remark
    Show marketing remark (326 chars)

    Great Fixer upper in Downtown Somerset. This home is currently used for a rental and features a Lg Kitchen, Dining rm and Living Rm. Main Bedroom is on the first floor. 2BR's and 1 Bath are located on the second floor. Back yard is nice and flat with plenty of parking. Great location, walking distance to everything downtown.

  21. 2025-09-03
    listed $89,900 Active 326-char remark
    Show marketing remark (326 chars)

    Great Fixer upper in Downtown Somerset. This home is currently used for a rental and features a Lg Kitchen, Dining rm and Living Rm. Main Bedroom is on the first floor. 2BR's and 1 Bath are located on the second floor. Back yard is nice and flat with plenty of parking. Great location, walking distance to everything downtown.

  22. 2022-05-01
    historical
  23. 2019-12-31
    historical
  24. 2019-07-29
    listed $59,900
  25. 2019-07-29
    listed $59,900
  26. 2017-12-20
    soldstatus $36,300
  27. 2013-03-31
    historical
  28. 2012-12-10
    listed $53,500
  29. 2012-07-31
    historical
  30. 2012-03-01
    listed $49,900
  31. 2012-02-29
    historical
  32. 2011-05-16
    listed $49,900
  33. 2009-11-03
    soldstatus $20,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast KY · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$122 · $10/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$515 · $43/mo
Expected delta
+$393/yr (+$33/mo · 320.5%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥102°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 3/10 Moderate 5% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$12,509
− Mortgage interest
−$3,355
− Property taxes
−$122
− Insurance
−$300
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,001
− Management
−$1,001
− Depreciation
−$1,743
Taxable income
$4,988
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,197
After-tax cash flow
$4,494/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Somerset Independent
NCES district ID
2105430
Math proficiency
36% ▼ -17.00%
Reading proficiency
44% ▼ -18.00%
Median HH income
$28,554
Composite
32.42/100
National rank
#5727
State rank
#42 of 165 in KY

Livability — Somerset

Score
67/100
State rank
#208
US rank
#10207

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B Employment F Housing B Health & safety B+ User ratings C

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Somerset, KY
Population (ZIP)
17,441

Population outlook (Pulaski County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
65,414 people
By 2030
65,828 · +0.6%
By 2040
65,972 · +0.9%
By 2050
65,108 · -0.5%
By 2075
61,647 · -5.8%
By 2100
53,613 · -18.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (91%)
Race & ethnicity
White 91% Two or more races 3% Hispanic / Latino 3% Black 2%
Common ancestry
Slovak 3% Serbian 2% Italian 2%
Foreign-born
1%

Political lean MEDSL · Pulaski

2024 margin
Solid R (+65.2) · D 16.9% · R 82.1% · Other 1.0%
2008→2024 swing
-9.9pp toward R · 2008: -55.4pp · 2024: -65.2pp
All cycles
2024: R+65.2 2020: R+62.7 2016: R+66.7 2012: R+60.5 2008: R+55.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -70.04%
Current HPI
284.0445
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.81%
F500 in state
4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in KY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+249.5% since first listed
17 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-04 Price Changed $69,900 ImagineMLS
  • 2026-02-14 Price Changed $79,900 ImagineMLS
  • 2026-01-22 Relisted ImagineMLS
  • 2025-12-12 Pending ImagineMLS
  • 2025-09-03 Listed $89,900 ImagineMLS
  • 2022-05-01 Listing Removed ImagineMLS
  • 2019-12-31 Listing Removed ImagineMLS
  • 2019-07-29 Listed $59,900 ImagineMLS
  • 2019-07-29 Listed $59,900 ImagineMLS
  • 2017-12-20 Sold (Public Records) $36,300 Public Records
  • 2013-03-31 Listing Removed ImagineMLS
  • 2012-12-10 Listed $53,500 ImagineMLS
  • 2012-07-31 Listing Removed ImagineMLS
  • 2012-03-01 Listed $49,900 ImagineMLS
  • 2012-02-29 Listing Removed ImagineMLS
  • 2011-05-16 Listed $49,900 ImagineMLS
  • 2009-11-03 Sold (Public Records) $20,000 Public Records

Property tax history

-9.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $122 · +35.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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