622 E Bourne Ave · Somerset, KY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $839 – $1,559
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 102°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 3/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 5.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Schools +3.2/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$59,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Great Fixer upper in Downtown Somerset. This home is currently used for a rental and features a Lg Kitchen, Dining rm and Living Rm. Main Bedroom is on the first floor. 2BR's and 1 Bath are located on the second floor. Back yard is nice and flat with plenty of parking. Great location, walking distance to everything downtown.
Key facts
- Dining rm
- Back yard
- Main bedroom
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $60k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $474 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $60k).
- Recommended offer: $53k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 15.8% vs local median 3.1% in Somerset — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 67/100 on livability (#208 in KY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety B+, crime B; Watch: schools D+, amenities F, commute F.
- Somerset Independent (town): math 36% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #42 of 165 in KY (top 26%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 192 active listings in the ZIP; 9 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 117 units permitted in Pulaski County in 2024 (50 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $414 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $17k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 249 days — a 12% lower offer ($53k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 7 sale attempts since 15y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $30k (33%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $36k; list at $60k implies a 65% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 249 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1970 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.74% ✓
- Cap rate
- 15.79%
- Cash-on-cash
- 33.93%
- DSCR
- 2.51
- GRM
- 4.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $175,852
- List price
- $59,900
- Delta
- -65.94%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 408 Clements Ave | 0.29mi | 3/2.0 | 1,386 (+3%) | 4mo | $218,000 | $157 | 74 |
| 200 Summitt Ave | 0.04mi | 3/1.0 | 1,203 (-10%) | 11mo | $170,000 | $141 | 72 |
| 152 Crawford Ave | 0.28mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,400 (+4%) | 10mo | $185,000 | $132 | 67 |
| 1 Robinson Dr | 0.22mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,240 (-8%) | 9mo | $199,900 | $161 | 64 |
| 145 Cotter Ave | 0.52mi | 3/1.0 | 1,245 (-7%) | 0mo | $164,600 | $132 | 63 |
| 402 Clements Ave | 0.28mi | 3/2.0 | 1,500 (+12%) | 1mo | $266,000 | $177 | 63 |
| 170 Cotter Ave | 0.44mi | 3/1.0 | 1,244 (-7%) | 6mo | $155,000 | $125 | 62 |
| 203 Mound St | 0.46mi | 3/2.0 | 1,200 (-11%) | 1mo | $217,500 | $181 | 56 |
| 114 Grande Ave | 0.44mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,400 (+4%) | 20mo | $168,000 | $120 | 50 |
| 212 Conley Dr | 0.39mi | 3/1.0 | 1,165 (-13%) | 13mo | $137,500 | $118 | 49 |
| 526 S Main St | 0.71mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,266 (-6%) | 9mo | $43,000 | $34 | 45 |
| 504 Frederick St | 0.67mi | 3/1.0 | 1,176 (-12%) | 17mo | $125,000 | $106 | 34 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 29.2%
- Equity multiple
- 2.22×
- Total profit
- $20,473
- Equity at exit
- $8,931
- IRR
- 36.6%
- Equity multiple
- 4.38×
- Total profit
- $56,621
- Equity at exit
- $5,179
Cash invested: $16,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Kentucky
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+16
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 42501
- Home prices YoY
- -19.8%
- Active inventory
- 192
- Price-to-rent
- 4.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,042 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$314
- Tax from tax record
- −$10 /mo · $122/yr
- Insurance
- −$25
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$219
- Net cashflow
- $474
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $508 | -5% $491 | +0% $474 | +5% $389 | +10% $368 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $392 | -5% $433 | +0% $474 | +5% $515 | +10% $557 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $504 | -0.5pp $489 | base $474 | +0.5pp $459 | +1.0pp $443 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $14,975
- Closing costs
- $1,797
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 9 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 108 Hines Addition Somerset, KY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1300 | $1,100 | $0.85 | 44d | 1 | 0.39mi |
| 50 Driftwood Cir Apt 2 Somerset, KY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 921 | $900 | $0.98 | 44d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 33 Driftwood Cir Apt 1 Somerset, KY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 986 | $900 | $0.91 | 44d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 19 Driftwood Cir Unit 2 Somerset, KY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 986 | $900 | $0.91 | 44d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 71 Driftwood Cir Apt 2 Somerset, KY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 921 | $900 | $0.98 | 44d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 115 Beecher St Unit A Somerset, KY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,200 | $1.20 | 44d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 207 Beecher St Unit 1 Somerset, KY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1500 | $1,300 | $0.87 | 44d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 709 W Columbia St Somerset, KY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,000 | $1.00 | 44d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 706 W Columbia St Somerset, KY | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1400 | $1,200 | $0.86 | 44d | 1 | 1.10mi |
Listing history 33 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $59,900 Active 249 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $59,900 Active 247 DOM
-
2026-06-17pricedays on market $59,900 Active 246 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $69,900 Active 245 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $69,900 Active 244 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $69,900 Active 242 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $69,900 Active 241 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $69,900 Active 238 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $69,900 Active 237 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $69,900 Active 236 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $69,900 Active 235 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $69,900 Active 232 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $69,900 Active 231 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $69,900 Active 230 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $69,900 Active 229 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $69,900 Active 228 DOM
-
2026-05-04price $69,900 326-char remark
Show marketing remark (326 chars)
Great Fixer upper in Downtown Somerset. This home is currently used for a rental and features a Lg Kitchen, Dining rm and Living Rm. Main Bedroom is on the first floor. 2BR's and 1 Bath are located on the second floor. Back yard is nice and flat with plenty of parking. Great location, walking distance to everything downtown.
-
2026-02-14price $79,900 326-char remark
Show marketing remark (326 chars)
Great Fixer upper in Downtown Somerset. This home is currently used for a rental and features a Lg Kitchen, Dining rm and Living Rm. Main Bedroom is on the first floor. 2BR's and 1 Bath are located on the second floor. Back yard is nice and flat with plenty of parking. Great location, walking distance to everything downtown.
-
2026-01-22status Active 326-char remark
Show marketing remark (326 chars)
Great Fixer upper in Downtown Somerset. This home is currently used for a rental and features a Lg Kitchen, Dining rm and Living Rm. Main Bedroom is on the first floor. 2BR's and 1 Bath are located on the second floor. Back yard is nice and flat with plenty of parking. Great location, walking distance to everything downtown.
-
2025-12-12status Pending 326-char remark
Show marketing remark (326 chars)
Great Fixer upper in Downtown Somerset. This home is currently used for a rental and features a Lg Kitchen, Dining rm and Living Rm. Main Bedroom is on the first floor. 2BR's and 1 Bath are located on the second floor. Back yard is nice and flat with plenty of parking. Great location, walking distance to everything downtown.
-
2025-09-03$89,900 Active 326-char remark
Show marketing remark (326 chars)
Great Fixer upper in Downtown Somerset. This home is currently used for a rental and features a Lg Kitchen, Dining rm and Living Rm. Main Bedroom is on the first floor. 2BR's and 1 Bath are located on the second floor. Back yard is nice and flat with plenty of parking. Great location, walking distance to everything downtown.
-
2022-05-01historical
-
2019-12-31historical
-
2019-07-29$59,900
-
2019-07-29$59,900
-
2017-12-20soldstatus $36,300
-
2013-03-31historical
-
2012-12-10$53,500
-
2012-07-31historical
-
2012-03-01$49,900
-
2012-02-29historical
-
2011-05-16$49,900
-
2009-11-03soldstatus $20,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast KY · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $122 · $10/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $515 · $43/mo
- Expected delta
- +$393/yr (+$33/mo · 320.5%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥102°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 3/10 Moderate 5% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $12,509
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,355
- − Property taxes
- −$122
- − Insurance
- −$300
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,001
- − Management
- −$1,001
- − Depreciation
- −$1,743
- Taxable income
- $4,988
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,197
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,494/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Somerset Independent
- NCES district ID
- 2105430
- Math proficiency
- 36% ▼ -17.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 44% ▼ -18.00%
- Median HH income
- $28,554
- Composite
- 32.42/100
- National rank
- #5727
- State rank
- #42 of 165 in KY
Livability — Somerset
- Score
- 67/100
- State rank
- #208
- US rank
- #10207
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Somerset, KY
- Population (ZIP)
- 17,441
Population outlook (Pulaski County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 65,414 people
- By 2030
- 65,828 · +0.6%
- By 2040
- 65,972 · +0.9%
- By 2050
- 65,108 · -0.5%
- By 2075
- 61,647 · -5.8%
- By 2100
- 53,613 · -18.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (91%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 91% Two or more races 3% Hispanic / Latino 3% Black 2%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 3% Serbian 2% Italian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Pulaski
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+65.2) · D 16.9% · R 82.1% · Other 1.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -9.9pp toward R · 2008: -55.4pp · 2024: -65.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+65.2 2020: R+62.7 2016: R+66.7 2012: R+60.5 2008: R+55.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -70.04%
- Current HPI
- 284.0445
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.81%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in KY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 1 | $118B |
|
||
| Food / Beverage | 1 | $7B |
|
||
Price history
+249.5% since first listed17 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-04 Price Changed $69,900 ImagineMLS
- 2026-02-14 Price Changed $79,900 ImagineMLS
- 2026-01-22 Relisted — ImagineMLS
- 2025-12-12 Pending — ImagineMLS
- 2025-09-03 Listed $89,900 ImagineMLS
- 2022-05-01 Listing Removed — ImagineMLS
- 2019-12-31 Listing Removed — ImagineMLS
- 2019-07-29 Listed $59,900 ImagineMLS
- 2019-07-29 Listed $59,900 ImagineMLS
- 2017-12-20 Sold (Public Records) $36,300 Public Records
- 2013-03-31 Listing Removed — ImagineMLS
- 2012-12-10 Listed $53,500 ImagineMLS
- 2012-07-31 Listing Removed — ImagineMLS
- 2012-03-01 Listed $49,900 ImagineMLS
- 2012-02-29 Listing Removed — ImagineMLS
- 2011-05-16 Listed $49,900 ImagineMLS
- 2009-11-03 Sold (Public Records) $20,000 Public Records
Property tax history
-9.8%/yrLatest (2025): $122 · +35.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…