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B+ Composite 78.05
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +9.7/10.0
  • Schools +4.1/10.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.7/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$215,000

129 Glenview Dr · Newington, CT 06111
4 bd · 1.5 ba · 1,692 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 12 Days on market
Built 1951 0.54 ac lot Est $420k · 49% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

* * OFFER DEADLINE SUNDAY, 12/7 AT NOON! * * Contractor Special & Fixer-Upper Opportunity in a Prime Location! If you're searching for a renovation project, in a fantastic neighborhood-this is it. Located close to shopping, parks, restaurants, and major highways, this property offers unbeatable convenience and long-term upside. The home features a newer metal roof, solid chimney, 4 bedrooms, 1.5 baths, 1,600+ sq. ft. , and a two-car attached garage on a level lot. The backyard has great potential with the right updates. Full transparency: the property shows visible discoloration in the primary bedroom/closet, and the concrete slab foundation does have an issue. The estate has no kno

Key facts

  • Level lot
  • Newer metal roof
  • Solid chimney

Tags

NEWER METAL ROOFSOLID CHIMNEYLEVEL LOTBACKYARD HANGOUT SPACEBEAUTIFUL NEIGHBORHOOD

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $215k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $807 ($10k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $215k).
  • Cap rate 10.8% vs local median 4.4% in Newington — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 79/100 on livability (#30 in CT, #2,143 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
  • Newington School District (suburban): math 38% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #87 of 153 in CT (top 57%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; only 15% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
  • Zoned schools: Newington High School (math 52% / reading 70%, grade C+, #43 of 194 statewide, top 22%, 1,327 students, 32% FRL) — zoned schools average 32% FRL vs 15% district-wide (16 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Zoned-school proficiency averages 61% at this address vs 46% district-wide (+16 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Newington School District average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
  • Market conditions: Rents flat; 94 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 1,867 units permitted in Capitol Planning Region in 2024 (1,399 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 37% of the median local income ($103k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 1.0% rent growth), your $60k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 12 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 2.7% of price; built in 1951 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $215,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1951 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.47%
Cap rate
10.80%
Cash-on-cash
16.09%
DSCR
1.72
GRM
5.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$419,616
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
85 Florence St 0.12mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,748 (+3%) 0mo $370,000 $212 82
55 Coles Ave 0.09mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,848 (+9%) 3mo $320,000 $173 71
22 Mohawk Cir 0.47mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,732 (+2%) 4mo $430,000 $248 64
92 Flagler St 0.58mi 4/1.5 1,667 (-2%) 9mo $350,000 $210 63
35 Walnut St 0.63mi 3/2.5 (-1) 1,732 (+2%) 2mo $553,000 $319 56
319 Audubon Ave 0.46mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,774 (+5%) 10mo $457,000 $258 55
43 Superior Ave 0.41mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,834 (+8%) 9mo $425,000 $232 54
36 Frederick St 0.46mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,513 (-11%) 9mo $378,000 $250 47
340 Robbins Ave 0.54mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,482 (-12%) 4mo $340,000 $229 44
5 Copper Beech Ln 0.48mi 3/3.0 (-1) 1,872 (+11%) 7mo $545,000 $291 43
19 Cheney Ln 0.74mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,486 (-12%) 1mo $502,000 $338 39
297 Walsh Ave 0.65mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,488 (-12%) 8mo $330,000 $222 37

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.98% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
4.6%
Equity multiple
1.17×
Total profit
$10,446
Equity at exit
$32,057
10-year hold
IRR
12.0%
Equity multiple
1.85×
Total profit
$51,166
Equity at exit
$18,589

Cash invested: $60,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
27 Tenant-Leaning
State Connecticut
27 Tenant-Leaning · D+7
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Strong tenant statutes; rent commissions in some towns; courts slow especially in cities.

ZIP-level market 06111

Rents YoY
1.0%
Active inventory
94
Price-to-rent
5.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$3,165 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,127
Tax from tax record
$476 /mo · $5,712/yr
Insurance
$90
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$665
Net cashflow
$807

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,143
Max offer price $215,000
Occupancy floor 69%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$53,750
Closing costs
$6,450
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 4 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
92 Indian Hill Rd Newington, CT 3.0 1.0 1250 $2,800 $2.24 44d 1 0.56mi
62 Brookdale Ave Newington, CT 3.0 1.0 1508 $2,900 $1.92 24d 1 0.76mi
47 Pepper Bush Ln Newington, CT 3.0 2.5 2190 $2,850 $1.30 2d 1 1.26mi
32 Lexington Cir Newington, CT 3.0 2.0 1288 $3,000 $2.33 16d 1 1.33mi

Listing history 4 events

  1. 2025-12-08
    status Under Contract
  2. 2025-12-02
    status Active
  3. 2025-09-18
    status Under Contract
  4. 2025-09-12
    listed $215,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast CT · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$5,712 · $476/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$5,712 · $476/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$37,980
− Mortgage interest
−$12,043
− Property taxes
−$5,712
− Insurance
−$1,075
− Repairs & maintenance
−$3,038
− Management
−$3,038
− Depreciation
−$6,255
Taxable income
$6,818
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,636
After-tax cash flow
$8,051/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Newington School District
NCES district ID
0902880
Math proficiency
38% ▼ -14.00%
Reading proficiency
53% ▼ -6.00%
Median HH income
$74,751
Composite
41.37/100
National rank
#3489
State rank
#87 of 153 in CT

Livability — Newington

Score
79/100
State rank
#30
US rank
#2143

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living B- Crime A- Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Newington, CT
County
Hartford County · 754,208 people
City population
30,896
Metro
Hartford-East Hartford-Middletown, CT
Population (ZIP)
30,896
Household income
$102,884
Rent vs Own
21.8% rent · 78.2% own
Severe rent burden
553.0

Population outlook (Capitol County) Hauer SSP2

By 2040
1,063,519

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (72%)
Race & ethnicity
White 72% Hispanic / Latino 12% Two or more races 8% Asian 7% Black 4%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 5%
Common ancestry
Romanian 12% Lithuanian 7% Russian 3%
Foreign-born
20% · Canada, Jamaica, China
Languages at home
72% English-only · Spanish 8% Other Indo-European 8% Russian/Polish/Slavic 7%

Political lean MEDSL · Capitol

2024 margin
Strong D (+21.9) · D 60.1% · R 38.2% · Other 1.7%
All cycles
2024: D+21.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -194.94%
Current HPI
185.3332
Rent YoY
▲ 0.98%
Metro
Hartford-East Hartford-Middletown, CT
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.06%
F500 in state
38

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CT)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

4 events — show timeline
  • 2025-12-08 Pending Smart MLS
  • 2025-12-02 Relisted Smart MLS
  • 2025-09-18 Pending Smart MLS
  • 2025-09-12 Listed $215,000 Smart MLS

Property tax history

+1.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $5,712 · +0.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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