129 Glenview Dr · Newington, CT
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $829 – $1,539
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 97°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +9.7/10.0
- Schools +4.1/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Rent growth +2.7/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$215,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
* * OFFER DEADLINE SUNDAY, 12/7 AT NOON! * * Contractor Special & Fixer-Upper Opportunity in a Prime Location! If you're searching for a renovation project, in a fantastic neighborhood-this is it. Located close to shopping, parks, restaurants, and major highways, this property offers unbeatable convenience and long-term upside. The home features a newer metal roof, solid chimney, 4 bedrooms, 1.5 baths, 1,600+ sq. ft. , and a two-car attached garage on a level lot. The backyard has great potential with the right updates. Full transparency: the property shows visible discoloration in the primary bedroom/closet, and the concrete slab foundation does have an issue. The estate has no kno
Key facts
- Level lot
- Newer metal roof
- Solid chimney
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $215k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $807 ($10k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $215k).
- Cap rate 10.8% vs local median 4.4% in Newington — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 79/100 on livability (#30 in CT, #2,143 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
- Newington School District (suburban): math 38% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #87 of 153 in CT (top 57%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; only 15% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Zoned schools: Newington High School (math 52% / reading 70%, grade C+, #43 of 194 statewide, top 22%, 1,327 students, 32% FRL) — zoned schools average 32% FRL vs 15% district-wide (16 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 61% at this address vs 46% district-wide (+16 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Newington School District average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
- Market conditions: Rents flat; 94 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 1,867 units permitted in Capitol Planning Region in 2024 (1,399 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 37% of the median local income ($103k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 1.0% rent growth), your $60k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 12 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 2.7% of price; built in 1951 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1951 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.47% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.80%
- Cash-on-cash
- 16.09%
- DSCR
- 1.72
- GRM
- 5.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $419,616
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 85 Florence St | 0.12mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,748 (+3%) | 0mo | $370,000 | $212 | 82 |
| 55 Coles Ave | 0.09mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,848 (+9%) | 3mo | $320,000 | $173 | 71 |
| 22 Mohawk Cir | 0.47mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,732 (+2%) | 4mo | $430,000 | $248 | 64 |
| 92 Flagler St | 0.58mi | 4/1.5 | 1,667 (-2%) | 9mo | $350,000 | $210 | 63 |
| 35 Walnut St | 0.63mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 1,732 (+2%) | 2mo | $553,000 | $319 | 56 |
| 319 Audubon Ave | 0.46mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,774 (+5%) | 10mo | $457,000 | $258 | 55 |
| 43 Superior Ave | 0.41mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,834 (+8%) | 9mo | $425,000 | $232 | 54 |
| 36 Frederick St | 0.46mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,513 (-11%) | 9mo | $378,000 | $250 | 47 |
| 340 Robbins Ave | 0.54mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,482 (-12%) | 4mo | $340,000 | $229 | 44 |
| 5 Copper Beech Ln | 0.48mi | 3/3.0 (-1) | 1,872 (+11%) | 7mo | $545,000 | $291 | 43 |
| 19 Cheney Ln | 0.74mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,486 (-12%) | 1mo | $502,000 | $338 | 39 |
| 297 Walsh Ave | 0.65mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,488 (-12%) | 8mo | $330,000 | $222 | 37 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.98% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 4.6%
- Equity multiple
- 1.17×
- Total profit
- $10,446
- Equity at exit
- $32,057
- IRR
- 12.0%
- Equity multiple
- 1.85×
- Total profit
- $51,166
- Equity at exit
- $18,589
Cash invested: $60,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 27 Tenant-Leaning
- State Connecticut
- 27 Tenant-Leaning · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 06111
- Rents YoY
- 1.0%
- Active inventory
- 94
- Price-to-rent
- 5.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,165 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,127
- Tax from tax record
- −$476 /mo · $5,712/yr
- Insurance
- −$90
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$665
- Net cashflow
- $807
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $53,750
- Closing costs
- $6,450
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 4 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 92 Indian Hill Rd Newington, CT | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1250 | $2,800 | $2.24 | 44d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 62 Brookdale Ave Newington, CT | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1508 | $2,900 | $1.92 | 24d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 47 Pepper Bush Ln Newington, CT | 3.0 | 2.5 | 2190 | $2,850 | $1.30 | 2d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 32 Lexington Cir Newington, CT | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1288 | $3,000 | $2.33 | 16d | 1 | 1.33mi |
Listing history 4 events
-
2025-12-08status Under Contract
-
2025-12-02status Active
-
2025-09-18status Under Contract
-
2025-09-12$215,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast CT · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $5,712 · $476/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $5,712 · $476/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $37,980
- − Mortgage interest
- −$12,043
- − Property taxes
- −$5,712
- − Insurance
- −$1,075
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$3,038
- − Management
- −$3,038
- − Depreciation
- −$6,255
- Taxable income
- $6,818
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,636
- After-tax cash flow
- $8,051/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Newington School District
- NCES district ID
- 0902880
- Math proficiency
- 38% ▼ -14.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 53% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $74,751
- Composite
- 41.37/100
- National rank
- #3489
- State rank
- #87 of 153 in CT
Livability — Newington
- Score
- 79/100
- State rank
- #30
- US rank
- #2143
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Newington, CT
- County
- Hartford County · 754,208 people
- City population
- 30,896
- Metro
- Hartford-East Hartford-Middletown, CT
- Population (ZIP)
- 30,896
- Household income
- $102,884
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 553.0
Population outlook (Capitol County) Hauer SSP2
- By 2040
- 1,063,519
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (72%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 72% Hispanic / Latino 12% Two or more races 8% Asian 7% Black 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 5%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 12% Lithuanian 7% Russian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 20% · Canada, Jamaica, China
- Languages at home
- 72% English-only · Spanish 8% Other Indo-European 8% Russian/Polish/Slavic 7%
Political lean MEDSL · Capitol
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+21.9) · D 60.1% · R 38.2% · Other 1.7%
- All cycles
- 2024: D+21.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -194.94%
- Current HPI
- 185.3332
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 0.98%
- Metro
- Hartford-East Hartford-Middletown, CT
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.06%
- F500 in state
- 38
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CT)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Machinery | 4 | $38B |
|
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| Insurance | 3 | $71B |
|
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| Financial Services | 2 | $25B |
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| Transportation / Logistics | 2 | $18B |
|
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| Healthcare | 1 | $247B |
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| Telecommunications | 1 | $55B |
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Price history
4 events — show timeline
- 2025-12-08 Pending — Smart MLS
- 2025-12-02 Relisted — Smart MLS
- 2025-09-18 Pending — Smart MLS
- 2025-09-12 Listed $215,000 Smart MLS
Property tax history
+1.5%/yrLatest (2025): $5,712 · +0.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…