805 N Sterling Ave · West Peoria, IL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $804 – $1,492
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +24.2/30.0
- ARV discount +10.2/15.0
- DSCR +7.8/10.0
- 1% rule +7.2/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Rent growth +3.1/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.1/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$115,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Fenced yard, spacious kitchen, and a large living room looking out to the park area crossed the street are some quick features to note. Home is 3 bedroom, 2 bath, and just minutes from Bradley University, Parks, and Interstate.
Key facts
- 5,160 sq ft lot
- Garage
- Built 1963
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Located in the Sterling Downs subdivision; Living area approximately 1428
- HOA & community: No association fee
Exterior
- Parking: Underground garage with 1 garage space
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single family residence; Built in 1963
- Construction: Shingle roof
- Exterior features: Level lot; Lot dimensions approximately 43 x 120
Interior
- Kitchen: Kitchen located on main level
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms; Primary bedrooms on upper and lower levels (bedroom sizes: 14 x 12; 12 x 11; 11 x 10); Bedrooms include egress windows
- Flooring: Hardwood in two upper-level bedrooms; Carpet in lower-level bedroom; Vinyl in living room, family room and kitchen
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 half bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating
- Interior features: Unfinished basement; No fireplaces
- Laundry & utility: Basement utility space
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $115k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $229 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $115k).
- Recommended offer: $112k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.7% vs local median 6.2% in West Peoria — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 76/100 on livability (#181 in IL, #3,474 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, commute A-; Watch: amenities F.
- Peoria SD 150 (urban): math 11% / reading 14% proficiency, ranked #554 of 620 in IL (top 89%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 70% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Manual High School (math 2% / reading 2%, grade F, #659 of 693 statewide, top 100%, 656 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 70% district-wide (70 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.3%/yr); 180 active listings in the ZIP; 17 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 14d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 73 units permitted in Peoria County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($52k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $795 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Peoria County population projected at -11% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 46 days — a 3% lower offer ($112k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 15y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (8%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $70k; list at $115k implies a 64% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 46 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1963 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.22% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.68%
- Cash-on-cash
- 8.54%
- DSCR
- 1.38
- GRM
- 6.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $122,346
- List price
- $115,000
- Delta
- -6.00%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2611 W Belle Vista Ct | 0.22mi | 3/2.0 | 1,488 (+4%) | 1mo | $195,000 | $131 | 80 |
| 302 N Sterling Ave | 0.46mi | 3/1.0 | 1,422 (-0%) | 5mo | $145,000 | $102 | 72 |
| 2106 W Heading Ave | 0.35mi | 3/2.5 | 1,476 (+3%) | 5mo | $102,000 | $69 | 70 |
| 2111 W Laura Ave | 0.34mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,477 (+3%) | 8mo | $140,000 | $95 | 65 |
| 2026 W Heading Ave | 0.38mi | 3/2.0 | 1,565 (+10%) | 0mo | $137,500 | $88 | 64 |
| 1713 W Barker Ave | 0.66mi | 3/2.0 | 1,452 (+2%) | 1mo | $75,000 | $52 | 64 |
| 806 N Swords Ave | 0.47mi | 3/2.0 | 1,507 (+6%) | 4mo | $130,000 | $86 | 63 |
| 2008 W Clarke Ave | 0.41mi | 3/2.0 | 1,284 (-10%) | 3mo | $119,000 | $93 | 59 |
| 2208 W Ayres Ave | 0.46mi | 2/1.5 (-1) | 1,297 (-9%) | 4mo | $120,000 | $93 | 55 |
| 614 N Lammers Ave | 0.54mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,350 (-6%) | 6mo | $130,000 | $96 | 54 |
| 1808 W Fredonia Ave | 0.59mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 1,340 (-6%) | 8mo | $48,000 | $36 | 48 |
| 2705 W Manor Pkwy | 0.64mi | 3/1.5 | 1,607 (+12%) | 3mo | $162,000 | $101 | 47 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 2.3% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -4.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.85×
- Total profit
- $-4,944
- Equity at exit
- $17,147
- IRR
- 4.7%
- Equity multiple
- 1.34×
- Total profit
- $10,822
- Equity at exit
- $9,943
Cash invested: $32,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
- State Illinois
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 61604
- Home prices YoY
- -24.6%
- Rents YoY
- 2.3%
- Active inventory
- 180
- Price-to-rent
- 6.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,399 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$603
- Tax from tax record
- −$225 /mo · $2,704/yr
- Insurance
- −$48
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$294
- Net cashflow
- $229
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $294 | -5% $262 | +0% $229 | +5% $197 | +10% $164 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $119 | -5% $174 | +0% $229 | +5% $284 | +10% $340 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $287 | -0.5pp $258 | base $229 | +0.5pp $199 | +1.0pp $169 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $28,750
- Closing costs
- $3,450
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 17 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2601 W Kenwood Ave West Peoria, IL | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1405 | $1,500 | $1.07 | 14d | 1 | 0.10mi |
| 1723 W Fredonia Ave Peoria, IL | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1219 | $2,100 | $1.72 | 14d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 1019 N Farmington Rd Unit 1017 Peoria, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1304 | $1,600 | $1.23 | 44d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 1816 W Callender Ave Peoria, IL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1628 | $1,650 | $1.01 | 44d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 102 N Cedar Ave West Peoria, IL | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1272 | $995 | $0.78 | 44d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 1801 N Gentry Ln West Peoria, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,650 | $1.65 | 14d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 2523 W Nebraska Ave Peoria, IL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1600 | $1,450 | $0.91 | 22d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 2807 W Howett St Peoria, IL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1388 | $1,550 | $1.12 | 44d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 1401 W Adrian G Hinton Ave Peoria, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $775 | $0.70 | 44d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 1540 W Kettelle St Peoria, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1001 | $748 | $0.75 | 14d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 3001 W Wiswall St Peoria, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,100 | $1.10 | 14d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 2109 N Abbey Cir Peoria, IL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1088 | $1,009 | $0.93 | 14d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 3031 W Wiswall St Peoria, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,100 | $1.00 | 14d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 2116 W Proctor St Peoria, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 912 | $879 | $0.96 | 14d | 1 | 1.38mi |
| 1214 W Butler St Peoria, IL | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1440 | $795 | $0.55 | 44d | 1 | 1.43mi |
| 818 W Moss Ave Peoria, IL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1580 | $1,800 | $1.14 | 14d | 1 | 1.44mi |
| 2610 N Renwood Ave Peoria, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 904 | $1,300 | $1.44 | 14d | 1 | 1.49mi |
Listing history 27 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $115,000 Active 46 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $115,000 Active 45 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $115,000 Active 44 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $115,000 Active 43 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $115,000 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $115,000 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $115,000 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $115,000 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $115,000 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $115,000 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $115,000 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-03pricedays on market $115,000 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $125,000 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $125,000 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-01remarks 228-char remark
-
2026-05-31days on market $125,000 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $125,000 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-05-04$125,000 Active 266-char remark
-
2025-02-28historical $1,200
-
2025-02-27historical
-
2025-02-05$1,200
-
2025-01-29price
-
2024-07-26soldstatus $70,000
-
2022-02-20historical
-
2011-12-29soldstatus $62,000
-
2011-12-13soldstatus $62,000
-
2011-03-27$65,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,704 · $225/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,704 · $225/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,792
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,442
- − Property taxes
- −$2,704
- − Insurance
- −$575
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,343
- − Management
- −$1,343
- − Depreciation
- −$3,345
- Taxable income
- $1,040
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$250
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,501/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Peoria SD 150
- NCES district ID
- 1731230
- Math proficiency
- 11% ▼ -5.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 14% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $41,951
- Composite
- 10.92/100
- National rank
- #9751
- State rank
- #554 of 620 in IL
Livability — West Peoria
- Score
- 76/100
- State rank
- #181
- US rank
- #3474
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- West Peoria, IL
- County
- Peoria County · 120,495 people
- City population
- 114,670
- Metro
- Peoria, IL
- Population (ZIP)
- 28,313
- Household income
- $52,414
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 815.0
Population outlook (Peoria County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 183,007 people
- By 2030
- 179,643 · -1.8%
- By 2040
- 171,782 · -6.1%
- By 2050
- 163,508 · -10.7%
- By 2075
- 140,178 · -23.4%
- By 2100
- 114,493 · -37.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.61)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 55% Black 29% Two or more races 10% Hispanic / Latino 7% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 5%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 2% Slovak 1% Iranian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 92% English-only · Spanish 4% Chinese 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Peoria
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 51.5% · R 46.9% · Other 1.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -9.2pp toward R · 2008: 13.9pp · 2024: 4.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+4.7 2020: D+6.3 2016: D+2.8 2012: D+4.4 2008: D+13.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -54.15%
- Current HPI
- 165.8838
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.30%
- Metro
- Peoria, IL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.59%
- F500 in state
- 60
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 4 | $201B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 4 | $87B |
|
||
| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $64B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 2 | $55B |
|
||
| Retail / Pharmacy | 1 | $148B |
|
||
| Agriculture / Food | 1 | $86B |
|
||
Price history
+74.5% since first listed11 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-03 Price Changed $115,000 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-05-04 Listed $125,000 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-02-28 Rental Removed $1,200 APPFOLIO
- 2025-02-27 Listing Removed — RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-02-05 Listed for Rent $1,200 APPFOLIO
- 2025-01-29 Price Changed — RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-07-26 Sold (Public Records) $70,000 Public Records
- 2022-02-20 Listing Removed — RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2011-12-29 Sold (Public Records) $62,000 Public Records
- 2011-12-13 Sold (MLS) $62,000 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2011-03-27 Listed $65,900 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+8.1%/yrLatest (2025): $2,704 · +11.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…