73-23 220th St #2 · New York, NY
Flood risk 3/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.1%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 97°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 6 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 6 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +10.7/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +5.0/10.0
- Rent growth +4.6/5.0
- Condition / age +4.0/5.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- 1% rule +3.2/10.0
- DSCR +3.1/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$349,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Beautiful 2 Bedroom Upper Unit in Desirable Windsor Oaks. This Unit Features Renovated Kitchen and Bath, Stunning Wood Floors, Washer/Dryer in unit. Close to Schools, Shopping and Transportation. A Must See!
Key facts
- Close to schools
- Wood floors
- Renovated kitchen
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: No designated parking or carport
- Utilities: Public sewer; Cable connected; Electricity connected; Natural gas connected; Phone connected; Public trash collection; Water connected
- Home design: Stock cooperative
- Construction: Brick exterior
- Exterior features: Brick construction; Not waterfront
Interior
- Kitchen: Oven; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: 4 rooms total (includes bedrooms and living spaces)
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Baseboard heating; No central cooling
- Interior features: Open kitchen; One level
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $349k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-163 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $325k (6.8% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $285k (18.4% below list).
- Recommended offer: $285k (18.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 5.7% vs local median 2.6% in New York — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 75/100 on livability (#268 in NY, #4,188 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+8.5%/yr); 249 active listings in the ZIP; 9 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 26d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 5,302 units permitted in Queens County in 2024 (4,918 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 35% of the median local income ($98k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $10k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Queens County population projected at +16% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 18 days — a 2% lower offer ($344k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1955 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- Built in 1955 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.82% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.73%
- Cash-on-cash
- -2.00%
- DSCR
- 0.91
- GRM
- 10.2
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -14.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.47×
- Total profit
- $-51,865
- Equity at exit
- $52,037
- IRR
- 1.2%
- Equity multiple
- 1.10×
- Total profit
- $10,087
- Equity at exit
- $30,175
Cash invested: $97,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (CITY)
- 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City New York
- 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+34
ZIP-level market 11364
- Rents YoY
- 8.5%
- Active inventory
- 249
- Price-to-rent
- 10.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,846 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,830
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$436 /mo · $5,235/yr
- Insurance
- −$145
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$598
- Net cashflow
- $-163
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $78 | -5% $-43 | +0% $-163 | +5% $-284 | +10% $-404 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-388 | -5% $-276 | +0% $-163 | +5% $-51 | +10% $62 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $13 | -0.5pp $-74 | base $-163 | +0.5pp $-254 | +1.0pp $-346 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $87,250
- Closing costs
- $10,470
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 9 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6747 222nd St Oakland Gardens, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 924 | $2,700 | $2.92 | 3d | 1 | 0.25mi |
| 232-15 67th Ave Unit 1FL Flushing, NY | 2.0 | 2.0 | 900 | $2,900 | $3.22 | 5d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 56-25 226th St Unit 3 Bayside, NY | 3.0 | 1.5 | 977 | $3,250 | $3.33 | 25d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 240-53 68th Ave Unit 1st Floor Douglaston, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $2,500 | $2.78 | 25d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 203-06 53rd Ave Unit 2 Flushing, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $2,200 | $2.59 | 25d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 7364 196th St Fresh Meadows, NY | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1000 | $5,500 | $5.50 | 25d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 5839 196th Pl Fresh Meadows, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $2,750 | $3.67 | 25d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 8827 208th St Queens Village, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 640 | $1,900 | $2.97 | 25d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 01 194th St Unit Main Fresh Meadows, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 895 | $2,400 | $2.68 | 16d | 1 | 1.42mi |
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $0 · $0/yr
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 11 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $349,000 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $349,000 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $349,000 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $349,000 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $349,000 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $349,000 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $349,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $349,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $349,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-04remarks 207-char remark
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2026-06-04$349,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 3/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 10% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 6 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $34,156
- − Mortgage interest
- −$19,549
- − Property taxes
- −$5,235
- − Insurance
- −$1,745
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,732
- − Management
- −$2,732
- − Depreciation
- −$10,153
- Taxable loss
- −$7,991
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,918
- After-tax cash flow
- $-41/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 14 photos
This 2-bedroom condo is in good condition with a well-maintained exterior and interior. It has a good location and is ready for a new owner or tenant.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Paint the exterior walls — Painting the exterior walls can enhance the curb appeal and increase the home's value.
- Both Replace worn-out carpet — Replacing worn-out carpet can improve the home's appearance and increase its rental value.
Renovation cost estimate screening
Value-add ROI direction
- Both Paint the exterior walls — Painting the exterior walls can enhance the curb appeal and increase the home's value. ↑
- Both Replace worn-out carpet — Replacing worn-out carpet can improve the home's appearance and increase its rental value. ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
No district data.
Livability — New York
- Score
- 75/100
- State rank
- #268
- US rank
- #4188
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- New York, NY
- County
- Queens County · 1,914,869 people
- City population
- 7,731,280
- Metro
- New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 35,276
- Household income
- $98,359
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1288.0
Population outlook (Queens County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 2,546,320 people
- By 2030
- 2,643,059 · +3.8%
- By 2040
- 2,815,563 · +10.6%
- By 2050
- 2,944,423 · +15.6%
- By 2075
- 3,123,338 · +22.7%
- By 2100
- 3,098,688 · +21.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.64)
- Race & ethnicity
- Asian 50% White 29% Hispanic / Latino 15% Two or more races 7% Black 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 3% Dominican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 2% Scotch-Irish 2% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 44% · China, South Korea, Canada
- Languages at home
- 41% English-only · Chinese 30% Spanish 9% Korean 8%
Political lean MEDSL · Queens
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+24.6) · D 62.3% · R 37.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -26.2pp toward R · 2008: 50.8pp · 2024: 24.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+24.6 2020: D+45.2 2016: D+53.4 2012: D+58.5 2008: D+50.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -179.50%
- Current HPI
- 242.5386
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 8.47%
- Metro
- New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
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| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
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| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-06-03 Listed $349,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…