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537 3rd St
B+ Composite 76.75
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +29.3/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +9.6/10.0
  • Rent growth +4.2/5.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.4/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$86,900

537 3rd St · Elyria, OH 44035
3 bd · 1.5 ba · 1,538 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 226 Days on market
Built 1900 0.25 ac lot Est $129k · 33% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Traditional century home with spacious living spaces and huge eat-in kitchen. Garage in back, and back yard made for playing, planting or your heart's desire. Hardwood floors in many rooms, with built-in hardwood cabinets in part of kitchen leading to dining room for serving. Great home for first time home buyers and those wishing to put their own stamp on this home!

Key facts

  • Eat-in kitchen
  • Hardwood floors
  • 0.25 acre lot

Tags

EAT-IN KITCHENHARDWOOD FLOORSBUILT-IN HARDWOOD CABINETSSPACIOUS LIVING AREAS

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached garage (1 car); Driveway and additional parking
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: 2-story home; Vinyl siding; Asphalt roof
  • Construction: Vinyl siding construction; Asphalt roof
  • Exterior features: Back yard fencing

Interior

  • Kitchen: Range; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: Second-level bedroom (approx. 11 x 12); First-level bedroom (approx. 10 x 10); Second-level bedroom (approx. 12 x 16)
  • Flooring: Hardwood in living and dining areas; Linoleum in kitchen
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 half bathroom; Main-level bathroom included
  • Heating & cooling: Gas heating
  • Interior features: Ceiling fan(s); Partial basement
  • Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $87k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $306 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $87k).
  • Recommended offer: $76k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 10.5% vs local median 4.0% in Elyria — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 75/100 on livability (#243 in OH, #3,869 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A; Watch: employment D, commute F.
  • Elyria City Schools (urban): math 21% / reading 37% proficiency, ranked #586 of 656 in OH (top 89%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Zoned schools: Hamilton Elementary School (math 8% / reading 17%, grade F, #1,434 of 1,584 statewide, top 92%, 421 students, 90% FRL); Eastern Heights Middle School (math 15% / reading 29%, grade F, #602 of 654 statewide, top 93%, 579 students, 100% FRL); Elyria High School (math 20% / reading 47%, grade F, #598 of 781 statewide, top 77%, 1,639 students, 62% FRL) — zoned schools average 84% FRL vs 58% district-wide (26 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.7%/yr); 359 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 9d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,098 units permitted in Lorain County in 2024 (20 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $601 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 6.7% rent growth), your $24k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 226 days — a 12% lower offer ($76k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 7 sale attempts since 21y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $58k (40%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $10k; list at $87k implies a 769% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 2.8% of price; built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $76,472 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 226 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.46%
Cap rate
10.52%
Cash-on-cash
15.09%
DSCR
1.67
GRM
5.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$129,192
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
568 Turner St 0.07mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,578 (+3%) 4mo $180,000 $114 82
6234 W River Rd S 0.22mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,612 (+5%) 9mo $75,000 $47 68
455 9th St 0.45mi 3/1.0 1,448 (-6%) 8mo $125,000 $86 61
127 Cascade St 0.51mi 4/1.0 (+1) 1,612 (+5%) 3mo $106,000 $66 59
142 4th St 0.61mi 3/1.0 1,428 (-7%) 4mo $120,000 $84 54
348 11th Ave 0.67mi 3/1.0 1,418 (-8%) 3mo $75,000 $53 52
160 Erie St 0.74mi 3/1.5 1,413 (-8%) 4mo $56,000 $40 49
343 Furnace St 0.74mi 3/1.0 1,400 (-9%) 1mo $45,000 $32 48
420 East Ave 0.56mi 3/1.5 1,767 (+15%) 1mo $150,000 $85 48
121 Parkview Ct 0.48mi 4/1.0 (+1) 1,714 (+11%) 5mo $165,000 $96 47
1122 West Ave 0.69mi 4/1.5 (+1) 1,392 (-10%) 4mo $140,000 $101 44
213 Gates Ave 0.70mi 3/1.0 1,368 (-11%) 4mo $100,000 $73 43

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 6.74% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
10.3%
Equity multiple
1.43×
Total profit
$10,420
Equity at exit
$12,957
10-year hold
IRR
22.6%
Equity multiple
3.32×
Total profit
$56,359
Equity at exit
$7,514

Cash invested: $24,332 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
73 Landlord-Friendly
State Ohio
73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; Cleveland / Columbus have some habitability code enforcement; otherwise landlord-leaning.

ZIP-level market 44035

Rents YoY
6.7%
Active inventory
359
Price-to-rent
5.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,264 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$456
Tax from tax record
$201 /mo · $2,412/yr
Insurance
$36
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$266
Net cashflow
$306

Break-even live

Break-even rent $877
Max offer price $86,900
Occupancy floor 71%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $355 -5% $331 +0% $306 +5% $281 +10% $257
Rent -10% $206 -5% $256 +0% $306 +5% $356 +10% $406
Rate -1.0pp $350 -0.5pp $328 base $306 +0.5pp $283 +1.0pp $261

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$21,725
Closing costs
$2,607
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 4 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
518 Lake Ave Unit 100 Rush Elyria, OH 3.0 1.0 1248 $1,099 $0.88 5d 1 0.84mi
100 Rush St Elyria, OH 3.0 1.0 1248 $1,099 $0.88 9d 1 0.85mi
222 Georgia Ave Elyria, OH 3.0 2.5 1850 $1,750 $0.95 3d 1 1.19mi
944 Walnut St Elyria, OH 2.0 1.0 1064 $1,200 $1.13 18d 1 1.34mi

Listing history 39 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $86,900 Active 226 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $86,900 Active 223 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $86,900 Active 222 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $86,900 Active 221 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $86,900 Active 220 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $86,900 Active 218 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $86,900 Active 217 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $86,900 Active 214 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $86,900 Active 213 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $86,900 Active 212 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $86,900 Active 208 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $86,900 Active 207 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $86,900 Active 206 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $86,900 Active 205 DOM
  15. 2026-04-28
    price $86,900 369-char remark
    Show marketing remark (369 chars)

    Traditional century home with spacious living spaces and huge eat-in kitchen. Garage in back, and back yard made for playing, planting or your heart's desire. Hardwood floors in many rooms, with built-in hardwood cabinets in part of kitchen leading to dining room for serving. Great home for first time home buyers and those wishing to put their own stamp on this home!

  16. 2026-04-28
    price $86,900
    Show marketing remark (369 chars)

    Traditional century home with spacious living spaces and huge eat-in kitchen. Garage in back, and back yard made for playing, planting or your heart's desire. Hardwood floors in many rooms, with built-in hardwood cabinets in part of kitchen leading to dining room for serving. Great home for first time home buyers and those wishing to put their own stamp on this home!

  17. 2026-04-06
    price $89,900 369-char remark
    Show marketing remark (369 chars)

    Traditional century home with spacious living spaces and huge eat-in kitchen. Garage in back, and back yard made for playing, planting or your heart's desire. Hardwood floors in many rooms, with built-in hardwood cabinets in part of kitchen leading to dining room for serving. Great home for first time home buyers and those wishing to put their own stamp on this home!

  18. 2026-04-06
    price $89,900
    Show marketing remark (369 chars)

    Traditional century home with spacious living spaces and huge eat-in kitchen. Garage in back, and back yard made for playing, planting or your heart's desire. Hardwood floors in many rooms, with built-in hardwood cabinets in part of kitchen leading to dining room for serving. Great home for first time home buyers and those wishing to put their own stamp on this home!

  19. 2026-02-04
    price $99,900
    Show marketing remark (369 chars)

    Traditional century home with spacious living spaces and huge eat-in kitchen. Garage in back, and back yard made for playing, planting or your heart's desire. Hardwood floors in many rooms, with built-in hardwood cabinets in part of kitchen leading to dining room for serving. Great home for first time home buyers and those wishing to put their own stamp on this home!

  20. 2026-02-04
    price $99,900 369-char remark
    Show marketing remark (369 chars)

    Traditional century home with spacious living spaces and huge eat-in kitchen. Garage in back, and back yard made for playing, planting or your heart's desire. Hardwood floors in many rooms, with built-in hardwood cabinets in part of kitchen leading to dining room for serving. Great home for first time home buyers and those wishing to put their own stamp on this home!

  21. 2026-01-05
    price $102,900 369-char remark
    Show marketing remark (369 chars)

    Traditional century home with spacious living spaces and huge eat-in kitchen. Garage in back, and back yard made for playing, planting or your heart's desire. Hardwood floors in many rooms, with built-in hardwood cabinets in part of kitchen leading to dining room for serving. Great home for first time home buyers and those wishing to put their own stamp on this home!

  22. 2026-01-05
    price $102,900
    Show marketing remark (369 chars)

    Traditional century home with spacious living spaces and huge eat-in kitchen. Garage in back, and back yard made for playing, planting or your heart's desire. Hardwood floors in many rooms, with built-in hardwood cabinets in part of kitchen leading to dining room for serving. Great home for first time home buyers and those wishing to put their own stamp on this home!

  23. 2025-12-09
    price $104,900
  24. 2025-11-24
    price $124,900
    Show marketing remark (369 chars)

    Traditional century home with spacious living spaces and huge eat-in kitchen. Garage in back, and back yard made for playing, planting or your heart's desire. Hardwood floors in many rooms, with built-in hardwood cabinets in part of kitchen leading to dining room for serving. Great home for first time home buyers and those wishing to put their own stamp on this home!

  25. 2025-11-24
    price $124,900 369-char remark
    Show marketing remark (369 chars)

    Traditional century home with spacious living spaces and huge eat-in kitchen. Garage in back, and back yard made for playing, planting or your heart's desire. Hardwood floors in many rooms, with built-in hardwood cabinets in part of kitchen leading to dining room for serving. Great home for first time home buyers and those wishing to put their own stamp on this home!

  26. 2025-11-06
    listed $144,900 Active 369-char remark
    Show marketing remark (369 chars)

    Traditional century home with spacious living spaces and huge eat-in kitchen. Garage in back, and back yard made for playing, planting or your heart's desire. Hardwood floors in many rooms, with built-in hardwood cabinets in part of kitchen leading to dining room for serving. Great home for first time home buyers and those wishing to put their own stamp on this home!

  27. 2025-11-06
    listed $144,900 Active
    Show marketing remark (369 chars)

    Traditional century home with spacious living spaces and huge eat-in kitchen. Garage in back, and back yard made for playing, planting or your heart's desire. Hardwood floors in many rooms, with built-in hardwood cabinets in part of kitchen leading to dining room for serving. Great home for first time home buyers and those wishing to put their own stamp on this home!

  28. 2023-02-22
    historical
  29. 2023-01-31
    price $74,500
  30. 2022-12-04
    listed $89,500 Active
  31. 2010-06-05
    historical
  32. 2009-12-05
    listed $35,000
  33. 2007-12-05
    historical
  34. 2007-10-29
    historical
  35. 2007-06-05
    listed $59,900
  36. 2006-05-07
    listed $59,900
  37. 2006-03-28
    historical
  38. 2005-09-29
    listed $82,900
  39. 1987-10-13
    soldstatus $10,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$2,412 · $201/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,412 · $201/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$15,173
− Mortgage interest
−$4,868
− Property taxes
−$2,412
− Insurance
−$434
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,214
− Management
−$1,214
− Depreciation
−$2,528
Taxable income
$2,504
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$601
After-tax cash flow
$3,071/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Elyria City Schools
NCES district ID
3904394
Math proficiency
21% ▼ -25.00%
Reading proficiency
37% ▼ -15.00%
Median HH income
$40,992
Composite
24.45/100
National rank
#7670
State rank
#586 of 656 in OH

Livability — Elyria

Score
75/100
State rank
#243
US rank
#3869

Category grades

Amenities A- Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C+ Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety A User ratings B-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Elyria, OH
County
Lorain County · 219,437 people
City population
62,179
Metro
Cleveland-Elyria, OH
Population (ZIP)
62,179
Household income
$56,408
Rent vs Own
37.3% rent · 62.7% own
Severe rent burden
2229.0

Population outlook (Lorain County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
314,924 people
By 2030
317,546 · +0.8%
By 2040
317,962 · +1.0%
By 2050
312,872 · -0.7%
By 2075
301,806 · -4.2%
By 2100
278,271 · -11.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (70%)
Race & ethnicity
White 70% Two or more races 12% Black 11% Hispanic / Latino 10% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 6%
Common ancestry
Romanian 5% Slovak 2% Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
2% · China, Canada
Languages at home
94% English-only · Spanish 4% Chinese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Lorain

2024 margin
Lean R (+5.7) · D 46.7% · R 52.4%
2008→2024 swing
-23.6pp toward R · 2008: 17.9pp · 2024: -5.7pp
All cycles
2024: R+5.7 2020: R+2.5 2016: R+0.3 2012: D+14.4 2008: D+17.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -139.09%
Current HPI
199.7354
Rent YoY
▲ 6.74%
Metro
Cleveland-Elyria, OH
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.98%
F500 in state
48

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+769.0% since first listed
25 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-28 Price Changed $86,900 FAOR
  • 2026-04-28 Price Changed $86,900 MLSNOW
  • 2026-04-06 Price Changed $89,900 FAOR
  • 2026-04-06 Price Changed $89,900 MLSNOW
  • 2026-02-04 Price Changed $99,900 MLSNOW
  • 2026-02-04 Price Changed $99,900 FAOR
  • 2026-01-05 Price Changed $102,900 FAOR
  • 2026-01-05 Price Changed $102,900 MLSNOW
  • 2025-12-09 Price Changed $104,900 MLSNOW
  • 2025-11-24 Price Changed $124,900 MLSNOW
  • 2025-11-24 Price Changed $124,900 FAOR
  • 2025-11-06 Listed $144,900 MLSNOW
  • 2025-11-06 Listed $144,900 FAOR
  • 2023-02-22 Listing Removed MLSNOW
  • 2023-01-31 Price Changed $74,500 MLSNOW
  • 2022-12-04 Listed $89,500 MLSNOW
  • 2010-06-05 Listing Removed MLSNOW
  • 2009-12-05 Listed $35,000 MLSNOW
  • 2007-12-05 Listing Removed MLSNOW
  • 2007-10-29 Listing Removed MLSNOW
  • 2007-06-05 Listed $59,900 MLSNOW
  • 2006-05-07 Listed $59,900 MLSNOW
  • 2006-03-28 Listing Removed MLSNOW
  • 2005-09-29 Listed $82,900 MLSNOW
  • 1987-10-13 Sold (Public Records) $10,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+4.9%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,412 · +2.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…