251 Bergen St · New York, NY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 99°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 5 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 7 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the A- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +5.0/10.0
- Rent growth +4.2/5.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$2,200,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 5 units. estimate disagrees with records
Listing remarks
5 Family TownhouseRare mixed-use townhouse featuring a ground-floor deli and four residential apartments above, offering strong in-place income with long-term upside potential. The commercial space is occupied by an established deli with approximately three years remaining on the lease and built-in 5% annual escalations, providing steady cash flow and predictable growth. Above the retail are four residential units . This asset presents an attractive cap rate with immediate income and future value-add potential through strategic management of the residential component. Ideal for investors seeking stable cash flow in a classic New York mixed-use property with long-term appreciation potential.
Key facts
- Ground-floor deli
- Established deli
- Steady cash flow
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Pets allowed in building
- Financial info: Annual tax listed (see listing for details)
Exterior
- Home design: 4-story building
- Construction: Foundation area listed as 0.0
- Exterior features: Lot dimensions approximately 20 x 60
Interior
- Bedrooms: Total of 8 rooms (includes bedrooms and living space)
- Bathrooms: 4 full bathrooms
- Interior features: Intercom
- Laundry & utility: Laundry details available in remarks
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 5 × 4-bed/4.0-bath units multifamily listed at $2.20M.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $15k ($178k/yr) — positive. Per door: $3k/mo.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($38k rent vs $2.20M).
- Cap rate 14.4% vs local median 2.6% in New York — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 75/100 on livability (#268 in NY, #4,188 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.7%/yr); 127 active listings in the ZIP; high-income renter base; 10,063 units permitted in Kings County in 2024 (9,789 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $37,989/mo this rent would consume 280% of the median local household income ($163k/yr) (locally 2688% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $235k of equity ($15k loan paydown + $220k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Kings County population projected at +13% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 6.7% rent growth), your $616k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$378k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- Only 10 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.73% ✓
- Cap rate
- 14.37%
- Cash-on-cash
- 28.85%
- DSCR
- 2.28
- GRM
- 4.8
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 6.7% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 48.4%
- Equity multiple
- 4.72×
- Total profit
- $2,288,531
- Equity at exit
- $1,981,934
- IRR
- 43.7%
- Equity multiple
- 11.30×
- Total profit
- $6,344,194
- Equity at exit
- $4,274,116
Cash invested: $616,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (CITY)
- 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City New York
- 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+34
ZIP-level market 11217
- Home prices YoY
- 2.5%
- Rents YoY
- 6.7%
- Active inventory
- 127
- Price-to-rent
- 24.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $37,989 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$11,537
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$2,750 /mo · $33,000/yr
- Insurance
- −$917
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$7,978
- Net cashflow
- $14,808
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $16,328 | -5% $15,568 | +0% $14,808 | +5% $14,047 | +10% $13,287 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $11,806 | -5% $13,307 | +0% $14,808 | +5% $16,308 | +10% $17,809 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $15,916 | -0.5pp $15,367 | base $14,808 | +0.5pp $14,238 | +1.0pp $13,658 |
5-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5× units | 4 | 4 | $37,990 |
| #1 | 4 | 4 | $7,598 |
| #2 | 4 | 4 | $7,598 |
| #3 | 4 | 4 | $7,598 |
| #4 | 4 | 4 | $7,598 |
| #5 | 4 | 4 | $7,598 |
| Total (5 units) | $37,989 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $550,000
- Closing costs
- $66,000
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 9 events
-
2026-06-09days on market $2,200,000 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $2,200,000 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $2,200,000 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $2,200,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $2,200,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $2,200,000 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $2,200,000 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-05-31remarks 699-char remark
-
2026-05-31$2,200,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 7 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $455,868
- − Mortgage interest
- −$123,234
- − Property taxes
- −$33,000
- − Insurance
- −$11,000
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$36,469
- − Management
- −$36,469
- − Depreciation
- −$64,000
- Taxable income
- $151,695
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$36,407
- After-tax cash flow
- $141,284/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
No district data.
Livability — New York
- Score
- 75/100
- State rank
- #268
- US rank
- #4188
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- New York, NY
- County
- Kings County · 2,614,986 people
- City population
- 7,731,280
- Metro
- New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 43,490
- Household income
- $162,863
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2688.0
Population outlook (Kings County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 2,847,441 people
- By 2030
- 2,937,006 · +3.1%
- By 2040
- 3,095,491 · +8.7%
- By 2050
- 3,228,968 · +13.4%
- By 2075
- 3,321,723 · +16.7%
- By 2100
- 3,111,387 · +9.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.69)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 50% Black 16% Hispanic / Latino 16% Two or more races 15% Asian 9%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 7% Dominican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 3% Lithuanian 2% Scotch-Irish 2%
- Foreign-born
- 19% · Canada, China, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 74% English-only · Spanish 11% French/Haitian/Cajun 4% Other Indo-European 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Kings
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+44.0) · D 72.0% · R 28.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -15.5pp toward R · 2008: 59.4pp · 2024: 44.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+44.0 2020: D+54.8 2016: D+61.8 2012: D+63.9 2008: D+59.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 11.76%
- Current HPI
- 491.2658
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 6.70%
- Metro
- New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
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| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
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| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
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Price history
3 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-30 Relisted — RLS at REBNY
- 2026-05-30 Delisted — RLS at REBNY
- 2026-05-29 Listed $2,200,000 RLS at REBNY
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…