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2858 Hillspring Rd
B+ Composite 78.48
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +3.1/5.0
  • Schools +2.9/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$84,900

2858 Hillspring Rd · Pleasureville, KY 40057
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,928 sqft · Other public records · 100 Days on market
0.43 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Four bedrooms, two full bath, fireplace and fenced yard are some of what you will find here. There are enhancements needed to get this home move in ready. Take a look today, see what you can accomplish here. REO Property. Property Sold AS-IS W/O Repair, Warranty or Seller Disclosure. The Listing Broker & Seller assume no responsibility & make no guarantees, warranties or representations as to the availability or accuracy of information contained herein. Effective tax rate has not been verified; please contact the local county tax authority for accurate tax rate.

Key facts

  • 0.43 acre lot
  • Parking
  • Listed 100 days

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: No association fee

Exterior

  • Parking: Driveway parking
  • Utilities: Electricity connected
  • Home design: Single family residence; Two-story home
  • Construction: Vinyl siding; Shingle roof; Year built not specified
  • Exterior features: Level lot

Interior

  • Kitchen: Kitchen on the first floor
  • Bedrooms: Three bedrooms total; Primary bedroom on the first floor; Two additional bedrooms on the second floor
  • Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Electric heating
  • Interior features: Six total rooms; Basement: none; First-floor laundry
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry located on the first floor

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath other listed at $85k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $565 ($7k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $85k).
  • Recommended offer: $77k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 61/100 on livability (#379 in KY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment D-.
  • Henry County (rural): math 30% / reading 38% proficiency, ranked #68 of 165 in KY (top 41%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Eastern Elementary School (math 42% / reading 52%, grade D-, #119 of 676 statewide, top 19%, 173 students, 53% FRL); Henry County Middle School (math 26% / reading 38%, grade F, #121 of 217 statewide, top 57%, 454 students, 55% FRL); Henry County High School (math 32% / reading 37%, grade F, #76 of 254 statewide, top 34%, 620 students, 47% FRL) — zoned schools at 52% FRL track the district average.
  • Market conditions: 29 active listings in the ZIP; 65 units permitted in Henry County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $9k of equity ($587 loan paydown + $8k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $24k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 100 days — a 9% lower offer ($77k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts since 10y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $5k (6%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $44k; list at $85k implies a 92% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Recommended offer $77,259 (9.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 100 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.75%
Cap rate
14.29%
Cash-on-cash
28.54%
DSCR
2.27
GRM
4.8

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
45.9%
Equity multiple
4.46×
Total profit
$82,288
Equity at exit
$76,485
10-year hold
IRR
39.9%
Equity multiple
10.01×
Total profit
$214,071
Equity at exit
$164,942

Cash invested: $23,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Kentucky
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+16
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit (URLTA cities); generally landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 40057

Home prices YoY
9.8%
Active inventory
29
Price-to-rent
4.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,484 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$445
Tax from tax record
$126 /mo · $1,511/yr
Insurance
$35
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$312
Net cashflow
$565

Break-even live

Break-even rent $768
Max offer price $84,900
Occupancy floor 57%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $614 -5% $589 +0% $565 +5% $541 +10% $517
Rent -10% $448 -5% $507 +0% $565 +5% $624 +10% $683
Rate -1.0pp $608 -0.5pp $587 base $565 +0.5pp $543 +1.0pp $521

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$21,225
Closing costs
$2,547
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 26 events

  1. 2026-06-22
    days on market $84,900 Active 100 DOM
  2. 2026-06-21
    days on market $84,900 Active 99 DOM
  3. 2026-06-19
    days on market $84,900 Active 97 DOM
  4. 2026-06-18
    days on market $84,900 Active 96 DOM
  5. 2026-06-17
    days on market $84,900 Active 95 DOM
  6. 2026-06-16
    days on market $84,900 Active 94 DOM
  7. 2026-06-15
    days on market $84,900 Active 93 DOM
  8. 2026-06-14
    days on market $84,900 Active 91 DOM
  9. 2026-06-12
    days on market $84,900 Active 90 DOM
  10. 2026-06-09
    days on market $84,900 Active 87 DOM
  11. 2026-06-08
    days on market $84,900 Active 86 DOM
  12. 2026-06-07
    days on market $84,900 Active 85 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $84,900 Active 80 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $84,900 Active 79 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $84,900 Active 78 DOM
  16. 2026-05-30
    days on market $84,900 Active 77 DOM
  17. 2026-05-19
    price $84,900
  18. 2026-04-10
    status Active
  19. 2026-04-02
    historical Active Under Contract
  20. 2026-04-01
    status Active
  21. 2026-03-22
    status Pending
  22. 2026-03-07
    historical Active Under Contract
  23. 2026-03-04
    listed $89,900 Active
  24. 2017-08-28
    soldstatus $44,189 576-char remark
    Show marketing remark (576 chars)

    Four bedrooms, two full bath, fireplace and fenced yard are some of what you will find here. There are enhancements needed to get this home move in ready. Take a look today, see what you can accomplish here. REO Property. Property Sold AS-IS W/O Repair, Warranty or Seller Disclosure. The Listing Broker & Seller assume no responsibility & make no guarantees, warranties or representations as to the availability or accuracy of information contained herein. Effective tax rate has not been verified; please contact the local county tax authority for accurate tax rate.

  25. 2016-12-20
    listed $60,700 576-char remark
    Show marketing remark (576 chars)

    Four bedrooms, two full bath, fireplace and fenced yard are some of what you will find here. There are enhancements needed to get this home move in ready. Take a look today, see what you can accomplish here. REO Property. Property Sold AS-IS W/O Repair, Warranty or Seller Disclosure. The Listing Broker & Seller assume no responsibility & make no guarantees, warranties or representations as to the availability or accuracy of information contained herein. Effective tax rate has not been verified; please contact the local county tax authority for accurate tax rate.

  26. 1995-08-01
    soldstatus $45,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast KY · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,511 · $126/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,511 · $126/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 2% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$17,802
− Mortgage interest
−$4,756
− Property taxes
−$1,511
− Insurance
−$424
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,424
− Management
−$1,424
− Depreciation
−$2,470
Taxable income
$5,793
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,390
After-tax cash flow
$5,395/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Henry County
NCES district ID
2102760
Math proficiency
30% ▼ -12.00%
Reading proficiency
38% ▼ -9.00%
Median HH income
$47,899
Composite
29.29/100
National rank
#6557
State rank
#68 of 165 in KY

Livability — Pleasureville

Score
61/100
State rank
#379
US rank
#18051

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Pleasureville, KY
Population (ZIP)
4,275

Population outlook (Henry County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
16,009 people
By 2030
16,127 · +0.7%
By 2040
16,109 · +0.6%
By 2050
15,749 · -1.6%
By 2075
14,586 · -8.9%
By 2100
12,181 · -23.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (93%)
Race & ethnicity
White 93% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 1% Black 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 5% Iranian 5% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
98% English-only · Spanish 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Henry

2024 margin
Solid R (+52.5) · D 23.0% · R 75.5% · Other 1.5%
2008→2024 swing
-32.9pp toward R · 2008: -19.6pp · 2024: -52.5pp
All cycles
2024: R+52.5 2020: R+45.6 2016: R+43.6 2012: R+21.4 2008: R+19.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 23.98%
Current HPI
268.6994
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.81%
F500 in state
4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in KY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+88.7% since first listed
10 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-19 Price Changed $84,900 Metro Search MLS
  • 2026-04-10 Relisted Metro Search MLS
  • 2026-04-02 Contingent Metro Search MLS
  • 2026-04-01 Relisted Metro Search MLS
  • 2026-03-22 Pending Metro Search MLS
  • 2026-03-07 Contingent Metro Search MLS
  • 2026-03-04 Listed $89,900 Metro Search MLS
  • 2017-08-28 Sold (MLS) $44,189 ImagineMLS
  • 2016-12-20 Listed $60,700 ImagineMLS
  • 1995-08-01 Sold (Public Records) $45,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+6.2%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,511 · +0.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…