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402 Douglas Ave
A Composite 85.09
Why this score? — see what drove the A grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +9.7/10.0
  • Appreciation +6.4/10.0
  • Schools +5.5/10.0
  • Livability +3.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$73,900

402 Douglas Ave · Ackley, IA 50601
4 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,440 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 10 Days on market
Built 1920 0.31 ac lot Est $92k · 20% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Welcome to Ackley! This two-story home offers efficient room for your family and guests. Upstairs, you'll find two bedrooms plus a bonus room that could serve as a home office, additional bedroom, playroom, or hobby space. The main floor features a convenient bedroom with an attached half bath that can be accessed from both the bedroom and the kitchen. The kitchen flows nicely into the dining area and living room, creating a functional layout for everyday living. Outside, you'll appreciate the large detached garage with ample space for vehicles, storage, projects, or a workshop. The generous lot offers plenty of room for outdoor activities, gardening, and entertaining, while mature trees pr

Key facts

  • Generous lot
  • Attached half bath
  • Bonus room

Tags

TWO STORY HOMEBONUS ROOMATTACHED HALF BATHDETACHED GARAGEGENEROUS LOTMATURE TREES

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached carport; Three carport spaces
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-family residence; Two stories
  • Construction: Vinyl siding; Asphalt roof
  • Exterior features: Corner lot

Interior

  • Kitchen: Free-standing range; Refrigerator
  • Bathrooms: One half bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); Window cooling units
  • Interior features: Electric fireplace; Unfinished basement with block and concrete construction
  • Laundry & utility: Gas water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $74k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $403 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $74k).

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 70/100 on livability (#377 in IA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
  • Agwsr Community School District (rural): math 60% / reading 69% proficiency, ranked #198 of 289 in IA (top 68%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Zoned schools: Agwsr Elementary School (math 62% / reading 57%, grade B-, #390 of 616 statewide, top 69%, 191 students, 38% FRL); Agwsr Middle School (math 57% / reading 72%, grade A-, #157 of 246 statewide, top 67%, 161 students, 41% FRL); Agwsr High School (math 67% / reading 77%, grade B+, #117 of 336 statewide, top 39%, 192 students, 35% FRL).
  • Market conditions: 29 active listings in the ZIP; 6 units permitted in Hardin County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $3k of equity ($511 loan paydown + $2k appreciation (2.8% local appreciation)).
  • Hardin County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (2.8% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $21k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 10 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $73,900

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.47%
Cap rate
12.83%
Cash-on-cash
23.35%
DSCR
2.04
GRM
5.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$92,160
Comps found
2
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
910 2nd Ave Ave 0.70mi 4/1.0 1,420 (-1%) 6mo $20,000 $14 60
600 5th Ave Ave 0.60mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,628 (+13%) 21mo $104,900 $64 28

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

2.83% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
29.2%
Equity multiple
2.64×
Total profit
$33,864
Equity at exit
$32,517
10-year hold
IRR
29.8%
Equity multiple
5.13×
Total profit
$85,431
Equity at exit
$49,566

Cash invested: $20,692 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Iowa
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; mostly landlord-friendly statewide.

ZIP-level market 50601

Home prices YoY
1.9%
Active inventory
29
Price-to-rent
5.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,085 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$388
Tax from tax record
$36 /mo · $434/yr
Insurance
$31
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$228
Net cashflow
$403

Break-even live

Break-even rent $575
Max offer price $73,900
Occupancy floor 58%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $445 -5% $424 +0% $403 +5% $382 +10% $361
Rent -10% $317 -5% $360 +0% $403 +5% $446 +10% $488
Rate -1.0pp $440 -0.5pp $422 base $403 +0.5pp $384 +1.0pp $364

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$18,475
Closing costs
$2,217
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 8 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $73,900 Active 10 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $73,900 Active 8 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $73,900 Active 7 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $73,900 Active 6 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $73,900 Active 5 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $73,900 Active 3 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    remarks 699-char remark
  8. 2026-06-12
    listed $73,900 Active 2 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast IA · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$434 · $36/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$797 · $66/mo
Expected delta
+$363/yr (+$30/mo · 83.7%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$13,021
− Mortgage interest
−$4,140
− Property taxes
−$434
− Insurance
−$370
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,042
− Management
−$1,042
− Depreciation
−$2,150
Taxable income
$3,845
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$923
After-tax cash flow
$3,910/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Agwsr Community School District
NCES district ID
1903060
Math proficiency
60% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
69% ▼ -1.00%
Median HH income
$51,863
Composite
54.95/100
National rank
#1304
State rank
#198 of 289 in IA

Livability — Ackley

Score
70/100
State rank
#377
US rank
#7968

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment C+ Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Ackley, IA
Population (ZIP)
2,377

Population outlook (Hardin County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
17,474 people
By 2030
17,369 · -0.6%
By 2040
17,018 · -2.6%
By 2050
16,454 · -5.8%
By 2075
14,665 · -16.1%
By 2100
12,404 · -29.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (90%)
Race & ethnicity
White 90% Hispanic / Latino 8% Two or more races 4%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 8%
Common ancestry
Portuguese 4% Iranian 3% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
5% · Canada, South Korea
Languages at home
93% English-only · Spanish 7%

Political lean MEDSL · Hardin

2024 margin
Solid R (+38.4) · D 30.3% · R 68.7% · Other 1.1%
2008→2024 swing
-39.3pp toward R · 2008: 0.9pp · 2024: -38.4pp
All cycles
2024: R+38.4 2020: R+32.0 2016: R+29.2 2012: R+7.1 2008: D+0.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 2.83%
Current HPI
154.031
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.48%
F500 in state
4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-06-10 Listed $73,900 NEIRBR as distributed by MLS GRID

Property tax history

-0.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $434 · -9.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…