402 Douglas Ave · Ackley, IA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $902 – $1,676
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 101°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the A grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +9.7/10.0
- Appreciation +6.4/10.0
- Schools +5.5/10.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$73,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Welcome to Ackley! This two-story home offers efficient room for your family and guests. Upstairs, you'll find two bedrooms plus a bonus room that could serve as a home office, additional bedroom, playroom, or hobby space. The main floor features a convenient bedroom with an attached half bath that can be accessed from both the bedroom and the kitchen. The kitchen flows nicely into the dining area and living room, creating a functional layout for everyday living. Outside, you'll appreciate the large detached garage with ample space for vehicles, storage, projects, or a workshop. The generous lot offers plenty of room for outdoor activities, gardening, and entertaining, while mature trees pr
Key facts
- Generous lot
- Attached half bath
- Bonus room
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Detached carport; Three carport spaces
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-family residence; Two stories
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Asphalt roof
- Exterior features: Corner lot
Interior
- Kitchen: Free-standing range; Refrigerator
- Bathrooms: One half bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); Window cooling units
- Interior features: Electric fireplace; Unfinished basement with block and concrete construction
- Laundry & utility: Gas water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $74k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $403 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $74k).
Location & tenants
- Location reads 70/100 on livability (#377 in IA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
- Agwsr Community School District (rural): math 60% / reading 69% proficiency, ranked #198 of 289 in IA (top 68%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Agwsr Elementary School (math 62% / reading 57%, grade B-, #390 of 616 statewide, top 69%, 191 students, 38% FRL); Agwsr Middle School (math 57% / reading 72%, grade A-, #157 of 246 statewide, top 67%, 161 students, 41% FRL); Agwsr High School (math 67% / reading 77%, grade B+, #117 of 336 statewide, top 39%, 192 students, 35% FRL).
- Market conditions: 29 active listings in the ZIP; 6 units permitted in Hardin County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $3k of equity ($511 loan paydown + $2k appreciation (2.8% local appreciation)).
- Hardin County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (2.8% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $21k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 10 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.47% ✓
- Cap rate
- 12.83%
- Cash-on-cash
- 23.35%
- DSCR
- 2.04
- GRM
- 5.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $92,160
- Comps found
- 2
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 910 2nd Ave Ave | 0.70mi | 4/1.0 | 1,420 (-1%) | 6mo | $20,000 | $14 | 60 |
| 600 5th Ave Ave | 0.60mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,628 (+13%) | 21mo | $104,900 | $64 | 28 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
2.83% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 29.2%
- Equity multiple
- 2.64×
- Total profit
- $33,864
- Equity at exit
- $32,517
- IRR
- 29.8%
- Equity multiple
- 5.13×
- Total profit
- $85,431
- Equity at exit
- $49,566
Cash invested: $20,692 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Iowa
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 50601
- Home prices YoY
- 1.9%
- Active inventory
- 29
- Price-to-rent
- 5.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,085 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$388
- Tax from tax record
- −$36 /mo · $434/yr
- Insurance
- −$31
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$228
- Net cashflow
- $403
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $445 | -5% $424 | +0% $403 | +5% $382 | +10% $361 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $317 | -5% $360 | +0% $403 | +5% $446 | +10% $488 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $440 | -0.5pp $422 | base $403 | +0.5pp $384 | +1.0pp $364 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $18,475
- Closing costs
- $2,217
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 8 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $73,900 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $73,900 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $73,900 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $73,900 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $73,900 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $73,900 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-12remarks 699-char remark
-
2026-06-12$73,900 Active 2 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $434 · $36/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $797 · $66/mo
- Expected delta
- +$363/yr (+$30/mo · 83.7%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,021
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,140
- − Property taxes
- −$434
- − Insurance
- −$370
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,042
- − Management
- −$1,042
- − Depreciation
- −$2,150
- Taxable income
- $3,845
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$923
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,910/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Agwsr Community School District
- NCES district ID
- 1903060
- Math proficiency
- 60% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 69% ▼ -1.00%
- Median HH income
- $51,863
- Composite
- 54.95/100
- National rank
- #1304
- State rank
- #198 of 289 in IA
Livability — Ackley
- Score
- 70/100
- State rank
- #377
- US rank
- #7968
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Ackley, IA
- Population (ZIP)
- 2,377
Population outlook (Hardin County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 17,474 people
- By 2030
- 17,369 · -0.6%
- By 2040
- 17,018 · -2.6%
- By 2050
- 16,454 · -5.8%
- By 2075
- 14,665 · -16.1%
- By 2100
- 12,404 · -29.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (90%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 90% Hispanic / Latino 8% Two or more races 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 8%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 4% Iranian 3% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 93% English-only · Spanish 7%
Political lean MEDSL · Hardin
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+38.4) · D 30.3% · R 68.7% · Other 1.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -39.3pp toward R · 2008: 0.9pp · 2024: -38.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+38.4 2020: R+32.0 2016: R+29.2 2012: R+7.1 2008: D+0.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 2.83%
- Current HPI
- 154.031
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.48%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $16B |
|
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| Retail / Convenience | 1 | $15B |
|
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-06-10 Listed $73,900 NEIRBR as distributed by MLS GRID
Property tax history
-0.1%/yrLatest (2025): $434 · -9.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…