930 Evangeline Dr · Lafayette, LA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,269 – $2,357
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 109°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Rent growth +4.3/5.0
- Schools +3.6/10.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$52,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Key facts
- 7,840 sq ft lot
- Garage
- Built 1945
Property features AI
Finance
- Other:
- Financial info:
- HOA & community:
Exterior
- Parking: Carport (1 covered space); Detached garage (approximately 256 sq ft)
- Security:
- Utilities: Gas service by Atmos; Public sewer; Electric service from city
- Home design: Single-family residence; Fixer condition; City street frontage
- Construction: Composition roof; Frame construction with other siding
- Exterior features: Chain link fencing; Covered patio/porch
Interior
- Kitchen:
- Bedrooms:
- Flooring: Wood
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Wood flooring; Central heating; Central air conditioning
- Laundry & utility:
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $52k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $386 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($904 rent vs $52k).
- Cap rate 15.2% vs local median 4.7% in Lafayette — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 70/100 on livability (#63 in LA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities C-, employment C-, crime F.
- Lafayette Parish (urban): math 38% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #19 of 98 in LA (top 19%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Woodvale Elementary School (math 56% / reading 59%, grade C+, #76 of 646 statewide, top 12%, 890 students, 56% FRL); Lafayette Middle School (math 12% / reading 29%, grade F, #161 of 218 statewide, top 76%, 369 students, 83% FRL); Lafayette High School (math 57% / reading 51%, grade C-, #28 of 265 statewide, top 11%, 1,852 students, 52% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+7.3%/yr); 247 active listings in the ZIP; 11 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 15d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 1,585 units permitted in Lafayette Parish in 2024 (10 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 33% of the median local income ($33k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $360 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Lafayette County population projected at +34% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 7.3% rent growth), your $15k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 4 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 2 sale attempts since 21y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $30k; list at $52k implies a 73% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1945 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1945 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.74% ✓
- Cap rate
- 15.20%
- Cash-on-cash
- 31.82%
- DSCR
- 2.42
- GRM
- 4.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $75,504
- Comps found
- 7
Show comp detail 7 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 930 Evangeline Dr | 0.00mi | 1/1.0 | 726 (0%) | 0mo | $52,000 | $72 | 100 |
| 617 Cedar Crest Ct | 0.22mi | 2/1.0 (+1) | 779 (+7%) | 4mo | $125,000 | $160 | 70 |
| 505 Sherman St | 0.59mi | 2/1.0 (+1) | 750 (+3%) | 2mo | $100,000 | $133 | 60 |
| 403 Railroad St | 0.74mi | 2/1.0 (+1) | 724 (-0%) | 8mo | $75,000 | $104 | 54 |
| 800 N St Antoine St | 0.58mi | 2/1.0 (+1) | 742 (+2%) | 14mo | $95,000 | $128 | 53 |
| 421 N Saint Antoine St | 0.45mi | 2/1.0 (+1) | 791 (+9%) | 8mo | $47,500 | $60 | 52 |
| 211 Versailles Blvd #8 | 0.70mi | 2/1.0 (+1) | 833 (+15%) | 23mo | $75,000 | $90 | 18 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 7.35% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 31.4%
- Equity multiple
- 2.39×
- Total profit
- $20,284
- Equity at exit
- $7,753
- IRR
- 40.8%
- Equity multiple
- 5.66×
- Total profit
- $67,834
- Equity at exit
- $4,496
Cash invested: $14,560 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Louisiana
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+12
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 70501
- Rents YoY
- 7.3%
- Active inventory
- 247
- Price-to-rent
- 4.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $904 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$273
- Tax from tax record
- −$33 /mo · $402/yr
- Insurance
- −$22
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$190
- Net cashflow
- $386
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $415 | -5% $401 | +0% $386 | +5% $371 | +10% $357 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $315 | -5% $350 | +0% $386 | +5% $422 | +10% $457 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $412 | -0.5pp $399 | base $386 | +0.5pp $373 | +1.0pp $359 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $13,000
- Closing costs
- $1,560
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 11 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1901 W University Ave Lafayette, LA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $800 | $1.33 | 14d | 1 | 0.25mi |
| 406 Voorhies St Unit B Lafayette, LA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 575 | $825 | $1.43 | 22d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 301 Sampson St Lafayette, LA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 545 | $750 | $1.38 | 14d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 124 E Main St Lafayette, LA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 789 | $1,380 | $1.75 | 14d | 7 | 1.11mi |
| 1318 Lee Ave Unit B6 Lafayette, LA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 400 | $750 | $1.88 | 22d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 1318 Lee Ave Unit C7 Lafayette, LA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 450 | $1,150 | $2.56 | 14d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 617 E Vermilion St Unit C Lafayette, LA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 625 | $1,199 | $1.92 | 14d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 617 E Vermilion St Unit A Lafayette, LA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 517 | $999 | $1.93 | 14d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 305 General Mouton Ave Unit B Lafayette, LA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $1,250 | $1.67 | 14d | 1 | 1.42mi |
| 131 1/2 Mildred St Unit C Lafayette, LA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 500 | $625 | $1.25 | 14d | 1 | 1.43mi |
| 327 General Mouton Ave Lafayette, LA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 580 | $800 | $1.38 | 45d | 1 | 1.46mi |
Listing history 4 events
-
2026-04-13status Pending
-
2026-04-09$52,000 Active
-
2005-08-17soldstatus $30,000
-
2005-06-22$42,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast LA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $402 · $33/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $402 · $33/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $10,844
- − Mortgage interest
- −$2,913
- − Property taxes
- −$402
- − Insurance
- −$260
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$868
- − Management
- −$868
- − Depreciation
- −$1,513
- Taxable income
- $4,022
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$965
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,667/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Lafayette Parish
- NCES district ID
- 2200870
- Math proficiency
- 38% ▼ -32.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 46% ▼ -24.00%
- Median HH income
- $50,238
- Composite
- 36.15/100
- National rank
- #4741
- State rank
- #19 of 98 in LA
Livability — Lafayette
- Score
- 70/100
- State rank
- #63
- US rank
- #8133
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Lafayette, LA
- County
- Lafayette Parish · 207,544 people
- City population
- 158,114
- Metro
- Lafayette, LA
- Population (ZIP)
- 26,465
- Household income
- $33,365
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2089.0
Population outlook (Lafayette County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 280,930 people
- By 2030
- 301,092 · +7.2%
- By 2040
- 339,456 · +20.8%
- By 2050
- 375,156 · +33.5%
- By 2075
- 451,672 · +60.8%
- By 2100
- 497,203 · +77.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (73%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 73% White 18% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 4%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 4%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 3% French/Haitian/Cajun 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Lafayette
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+31.4) · D 33.5% · R 64.8% · Other 1.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -0.1pp no change · 2008: -31.3pp · 2024: -31.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+31.4 2020: R+28.7 2016: R+33.6 2012: R+33.7 2008: R+31.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -108.63%
- Current HPI
- 81.2963
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 7.35%
- Metro
- Lafayette, LA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.29%
- F500 in state
- 10
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in LA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Telecommunications | 2 | $23B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $12B |
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| Wholesale / Distribution | 1 | $5B |
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| Advertising | 1 | $2B |
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Price history
+22.4% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-13 Pending — AcadianaMLS
- 2026-04-09 Listed $52,000 AcadianaMLS
- 2005-08-17 Sold (MLS) $30,000 AcadianaMLS
- 2005-06-22 Listed $42,500 AcadianaMLS
Property tax history
+4.1%/yrLatest (2025): $402 · -1.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…