3228 Birch Ln · Kalamazoo, MI
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
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- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
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- Est. flood insurance / yr
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Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
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Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
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- Hot days in 30 yrs
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Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
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Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
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- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.0/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +5.0/10.0
- DSCR +5.0/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.5/10.0
- Condition / age +2.2/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$25,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Affordable Homeownership Opportunity in Hillcrest Acres! $25,000 \ 1 Bedroom + Office \ 1 Bathroom \ Large Deck \ Storage ShedWelcome home to this charming 1980 Vista single-wide mobile home located in the desirable Hillcrest Acres community. This well-maintained, owner-occupied home offers a comfortable and functional layout with an open-concept design that makes the space feel inviting. Features You'll Love:1 Spacious BedroomDedicated Office/Flex Room - Perfect for Working from Home or Guest Space1 Full BathroomOpen-Concept Living and Dining AreaLarge Deck for Outdoor Relaxation and EntertainingStorage Shed for Extra Storage Owner-OccupiedAffordable Living in a Desirable CommunityWhether you're looking to downsize, purchase your first home, or invest in an affordable property, this home offers plenty of potential. Highly Motivated Seller - Bring All Offers!The seller is ready to negotiate and welcomes reasonable offersmust be approved by park prior to closing
Key facts
- Large deck
- Storage shed
- Community pool
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: Community amenities include pool and playground; Pets allowed; Association covers water, trash, and sewer
Exterior
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer (included in association fee)
- Home design: Ranch-style single-family residence; Built in 1980
- Construction: Vinyl siding
- Exterior features: Public water
Interior
- Kitchen: Microwave; Oven; Refrigerator
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating
- Interior features: Five total rooms; Slab foundation / no finished basement
- Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $25k. Condition is rated fair.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $674 ($8k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $25k).
- Recommended offer: $25k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 38.6% vs local median 4.1% in Kalamazoo — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 76/100 on livability (#141 in MI, #3,492 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F, employment D-.
- Parchment School District (suburban): math 22% / reading 36% proficiency, ranked #372 of 540 in MI (top 69%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: 99 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 339 units permitted in Kalamazoo County in 2024 (22 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent is only 18% of the median local income ($73k/yr) — well below the 30% rent-burden line; pricing power to push rent on renewal without tenant pushback.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $173 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $750 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Kalamazoo County population projected at +18% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $7k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 19 days — a 2% lower offer ($25k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Questions for the listing agent
- Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 4.29% ✓
- Cap rate
- 38.65%
- Cash-on-cash
- 115.56%
- DSCR
- 6.14
- GRM
- 1.9
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 6.56×
- Total profit
- $38,899
- Equity at exit
- $3,728
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 13.75×
- Total profit
- $89,222
- Equity at exit
- $2,162
Cash invested: $7,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 49004
- Active inventory
- 99
- Price-to-rent
- 1.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,072 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$131
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$31 /mo · $375/yr
- Insurance
- −$10
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$225
- Net cashflow
- $674
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $6,250
- Closing costs
- $750
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3205 Douglas Ave Kalamazoo, MI | 2.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 912 | $1,169 | $1.28 | 13d | 1 | 0.08mi |
| 3622 Douglas Ave Unit 3 Kalamazoo, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,112 | $1.39 | 13d | 1 | 0.35mi |
Listing history 15 events
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2026-06-18days on market $25,000 Active 19 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $25,000 Active 18 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $25,000 Active 17 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $25,000 Active 16 DOM
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2026-06-14days on market $25,000 Active 14 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $25,000 Active 13 DOM
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2026-06-10days on market $25,000 Active 11 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $25,000 Active 10 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $25,000 Active 9 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $25,000 Active 8 DOM
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2026-06-03days on market $25,000 Active 4 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $25,000 Active 3 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $25,000 Active 2 DOM
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2026-05-30remarks 699-char remark
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2026-05-30$25,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
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Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $12,864
- − Mortgage interest
- −$1,400
- − Property taxes
- −$375
- − Insurance
- −$125
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,029
- − Management
- −$1,029
- − Depreciation
- −$727
- Taxable income
- $8,178
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,963
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,126/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
This mobile home requires moderate repairs and updates to improve its condition and value. Key areas for improvement include the kitchen, exterior paint, and flooring.
Repairs flagged
- Minor kitchen cabinets — dated and could be replaced
- Minor kitchen flooring — linoleum could be replaced
- Moderate exterior paint — paint is peeling and could be repainted
Value-add opportunities
- Both paint exterior — enhances curb appeal and value
- Both replace linoleum flooring — improves functionality and aesthetics
- Both replace kitchen cabinets — modernizes the space and increases value
Renovation cost estimate screening
| Repair item | Severity | Est. cost |
|---|---|---|
| kitchen cabinets · dated and could be replaced | Minor | $500–3,000 |
| kitchen flooring · linoleum could be replaced | Minor | $500–3,000 |
| exterior paint · paint is peeling and could be repainted | Moderate | $3,000–15,000 |
| Total estimated repair cost · 3 items | $4,000–21,000 |
Value-add ROI direction
- Both paint exterior — enhances curb appeal and value ↑
- Both replace linoleum flooring — improves functionality and aesthetics ↑
- Both replace kitchen cabinets — modernizes the space and increases value ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Parchment School District
- NCES district ID
- 2627420
- Math proficiency
- 22% ▼ -10.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 36% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $49,525
- Composite
- 25.27/100
- National rank
- #7494
- State rank
- #372 of 540 in MI
Livability — Kalamazoo
- Score
- 76/100
- State rank
- #141
- US rank
- #3492
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Kalamazoo County · 224,317 people
- City population
- 121,397
- Metro
- Kalamazoo-Portage, MI
- Population (ZIP)
- 17,815
- Household income
- $73,453
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 330.0
Population outlook (Kalamazoo County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 280,982 people
- By 2030
- 292,068 · +3.9%
- By 2040
- 312,191 · +11.1%
- By 2050
- 331,196 · +17.9%
- By 2075
- 379,021 · +34.9%
- By 2100
- 396,579 · +41.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (79%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 79% Two or more races 9% Black 8% Hispanic / Latino 5% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Iranian 10% Romanian 5% Lithuanian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Spanish 1% Tagalog/Filipino 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Kalamazoo
- 2024 margin
- D (+17.7) · D 58.0% · R 40.3% · Other 1.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -1.8pp toward R · 2008: 19.5pp · 2024: 17.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+17.7 2020: D+18.7 2016: D+12.8 2012: D+13.3 2008: D+19.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -247.79%
- Current HPI
- 202.6197
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Kalamazoo-Portage, MI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
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| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
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| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
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| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
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| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
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| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
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Price history
+0.0% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-29 Listed $25,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-05-29 Listed $25,000 REALCOMP
- 2026-05-29 Listed $25,000 SW Michigan MLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…