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3228 Birch Ln
D Composite 43.58
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +5.0/10.0
  • DSCR +5.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.5/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.2/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$25,000

3228 Birch Ln · Kalamazoo, MI 49004
1 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,000 sqft · Manufactured · 19 Days on market
Built 1980 Fair condition

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Affordable Homeownership Opportunity in Hillcrest Acres! $25,000 \ 1 Bedroom + Office \ 1 Bathroom \ Large Deck \ Storage ShedWelcome home to this charming 1980 Vista single-wide mobile home located in the desirable Hillcrest Acres community. This well-maintained, owner-occupied home offers a comfortable and functional layout with an open-concept design that makes the space feel inviting. Features You'll Love:1 Spacious BedroomDedicated Office/Flex Room - Perfect for Working from Home or Guest Space1 Full BathroomOpen-Concept Living and Dining AreaLarge Deck for Outdoor Relaxation and EntertainingStorage Shed for Extra Storage Owner-OccupiedAffordable Living in a Desirable CommunityWhether you're looking to downsize, purchase your first home, or invest in an affordable property, this home offers plenty of potential. Highly Motivated Seller - Bring All Offers!The seller is ready to negotiate and welcomes reasonable offersmust be approved by park prior to closing

Key facts

  • Large deck
  • Storage shed
  • Community pool

Tags

LARGE DECKSTORAGE SHEDDEDICATED OFFICE/FLEX ROOM

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: Community amenities include pool and playground; Pets allowed; Association covers water, trash, and sewer

Exterior

  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer (included in association fee)
  • Home design: Ranch-style single-family residence; Built in 1980
  • Construction: Vinyl siding
  • Exterior features: Public water

Interior

  • Kitchen: Microwave; Oven; Refrigerator
  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating
  • Interior features: Five total rooms; Slab foundation / no finished basement
  • Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $25k. Condition is rated fair.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $674 ($8k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $25k).
  • Recommended offer: $25k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 38.6% vs local median 4.1% in Kalamazoo — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 76/100 on livability (#141 in MI, #3,492 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F, employment D-.
  • Parchment School District (suburban): math 22% / reading 36% proficiency, ranked #372 of 540 in MI (top 69%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Market conditions: 99 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 339 units permitted in Kalamazoo County in 2024 (22 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent is only 18% of the median local income ($73k/yr) — well below the 30% rent-burden line; pricing power to push rent on renewal without tenant pushback.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $173 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $750 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Kalamazoo County population projected at +18% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $7k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 19 days — a 2% lower offer ($25k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Recommended offer $24,625 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  4. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
4.29%
Cap rate
38.65%
Cash-on-cash
115.56%
DSCR
6.14
GRM
1.9

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
6.56×
Total profit
$38,899
Equity at exit
$3,728
10-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
13.75×
Total profit
$89,222
Equity at exit
$2,162

Cash invested: $7,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 49004

Active inventory
99
Price-to-rent
1.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,072 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$131
Tax est. 1.5%
$31 /mo · $375/yr
Insurance
$10
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$225
Net cashflow
$674

Break-even live

Break-even rent $219
Max offer price $25,000
Occupancy floor 32%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$6,250
Closing costs
$750
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 2 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
3205 Douglas Ave Kalamazoo, MI 2.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 912 $1,169 $1.28 13d 1 0.08mi
3622 Douglas Ave Unit 3 Kalamazoo, MI 2.0 1.0 800 $1,112 $1.39 13d 1 0.35mi

Listing history 15 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $25,000 Active 19 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $25,000 Active 18 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $25,000 Active 17 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $25,000 Active 16 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $25,000 Active 14 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $25,000 Active 13 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $25,000 Active 11 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $25,000 Active 10 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $25,000 Active 9 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $25,000 Active 8 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $25,000 Active 4 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $25,000 Active 3 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $25,000 Active 2 DOM
  14. 2026-05-30
    remarks 699-char remark
  15. 2026-05-30
    listed $25,000 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$12,864
− Mortgage interest
−$1,400
− Property taxes
−$375
− Insurance
−$125
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,029
− Management
−$1,029
− Depreciation
−$727
Taxable income
$8,178
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,963
After-tax cash flow
$6,126/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos

Fair 45/100 Moderate rehab

This mobile home requires moderate repairs and updates to improve its condition and value. Key areas for improvement include the kitchen, exterior paint, and flooring.

Repairs flagged

  • Minor kitchen cabinets — dated and could be replaced
  • Minor kitchen flooring — linoleum could be replaced
  • Moderate exterior paint — paint is peeling and could be repainted

Value-add opportunities

  • Both paint exterior — enhances curb appeal and value
  • Both replace linoleum flooring — improves functionality and aesthetics
  • Both replace kitchen cabinets — modernizes the space and increases value

Renovation cost estimate screening

Repair itemSeverityEst. cost
kitchen cabinets · dated and could be replaced Minor $500–3,000
kitchen flooring · linoleum could be replaced Minor $500–3,000
exterior paint · paint is peeling and could be repainted Moderate $3,000–15,000
Total estimated repair cost · 3 items $4,000–21,000

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both paint exterior — enhances curb appeal and value
  • Both replace linoleum flooring — improves functionality and aesthetics
  • Both replace kitchen cabinets — modernizes the space and increases value

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Parchment School District
NCES district ID
2627420
Math proficiency
22% ▼ -10.00%
Reading proficiency
36% ▼ -6.00%
Median HH income
$49,525
Composite
25.27/100
National rank
#7494
State rank
#372 of 540 in MI

Livability — Kalamazoo

Score
76/100
State rank
#141
US rank
#3492

Category grades

Amenities C+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings D-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Kalamazoo County · 224,317 people
City population
121,397
Metro
Kalamazoo-Portage, MI
Population (ZIP)
17,815
Household income
$73,453
Rent vs Own
25.5% rent · 74.5% own
Severe rent burden
330.0

Population outlook (Kalamazoo County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
280,982 people
By 2030
292,068 · +3.9%
By 2040
312,191 · +11.1%
By 2050
331,196 · +17.9%
By 2075
379,021 · +34.9%
By 2100
396,579 · +41.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (79%)
Race & ethnicity
White 79% Two or more races 9% Black 8% Hispanic / Latino 5% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 2%
Common ancestry
Iranian 10% Romanian 5% Lithuanian 3%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
97% English-only · Spanish 1% Tagalog/Filipino 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Kalamazoo

2024 margin
D (+17.7) · D 58.0% · R 40.3% · Other 1.7%
2008→2024 swing
-1.8pp toward R · 2008: 19.5pp · 2024: 17.7pp
All cycles
2024: D+17.7 2020: D+18.7 2016: D+12.8 2012: D+13.3 2008: D+19.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -247.79%
Current HPI
202.6197
Rent YoY
Metro
Kalamazoo-Portage, MI
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+0.0% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-29 Listed $25,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-05-29 Listed $25,000 REALCOMP
  • 2026-05-29 Listed $25,000 SW Michigan MLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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