626 Taylor St · Wilmington, NC
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $906 – $1,684
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Cash flow +14.7/30.0
- DSCR +4.5/10.0
- Schools +4.3/10.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- 1% rule +3.0/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.4/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$244,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
This cute home is move in ready. Features include hardwood floors throughout, open floor plan, Master suit upstairs, spare room that would make a great office, or additional bedroom, back deck, fenced in yard and located at the end of a cul-de-sac. Located just a few blocks from downtown Wilmington.
Key facts
- 6,490 sq ft lot
- Built 2002
- Listed 10 days
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Zoning: R-3
- Financial info: Financial details not provided
- HOA & community: No association amenities
Exterior
- Parking: On-site parking; On-street parking; Parking available in front of house
- Security: Security information not provided
- Utilities: Public water; Sewer available; Water available
- Home design: Single-family residence; Two levels; Entry level: 1; Not in a subdivision; Facing/directional info not provided
- Construction: Vinyl siding and frame construction; Built year not provided
- Exterior features: Deck; Porch; Chain link fencing; Shingle roof; Paved road access; Frontage: see remarks
Interior
- Kitchen: Laundry located in the kitchen
- Bedrooms: Bedrooms information not provided
- Flooring: Flooring information not provided
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central air conditioning; Electric forced-air heating
- Interior features: 7 total rooms; Crawl space basement; Has a view
- Laundry & utility: Laundry in kitchen
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $245k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $63 ($751/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $195k (20.3% below list).
- Recommended offer: $195k (20.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.6% vs local median 2.6% in Wilmington — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 70/100 on livability (#142 in NC) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: health & safety A+, cost of living B+, housing B+; Watch: amenities C-, employment C-, crime F.
- New Hanover County Schools (urban): math 48% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #61 of 178 in NC (top 34%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: A H Snipes Academy of Arts/Des (math 17% / reading 22%, grade F, #1,242 of 1,410 statewide, top 90%, 377 students, 99% FRL); Williston Middle (math 17% / reading 30%, grade F, #402 of 475 statewide, top 85%, 683 students, 100% FRL); New Hanover High (math 60% / reading 53%, grade C, #261 of 535 statewide, top 49%, 1,466 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 100% FRL vs 42% district-wide (58 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 33% at this address vs 50% district-wide (-17 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the New Hanover County Schools average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.5%/yr); 278 active listings in the ZIP; 22 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 16d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 2,581 units permitted in New Hanover County in 2024 (1,185 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 40% of the median local income ($58k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- New Hanover County population projected at +37% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- Only 10 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 5 sale attempts since 14y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.80% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.60%
- Cash-on-cash
- 1.10%
- DSCR
- 1.05
- GRM
- 10.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $362,340
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 516 Brunswick St | 0.36mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,194 (-2%) | 1mo | $370,000 | $310 | 70 |
| 823 Campbell St | 0.51mi | 3/3.0 | 1,236 (+1%) | 2mo | $399,000 | $323 | 68 |
| 410 Mcrae St | 0.61mi | 3/2.0 | 1,197 (-2%) | 2mo | $360,000 | $301 | 67 |
| 925 Campbell St | 0.56mi | 3/2.5 | 1,248 (+2%) | 8mo | $300,000 | $240 | 62 |
| 1301 King St | 0.61mi | 3/1.0 | 1,256 (+3%) | 1mo | $140,000 | $111 | 62 |
| 813 Walnut St | 0.64mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,163 (-5%) | 4mo | $345,000 | $297 | 54 |
| 707 Grace St | 0.70mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,292 (+6%) | 2mo | $450,000 | $348 | 51 |
| 710 Grace St | 0.72mi | 3/2.0 | 1,326 (+9%) | 5mo | $500,000 | $377 | 47 |
| 908 Campbell St | 0.56mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,100 (-10%) | 3mo | $225,000 | $205 | 46 |
| 609 N 10th St | 0.54mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,363 (+12%) | 5mo | $268,000 | $197 | 46 |
| 717 Red Cross St | 0.55mi | 3/2.0 | 1,045 (-14%) | 7mo | $310,800 | $297 | 45 |
| 1011 Rankin St | 0.65mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,039 (-15%) | 4mo | $265,000 | $255 | 37 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -17.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.39×
- Total profit
- $-41,517
- Equity at exit
- $36,515
- IRR
- -15.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.22×
- Total profit
- $-53,530
- Equity at exit
- $21,174
Cash invested: $68,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State North Carolina
- 85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 28401
- Rents YoY
- -0.5%
- Active inventory
- 278
- Price-to-rent
- 10.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,951 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,284
- Tax from tax record
- −$92 /mo · $1,110/yr
- Insurance
- −$102
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$410
- Net cashflow
- $63
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $201 | -5% $132 | +0% $63 | +5% $-7 | +10% $-76 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-92 | -5% $-14 | +0% $63 | +5% $140 | +10% $217 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $186 | -0.5pp $125 | base $63 | +0.5pp $-1 | +1.0pp $-65 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $61,225
- Closing costs
- $7,347
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 22 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 710 Taylor St Unit D Wilmington, NC | 2.0 | 2.0 | 885 | $1,395 | $1.58 | 15d | 1 | 0.12mi |
| 816 Nixon St Apt D Wilmington, NC | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1270 | $1,650 | $1.30 | 23d | 1 | 0.17mi |
| 507 Bladen St Wilmington, NC | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1222 | $2,500 | $2.05 | 23d | 1 | 0.28mi |
| 1015 Nutt St Wilmington, NC | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 934 | $2,150 | $2.30 | 15d | 28 | 0.37mi |
| 1045 N Front St Wilmington, NC | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1107 | $2,898 | $2.62 | 15d | 19 | 0.39mi |
| 805 N 4th St Unit 201 Wilmington, NC | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $2,000 | $1.67 | 23d | 1 | 0.39mi |
| 814 N 3rd St Wilmington, NC | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1009 | $1,692 | $1.68 | 15d | 3 | 0.41mi |
| 19 Harnett St Wilmington, NC | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 832 | $3,709 | $4.46 | 15d | 18 | 0.53mi |
| 705 Brooks Aly Wilmington, NC | 2.0 | 3.0 | 1308 | $1,950 | $1.49 | 23d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 901 Nutt St Wilmington, NC | 3.0 | 1.0–3.0 | 1112 | $5,769 | $5.19 | 15d | 24 | 0.57mi |
| 709 N 11th St Wilmington, NC | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,475 | $1.84 | 23d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 524 N 2nd St Wilmington, NC | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1000 | $1,450 | $1.45 | 23d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 1419 King St Wilmington, NC | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1389 | $2,200 | $1.58 | 23d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 14 Grace St Wilmington, NC | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1041 | $2,347 | $2.25 | 15d | 3 | 0.92mi |
| 420 Market St Wilmington, NC | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0 | 935 | $1,500 | $1.60 | 15d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 106 Ann St Wilmington, NC | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1150 | $2,450 | $2.13 | 23d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 418 S 8th St Wilmington, NC | 2.0 | 1.0 | 873 | $2,200 | $2.52 | 15d | 1 | 1.38mi |
| 1904 Perry Ave Wilmington, NC | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1017 | $2,500 | $2.46 | 23d | 1 | 1.42mi |
| 422 S 3rd St Wilmington, NC | 2.0 | 1.0 | 734 | $1,550 | $2.11 | 15d | 1 | 1.43mi |
| 506 S 7th St Wilmington, NC | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1250 | $1,800 | $1.44 | 15d | 1 | 1.43mi |
| 506 S 7th St Wilmington, NC | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1250 | $1,800 | $1.44 | 23d | 1 | 1.43mi |
| 511 S 10th St Unit 1 Wilmington, NC | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $2,000 | $1.67 | 15d | 1 | 1.48mi |
Listing history 8 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $244,900 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $244,900 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $244,900 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $244,900 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $244,900 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $244,900 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-06-13remarks 507-char remark
-
2026-06-13$244,900 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NC · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,110 · $92/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,008 · $167/mo
- Expected delta
- +$898/yr (+$75/mo · 80.9%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $23,414
- − Mortgage interest
- −$13,718
- − Property taxes
- −$1,110
- − Insurance
- −$1,224
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,873
- − Management
- −$1,873
- − Depreciation
- −$7,124
- Taxable loss
- −$3,509
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$842
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,593/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- New Hanover County Schools
- NCES district ID
- 3703330
- Math proficiency
- 48% ▼ -3.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 53% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $49,406
- Composite
- 43.13/100
- National rank
- #3081
- State rank
- #61 of 178 in NC
Livability — Wilmington
- Score
- 70/100
- State rank
- #142
- US rank
- #8131
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Wilmington, NC
- County
- New Hanover County · 232,153 people
- City population
- 215,355
- Metro
- Wilmington, NC
- Population (ZIP)
- 22,007
- Household income
- $57,968
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1696.0
Population outlook (New Hanover County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 259,517 people
- By 2030
- 279,586 · +7.7%
- By 2040
- 318,223 · +22.6%
- By 2050
- 354,831 · +36.7%
- By 2075
- 437,158 · +68.5%
- By 2100
- 486,769 · +87.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.61)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 52% Black 33% Hispanic / Latino 9% Two or more races 7%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 5% Puerto Rican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 2% Serbian 2% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 91% English-only · Spanish 7% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · New Hanover
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 49.8% · R 49.1% · Other 1.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +2.0pp toward D · 2008: -1.4pp · 2024: 0.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+0.6 2020: D+2.1 2016: R+4.1 2012: R+4.7 2008: R+1.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -309.34%
- Current HPI
- 293.4396
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -0.52%
- Metro
- Wilmington, NC
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 26
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NC)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 2 | $213B |
|
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| Retail | 2 | $95B |
|
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| Industrial Conglomerate | 1 | $38B |
|
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| Metals / Steel | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $30B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 1 | $19B |
|
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Price history
+157.8% since first listed13 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-11 Listed $244,900 Hive MLS
- 2025-11-03 Price Changed $244,900 Hive MLS
- 2025-09-12 Relisted — Hive MLS
- 2025-06-18 Pending — Hive MLS
- 2025-06-18 Listing Removed — Hive MLS
- 2025-02-17 Listed $254,900 Hive MLS
- 2022-07-07 Sold (Public Records) $1,775,000 Public Records
- 2017-11-13 Sold (Public Records) $105,500 Public Records
- 2017-11-13 Sold (MLS) $105,500 Hive MLS
- 2017-09-07 Listed $120,000 Hive MLS
- 2012-11-27 Sold (MLS) $79,500 Hive MLS
- 2012-07-20 Listed $99,900 Hive MLS
- 2004-04-01 Sold (Public Records) $95,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+0.4%/yrLatest (2025): $1,110 · -32.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…